Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - January 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/4)-(7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/4)-(6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4)-(6/3/4)-(7/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(7/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(7/6/2)-(6/5/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/2/5)-(7/6/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/2)-(6/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2)-(6/5/7)-(8/4/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/5/7/1)-(6/5/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/7)-(8/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7)-(8/4/6/7)-(6/9/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/6/7)-(8/4/6/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/6/7)-(8/4/6/7/9)-(8/4/6/7/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/4/6/7)-(6/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/6/7)-(6/9/3)-(4/5/3/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (6/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/3)-(6/4/9/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/9/3)-(6/4/9/3)-(6/4/9/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/9/3)-(4/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/9/3)-(4/5/3/6)-(9/1/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/3/6)-(9/1/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (9/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/4/7)-(9/1/4/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/1/4/7)-(9/1/4/3/7)-(9/1/4/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   01/05/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN COUSIN Dec02 Nov09 Sep14 Aug24 Jul12 (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00    
DING DING Dec02 Nov11 Oct25 Oct07 Jul14 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 122 2.50    
LIKELY CHOICE Dec02 Nov17 Oct26 Oct06 Sep15 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00    
CLEARLY VISIBLE Jun17 May27 May06 Apr15 Mar02 (clatterbuck f)BATISTA C 122 8.00 13% 6.80    
SEEMS TO WHISPER Dec07 Sep16 Aug26 Aug04 Jul07 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 4.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  CASTLE LIGHTS Nov30 Oct05 Sep21 Aug24 Jul28 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.50    
CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Dec02 Nov18 Nov08 Oct27 Oct14 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 117 4.50 36% 1.80    
 
CT-2   01/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANNY'S WINKSTER Nov30 Nov09 Sep28 Sep14 Aug17 (jones mic)BOCACHICA J 113 10.00    
RAGTIME RICHES Dec14 Nov30 Nov04 Oct12 Sep16 (barber donald )REYNOLDS C 122 2.50    
ALPHA WHISKEY Dec04 Nov18 Sep16 Aug03 Jul14 (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 14% 5.90    
FORTY STRIPES Jul28 Jun24 Jun03 May13 Apr08 (zook jeff )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 9% 10.40    
STAR ATTITUDE May28 May20 Apr29 Apr02 Mar19 (hillega)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00    
RIVER CROSROAD RVF Dec13 Nov04 Sep16 Sep09 Aug17 (runco c)CULLUM W 124 6.00 50% 1.00    
SPRITZER Dec13 Nov01 Oct25 Oct07 Sep01 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50    
 
CT-3   01/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CEDAR'S IMAGE Oct06 Sep15       (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 15.00    
  (by IMAGINING out of CEDAR'SGREATNOTION by GREAT NOTION)
FRIEND FURH REAL Dec15 Nov24 Oct12     (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 6.00 20% 4.00    
  (by FRIEND OR FOE out of I AM FURH REAL by FIBER SONDE)
LITTLEBOURBONGIRL Nov02         (grams tim)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 10.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of ROCK OF WINDSOR by WINDSOR CASTLE)
HERE'S A QUARTER Nov17 Jul06       (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of BATHSHUA by TIZ WONDERFUL)
QUEEN SABINE Dec15         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 5.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of JUNGLE DIAMOND by JUMP START)
ANOTHER FINE JUBA Nov24 Nov08 Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.60 22% 3.60    
  (by JUBA out of JACKY'S NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
SYMPTOMATIC Dec15 Nov24       (viands st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of IDEAL THOUGHTS by NOT FOR LOVE)
QUINN ELIA Oct27 Sep21 Aug31     (schian)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 12.00    
  (by KLIMT out of UNMISTAKABLE by MALIBU MOON)
 
CT-4   01/05/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLL ME OVER Dec12 Nov01 Oct20 Sep17 May06 (cuttino m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00    
SCR  SHAKIN IT BIG TIME Dec11 Nov22 Sep28 Sep07 Aug19 (shanley timothy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
HE ROLLS Dec15 Sep08 Aug26 Jul23 Jul13 (dove j)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 10.00    
MO EH HENNESSY Dec06 Nov15 Oct14 Sep29 Aug27 (brown kei)BOCACHICA J 115 8.00    
AIR KENNEY Dec13 Nov15 Oct27 Sep29 Aug13 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50 16% 5.20    
CAJUN FUN Dec02 Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 Aug26 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 122 1.40 28% 2.60    
GLORIOUS MAHOMES Dec02 Sep02 Aug11 Jul23 Jul02 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00 14% 6.20    
PERSONAL FINANCE Dec14 Nov30 Nov15 Oct19 Oct06 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
 
CT-5   01/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BONNIE BLUETOOTH Dec01 Nov10 Oct27 Oct05 Sep14 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00    
HOLMDEL PARK Nov30 Oct23 Sep12 Aug15 Jul17 (hillegass alexandr)CULLUM W 122 20.00    
MISS WILD Dec15 Nov10 Oct19 Oct07 Sep29 (schott)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 20.00    
MIND YOUR OWN Dec08 Nov22 Oct25 Oct12 Sep21 (racanelli)BOCACHICA J 115 5.00 23% 3.30    
SO RED THE ROSE Dec15 Nov30 Oct19 Oct07 Sep29 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00    
EXPRESS LADY Oct27 Sep06 Jul12 Jun24 Jun07 (reynolds a)HO WESLEY 122 4.50 9% 10.00    
SCR  PANGEA Aug27 Jul30 Jun25 Jun11 May16 (cornwel)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 12.00 7% 12.40    
REVEIRS MINUTE Nov11 Oct24 Oct14 Sep08 Aug19 (hess jacob)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.80 35% 1.90    
DORITA'S HEART Dec09 Nov10 Oct25 Apr28 Mar24 (keller christop)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
 
CT-6   01/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Dec23 Dec15 Dec02 Nov02 Oct18 (peltroche vane)CHILO MAXIMO 120 20.00    
SCR  BETCHA BY GOLLY Dec07 Nov16 Oct06 Sep16 Sep04 (andreadakis g)SIMPSON JASON 122 4.00    
TIMEISGOLDEN Nov18 Oct24 Aug31 Jul29 May09 (cornwell jame)RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
FLAT DISCOUNT Dec12 Dec03 Nov18 Nov08 Oct20 (ginter ra)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
A LITTLE BIT CRAZY Dec07 Nov16 Oct05 Sep16 Aug19 (viands r)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00    
DIVINE FASHION Dec30 Dec07 Nov16 Oct14 Oct06 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.40 66% 0.50    
UNCAPTURED RUBY Dec16 Dec02 Nov16 Oct20 Jun23 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 122 5.00    
SHERIFF'S KID Dec07 Nov17 Oct26 Oct06 Sep14 (shanley mark)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 15.00    
BABY MAN Dec01 Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jun10 (jones royland)CHILO JACINTO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   01/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3 ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. DUMBLEDORE Nov24 Nov02 Oct13     (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 5.00    
ROBBIELIKESHIM Dec14 Nov25 Nov03 Oct13   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 10.00    
DORADO Dec14 Sep29 Sep01     (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 4.00 12% 7.30    
PAPA LINGUINE Dec15         (johnson jam)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 28% 2.50    
GRANDY Oct14 Sep29 Aug11     (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 2.00 22% 3.60    
AIM FOR THE CORK Dec16         (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 15.00 12% 7.30    
POWERED BY LOVE Dec14 Nov16 Oct14 Sep29 Jul21 (grams tim)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 118 12.00    
CANDY FOR JUBA Nov25 Oct12 Sep16 Aug11 Jul21 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
 
CT-8   01/05/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARYA CHARMING Nov16 Oct27 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 (wilhelm tabitha)RODRIGUEZ V 124 1.60 7% 13.80    
NOVEMBER IMPERIUM Dec06         (cornwell )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 20.00    
JUBA'S MOCHA Dec13 Dec06 Nov11 Nov03 Sep30 (brown a)CHILO MAXIMO 122 6.00    
BOUNDTONOONE Dec16 Jun30       (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 15.00 5% 17.30    
JUBA'S YANKEE ONE Dec06 Nov08 Oct19 Sep28 Sep07 (racanelli)BOCACHICA J 115 30.00    
SCR  MALEKES MAGIC Jul22         (straugh)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 15.00    
TIME TO SNOOZE Dec16         (petty )ARAUJO VICENTE 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GETTIN SPICY Dec06 Nov30 Nov16 Nov08 Nov01 (boykins kevin)ADAMS L 117 30.00    
METALLIC CAT Dec06 Nov16 Oct25 Sep07 Aug17 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.40 64% 0.60    
10  VIESTE Dec02 Nov24 Nov01 Oct20 Oct06 (tobin l)LOPEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00    
SCR  GAMBLING FEVER Dec13 Nov10 Oct20 Jul20 Jul06 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.