Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Canterbury Park
Saturday - July 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CBY-1   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(2/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CBY-2   WIN (2/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/7/3)-(4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7/3)-(4/3/2)-(7/8/9/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CBY-3   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(7/8/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(7/8/9/4)-(1/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CBY-4   WIN (7/8/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/9/4)-(7/8/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/9/4)-(7/8/9/4)-(7/8/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/9/4)-(1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/9/4)-(1/5/4)-(4/5/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CBY-5   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(4/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CBY-6   WIN (4/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/2)-(4/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/2)-(4/5/3/2)-(4/5/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/3/2)-(6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3/2)-(6/4/5)-(5/3/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CBY-7   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(5/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CBY-8   WIN (5/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/7)-(5/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/7)-(5/3/6/7)-(5/3/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CBY-1   07/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WISE VERDICT Jul12 Jun25 Jun10 May11 Mar26 (rhone ber)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
ROCKIN THE DAD BOD Jul20 Jul02 May29 May13 Sep17 (rarick wade)QUINONEZ ALONSO 117 10.00    
FURY KAP Jul02 Jun14 May06 Apr15 Apr01 (silva )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 2.00 63% 0.60    
SURPRSINGLYPERFECT Jul12 May29 May06 Apr15 Mar28 (silva jose )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 13% 6.80    
WILLY THE COBBLER Apr05 Mar13 Feb19 Feb06 Jan12 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50    
FLATOUT WINNER Jul12 Jun25 May04 Apr21 Mar16 (litfin nevada)WADE LYNDIE 124 3.00    
 
CBY-2   07/29/2023 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10.5K) 35 M/F PT- 6:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIKE FINE WINE Jul15 Oct20 Sep14 Jul29   (berndt)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 114 1.80    
ROLL GYPSY ROLL Jul03 Jun10 May14 Feb04 Jan14 (scherer gary)MURRAY M 119 4.50 20% 4.00    
RED SUNSHINE Jul16         (westermann)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 12.00 10% 8.60    
GRACEFUL MOON         (cline n)HARR KELSI 119 8.00 20% 4.00    
SMART LEAH Jul08 Jun18 Jun10 May29 Apr29 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00    
DR Z'S ELSA Jul08 Jun11 Apr14 Mar10 Feb11 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 119 12.00    
MARK OF VICTORY Jul15 Feb13       (lund valorie)WADE LYNDIE 119 3.00 20% 4.00    
 
CBY-3   07/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10.5K) 35 M/F PT- 7:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAT'S GAL Jul16 Jul03 Jun25 Jun11 May29 (cline n)HARR KELSI 119 1.60    
NONA         (backhaus lexo)SOSA LAUREANO 119 8.00 16% 5.10    
TAMMY MACHO Jun24         (martinez )VALENZUELA A 119 4.00 27% 2.70    
DIXIE GIRL TO Jul16 Jun25 Jun11 May29 Apr22 (westermann)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 1.80 30% 2.40    
MIZ MCCOY Jul15 Nov12 Oct22 Sep17   (sheehan nancy)LINDSAY CHAD 124 4.50    
 
CBY-4   07/29/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  N. K. ROCKET MAN Jul22 Jun28 May27 Apr29 Feb16 (willia)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 8.00    
SCR  WORDS OF WISDOM Jul12 Jun25 May29 Apr23 Mar31 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50    
KING OF THE KIDS Jul16 Jul02 Jun18 Sep03 Aug03 (berndt joel)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 3.00    
THIRTY SECONDS OUT Jun26 Jun07 Mar28 Feb28 Feb09 (silva jr)SOSA LAUREANO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KINETIC SWAGGER Jul16 Jun03       (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 12.00    
BRIX Jul16 Apr17 Mar07 Feb11 Jan25 (silva jose )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00    
SKIPPY'S STRIKE Jul12 Jun24 Jun18 May18 May07 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 4.00 58% 0.70    
OF GOOD REPORT Jul02 Jun17 May29 Apr29 Apr05 (woolley bennie )WADE LYNDIE 124 6.00 13% 6.50    
MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) Jul09 Jun18 May05 Apr08 Mar20 (rosin w)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  MOVE OVER (GB) Jul16 Jun24 Jun07 Mar04 Feb09 (asprino a)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50    
 
CBY-5   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 35 ALL PT- 8:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYE ON RY         (berndt jo)VALENZUELA A 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of JR. CLARE by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
HAYHAYCAPTAIN JAC         (litfin nevada)HARR KELSI 119 6.00    
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of SANILAC by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
WHODOESITBETTER         (riecken bruce)WADE LYNDIE 124 8.00    
  (by EYE OF THE LEOPARD out of PRETTY AS A SMILE by VISION AND VERSE)
R VOO'S TABOO Jul15 Jul01 Jun11 May28 Apr28 (westermann)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 2.00 13% 6.70    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of R VOOVOO AFFAIR by BLUMIN AFFAIR)
SWEET ANALYZER Jul15 Jul01 Sep15 Sep08 Aug18 (r)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of DAZZLINGSWEETHEART by DAZZLING FALLS)
B L'S CONCERTO Jul15 Jun11 May28     (donlin larr)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 4.50    
  (by TIMBER LEGEND out of BELLS OF CONCERTO by CONCERTO)
 
CBY-6   07/29/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 35 ALL PT- 8:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORYFORTHEPOSSE Jul09         (biehler micha)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 12.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of JOY AND VICTORY by FINN MCCOOL)
HARLEEZY Jul09 Jun24       (rosin w)WADE LYNDIE 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE out of AVA RAE by SOARING EMPIRE)
PRINCE OF EARL Jun24 Jun07 May20 May03 Apr10 (chleborad l)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 3.00 15% 5.50    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of AUSSIEAUSSIEAUSSIE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
JACKSON ACTION Jul09         (berndt jo)ULLOA JOAN 124 1.80 38% 1.60    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of IT'S TAMARENO by VICTORY GALLOP)
STABILITY May21 May14       (m)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of ORIENTATIOUS by ORIENTATE (GB))
WHISTLER         (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of TRICKSAREN'T FREE by WESTERN TRICK)
ANGEL OF ATTACK Jul15 May29       (berndt jo)VALENZUELA A 119 8.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of NO RETREAT by HYPERBOREAN)
 
CBY-7   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EUROMANTIC Jul03 May27 May10 Apr24 Dec16 (hanson vi)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00    
CITRUS BAY Jul03 Jun03 May06 Apr28 Sep17 (tranquilino san)WADE LYNDIE 122 10.00    
SCR  REEF'S DESTINY Jul16 Jun25 May06 Apr07 Mar23 (cline n)HARR KELSI 122 6.00    
GRAY MAGICIAN Jul12 Jun21 Jun03 Apr24 Apr03 (silva jose )QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 2.50 17% 4.80    
INTER MIAMI Jun28 Jun07 May22 Apr29 Mar24 (rhone bernell)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
RECKONING DAY Jun21 Jun03 May01 Apr04 Mar18 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 1.60 60% 0.70    
 
CBY-8   07/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOM'S GIRL Jun14 May08 May01 Apr11 Mar20 (biehler michael)WADE LYNDIE 119 10.00    
MOLLY'S ANGEL Jul15 Jun26 May27 Mar11 Jan14 (padilla t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 2.00    
IT'S HER TIME Jul16 May27 Sep10 Aug13 Jul16 (robertson m)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 6.00 20% 4.00    
COUNTESS OF CAIRO Jun18 Feb18 Jan26 Dec15 Nov25 (vanwinkle)VALENZUELA A 119 15.00    
ELUSIVE AMELIA Jun26 Jun02 Apr07 May01 Mar09 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
CLUBHOUSE SAINT Jun03 May06 Mar29 Mar06 Feb12 (woolle)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 4.00 16% 5.20    
SEA LEVEL Jul16 Jun07 May01 Dec07 Nov15 (biehler mic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 13% 6.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.