Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - December 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(3/2)-(1/5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/7/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(1/5/2)-(7/1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-3   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(7/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(7/1/4)-(2/3/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/4)-(7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/4)-(2/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4)-(2/3/7)-(8/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/7)-(2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/7)-(8/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7)-(8/3/1)-(1/5/8/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (8/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/1)-(8/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/3/1)-(8/3/1)-(8/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/3/1)-(1/5/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/1)-(1/5/8/4)-(3/10/8/7/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/5/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/8/4)-(1/5/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/8/4)-(1/5/8/4)-(1/5/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/8/4)-(3/10/8/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/10/8/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/8/7/4)-(3/10/8/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/8/7/4)-(3/10/8/7/4)-(3/10/8/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   12/06/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 2 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRIT ON THE WIND Oct12         (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00    
2  SWIPE THAT CANDY Nov02         (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SOMESUGARNSPICE Nov08 Oct27 Oct06 Aug10 Jul20 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 3.00    
4  POUR ME A DRINK Nov17 Nov02       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
5  WAY OF APPEAL Nov08 Oct12 Sep15 Aug31   (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00    
6  THETA Nov08         (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.20 47% 1.10    
 
CT-2   12/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARGENT KOBE Nov15 Oct25 Sep14 Sep01 Aug19 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.00    
2  EISELE Nov15 Oct21 Sep30 Sep14 Jul13 (hummer richa)BATISTA A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SENATOR KELLY Nov10 Oct26 Sep22 Jul10 Feb24 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 1.80 66% 0.50    
4  SPECTACULO Oct25 Sep30 Sep15 Aug18 Jul13 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 20.00    
5  GET OFF MY CLOUD Nov11 Oct25 Oct07 Sep07 Aug03 (adorno je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 5.00    
6  NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE Nov22 Oct25 Oct12 Sep29 Aug24 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.50    
7  FELICIAS CASTLE Oct25 Oct07 Sep15 Jul06 Jun30 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 ★    
 
CT-3   12/06/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER JO         (morris r)ARAUJO DENIS 122 8.00 26% 2.90    
2  IPNOPS         (yovanovich dona)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00 9% 10.20    
3  STOOPS SINE DIE Oct04 Sep14 Jun24     (comi w)PELTROCHE F 122 4.50    
4  SOUTHERN SAINT Nov15 Nov02       (fulmer allison)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00    
5  GLASTONBURY Nov15 Oct26 Sep01 Apr21 Mar23 (roadcap j)HERNANDEZ F 124 3.50 26% 2.90    
6  COMO ESTAS Oct27 Oct13 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 (comi ralph)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00    
7  MO EH HENNESSY Nov15 Oct14 Sep29 Aug27 Aug05 (brown kei)BOCACHICA J 113 1.80    
 
CT-4   12/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO FOOLING DUDE Nov09 Oct21 Sep14 Aug17 Jul20 (stahlin john)PELTROCHE F 122 4.50 17% 5.00    
2  TAPPIN ROYALTY Jul25 May14 Oct09 Sep27 Aug23 (cuttino m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.80    
3  SKILLFUL Nov02 Sep27 Sep11 Jul12 Jul04 (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
4  MACY'S BOY Nov24 Nov09 Apr21 Feb17 Feb02 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 122 10.00 8% 10.90    
5  ENVISION SUCCESS Jul14 Aug18 Jul28 May26 Mar24 (hummer richa)BATISTA A 122 20.00    
6  MAKE WAY Nov22 Nov01 Oct12 Sep21 Aug26 (barber donald)ADAMS L 115 15.00    
7  MOON OVER MONTANA Nov22 Nov01 Oct21 Sep21 Sep14 (jones mic)BOCACHICA J 115 1.20 49% 1.10    
 
CT-5   12/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLOBAL EMPRESS Nov09 Oct21 May19 Apr21 Jan19 (couchenour lee)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
2  APPEALING ROAD Nov09 Oct26 Oct07 Sep16 Aug19 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.20 34% 2.00    
3  ELLIES AT WINDSOR Nov09 Oct07 Sep16 Aug24 Aug11 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 3.00 20% 4.10    
4  LADY SPARROW Nov09 Oct07 Aug26 Aug04 Jan20 (conn p)MAWING A 122 30.00    
5  DIVA ROSE Nov08 Sep16 Aug05 Jul20 Jun13 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122 6.00    
6  PETTYFORURTHOUGHTS Nov15 Oct26 Oct09 Sep16 Aug19 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 4.00    
7  JACKYSINTHECASTLE Nov09 Oct26 Sep30 Sep16 Aug26 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 120 8.00 11% 8.10    
 
CT-6   12/06/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUBURN MILL Nov22 Nov08 Oct28 Oct18 Sep29 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 15% 5.60    
2  REY O REYES Nov18 Nov01 Sep15 Aug18 Jul21 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.00    
3  BUFF'S EYE VIEW Nov04 Oct14 Sep09 Aug19 May13 (walters davi)BATISTA A 120 4.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Nov22 Oct18 Sep29 Sep16 Aug31 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00    
SCR  SPUNMAN Nov06 Oct06 Aug04 Jun23 May12 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00    
6  MASTER THIS Oct21 Sep30 Sep09 Aug18 Jul07 (murdock stephen)MAWING A 120 15.00    
7  KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Nov18 Nov01 Oct18 Sep16 Aug26 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
8  CANDY INVASION Nov18 Oct14 Sep21 Aug25 Jul05 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 1.60 38% 1.60    
 
CT-7   12/06/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLACK PANDA Oct25 Oct05 Sep08 Aug18 Jul07 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 23% 3.40    
2  CEDAR'S WISH Oct25 Sep15 Aug26 Jul27 Jul06 (grams timothy )ARAUJO DENIS 120 3.00    
3  PHANTOM QUEEN Nov10 Oct19 Aug25 Jul22 Jul01 (greaves v)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00    
4  ONLY KIDDING Nov15 Nov03 Jul16 Jun15 Apr20 (jones e)HO WESLEY 120 20.00 14% 6.20    
5  KEEP ON SPURRIN Nov08 Sep07 Aug19 Jul29 Jul06 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50 18% 4.60    
6  AMERICAN BOUND Oct25 Sep12 Aug30 Aug01 Jun22 (cuttino mari)WHITACRE GRANT 120 12.00    
7  WITNESS THE ENERGY Oct26 Jun02 May14 Apr29 Feb18 (lucas ant)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00    
8  RUNNING FREE Oct25 Sep29 Aug26 Aug18 Jul27 (boyce bri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 5.00 16% 5.40    
9  HONEY BELLA Nov15 Sep30 Sep16 Sep03 Aug06 (joy j)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 4.50    
 
CT-8   12/06/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARTERED COURSE Nov24 Nov08 Oct20 Sep07 Aug17 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 124 20.00    
2  JUBA'S YANKEE ONE Nov08 Oct19 Sep28 Sep07 Aug17 (racanelli)BOCACHICA J 115 15.00    
3  METALLIC CAT Nov16 Oct25 Sep07 Aug17 Aug03 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 4.00 30% 2.30    
4  LITTLE RICHIE Sep30 Sep08 Jul01 Jun03 May13 (gur battu)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  GETTIN SPICY Nov30 Nov16 Nov08 Nov01 Sep30 (boykins kevin)ADAMS L 114 15.00    
6  JUBA'S MOCHA Nov11 Nov03 Sep30 Sep09 Aug17 (brown a)CHILO MAXIMO 121 5.00    
7  NOVEMBER IMPERIUM         (cornwell james )RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  DOG TOWN ALLEN Nov08 Oct19 Sep28 Sep08 Sep01 (harrison gle)MARRERO CARLOS 121 2.50 20% 4.00    
9  SENZA STRIKE Nov08 Sep07 Jun16 Jun01 Apr27 (stehr joseph)MORALES KELVIN 121 30.00    
10  LAST PARTY Nov08 Sep30 Sep08 Jul28 Jul20 (armstrong busanda)HO WESLEY 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.