Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Wednesday - August 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(5/4/1)-(3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(3/1)-(7/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-3   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(7/3/5/6)-(5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-4   WIN (7/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5/6)-(5/3/1)-(2/4/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-5   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(2/4/1/5)-(2/1/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-6   WIN (2/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/5)-(2/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/5)-(2/4/1/5)-(2/4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1/5)-(2/1/4/3)-(5/6/4/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
BTP-7   WIN (2/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/4/3)-(5/6/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BTP-8   WIN (5/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/3)-(5/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/3)-(5/6/4/3)-(5/6/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   08/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOPPING Jun23 Jun09 May19 Apr27 Mar16 (lauer michael)MCKEE J 124 2.00    
2  LOCK ON Jul29 Jul13 Jun23 Jun09 Jun01 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 3.50 20% 4.10    
3  NO COMMISSION Jul13 Jun30 Jun10 Mar12 Dec31 (figueroa ces)MARCANO Y 119 3.00    
4  DELAYED ENGAGEMENT Jul21 Dec14 Dec05 Nov22 Nov09 (rodak geral)JIMENEZ J 124 4.00 12% 7.10    
5  REVOLUTIONARY ROAD Jul29 Jul07 Nov30 Sep14 Aug19 (alessi ja)CORREA L 124 4.50 36% 1.80    
 
BTP-2   08/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLOYD G Jul27 Jul06 Jun21 Jun07 May06 (sturgeon ro)PETERSON FERRIN 122 4.00 6% 15.30    
2  PASION AZTECA Jul27 Jul13 Jun24 Mar06 Feb06 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 5.00    
3  COMBUSTION Jul13 Oct18       (short thomas)AYALA ISAIAS 122 4.50    
4  FAST ROY Jul27 Jul13 Jun24 Feb03 May27 (short thomas)MARCANO Y 117 2.50 12% 7.50    
5  HENDRIX Jul12 May20 May06 Apr28 Mar15 (bahena isma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 1.80 57% 0.80    
 
BTP-3   08/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE EARL Jul12 Jun15 May20 Mar31 Mar18 (brownfield )JIMENEZ J 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  EL GAVILAN Dec28 Nov14 Nov02 Sep08 Jun01 (fernandez kel)CANUTO THIAGO 116 5.00    
3  ZIP IT SCOTTY Jul19 Jul05 Jun14 May27 May13 (jazdzewski jon)AYALA ISAIAS 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
4  SAY IT AIN'T SO Jul21 Jul12 Jun22 Jun15 May27 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 1.80    
5  KEEN ON YOU May19 Apr29 Apr21 Mar04 Feb17 (cundiff w)CORREA L 120 4.00    
 
BTP-4   08/09/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOP HAT MENSCH Jul05         (adams l)HESS SARA 115 12.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of THEDOCTORSCAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
2  GRAND ZHOUL Jun29 May29       (bennett c)MCKEE J 125 4.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CHICKIE by SLEW CITY SLEW)
3  SAMURAI WAY Jul22 May25 May04 Apr06   (baez serg)CORREA L 125 3.50 24% 3.10    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of TEXAS AGGIE by NALEES MAN)
4  CAT CORN Jul22 Oct10       (thomas mark)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 5.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of HAP CAT by VAN NISTELROOY)
5  PAYMASTER GENERAL Jul22 Jul05 Jun01 May18 Apr25 (barker scott )CANUTO THIAGO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
6  PALACE TEMPTATION Aug01 Jul13 Jun29 Jan04 Dec03 (chain pear)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE out of TWICE TEMPTED by WILD AGAIN)
7  RETURNONINVESTMENT Jun24 Jun02 May06 Apr18   (greenhill jef)LEBRON VICTOR 120 1.60 50% 1.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of ALMOST AN ANGEL by DR. KOCH)
 
BTP-5   08/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REYS PINA COLADA Jul26 Jul07 Jun08 May25 May06 (lopez carlos )CANUTO THIAGO 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
2  NANA ROZE Jul20 Jul08 Jun23 Jun08 May25 (morelos mate)MARCANO Y 117 6.00    
3  MAYBE FRANKY Jul26 Jul07 Jun17 Jun07 May11 (adams l)HESS SARA 115 2.50 31% 2.30    
4  CARLY'S FLIGHT Jul26 Jul07 Jun17 Jun08 Dec07 (rodak geral)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 3.50    
5  THE LAST APPLE Jul22 Jun17 Jun07 Dec03 Oct31 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 1.80 47% 1.10    
 
BTP-6   08/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONOLITO Oct05 Jul18 May10 Mar07 Jan31 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 8.00 7% 13.50    
2  OVER CALENDARED Aug01 Jul12 Jun14 Jun03 May18 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 115 2.50 57% 0.80    
3  THING Feb23 Feb02 Dec01 Nov14 Oct31 (howard d)CANUTO THIAGO 120 4.00    
4  BLACKSMITH STRONG Jul26 Jun24 Jun03 May22 Apr27 (green troy)OUZTS W 122 3.50 9% 9.90    
5  DAY IN THE COUNTRY Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 Feb16 Feb02 (meredith char)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.50 6% 16.00    
6  MAQAMAT Mar30 Mar15 Feb18 Feb11 Jan28 (douglass)STRANDBERG MALLORY 120 12.00    
7  PERJURY Jun24 Feb17 Jan17 Dec31 Dec06 (cros)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 6.00    
 
BTP-7   08/09/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIZZEN THE POINT May17 Mar30       (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 122 3.50 20% 3.90    
2  BUCKEYE BELLE Jul05         (drury jr)MCKEE J 117 2.00 40% 1.50    
3  CHICA CHULA Jul27 Jul09 Feb22 Jan05 Dec14 (calvo kelsie)DIAZ R 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  COMPUTER WHIZ Jul19 Jul05 Jun09 May04   (brafford mich)CANUTO THIAGO 117 5.00 15% 5.60    
5  MISS ELIANA Jul27 Jun30 Jan12 Dec16 Oct05 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 122 8.00    
6  LATE DATE Aug01 Jul20 Jun22 Jun07 May25 (lopez carlos)MARCANO Y 117 12.00    
7  BUCKEYE ROSE Jun07 Sep12       (drury thoma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 117 4.00    
 
BTP-8   08/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POST TENEBRAS LUX Jul31 Jul07 Mar10     (enni)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 5.00    
2  EL MIC TIESUN Jul14 Jun17 Jun02 May20 May12 (scott anthon)MARCANO Y 120 8.00    
3  UTOPIAN TREASURE Jul06 Jun17 Jun08 May27 May06 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 6.00 6% 17.10    
4  TASSIUS Jul22         (waltz brian)ACHARD ALEX 125 10.00 11% 7.90    
5  GOOD SOUL Jul14 Jun30 Jun09 May20 Apr27 (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
6  SCOTCH NO ROCKS Jul14 Jun22 Jun10 May21 Apr29 (roberson denn)LEBRON VICTOR 125 2.50 18% 4.40    
7  SCHOOLMASTER (GER) Jul26 Jul07 Jun17 May31 May20 (manning joh)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.