Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Grants Pass
Monday - October 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GRP-1   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-2   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GRP-4   WIN (9/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/3/5)-(9/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GRP-6   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
GRP-8   WIN (3/7/8/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/8/1/5)-(3/7/8/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
GRP-9   WIN (9/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/1/5)-(9/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GRP-10   WIN (8/1/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/10)-(8/1/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-11   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GRP-1   10/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FULLY LOADED Sep25 Aug18 Aug04 Jul23 Jul02 (stillw)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 2.50    
2  HASHTAG BAE Oct01 Sep18 Sep04 Aug12 Aug09 (hoover cindy)SMITH E 126 8.00 29% 2.40    
3  PRINCE OF LUCK Sep24 Sep02 Aug19 Aug05 Jul23 (freeman )MURO ISIDRO 126 3.00    
4  STANLEY RYDER Sep18 Sep04 Aug26 Aug19 Jul04 (beckner ter)GUERRERO C 126 6.00    
5  HARROVIAN Sep10 Aug11 Jun17 May02 Apr11 (raley scott)LOPEZ E 126 8.00 10% 8.80    
6  HYDROGEN Oct01 Aug26 Aug12 Jul30 Jul02 (lowe nick)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 4.00    
7  ZOE'S PAPA CEE Sep25 Sep10 Aug26 Aug20 Aug11 (bumgard)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 5.00 30% 2.30    
 
GRP-2   10/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RESERVOIR Oct02 Sep17 Aug06 Jul16 Jul01 (baze rob)MURO ISIDRO 123 2.50 64% 0.60    
2  SEVENTH HOUSE Oct02 Sep09 Aug20 Aug06 Jul09 (williams gabr)LOPEZ E 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  DONTFORGETHESUGAR Oct02 Sep17 Sep09 Aug25 Jul21 (hof d)GUERRERO C 123 10.00    
4  AMANDA'S BEACH BOY Oct02 Sep11 Aug26 Aug09   (pollard el)CRUZ DIAZ 126 10.00    
5  TOO TALL TO CALL Jul13 Sep09 Aug26 Aug13 Jul30 (maelfey)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 15.00    
6  CABALLERANGO Oct01 Sep25 Sep10 Aug19 Aug11 (marque)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 6.00    
7  LIVE A GOOD LIFE Sep25 Sep04 Aug26 Aug19 Jul04 (hof d)SMITH E 126 3.50 15% 5.80    
SCR  LET GEORGE DO IT Oct02 Sep18 Sep10 Sep04 Aug19 (perez sergio)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 4.50    
9  WEGOTBEERONICE Sep25 Sep16 Aug27 Aug11 Jul07 (baze robert)ANAYA V 124 15.00 ★    
 
GRP-4   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEAN SHARON Sep25 Sep09 Aug27 Aug13 Aug05 (silva-martin)SMITH E 126 8.00    
2  WARREN'S MEMORABLE Sep17 Aug25 Aug04 Jul21 Jul03 (silva-ma)MURO ISIDRO 126 4.00    
3  LADY BRETT Oct02 Sep17 Aug27 Aug04 Jul21 (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 126 6.00 14% 6.10    
4  DANIELLE'S SECRET Sep25 Sep10 Aug25 Aug13 Jul21 (lawrence hea)CONTRERAS CRUZ 124 20.00    
5  MY LITE NITE Sep25 Sep17 Sep03 Aug25 Aug09 (hof d)LOPEZ E 126 20.00 6% 16.20    
6  CHIEFS LIL PEARL Sep25 Sep10 Aug09 Jun18 Aug27 (boyle )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.50 21% 3.70    
7  MIDNIGHT SYMPHONY Sep25 Sep11 Aug26 Aug20 Jul04 (beckner ter)GUERRERO C 126 10.00    
SCR  MOSCOW LADY Oct02 Sep25 Sep09 Aug25 Aug11 (morris mic)CRUZ DIAZ 126 15.00    
9  RODEO ROSE Oct01 Sep17 Aug27 Aug04 Jul21 (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 126 3.00 39% 1.60    
10  TEASPOON OF PEPPER Oct01 Sep17 Jul04 Jun18 Oct15 (maelfey)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 12.00    
 
GRP-6   10/09/2023 8910ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BENNY THE JET Oct01 Aug25 Aug05 Jul14 Jun24 (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 126 3.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  SYNC Oct01 Sep17 Aug27 Aug20 Jul28 (bumgard)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 10.00    
SCR  SPIRE Oct01 Sep10 Aug25 Aug06 Jul28 (baze robert)SMITH E 126 4.00    
4  SPROSTON Oct01 Sep16 Jul30 Jul09 Jul02 (nunnally jen)NUNNALLY BLAKE 121 4.50    
5  HEY SEQUOIA Oct01 Sep16 Sep03 Aug19 Jul30 (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 126 1.60 51% 1.00    
SCR  CORAZON DE LUCIA Oct01 Sep10 Aug27 Aug20 Jun18 (guerrero em)GUERRERO C 124 6.00    
 
GRP-8   10/09/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Grants Pass Mile Purse ($23.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL ALTO HOMBRE Sep03 Aug20 Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 (kowalski)MURO ISIDRO 126 3.00 11% 8.40    
  (by ARCHARCHARCH out of CAPITOL E by EDDINGTON)
2  PULPITS POWER Oct01 Sep04 Aug25 Aug20 Aug12 (stillwell tuc)LOPEZ E 126 10.00    
  (by WAR POWER out of PARKER'S JEWEL by PARKER'S STORM CAT)
3  FANTASTIC DAY Sep04 Aug20 Aug11 Jul29 May20 (rosales)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 8.00 30% 2.30    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of INDESCRIBABLE by PLEASANT TAP)
4  EXECUTIVE ACTION Oct01 Sep16 Sep03 Aug19 Jul29 (silva-martin)SMITH E 126 8.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of LADY CHAIRMAN by SOCIETY'S CHAIRMAN)
5  D K'S CROWN Oct01 Sep18 Sep02 Aug06 Jul23 (silva-marti)GUERRERO C 126 15.00 10% 8.50    
  (by DOMINUS out of DESI GIRL by SILVER TRAIN)
6  MASHHAD FLATS Oct01 Sep11 Aug27 Aug13 Aug03 (cantrell mar)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 12.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of SHADOW THROWER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  EXCLUSIVE SPEAKER Sep17 Aug13 Jul23 Jul02 Jun23 (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 126 4.50 14% 6.40    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of TEMUKA by QUALITY ROAD)
8  YOU'RE THE CAUSE Sep03 Aug13 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 (van debb)ENRIQUEZ D 126 2.50 12% 7.10    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of TIZ ATLANTIS by TIZNOW)
9  TRUE FRIEND Sep11 Aug19 Aug11 Jun25 Jan11 (abraha)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 123 20.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of MISS DRAKE by AFLEET ALEX)
10  LUCKY CODE Aug27 Aug04 Jul02 Jun11   (freeman sc)CRUZ DIAZ 124 15.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of LUCKY NANCY E. by DISCO RICO)
 
GRP-9   10/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPORTS FOR WOMEN Sep17 Aug12 Aug09 Jul04 Jun17 (lyons k)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 12.00 10% 9.30    
2  MADAME CAUSEWAY Oct01 Jul22       (lyons kendra)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 3.00 30% 2.40    
3  FLY PATTI FLY Oct02 Sep17 Sep03 Aug12 Aug09 (lawrence h)CRUZ DIAZ 124 10.00    
4  ASTOUNDING ABBY Sep18 Sep03 Jul04 Jul14 Jul04 (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 20.00    
5  HEAVENS TO BETSY Sep18 Sep03 Aug26 Aug18   (kowals)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 8.00 6% 15.80    
6  ZEVA DEE Sep25 Sep03 Aug09 Jul28 Jul14 (silva-ma)MURO ISIDRO 124 4.00    
7  LILY PAD LAKE Sep17 Aug25 Aug18 Aug10 Jun24 (mcdevitt tiff)LOPEZ E 124 6.00    
SCR  JUST PIN ME Oct01         (bozell alan)ANAYA V 126 20.00    
9  MISCHIEF MAME Sep25 Sep11 Aug09 Jul08 Jun11 (harris john)SMITH E 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
GRP-10   10/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT-11:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ST PATRICKS SWORD Oct02 Apr11 Mar14 Dec08 Dec01 (pollard eli)LOPEZ E 126 4.00 15% 5.80    
  (by SONG OF THE SWORD out of SHRINKY DINK by MAMBO KING)
SCR  MY YVONNE Sep16 Jul07 Jun23 May13 Nov27 (nunnally jen)NUNNALLY BLAKE 118 8.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of HONG KONG LAKE by FRIENDS LAKE)
3  SMOKENSILVER Sep17 Sep04 Aug19     (beckner )MURO ISIDRO 124 8.00    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of WILLAPA by GAME PLAN)
4  GOTHAM'S FINALE Oct02 Sep16       (lawrence hea)CONTRERAS CRUZ 124 10.00    
  (by GOTHAM CITY out of ROXIE HART by DEERHOUND)
5  MAFIA MAN Sep09 Aug26 Jun10 May19   (guerrero em)GUERRERO C 124 3.00    
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of LA NEZ by STORM CREEK)
6  IKE BUTTE Jul02 Jul09 Jun18 Jan23   (cantrel)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 20.00    
  (by GIACOMO out of ADAPTABILITY by EDDINGTON)
SCR  RED MEMORYS Oct02 Sep17       (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 124 15.00    
  (by JAKE LA GOLD out of TIME FOR A MEMORY by TIME TO GET EVEN)
8  ELUSIVE GOLD Oct02 Sep17 Aug27 Aug05   (bozell alan)ANAYA V 126 3.50 39% 1.60    
  (by LINCHPIN out of COCONUT CREAM by TOUCH GOLD)
SCR  BELLAREIGN Oct01         (bozell alan)SMITH E 123 12.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of ATTA GIRL PEARL by ATTA BOY ROY)
10  WORK YOUR MAGIC Oct02         (magallanes)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO 124 10.00 14% 6.40    
  (by PONTIFF out of TIFF TIVY TIFF by TIFFANY ICE)
 
GRP-11   10/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHANTOMS BOOK Sep25 Aug27 Aug19 Aug09 Jun24 (mcdevi)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.50 12% 7.50    
2  SHESALILRUNAWAY Aug18 Aug10 Jul09 Jul01 Jun11 (harris )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 3.50    
3  SHERRYS BABY Oct02 Sep11 Jun25 Jun10 Dec07 (lopez s)LOPEZ E 126 8.00 19% 4.40    
4  TED'S CANDY GIRL Oct02 Sep17 Sep03 Aug12 Aug04 (nunnally jen)NUNNALLY BLAKE 121 10.00    
SCR  R HAPPY PLACE Sep25 Sep03 Aug09 Jul12 Jun10 (lawrence hea)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 4.00    
6  SENSATIONAL CITY Sep03 Aug12 Aug10 Jul01 Jun17 (lyons kend)CRUZ DIAZ 126 3.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  ARCTIC FIRE Oct02 Sep11 Aug25 Aug11 Jun17 (hurley denn)GUERRERO C 126 6.00    
8  UNBRIDLED BIRDIE Sep25 Aug09 Jul12 Jul01 Jun24 (goode cr)MURO ISIDRO 126 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.