Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delaware Park
Saturday - September 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DEL-1   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(2/5/6)-(9/2/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-2   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(9/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(9/2/3)-(2/7/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-3   WIN (9/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/2/3)-(9/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/2/3)-(9/2/3)-(9/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/2/3)-(2/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (9/2/3)-(2/7/1)-(11/3/2/7/13) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
DEL-4   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/1)-(11/3/2/7/13) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1)-(11/3/2/7/13)-(4/6/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
DEL-5   WIN (11/3/2/7/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/3/2/7/13)-(11/3/2/7/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/3/2/7/13)-(11/3/2/7/13)-(11/3/2/7/13) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/3/2/7/13)-(4/6/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (11/3/2/7/13)-(4/6/3)-(1/7/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
DEL-6   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(1/7/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(1/7/8/6)-(2/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-7   WIN (1/7/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/8/6)-(1/7/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/8/6)-(1/7/8/6)-(1/7/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/8/6)-(2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DEL-8   WIN (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/6)-(2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DEL-1   09/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I LOVE YOU Jul27 Jul05 Jul30 Jul01   (capuano ga)SANCHEZ J 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
2  STRIKING CHROME Jul30 May06 Apr07 Mar17 Feb18 (bennett gera)ARROYO S 120 12.00    
3  SHE'S PEACHY KEEN Mar11 Feb11 Jan11 Dec22 Oct12 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.50 14% 6.00    
4  AWESOME PIC Aug30 Jul01 Jun01 May12 Mar26 (smith g)CENTENO E 119 1.50 39% 1.50    
5  FRECCIA D'ARGENTO Aug25 Aug12 Jul16 Jun23 May19 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 120 6.00    
6  CHAMPAGNE TOAST Jul27 Jun23 Dec30 Nov12 Sep30 (gaudet lacey)CEDENO CAROL 120 8.00    
 
DEL-2   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALPHA WHISKEY Aug03 Jul14 Jun21 Jun01 Apr23 (compton greg)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 1.80    
2  CAPT. CANDY Aug17 Aug04 Jun09 May26 May13 (sepulveda ca)ARROYO S 123 2.50 45% 1.20    
3  MUST BE LOVE Jul28 Jun21 Jun05 May01 Apr05 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 123 3.50    
4  BROTHER SHOWTYME Aug24 Jul19 Jun28 Jun09 Apr26 (sanchez-piner)ALICEA JEREMY 113 6.00    
5  BRIGHT FORECAST Aug03 Jul14 Jun23 Apr08 Mar15 (nazario pedro)MENA E 120 8.00 21% 3.80    
6  TOUCHDOWN MONTAGE Sep06 Aug03 Jul07 Apr28 Mar10 (rodriguez )MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
DEL-3   09/16/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOE Mar19 Feb23 Feb03 Jan06   (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 121 10.00    
2  VENTILATOR Aug19 Jul05 Jun18 Apr17   (lake a)TROTMAN KEIMAR 121 3.50 30% 2.30    
3  BARFLY Aug13 Jul16 Jul01 Jun11 May28 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  MO EH HENNESSY Aug27 Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 Jun01 (simone michae)SILVERA RUBEN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  ELUSIVE IMAGE Aug27 Aug20 Aug04 Jul06 May31 (smith jason )HALLIDAY VINCE 121 20.00    
SCR  COURT CONTENDER         (pecoraro ant)ARROYO S 121 6.00    
7  CASINO TRICKS Aug30         (ashby lynn)ALICEA JEREMY 114 8.00    
8  TAKEOVER KASH Sep02 Apr05 Mar24 Mar05 Feb22 (correa maxine)MARTIN MATTIE 117 4.50    
9  DISCREET DEVIL Aug02 Jul14 Jul06 May03 Apr15 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  FLASHY FIG (IRE)         (hendriks rich)ROJAS MARTINA 113 8.00    
 
DEL-4   09/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIRACLE SILVER Sep02 Aug10 Jul27 Jul14 Jun23 (nazario pe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 8.00 12% 7.70    
2  SUBSTANTIAL Sep02 Jul30 Jun28 Jun06 May12 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
3  GHOSTINYOU Aug30 Aug17 Jul25 Jun23 Jun03 (hayford jenn)ARROYO S 120 8.00    
4  CURLIN'S THRILL Aug10 Aug02 Jul12 Jul01 Apr11 (simone michae)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00    
SCR  JASONTAKESLONG Sep01 Aug11 Jul10 Jun18 May29 (mancill)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 6.00    
6  MISTER WINSTON Sep05 Aug10 Jul26 Jul03 Jun19 (cab)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 5.00    
7  POLITICAL Aug31 Jun21 May17 May05 Apr12 (sullivan ellio)HIRALDO JOHN 122 3.50 26% 2.80    
8  MISSISSIPPI Aug11 Jul26 Jul19 Jun28 Jun13 (diaz jorge)RIVERA D 120 8.00    
 
DEL-5   09/16/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER R Aug12 Aug02 Jul15 Jun21 Dec09 (luqueno giovann)MENA E 122 20.00    
2  ANDREZ CONQUIST Aug30 Jul15       (ovando melv)VILLASMIL EDGAR 122 20.00 15% 5.90    
3  CORONOVA Aug16 Aug05 Jul21 Feb20 Jan29 (ashby lynn)CEDENO CAROL 119 8.00 27% 2.60    
SCR  SIDNEY'S BID Aug30 Aug05 Jul21 Jul07 Jun14 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 6.00    
5  STELLWAGEN BANKER Sep01 Jul27 Jul13 Jul07 Jun23 (lopez ro)HIRALDO JOHN 119 15.00    
6  CARICO Aug19 Jul22 Apr30     (barboza vict)ARROYO S 119 8.00    
7  TUCKER ROAD Aug02 Jul13 May31 Aug03 Jul21 (sepulveda ca)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 12.00 7% 13.90    
8  BOINTHEBACK Aug30 Jul26 Jul11 Jun18 Jun04 (lake a)SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00    
9  MAKOTO Aug30 Aug19 Aug02 Jul08 Jun30 (saleem gor)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 20.00    
SCR  SIR LUMPALOT Aug26 Aug11 Oct21 Oct02 Sep11 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 121 5.00    
11  OUT OF TOWNER Aug02 Jul13 Jun21 Oct12 Oct01 (strauss bev)MARIN A 122 6.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  SIGMUND Aug18 Aug05 Jul15 Jun23 May31 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 119 4.00    
13  KITTEN'S CLOWN Sep08 Aug25 Aug17 Jun27 Jun07 (mcgoey monica)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PROPHETS VOICE (IRE) Aug09 Aug02 Jul15 May31   (hendriks rich)ROJAS MARTINA 117 8.00    
 
DEL-6   09/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEARGUN Aug05 Jun17 May13 Jan05 Nov11 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 4.50    
2  BROTHER BRAD Aug03 May31 Jul10 May21 Apr22 (alvarado di)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 120 2.50    
3  FOLE'S NOTION Aug24 Aug03 Jun20 May31 Apr26 (pickett crystal)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  MYSTERY MO Aug03 Jul06 Jun21 May27 Apr23 (compton greg)ARROYO S 120 1.80 53% 0.90    
5  MY DANNY BOY Aug16 Aug03 Jul15 Jun14 Oct08 (strauss bev)MARIN A 120 10.00    
6  STACKS OF SILVER Aug16 Jul19 Oct01 Aug25 Jul27 (capuano gary )ALICEA JEREMY 113 3.50 19% 4.40    
 
DEL-7   09/16/2023 7920ft TURF RC11 FIRM Cape Henlopen Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEACON HILL Aug13 Jul15 Nov26 Oct01 Aug16 (matz r)CENTENO E 121 3.50 35% 1.90    
  (by BLAME out of MY MAMMY by CAME HOME)
SCR  SERIFOS Sep10 Jul27 Jun18 May20 Oct20 (motion graham)NO RIDER 121 10.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SOLDATA by MARIA'S MON)
3  PRALINE'S CAT Sep09 Aug16 Jul22 Jul14 May31 (posadas pedro)NO RIDER 117 20.00    
  (by ECLIPTICALSPRALINE out of CAT CAN DO by ADCAT)
4  COMMANDEER Aug03 Jun17 Apr20 Jul30 Apr02 (toner jame)SANCHEZ J 121 6.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of GOZLAN by TIZNOW)
SCR  SPORTS EDITOR Aug13 Jul14 Jun21 May25 Nov20 (allard edward)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 15.00    
  (by EDITORIAL out of UTTER PLEASURE by CROWD PLEASER)
6  TEE AT ONE Jul15 May06 Apr07 Mar10   (alvarado diane)NO RIDER 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TUNWOO out of SEACRYSTAL by THEATRICAL (IRE))
7  TAWNY PORT Aug23 Jul30 Apr22 Mar18 Feb18 (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 2.50 19% 4.20    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of LIVI MAKENZIE by MACHO UNO)
8  CROSS BORDER Aug26 Jun09 Mar25 Nov13 Oct15 (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.00 19% 4.40    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9  URBAN MYTH Aug18 Jul21 Jul01 Jun04 Mar15 (brion keri)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 15.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of STORMY NOVEL by BERNARDINI)
10  TOUGH TICKETS Aug23 Jul20 Jun20 May22 May03 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 12.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of TAP TAP TAPPING by TAPIT)
 
DEL-8   09/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AHSAD Sep01 Aug10 Jul10 Jun23 Jun14 (kirby t)CENTENO E 122 3.00    
2  SCREEN SAVER Sep01 Jul18 Jun28 Jun05 May08 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 2.00 21% 3.80    
3  NIGHT OPS Sep08 Aug09 Jul12 Jul03 Jun01 (simone michae)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00    
4  BERMONDSEY Aug17 Jul27 Jun21 Nov01 Sep07 (nazario pedro)HIRALDO JOHN 120 8.00    
5  DOIN'ITTHERIGHTWAY Aug31 Aug03 Jul12 Jun18 May27 (simone micha)ARROYO S 120 10.00    
6  FORLOVEOFCOUNTRY Jul21 May29 May12 Apr14 Mar12 (allen ferris)CEDENO CAROL 120 8.00 15% 5.90    
7  MUNDO MIX Aug13 Jul30 Jul15 Jun23 May28 (gayle webs)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 4.00 19% 4.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.