Handicappers' Racing Form

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Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - October 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MNR-1   Win (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MNR-2   Win (8/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MNR-3   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MNR-4   Win (10/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MNR-5   Win (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MNR-6   Win (2/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MNR-7   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MNR-8   Win (3/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
MNR-1   10/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NURSE KATIE Sep27 Sep04 Aug16 Jul05 Jun19 (gilbert a)VEGA L 123 15.00    
VICTOR STORY Oct02 Sep14 Aug22 Jun19 May17 (jensen p)JURADO EDDIE 123 3.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  SOUTHERNPERFECTION Aug01         (meals lo)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00    
SMOOKIE Sep15 Aug26 Aug16     (knowles lucinda)NELSON TYRONE 123 20.00    
SUGAR BRITCHES Oct02 Sep19 Aug29 Aug15 Jul10 (witherow j)CCAMAQUE M 123 3.00    
BELLA BASORA Oct04 Sep19 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 (gotera car)CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.50 29% 2.40    
DEVILISH MAGIC Sep19 Sep20 Aug15 Jul06 Jun08 (uelmen jason)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 2.00 29% 2.50    
 
MNR-2   10/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE REIGN SONG Sep23 Aug24 Jul28 Jul04 May29 (silva jua)BRAVO MISAEL 111 3.50    
MASKED HEROINE Sep22 Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 Jul12 (martinez joseph)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.50 14% 6.10    
POLITICAL ASTRAY Sep24 Sep04 Aug28 Aug08 Jul25 (langley wilson )CEDILLO MAURO 120 10.00    
IRON BERTIE Oct01 Sep19 Aug30 Jul26 Jul16 (fiesman robert)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00    
BRODY'S JESSICA Sep26 Aug30 Aug08 Jul24 Jul02 (blankenship dona)JURADO EDDIE 120 5.00 24% 3.20    
TEXAS DANA Sep26 Aug30 Aug15 Jul16 Jun17 (robillar)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 6.00 6% 16.40    
PEARLINTHEROUGH Sep20 Jun21 Apr30 Apr07 Mar05 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 120 8.00    
ANNA VOLANTE Sep24 Sep09 Aug19 Jul04 Jun07 (silv)DA FAUSTO 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
TORIANNE Sep24 Sep05 Jul25 Jul11 Dec04 (tucker ji)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 50.00    
 
MNR-3   10/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIRO KATE Oct09 Sep25 Sep03 Aug23 Jul11 (langley c)YARANGA Y 123 1.60    
DEL MAR FLASH Sep25 Sep06 Aug16 Aug08 Jul25 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 1.80 31% 2.20    
STRADARI Sep12 Aug23 Aug07 Jul24 Jun18 (mcdonald willia)CEDILLO MAURO 118 6.00 18% 4.50    
UNTOUCHED ELEGANCE Sep24 Aug07 Jul23 Jun27 Jun13 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 123 3.50 18% 4.40    
BRYCE'S PHILLY Oct09 Apr08 Mar23 Mar04 Jan03 (martinez)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 30.00    
SCR  CANELITA Sep13 Aug15 Aug07 Jul31 Jul11 (bernardin)BRAVO MISAEL 116 15.00    
DONYA'S MAGIC Oct04 Sep11 Aug27 Jul19 Jul09 (poole c)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 15.00    
 
MNR-4   10/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALLAZO         (stanoszek sara)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
SPY TOWN Oct06 Sep04 Aug28 Aug08 Jul10 (meals lois)CEDILLO MAURO 113 5.00    
SCR  ISLAND CURRENCY Sep16 Sep09 Jun15 May11 Dec21 (rhoden carlto)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 15.00    
SCR  HICKORY BILL Sep14 Aug30 Aug16 Aug03 Jul22 (rodak geraldine)PAUCAR E 123 10.00    
JACK D Sep19 Sep06 Aug09 Jun10 Jun01 (bland greg)VIGIL NOEL 123 4.50    
CALIFORNIA EMERALD Oct08 Aug28 Aug02 Jul26 Jul16 (sipp k)LEON A 118 30.00    
GIZMO'S MISSION Oct09 Sep21 Sep06 Aug11 Jul21 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 118 2.00    
CAB BEEF Sep17         (barbaran horaci)BARBARAN ERIK 123 20.00    
CIRCLE INDY Sep05 Aug21 Nov17 Sep15 Aug25 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 8.00 26% 2.80    
10  MY SONG BABY Sep24 Sep11 Aug15 Aug08 Jul21 (robillar)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.50 45% 1.20    
 
MNR-5   10/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHYLA GIRL Jun13 Oct27 Sep12 Aug15 Aug03 (udall lori)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 30.00    
LIGHTNIN RUNNER Sep30 Aug25 Jul29 Jul11 Jun03 (brown w)CEDILLO MAURO 116 0.40 36% 1.80    
I'VE BEEN THINKIN Sep16 Jul21 Jul07 Jun20 May07 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 10.00    
IN TO THE NIGHT Sep24 Sep12 Aug29 Aug16 Jul25 (shuler r)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 8.00 14% 5.90    
SCR  THIS ONE CAN RUN Sep25 Sep13 Jul20 Jul01   (robillar)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 12.00    
VINEGAR VEGGIES Sep12 Aug16 Jul13 Jun20 Mar30 (mcentee paul)BRACHO A 120 10.00    
MISS SHADY Sep24 Sep11 Aug27 Aug01 Jul11 (silva jon)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 6.00 29% 2.40    
FOREST ACCLAMATION Jul12 Jun11 May21 May02 Apr19 (fearon johnatho)NELSON TYRONE 118 50.00    
 
MNR-6   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WELL CONNECTED Sep15 Aug12 Jul19 Jun14 Apr15 (march william)BUSH V 120 1.20    
BOLD ADVENTURE Sep24 Sep06 Aug13 Jul13 Jun17 (loveland del)LEON A 123 5.00 25% 3.00    
CATES SWOOSH Sep27 Sep12 Sep03 Aug09 Jul24 (cain crystal)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00    
SILENT TIGER Sep24 Sep06 Dec06 Nov21 Jul20 (fairman shawn)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 8.00 7% 12.50    
BROTHER SKYE Sep24 Sep07 Aug22 Aug03 Jul17 (langley c)YARANGA Y 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
JOSHY JAK Sep24 Jul11 Jun19 Jun05 Mar02 (logston )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 15.00    
FRONTLINER Sep06 Jul03 Jun05 May08 Mar02 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 115 8.00 14% 6.00    
PALACE PRINCE Sep18 Aug23 Aug09 Jul23 Jul17 (silva pablo)PAUCAR E 120 10.00    
 
MNR-7   10/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOV LANE Sep26 Aug29 Aug16 Jul19 Jun16 (demczyk virgi)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
REACHING STRIDE Oct01 Sep06 Aug17 Aug04 Jul12 (morzan javier)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 6.00    
FIRST IMPRESSION Sep26 Sep12 Aug30 Aug20 Jun13 (logston christ)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 4.00 7% 13.90    
CARLY'S FLIGHT Oct04 Sep07 Aug09 Jul26 Jul07 (rodak geraldine)CCAMAQUE M 120 15.00    
HIGH DOLLAR DATE Oct01 Sep11 Aug21 Aug08 Jul11 (langley c)YARANGA Y 123 2.00 27% 2.70    
CHICA CHULA Oct03 Sep18 Aug26 Aug09 Jul27 (calvo kelsie)DIAZ R 121 3.50    
 
MNR-8   10/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHECK SIX Oct04 Sep24 Sep06 Aug09 Aug01 (blankenship dona)JURADO EDDIE 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
YESTERDAYSPLAN Sep24 Sep11 Aug14 Jul11 Jun18 (logston christo)NELSON TYRONE 123 12.00 6% 15.30    
TEAM HOT LINE Oct04 Sep24 Aug30 Aug07 Jul11 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 1.40 43% 1.30    
DIXIE'S DANCE Oct04 Sep11 Aug21 Jul30 Jul12 (witherow j)VIGIL NOEL 123 8.00    
MOTHERWELL Oct04 Sep24 Sep06 Aug28 Aug08 (rivera xavier)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 4.00 30% 2.40    
SUNDRENCHED Oct04 Aug22 Jun27 Dec22 Dec05 (connelly)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00    
ESTA CALIENTE Sep24 Sep10 Aug14 Jul09 Jun25 (sanders melinda)LEON A 123 20.00    
KIKI'S LULU ROSE Aug06 Jul23 Oct19 Oct10 Sep28 (mcgaffic grego)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 50.00    
ABIGAIL G Oct07 Sep23 Sep07 Aug18 Aug04 (rodak geraldine)PAUCAR E 123 8.00    
SCR  ANCIENT BROWN Oct03 Sep16 Aug23 Jul21 Jul10 (donjuan sergio)CEDILLO MAURO 118 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.