Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(6/1/2)-(4/7/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-2   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(4/7/3)-(6/4/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/3)-(4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3)-(6/4/1)-(3/5/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-4   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(3/5/2)-(5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-5   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(5/1)-(3/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(3/1/2/7)-(1/2/4/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
BTP-7   WIN (3/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/7)-(3/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/7)-(3/1/2/7)-(3/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2/7)-(1/2/4/3)-(4/6/7/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
BTP-8   WIN (1/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/3)-(1/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/3)-(1/2/4/3)-(1/2/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/4/3)-(4/6/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BTP-9   WIN (4/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/2)-(4/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/2)-(4/6/7/2)-(4/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   08/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO HANG CHARLIE Jul22 Jul07 May05 Mar31 Mar03 (woodbury judy)AYALA ISAIAS 120 5.00 5% 17.70    
2  DROP IT Jul26 Jul01 Jun01 May04 Apr18 (edwards w)CORREA L 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
3  MAMBA TWENTY FOUR Aug04 Jul16 Jun18 May23 Apr27 (stephen anthony)OUZTS W 120 3.00    
4  MIDNIGHT NIGHTMARE Jul29 Jul19 Jul05 Jun08 May04 (mcvickers lam)CANUTO THIAGO 120 4.50    
5  BASTIEN LE BROWN Aug02 Jul19 Jul01 Jun22 Jun09 (donjuan serg)MARCANO Y 115 2.50 23% 3.30    
6  CAPPY HOUR Aug04 Jul07 Jun21 May27 May18 (adams l)REYES R 120 8.00    
 
BTP-2   08/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ BIZ Aug01 Jun17 May27 Apr29 Sep16 (brafford michelle)OUZTS W 122 2.50 18% 4.50    
2  TWITTER TRAFFIC Aug01 Jul02 Jun23 Jun03 May20 (crumley jevon)HESS SARA 112 6.00 6% 15.90    
3  LA CHAPEAU Jul19 Jul08 Apr27 Feb05 Jan06 (esquivel )CORREA L 122 3.00    
4  MAMITA LINDA Aug01 Jul07 May20 Apr28 Mar24 (rodriquez r)JIMENEZ J 122 4.50    
SCR  ONTOTHENEXT Jul20 Jul12 Jun14 May20 May11 (mcvickers la)MARCANO Y 112 5.00    
6  COLUMN Jul19 Jun22 May27     (meah anna )VILLARREAL OSCAR 112 3.50 49% 1.00    
 
BTP-3   08/12/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LITTLE ALEX May13 Jan14 Dec30 Dec08 Nov19 (torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 124 6.00    
2  MCGRAW Jul29 Jul06 Jun02 Oct25 Oct03 (bush s)BUSH V 124 8.00    
3  BEACH FRONT Aug02 Jul19 Jul07 Jun14 Mar28 (zircher rob)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  FOOCH Jan11 Sep30       (ward wesley )CRUZ JUAN 124 3.00 56% 0.80    
5  SUMMER STORM Jul25 Jul05 Jul10 Jun18 May26 (rice anthony)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 10.00    
6  GEMO RAIN Jul21 Jul05 Jun23 Jun09 May20 (adams nancy )MARCANO Y 119 4.50    
7  MUNI MUNI SLEW Aug03 Jul14 Jun04 Mar18 Feb19 (maker j)OUZTS W 124 2.50 20% 4.00    
 
BTP-4   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 2 F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LESOTHO Jul22         (cline c)COLON H 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MITOLE out of FEISTY TOMBOY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  PARLAY CHARLIE Aug01 Jun29       (livers charl)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 6.00    
  (by MR. Z out of LADY ZIEG by TOUCH GOLD)
3  MISS SPRINGSTEEN Aug01 Jun29       (hamm ti)DE CRUZ 120 5.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of MELANIE MAY by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
4  TWISTED JUSTICE Jul22 Jun29 Jun15     (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 3.50 15% 5.70    
  (by BIONDETTI out of TOUR FOR LOVE by EXPRESS TOUR)
SCR  TIERNEY         (hamm timo)CORREA L 120 4.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MINI MOM by PARENTS' REWARD)
6  PRETTY PATTY Jun29         (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 2.50 61% 0.60    
  (by BOLD WARRIOR out of SASSY APPEAL by MUNNINGS)
 
BTP-5   08/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE OF ROSES Aug03 Jun14 May11 Apr26 Mar23 (esquivel )CORREA L 118 3.00    
2  MONKEY ZONE Jul19 Jul07 Jun24 May27 May18 (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 118 4.00 7% 12.80    
3  GREENSFELDER Aug03 Jul19 Jul07 Jun23 Jun07 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.50 35% 1.90    
4  FROOME (IRE) Aug02 Jul13 Jan11 Dec07 Sep20 (adams l)REYES R 123 4.50    
5  DESERT HIGHWAY Aug05 Jul14 Jun17 Jun03 May20 (antonuik jerr)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
BTP-6   08/12/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOUISIANIMAL Jul14 May21 Mar31 Nov03 Oct02 (foley greg)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 3.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  FLY HOME Jul20 May31 Apr28 Feb22 Oct05 (preston rand)CALLEJA ANDRES 119 5.00    
SCR  CHEESEBURGER         (chain pearl)PANAIJO JORGE 122 12.00    
4  COUSIN ODELL Aug03 Jul20 Jul01 Jun22 May21 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 4.50    
5  REVERE NOTE Aug02 Jun03 May18 Apr29 Mar02 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 4.00 28% 2.60    
6  PERFECT THUNDER Jul22 Jun16 May11 Apr23 Mar19 (esquivel )CORREA L 120 2.50    
SCR  ANGUSONIC Jul12 Jun27 Jun17 Feb03 Nov30 (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 122 8.00    
 
BTP-7   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARGAREE Apr15 Mar13 Feb21 Feb06 Jan19 (zircher robert)BUSH V 124 6.00 24% 3.10    
2  SHESMYBROKER Jul21 Jul12 Jun11 Jun03 May05 (crumley jevon)HESS SARA 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  POQUITO ROSE Jul12 Jul05 Jun07 May24 Apr27 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 124 2.50 47% 1.10    
4  HIGH MEADOWS Aug03 Jul21 Jul05 Jun14 May25 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 124 3.00    
5  MOON PARTY Aug03 Jul05 Jun10 Apr27 Mar17 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 4.50    
6  SHEZA HOOT Aug03 Jul21 Jul07 Jun22 Jun07 (calderon )CORREA L 124 5.00    
7  C V THUNDER Jul21 Jul05 Jun24 Jun10 Jun04 (hernandez javi)COLON H 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-8   08/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WELL CONNECTED Jul19 Jun14 Apr15 Mar10 Dec11 (march william)BUSH V 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
2  EL BOHEMIO Jul19 Jul05 May18 Apr27 Mar13 (esquivel )CORREA L 120 4.50 13% 6.70    
3  D'MONEY HONEY Jul21 Jul07 Jun17 Jun01 May18 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.00 6% 14.50    
4  K W CAPTAIN HOOK Jul19 Jun22 May19 Feb02 Jan04 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 3.50 10% 8.70    
5  VASILEVSKIY (IRE) Jul08 Jun08 May19 Apr27 Mar15 (bahena isma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 10.00    
6  READY PURSUIT Mar24 Mar15 Feb25 Feb02 Jan07 (gonzalez re)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 12.00    
7  DRAFT CAPITAL Jul27 Feb10 Dec29 Nov30 Oct24 (morelos mateo)COLON H 120 12.00    
8  FRISCO LINE Jul26 Jul05 Apr27 Mar30 Feb03 (locker timoth)CANUTO THIAGO 120 6.00    
 
BTP-9   08/12/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA SMOOCHIE Jun21 May29 May21 Feb09 Dec07 (mcvickers la)MARCANO Y 115 12.00    
2  TWIRLING RUTH Jul21 Dec15 Oct04 Aug09 Jul05 (thomas mark)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  YOGURT Jul29 Jun24 May17 Dec15 Nov30 (short derrick)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00    
4  SIS BOOM BOB Jun29 Jun14 May19 Mar13 Feb09 (esquivel )CORREA L 120 3.50 39% 1.60    
5  HOWIZEE Jul26 Jul06 Jun21 Nov15 Oct19 (zircher rob)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 5.00    
6  AWESOMELY SHY May04 Mar15 Feb14 Jan09 Dec08 (west m)COLON H 120 4.50 29% 2.50    
7  BLEST LIFE Jul21 Jun29 Jun01 May12 Mar16 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 2.50 10% 9.20    
8  LADY JENNEVIERE Mar23 Feb15 Jan21     (pitts c)BUSH V 120 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.