Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Tuesday - August 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (4/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/7)-(4/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/7)-(4/1/6/7)-(4/1/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/6/7)-(1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/7)-(1/3)-(6/5) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
IND-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/3)-(6/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(6/5)-(7/3/11) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
IND-3   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/5)-(7/3/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(7/3/11)-(2/8/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
IND-4   WIN (7/3/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/11)-(7/3/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/11)-(7/3/11)-(7/3/11) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/11)-(2/8/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/11)-(2/8/1/4)-(14/4/11/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-5   WIN (2/8/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/1/4)-(2/8/1/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/8/1/4)-(2/8/1/9/4)-(2/8/1/9/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/8/1/4)-(14/4/11/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/8/1/4)-(14/4/11/8/1)-(13/7/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-6   WIN (14/4/11/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (14/4/11/8/1)-(14/4/11/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (14/4/11/8/1)-(14/4/11/8/1)-(14/4/11/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (14/4/11/8/1)-(13/7/12) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (14/4/11/8/1)-(13/7/12)-(5/3/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
IND-7   WIN (13/7/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (13/7/12)-(13/7/5/1/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (13/7/12)-(13/7/5/1/12)-(13/7/5/1/12) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (13/7/12)-(5/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
IND-8   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   08/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL TULIPAN         (garcia gen)ANDERSON MCKENNA 110 4.00 17% 4.80    
  (by SKYLORD out of BLACK TULIP by ROCK HARD TEN)
BLACK WHITE N GOLD Jul21 May22       (lauer mic)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of FROSTING by FLATTER)
S J MATER Jul21         (west aaron )FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 6.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of PUNKY B by INTO MISCHIEF)
IT'S LAST CALL Aug08 Jun20       (duran antonio)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 3.00 35% 1.80    
  (by BRETHREN out of EILA by BENNY THE BULL)
LORD INVADER Jul21         (silva miguel)PEREZ A 120 20.00    
  (by LEWIS MICHAEL out of NATALIE PAIGE by IN EXCESS (IRE))
FUNTASTIC VOW         (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 120 8.00 9% 10.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of TWIN VOWS by BROKEN VOW)
MEDAL OF VALOR         (leonard i)PRESCOTT R 120 10.00 9% 10.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of SHEER BEAUTY by MIZZEN MAST)
JUSTHAPPYTOBEHERE         (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 120 4.50    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of WHISTLIN' JEAN by PURE PRIZE)
 
IND-2   08/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKET HOSS Jul06         (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50 58% 0.70    
OVERLY D'ORO Jul22 Jul06 Dec28 Nov20 Oct11 (bahena ismae)MORALES JOSHUA 118 3.50    
FIRST CROWNED Jun15 May29 May08 Jan17 Nov30 (sanchez e)BERMUDEZ E 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
PENNY'S PROSPECT Jul01 May26 Dec09     (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 118 4.50    
DAVID'S TUITION Jul18 Jun01       (baker james)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
ROMAN GIANT Aug03 Jul13 Jun15 May19 Oct28 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 4.50    
 
IND-3   08/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STIRDATPOT Jul22 Jul06 Apr29 Jun19   (londono genevi)MILLER CHASE 124 4.50    
BRIGADIER GENERAL Jun22 May06 Feb25 Sep17 Aug20 (stewart dall)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.00    
CHARLIES MEDAL Jul12 Jun27 May24 Apr26 Apr01 (grubbs jamie)RAMOS D 118 10.00    
SCR  JOSH'S DREAM Mar25 Mar17 Mar03 Mar11 Feb19 (love alan)SANJUR SANTO 122 12.00 13% 6.90    
PHANTOM RIDE Jul09 Jun10 Mar26 Mar04 Feb11 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 2.50 18% 4.50    
MANCIATA D'ORO Jul03 May25       (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 1.60 38% 1.60    
 
IND-4   08/15/2023 4950ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($28K) 2 F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STEPHANIESWARRIOR Jul19 Jul06 Jun08     (capps steve)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00    
SCR  BAYTOWN BAMA GIRL Jul19 Jul07 Jun15     (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 120 10.00    
PURE CONNECTION Jul23 Jun16       (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 3.00 12% 7.60    
EURCOOL Aug02 Jul19 Jul06 Jun10 May10 (livers charl)BURGOS ALBERTO 117 30.00    
SCR  BERYL RACER May23         (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00    
SCR  MOMS CHANNEL Jul23         (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.00    
LADLE Jul07         (mccarthy mich)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.50 51% 1.00    
AIM HIGHER Jul19 Jun21 May19 Apr19   (elliott miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 8.00    
SCR  ANORIA Aug01 Jul12 Jun08 May27 Apr28 (corrigan jim)PRESCOTT R 120 15.00    
SCR  LUCK BE MY LADY Jul06         (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 20.00    
11  FOXY ELAINE Jul09 May20       (silva miguel)PEREZ A 120 20.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  ESPERE Jul01         (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 120 20.00    
13  STRANGE JOY Jul19 Jun17       (bright derric)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00    
 
IND-5   08/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOMERUNHAPPY Jul13         (wohlers laura)PRESCOTT R 120 15.00 9% 10.80    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SLEWS RETURN by CAME HOME)
FOREVER LASTING Aug03 May29 May08     (garcia gen)ANDERSON MCKENNA 110 5.00 44% 1.30    
  (by FOREVER D'ORO out of MI TIA by MI SELECTO)
T. V. VICTORY         (raper ron)MORALES JOSHUA 120 20.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of T. V. SECRETARY by WHEATON)
EASY OPERATOR Nov17 Sep15       (londono genevi)MILLER CHASE 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of TRIP TO THE STARS by TRIPPI)
SHOWDOWN JUSTICE         (hammond kim)SANJUR SANTO 117 12.00    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of PRAIRIE FLOWER by FLOWER ALLEY)
SCR  BIG ANCHOR         (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 120 15.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of BIG CITY DREAMIN by IQBAAL)
DAYKRA         (klopp randy)RAMOS D 120 8.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of SAKRA by BUDDHA)
GOLDEN RAPPER Jun24 Jun13 May24 Nov09 Oct27 (cunning)DE CRUZ 124 4.50 21% 3.70    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TOO HOT TO TANGO by MATCHLITE)
HE SAID CASH         (garcia genaro)LEAHEY HANNAH 110 6.00    
  (by GOLD FOR CASH out of THATS WHATSHESAID by LION HEART)
10  FOXY BOXY Oct10 Sep20 Sep07 Aug18 Aug08 (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 30.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of BOXITUP by OUTOFTHEBOX)
11  BOLSHIE Nov22 Nov03       (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 120 30.00    
  (by REVOLUTIONARY out of MRS CINDY'S WALKIN by CACTUS RIDGE)
12  STARLITE RUN Jul20 Jun24 May23 May09 Apr19 (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 3.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SHADES OF LIGHT by SOUVENIR COPY)
 
IND-6   08/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIRFORCE ANNIE Jun17         (eggleston)BERMUDEZ E 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
TAMARAC LADY Aug01 Jul15 Jun27 Jun06 May18 (haran john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 110 10.00    
SCR  LADY BIRD KISSES Jul27 Jul14 Jul05 Jun23 Jun01 (royal madelyn)CHAVEZ ORIEL 120 30.00    
STUPENDOUS Jul12 Feb15 Jan26 Dec01 Nov03 (riley donna)HUGHES CARLY 124 5.00 28% 2.60    
BLUE BLUE BAYOU Jul12 Jun17 Jun08 May16 Aug11 (wisner trace)MORALES JOSHUA 124 6.00    
SCR  LUNAR LACE Jul12 Jun22 Jun01 May11 Aug30 (fosdick)DE CRUZ 117 8.00    
PINK ROBE Jul11 May16 Apr25 Jan26 Dec29 (short ricky )BURGOS ALBERTO 120 30.00    
MURIELLE         (mcentee paul)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 20.00 6% 15.80    
ENGLISH ROSE (IRE) Jul18 Jun27 Jun14     (wisner trac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 30.00    
SCR  LASS QUISTMAS         (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 124 20.00    
11  SAY SAYONARA Aug01 Jun27 May29 May03   (thompson erin)PEREZ E 120 3.50 8% 12.20    
SCR  BRISBANE ROAD Aug03 Jun27 Jun08 May12 Jul04 (rechy chaz)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 3.00    
13  FLAT OUT FREDA Jul12 Jun15 Jun07 May18 Apr01 (love alan)SANJUR SANTO 120 6.00    
14  ZIPPIN PIPPIN Jul03 Jun18 May12 Apr15 Mar26 (garcia genaro)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
IND-7   08/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIO'S BABY GIRL Jul18 Jun29 May30 Nov10 Sep28 (herrell d)PRESCOTT R 122 8.00    
HONEY RED Jul18 Jun21 Jun10 May18 Aug11 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 118 10.00    
SCR  MYGALJUSTICE Aug03 Jun22 Jun08 May25 May11 (sanchez jime)PEREZ A 119 30.00    
CASTLE MAGIC Jul18 Jun21 Jun01 May11 Apr26 (gorham m)PEREZ E 118 15.00    
Z ZS RED Jul13 Jul06 Jun14 May29 May18 (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 122 6.00    
SCR  ARDIS Aug02 Jul15 Jun29 Apr19 Feb05 (eggleston tim)MORALES EDGAR 122 5.00    
SHARON'S GREY HOPE Jul21 Jun22 Jun07 May11 Nov01 (granitz a)BERMUDEZ E 118 3.50 31% 2.30    
RAPUNZELS SONG Jul11 Jun21 May30 Apr23   (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 118 12.00    
SCR  MIZZTIFY DOLL Aug05 Jul07 Jun21 May21 Oct01 (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 118 20.00    
10  CHIMES Aug02 Jul18 Jul08 Jun21 May09 (lauer michae)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 20.00    
11  COMPRESSED ENERGY Jul05 Jun07 May30 Apr25 Nov23 (garcia gen)ANDERSON MCKENNA 112 4.50    
12  SPLASH OF TONIC Jul03 May31 May18 Apr27 Jan06 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
13  ACE REPORTER Jun10 May29 May11     (klopp randy)SANJUR SANTO 118 4.00 40% 1.50    
 
IND-8   08/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($18K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  POLKA POLENTA Aug02 Jul15 Jun13 May25 May09 (davis j)DE CRUZ 122 3.50    
FAIRY CAKES (GB) Jul12 Jun13 Feb18 Feb10 Jan20 (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 122 20.00    
DREAM STREAK Jul13 Jun10 May14 Apr29 Mar31 (rosin cot)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 8.00 21% 3.90    
ELUSIVE JUSTICE Aug05 Jul21 Jul12 Jun13 May18 (davis d)SANJUR SANTO 119 30.00    
TELLER TO SING Jul15 Jun13 May12 Apr19 Mar24 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 122 10.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  KING'S LEGACY May06 Feb16 Jan19 Dec21 Oct13 (van thom)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00    
XYLOPHONE May11 Apr30 Mar31 Mar10 Feb11 (hartman chris)PRESCOTT R 122 5.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  HOOSIER PREMIUM Jun07 May16 May03 Nov21 Nov03 (herrell ron )MORALES JOSHUA 119 30.00    
PRETTY ASSETS Aug02 Jul15 Dec17 Oct29 Oct03 (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 119 30.00    
SCR  CARIBBEAN NIGHT Jul22 Jan04 Dec08 Oct13 Sep09 (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00    
SCR  FIRESIDE KITTEN Jul15 Jun13 May06 Mar31 Mar17 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 4.50    
SCR  MIZZEN ASH Jul27 Jun21 Jun06 May29 May10 (granitz )RODRIGUEZ A 116 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.