Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Horseshoe Indianapolis
Wednesday - September 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
IND-1   WIN (5/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/1)-(5/7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/1)-(5/7/2/1)-(5/7/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/1)-(2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/1)-(2/3/6)-(2/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-2   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(2/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(2/7/4)-(5/10/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
IND-3   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/4)-(5/10/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4)-(5/10/4)-(5/9/6/10/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
IND-4   WIN (5/10/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/10/4)-(5/10/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/10/4)-(5/10/6/4)-(5/10/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/10/4)-(5/9/6/10/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/10/4)-(5/9/6/10/1)-(1/12/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
IND-5   WIN (5/9/6/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/6/10/1)-(5/9/6/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/6/10/1)-(5/9/6/10/1)-(5/9/6/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/6/10/1)-(1/12/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/9/6/10/1)-(1/12/3)-(1/3/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
IND-6   WIN (1/12/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/12/3)-(1/12/3/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/12/3)-(1/12/3/8/10)-(1/12/3/8/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/12/3)-(1/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/12/3)-(1/3/7)-(1/6/14/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-7   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/7)-(1/6/14/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
IND-8   WIN (1/6/14/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/14/11)-(1/6/14/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/14/11)-(1/6/14/11)-(1/6/14/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
IND-1   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUDDEN SHIFT Jul25 May24 May08 Apr18 Nov23 (gorham m)PEREZ E 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  BAREFOOTBOOTLEGGER Aug02 Jul05 Jun18 Jun04 May04 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 12.00 5% 18.90    
3  GUARD May16 Jan15 Dec11 Nov23 Nov08 (lauer michae)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 10.00    
4  SACRED SKY Aug10 Jun01 Apr18 Nov21 Nov09 (egglest)DE CRUZ 119 15.00    
5  METALLIC MAN Sep08 Aug17 Jun24 May31 May10 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 1.80 44% 1.30    
6  IDEA MAN Sep03 Aug16 Aug02 Jul05 Jun18 (meraz ant)BERMUDEZ E 122 4.00    
7  FLOWERPECKER Aug22 Aug10 Jul15 Jun22 May06 (cunningham )BURNHAM MATILDA 115 3.00 27% 2.70    
8  SHIPSHAPE Sep11 Aug22 Aug10 Jul12 Jun22 (medina tomas)PRESCOTT R 122 8.00    
 
IND-2   09/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE RANUP THE AMEX Aug11 Jul18 Jun27 May03 Feb08 (fontenot da)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 20.00    
2  FREDERICIA Aug22 Jul18 Jul03 Jun06 May16 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 1.20 50% 1.00    
3  HAPPY SAILS Aug05 Jul06 Jun20 May31 May23 (silva carlos)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 2.50 16% 5.40    
4  DALTON'S LOVE Aug22 Jul18 Jun27 May31 May09 (greenhill)BERMUDEZ E 122 4.50    
5  NEW YEAR'S DELIGHT Aug05 Jul18 Jun27 May29 Oct12 (fonten)BAILON JADHIR 119 30.00    
6  WICKED ECSTASY Aug22 Jul20 Jul06 Jun06 Jan03 (medina toma)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 6.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  WITH CAUSE Aug22 Dec21 Nov16 Oct17 Sep22 (rechy chaz)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00    
 
IND-3   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWBOY IMAGE Jul18 Jul08 Jun17 May29 May15 (luce nichole)COURT K 118 15.00    
2  GOOD FOREVER Sep06 Aug09 Jul19 Jun21 May17 (garcia )DE CRUZ 118 1.80 41% 1.40    
SCR  FORWHOMTHEBELLTOLL Sep06 Aug01 Jul15 Jun21 May24 (fosdick steve)LEAHEY HANNAH 122 12.00    
4  BUTCH'S BEST Aug23 Aug03 Jul08 Jun15 May17 (ortiz john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 120 8.00 12% 7.30    
5  C. J'S STORM Sep06 Aug03 Jun13 Jun01 May17 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 5.00    
6  SPOTONJUSTICE Sep06 Aug09 Jul08 Jun21 May17 (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 118 4.50    
7  WIRE THE CASH Aug23 Aug01 Jul19 Jul03 May24 (glyshaw tim)MOJICA O 122 3.50 24% 3.10    
8  NO PROOF Oct29 Oct13 Sep20 Aug30 Jul09 (schultz joh)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 20.00    
 
IND-4   09/20/2023 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEUCADIA Aug31         (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of THEONEWEWAITEDFOR by CREATIVE CAUSE)
2  NATIVITY Aug10         (drury jr)PRESCOTT R 120 12.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of FASHION WEEK by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  MARGARET'S LADY Aug23 Aug02       (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 20.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of WITH SUGAR by SIDNEY'S CANDY)
4  VAI GATTINA         (sims ph)DE CRUZ 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of GO UNBRIDLED by UNBRIDLED JET)
5  ISLE OF HOPE Aug04 Jul09       (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.50 41% 1.40    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of JUSTWHISTLEDIXIE by DIXIE UNION)
6  BY HEART         (walsh brenda)RAMOS D 120 5.00 ★    
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of LOVE STYLE by MR. PROSPECTOR)
SCR  GEORGIA ON E'SMIND Aug20         (calhoun b)DIAZ RENE 120 3.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of ZIPPIT E by MY GOLDEN SONG)
8  RUN RUN RABBIT Aug28         (fletcher kevin)MOJICA O 120 20.00    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of OCEAN ROAD by WAR FRONT)
9  LIVI ME DREAMING Aug28         (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 120 10.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of LIVI MAKENZIE by MACHO UNO)
10  CLEARLY COPPER Sep07 Aug04 Jul01 Jun04   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 3.00 34% 2.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of CLEARTAP by TAPIT)
SCR  MENDEE Aug13         (maker michae)RAMOS D 120 15.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of REVA by MONARCHOS)
 
IND-5   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECOND TO NO ONE Aug23 Aug09 Jul11 Jun08 May23 (gorham m)PEREZ E 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  RUNNING SMART Aug28 Aug09 Jul20 Jul03 Jun13 (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 111 30.00    
3  COG Aug28 Aug05 Jun29 Jun07 May10 (short ricky )RAMOS D 122 20.00    
4  MISTER MACHO Aug28 Aug05 Jul05 Jun07 May09 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 122 12.00    
5  CAN'T SAY ELLY MAE Aug28 Jul19 Jun20 May22 Apr19 (nance jonathan)PRESCOTT R 119 3.00 48% 1.10    
6  SUNSIGN Aug19 Aug05 Jun24 May23 Apr30 (lauer michae)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 4.00 10% 9.50    
7  PABLO'S SUN Aug05 Jun10 May18 Nov02 Oct13 (greenhill j)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 4.50    
8  JUSTICEONEMORETIME Aug26 Jul18 Jun22 May30 Aug23 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 115 20.00    
9  OVERTHETOPJUSTICE Sep05 Aug16 Jun29 Jun07 Jun11 (egglest)DE CRUZ 119 6.00 12% 7.40    
10  BOULDER BAY Aug19 Aug02 Jun13 May09 Nov11 (dobbsjr e)DIAZ RENE 122 5.00 8% 11.90    
 
IND-6   09/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMPLY JACK Aug20 Jul31 Jun07 May15 Oct05 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 124 2.50 68% 0.50    
2  URSO GRAYDAR Aug28 Aug10       (green darlen)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 30.00    
3  WOODYTHEBIDSPOTTER Aug10 Jun20 Apr26 Feb18 Dec26 (garcia )DE CRUZ 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  BOLD BALI Sep09 Aug02 Oct10     (meah m)HEARD TYLER 120 10.00    
5  CADE'S GOAL Sep06         (elliott miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 120 15.00    
6  JAKES CHANNEL Sep03 Aug17 Jun29 May11 Feb03 (rednour j)LEZCANO ABEL 120 30.00    
7  FIRE BRYAN Aug29 Aug16       (patrick ga)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 20.00    
8  ACTION SEEKER Sep06 Aug16 Jul18 Jun24 May25 (paquette raymond )PEREZ E 124 30.00 ★    
9  STEP ON IT Aug29 Jun10 May20 Apr20 Feb17 (west w)PRESCOTT R 120 4.50    
10  GHOST BIKE Aug29 Jul21 Jun07 May02 Mar09 (sturgeon c)MOJICA O 120 4.00 ★    
11  BIG STORMY Jul13 Jun24       (dunn step)BERMUDEZ E 117 12.00    
12  ELECTRIC CHARGE Aug31 Aug10 Jul19 Jul05 Jun08 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 8.00 12% 7.70    
SCR  UNUSUAL ACTIVITY Jul29         (thomas jo)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00    
SCR  POGOERIACH Sep01 Aug11 Jul26 Jul07 Jun17 (o'donnell ma)RAMOS D 124 4.00    
 
IND-7   09/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OPTIMAL COURAGE Sep04 Aug26 Aug02 Jul03 Jun25 (silva miguel)PEREZ A 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  UNCLE EARL Aug09 Jul12 Jun15 May20 Mar31 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 122 20.00    
3  SILVER MOON ROAD Sep05 Aug10 Jul11 Jun13 Apr26 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 122 2.00 26% 2.80    
4  FENESTRA Sep05 Aug10 May31 May15 Apr19 (garcia isr)ANDERSON MCKENNA 122 12.00    
5  ROGER MCQUEEN Aug30 Aug02 Jul05 Jun04 Apr01 (villa fra)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 15.00    
SCR  JACK VAN BERG Aug26 Aug12 Jul15 Jun27 Jun06 (scalcione pete)PRESCOTT R 122 12.00    
7  TRIKITRAKI Sep05 Aug10 Jul19 May31 May16 (davis j)DE CRUZ 122 4.50 11% 8.10    
SCR  ELLE'SBIGSEACRET Aug05 Jul05 Jun14 May16 Apr27 (shifflett che)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 122 8.00    
9  EL ROSILLO Sep07 Aug14 Jul13 Jul06 May30 (elliott mic)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 10.00    
 
IND-8   09/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NERVES OF STEEL Aug26 Jul19 Jun01 Apr07 Mar05 (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 5.00 28% 2.50    
2  STOP THE SPREAD Aug04 Jul20 Jun10 Oct06 Aug25 (cara)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 30.00    
SCR  PRINCE SHIM Jul15 Jun29 Jun13 May23 Apr25 (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 30.00    
4  BOCO Aug17 Jul06 May15 Apr21 Mar24 (hamilton troy)ELLIOTT JANE 122 12.00    
5  NIP N TUCK Aug29 Jan18 Nov22 Sep29 Aug20 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00    
6  TAKE CHARGE GENT Aug29 Aug17 Aug03 Jul11 Jun15 (broberg karl)MOJICA O 122 8.00 16% 5.40    
7  ICE SHARD Aug16 Jul26 Jun29 Jun14   (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 118 30.00    
SCR  CHEEKERS Jul29 Jul06 Jun13 May16 May02 (scalcione p)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 30.00    
SCR  CIRCLE BACK JACK Aug03 Jul19 Jun22 Jun02 May19 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 122 10.00    
SCR  ALTAZOR (ARG) Aug31 Aug17 Jul11 May19 Apr15 (correas igna)RAMOS D 122 2.50    
11  LEAVE IT TO KITTEN Aug31 Aug17 Aug03 Jul27 Jul11 (jarvis ka)BERMUDEZ E 122 6.00 8% 12.20    
12  JEOPARDY THEORY Aug23 Jul15 Jun17 May06 Apr08 (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 119 15.00    
SCR  YAK Sep11 Jul05 Jun08 May09 Feb10 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 20.00    
14  DRIVEN ONE Aug09 Jun29 May31 May14 Apr21 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 8.00 15% 5.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.