Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - January 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (1/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/7)-(1/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/7)-(1/4/2/7)-(1/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/2/7)-(4/1/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2/7)-(4/1/6/3)-(4/8) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/6/3)-(4/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/3)-(4/8)-(5/4/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/8)-(4/8) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/8)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/8)-(5/4/3)-(11/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-4   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(11/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(11/4)-(3/6/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-5   WIN (11/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (11/4)-(11/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (11/4)-(11/4/5)-(11/4/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (11/4)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (11/4)-(3/6/2)-(10/5/6/11) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-6   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(10/5/6/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(10/5/6/11)-(4/1/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-7   WIN (10/5/6/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/5/6/11)-(10/5/6/11/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/5/6/11)-(10/5/6/11/7)-(10/5/6/11/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/5/6/11)-(4/1/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/5/6/11)-(4/1/7/3)-(3/6/1/8/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (4/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/3)-(4/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/3)-(4/1/7/3)-(4/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/7/3)-(3/6/1/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (3/6/1/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/8/9)-(3/6/1/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/8/9)-(3/6/1/8/9)-(3/6/1/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAYYARA Jan12 Dec16 Nov25 Oct29 Oct14 (d'angelo )MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 1.00 38% 1.60    
2  BELLA ROMANCE Dec31 Dec15 Nov24 Jul01 May13 (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 118 10.00 8% 11.40    
3  R D BLESSING Jan14 Jan07 Dec15 Dec09 Nov24 (drake robert)MENESES MARCOS 118 20.00    
4  BINGO STAR Jan12 Dec16 Nov10 Sep16 Jul30 (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00 23% 3.30    
5  ROUGH ENOUGH Nov25 Nov10 Oct14 Sep24 Jul07 (dye steven)ALICEA JEREMY 111 3.00    
6  REDHAIREDCOLLEEN Jan14 Dec31 Dec16 Aug11 Jun18 (bennett ger)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 15.00    
7  ALLIE'S HALO Jan12 Dec31 Dec16 Nov29 Oct28 (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-2   01/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT-12:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW WAYS TO DREAM Jan03 Oct18 Oct06 Sep22 Aug29 (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 118 3.00 22% 3.60    
2  ZIP CODE ENVY Dec20 Dec09 Oct11 Sep04 Aug10 (campbell jo)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 4.00    
3  MISTY GALE Jan06 Dec20 Oct31 Sep20 Aug28 (falk jacquelin)MBATHA LUCKY 108 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  WIN DIXIE RONNIE Dec22 Oct13 Sep08 Aug13 Jul23 (carrascoj)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 2.00 39% 1.60    
5  HEARTBURN Jan06 Dec29 Oct17 Sep30 Sep06 (werneth r)RODRIGUEZ A 118 15.00    
6  FABULOUS CANDY Jan03 Dec20 Aug09 Jul13 May25 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 118 2.50 10% 9.30    
7  AMAZINGNESS Dec16 Dec09 Nov17 Oct31 Sep27 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 118 4.50    
 
TAM-3   01/28/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PANOTTI Nov19 Sep22 Sep09 Aug19 Jul27 (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 119 5.00    
SCR  HIGH VIBES Dec30 Dec13 Nov29 Aug31 Aug09 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 121 4.50    
SCR  CHARLOTTE THE BRIT Dec13 Nov29 Oct23 Oct04 Aug30 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 121 3.00    
4  SLIME QUEEN Dec30 Nov29 Jul30 Jun03 Apr21 (arriagada juan)CASTANON L 119 4.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  STARRY HOPE Dec15 Nov29 Sep09 Aug24 Jul27 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 20.00    
SCR  FALL MOON Dec13 Sep03 Aug24 Jul20 Jul09 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 15.00    
7  SING SCAT Jan03 Dec13 Nov29 Nov10 Oct14 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 119 8.00    
8  MOSLER'S IMAGE Nov04 Oct19 Sep02 Jul08 Jun10 (o'connell kathl)CENTENO E 119 5.00 27% 2.80    
9  ANGELAS PARTY GIRL Jan10 Dec22 Nov16 Nov04 Oct11 (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 112 20.00    
SCR  NICOLAR Dec13 Nov29 Nov17 Oct14 Sep17 (potts way)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 15.00    
 
TAM-4   01/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOP AND SCOTCH Dec24 Dec16 Dec01 Oct27 Oct14 (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 4.00    
2  CAMPTOWN RACES Jan17 Dec27 Dec16 Nov22 Oct02 (torres pa)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00    
3  NOTACATBUTACARD Jan14 Dec29 Dec13 Oct04 Sep05 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  ANOTHER DUKE Jan19 Dec15 Nov19 Nov03 Sep03 (simone michael )GOMEZ KEVIN 118 4.00 19% 4.20    
5  MR TITO'S Apr20 Mar25 Feb25 Jan21 Nov18 (vazquez m)TORRES R 118 2.50 53% 0.90    
6  AZTEC LEGEND Jan07 Sep19 Aug26 Aug06 Jul08 (wilson tony)IORIO MELISSA 111 8.00    
SCR  OLD TOWN ROAD Jan05 Nov22 Jul22 Jun25 May19 (garcia rodo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 3.00    
 
TAM-5   01/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 3 ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NOBLE WAVE Dec17 Nov11 Sep22 Aug06 Jul22 (weave)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 4.50    
2  ELEVATED GAME Dec15 Nov25 Sep30 Aug27   (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 118 3.00    
SCR  CROWNED JEWEL Dec31 Dec08 Nov09 Oct05 Sep05 (harty eoin)CASTANON L 118 2.50    
4  ALOHA MAN Jan03 Dec22 Oct27 Sep04   (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 10.00 17% 4.80    
5  THE HONEYMAN Dec27 Dec01 Nov18 Oct27 Oct11 (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 118 4.50 ★    
SCR  MIRACLE TRIP Jan10 Oct13 Sep01 Aug04 Jul15 (d'angelo f)CENTENO E 118 20.00    
SCR  JAILHOUSE JUSTICE Dec22 Nov14 Oct11 Sep08   (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00    
SCR  JUICY JUSTICE Oct28 Aug28 Aug16     (granitz antho)IORIO MELISSA 106 30.00    
9  LOVE THAT BIRD Jan14 Nov07 Oct09 Sep04 Aug18 (ferraro m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 20.00    
SCR  CODE ENFORCER Jan14 Dec29 Dec22 Nov22 Sep03 (sacco d)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 15.00    
11  REAL SENSATION Jan10 Dec27 Dec08 Oct14 Aug25 (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 2.00 27% 2.70    
 
TAM-6   01/28/2024 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOLLY'S ANGEL Jan07 Nov24 Sep09 Aug12 Jul29 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 3.50    
2  MIRANDA'S ROCKY Jan07 Dec15 Nov24 Oct04 Aug22 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  TIZ HERSELF Jan10 Dec16 Oct21 Sep14 Jul26 (rigattier)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 3.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  ELUSIVE AMELIA Jul29 Jun26 Jun02 Apr07 May01 (padilla tim)HIRALDO JOHN 119 8.00    
5  SOUL OF AN ANGEL Jan13 Dec03 Nov03 Sep29 Sep16 (james gerald)MORELOS E 119 2.00    
6  ADIOS BABY Dec23 Sep22 Aug27 May18 Apr14 (vinson g)FERRER C 119 5.00 13% 6.80    
 
TAM-7   01/28/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VAI GATTINA Jan05 Dec02 Nov12 Sep20   (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 20.00    
2  SOFSTER Dec23 Dec02 Oct25 Oct06 Sep21 (hayford )GALLARDO A 120 12.00    
3  COUNTRY ECONOMICS Jan17 Dec23 Dec08 Nov22 Oct28 (munoz car)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 20.00    
4  LIME TREE Jan20         (james gerald)MORELOS E 120 20.00    
5  SONADORA GIRL Nov19 Oct20 Sep22     (barboza vict)BATISTA A 120 2.50 34% 2.00    
6  SUMMER FLOWER Dec15 Dec02 Sep16 Aug27   (dini mike)SANCHEZ J 120 4.50 6% 14.70    
7  ALTHENA Jan17 Dec30 Dec15 Dec02 Oct14 (paragallo je)MENESES MARCOS 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  PURE MAGIC GIRL Jan20 Dec02 Oct07 Sep21   (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 5.00    
9  VERINA Jan03         (garcia rodolfo)CEDENO CAROL 120 12.00    
10  LETS GO KOKO Jan03 Dec16 Nov19 Oct01 Sep15 (miller c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
11  QUITE CONTINENTAL         (o'connor rober)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALMA PURA Jan05 Dec02       (agostini ar)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 8.00    
 
TAM-8   01/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASTRONAUT OSCAR Dec20 Jul20 Jun25 May27 May06 (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 5.00 22% 3.50    
2  LEAD OFF Jul19 Jun20 May28 May08 Mar07 (morales guill)FUENTES MARIO 119 12.00    
3  EVEN THUNDER Nov25 Nov02 Oct04 Sep13 Aug12 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  WELL CONNECTED Dec13 Oct17 Sep15 Aug12 Jul19 (march william)BUSH V 119 1.60 32% 2.10    
5  AWESOMEBROTHERBILL Jan17 Dec27 Nov25 Oct02 Sep10 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00    
6  WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW Jan05 Oct11 Sep25 Sep07 Sep01 (mendieta ale)MORELOS E 119 5.00    
7  ZAMFIR Aug04 Jul13 Feb08 Oct28 Oct01 (tsirigotis jam)ALLEN D 119 10.00 22% 3.60    
8  SIX WHIPS Jan07 Dec16 Oct25 Oct07 Jul15 (orantes yoni)ARROYO S 119 8.00    
 
TAM-9   01/28/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKYLANE Jan12 Dec27 Dec01 Nov18 Oct27 (campbell jo)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 5.00 19% 4.30    
2  INSPIRING HONOR Jan10 Nov24 Oct21     (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00    
3  LEGENDARY BEAST Dec08         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
4  MORNING EAGLE Dec22         (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00    
5  PEYTON'S DAY Jan10 Oct29 Oct08 Sep16   (rodriguez an)BATISTA A 120 3.50    
6  ICONIC ROCK Dec30         (minguet )GONZALEZ HENDERSON 120 5.00 19% 4.20    
7  D BUCKAROO Jan10 Dec13 Nov24     (jones dou)HERRERA R 120 20.00    
8  MAGNUS EFFECT         (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 15.00 12% 7.10    
9  NOBLE STAR Jan10 Dec22 Dec02 Nov04 Oct07 (dobber arnoud)FUENTES MARIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  IRON STREETS Jan10 Nov24 Aug10 Aug03   (cascal)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 20.00    
SCR  LAST RUN Jan19 Jan07 Dec17     (james gerald)MORELOS E 120 6.00    
SCR  CALL EM KARL Jan07 Dec06 Nov14 Oct24   (ryan s)BATISTA A 120 10.00    
SCR  DASH TO FINISH Jan19 Dec29 Dec20 Dec08 Oct07 (dobber ar)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.