Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - August 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(2/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-2   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(6/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(6/5/2/1)-(7/1/3/4) 48 $2.00 $96.00 
MNR-3   WIN (6/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/1)-(6/5/2/1) 12 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/2/1)-(7/1/3/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-4   WIN (7/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/4)-(7/1/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/4)-(7/1/3/4)-(7/1/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/3/4)-(5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-5   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/7)-(6/1/4/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (6/1/7)-(6/1/4/7)-(6/1/4/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7)-(6/4/2)-(8/4/5/1) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-7   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2/1) 9 $2.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(8/4/5/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-8   WIN (8/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/1)-(8/4/5/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/1)-(8/4/5/1)-(8/4/5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   08/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARBERS POINT Jul29 Jun01 Apr21 Mar18 Jan18 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 0.80 56% 0.80    
2  ULTRA DIVA Aug02 Jul18 Jul03 Jun19 May28 (ewell s)BARBARAN ERIK 120 8.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  SISTER JOANN Jul27 Jul14 May27 May12 Apr29 (hess ja)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00    
SCR  DIXIE'S DANCE Jul30 Jul12 May29 May14 Nov01 (witherow sandr)DIAZ I 120 12.00    
SCR  OUT ONA LIMB Jul18 Dec13 Nov23 Oct24 Oct05 (hay r)LEON A 120 6.00    
6  WHISKEY TALKING Aug02 Jul18 Jul03 Jun26 Jun13 (shuler r)VIGIL NOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HOLLY ROLLER Jul30 Jun13 May28 May02 Nov06 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 120 10.00    
8  GOT ANY Aug05 Jun19 May14 Nov19 Oct18 (pearson m)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 12.00    
 
MNR-2   08/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC MOUNTAIN Jul31 Jul09 Jun13 May09 Feb07 (welsh r)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 5.00    
2  SMASH Jul31 Jul18 May23 Apr13 Mar09 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 4.00 56% 0.80    
3  WHATA GUY Jul24 Jul06 Jun21 Jun03 May27 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 5.00 8% 10.80    
4  KNOWN Jul17 Jun19 May22 May08 May02 (crago terry)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 8.00 6% 16.20    
SCR  BOOMIN GOOSE Aug08 Jul18 Jun27 Jun14 May29 (hayes leland)BRACHO A 120 10.00    
SCR  FLAWLESS BOURBON Jul31 Jul18 Jun21 Nov23 Oct25 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 1.40    
7  HOLY TRUTH Jul31 Jul02 Jun19 May30 May16 (meeks karl)CCAMAQUE M 120 15.00    
8  VALEROSO Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 May07 Apr15 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 15.00    
 
MNR-3   08/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELLO PERFECT Jul26 Jun20       (spiess shane)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  ADRIANA ES BONITA Jul26 Jul09 May30 May15 May01 (cordero-lop)STEINEMAN JAMES 113 4.50 13% 6.70    
3  TEXAS DANA Jul16 Jun17       (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 5.00    
4  SENA THE DUCHESS Feb24 Jan22 Jan11 Dec31 Dec16 (montano w)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 6.00    
5  NO CAUSE TO DOUBT Aug09 Jul17 Mar05 Feb20   (silva juan )BARRIOS RICARDO 116 2.00 20% 4.10    
6  MISTY MIDNIGHT Aug02 Jun13 May25 Jul12   (spiess m)YARANGA Y 116 2.50 46% 1.20    
7  MORE TO FOLLOW Aug02 Jul09 Nov04 Oct18 Oct04 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 10.00    
 
MNR-4   08/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROFESSIONAL Aug02 Jul23 Jul10 May30 May15 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 2.50 17% 4.70    
2  CHATTERMAN Jul23 Jun13 May30 May09 Dec12 (snatchko pau)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 30.00    
3  LOST IN MANHATTAN Jul17 Jul12 Jun05 May07 Apr22 (crago )ENRIQUEZ JR 123 2.00 15% 5.80    
4  BIG FALCON ROCKET Aug02 Dec14 Nov21 Nov08 Oct03 (spiess shan)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 8.00 8% 11.10    
5  FLASH ME BACK Nov21 Oct26 Oct03 Sep12 Aug22 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 20.00    
6  CAVALLOTTO Aug02 Jul23       (stanoszek sara)JURADO EDDIE 123 30.00    
7  BEYOND GONE Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 May22 Dec14 (zook je)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 1.40 38% 1.60    
 
MNR-5   08/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUGAR BRITCHES Jul10 Jun20 May30 May15 May01 (herrington cally)CCAMAQUE M 120 12.00 12% 7.70    
2  TREASURED NIKKY Aug01 Jul24 Jul11 Jun27 Jun13 (larue ste)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 10.00    
3  LIGHT HEARTED Aug01 Jul24 May31 Dec13 Nov30 (herrington cally )YARANGA Y 120 8.00    
4  BELLA BASORA Aug01 Jul09 Jun25 May28 May09 (gotera juan)STEINEMAN JAMES 110 6.00    
5  SUSIKIN Aug01 Jul19 May31 May12 Apr27 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 1.80 40% 1.50    
6  CANELITA Aug07 Jul31 Jul11 Jun27 May28 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 120 4.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  VIVE EL MOMENTO Jul24 May28 Mar20 Mar01 Feb18 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 2.50    
 
MNR-6   08/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROLL DEM BONES Aug09 Jul25 Jul17 Jul05 Jun13 (silva juan )BARRIOS RICARDO 123 2.00 18% 4.50    
2  RIKIO Jun17 Feb23 Jan07 Dec13 Nov29 (cline c)RAMGEET R 120 4.00    
3  MIGHTY FROSTED Jul17 Apr30 Nov05 Oct22 Oct08 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00    
4  LONE LEADER Jul03 Jun05 Apr22 Mar22 May05 (fletcher kev)GONZALEZ KEVIN 116 3.00 ★    
5  CAPONE'S LOFT Jun27 Jul03       (sanders melinda)CCAMAQUE M 120 30.00    
6  VENEZUELANDREAMERS Sep25 Jul10       (gotera car)LEON A 120 3.50 57% 0.80    
7  INGERSOLL Aug02 Jul12 Jun19 May29 May09 (vickers t)YARANGA Y 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-7   08/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROSSTOWN GIRL Aug02 Jul18 Jun27 Jun11 May29 (fiesman robert )LEON A 120 4.00 ★    
2  LADY MECHANIC Jul30 Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 May23 (lopez e)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  EGG NOG Jul18 May29 May14 Dec13 Nov17 (langley s)YARANGA Y 120 12.00    
4  HUMMIN' THE FUNK Aug01 Jul09 Jun25 Jun06 May16 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 4.50 37% 1.70    
5  NATIVE VALLEY Aug02 Jul18 Jun12 May02 Dec29 (patton luke)NELSON TYRONE 120 12.00    
6  HERO'S DAUGHTER Aug02 Jul05 Jun25 May23 May16 (loudin-smit)STEINEMAN JAMES 110 1.40 37% 1.70    
7  WHATRUWAITINGFOR Aug02 Mar17 Feb22 Feb02 Oct28 (gotera c)TOLEDO S 120 5.00    
 
MNR-8   08/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KHOPILOT Jul23 Jul10 May30 May15 Apr15 (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 10.00 9% 9.60    
2  MIDNIGHT ALIBI Jul23 Jul10 Jun26 May21 May02 (langley s)YARANGA Y 120 5.00    
3  CLEVELAND POWER Jul23 Jun26 May21 May02 Dec06 (dixon geoffre)NELSON TYRONE 120 30.00    
4  CHOPPED Jul31 Jul23 Jul10 Jun04 May21 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 4.50 22% 3.50    
5  LOOKA LOOKA Aug06 Jun26 Jun11 May23 Apr13 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 116 3.00 12% 7.10    
6  LUVTHEONEURWITH Jul23 Jul10 Jun18 Jun06 May21 (logston chr)STEINEMAN JAMES 110 20.00    
7  BLOWN SAVE Aug01 Jul19 Jun23 Jun09 May18 (cordero-lopez )DIAZ I 119 6.00    
8  BON DEUX Jul30 Jul11 Jun24 Jun06 May23 (mcgaffic )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 1.80 31% 2.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.