Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Thursday - July 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(8/9/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(8/9/1)-(1/11/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-2   WIN (8/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/9/1)-(8/9/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/9/1)-(8/9/1)-(8/9/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/9/1)-(1/11/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/9/1)-(1/11/7/5)-(1/8/2/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
DEL-3   WIN (1/11/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/11/7/5)-(1/11/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/11/7/5)-(1/11/7/5)-(1/11/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/11/7/5)-(1/8/2/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/11/7/5)-(1/8/2/7/9)-(2/7) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
DEL-4   WIN (1/8/2/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/7/9)-(1/8/2/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/7/9)-(1/8/2/7/9)-(1/8/2/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/2/7/9)-(2/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (1/8/2/7/9)-(2/7)-(2/3/1/6) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
DEL-5   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/7)-(2/3/1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(2/3/1/6)-(3/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DEL-6   WIN (2/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/6)-(2/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/6)-(2/3/1/6)-(2/3/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/1/6)-(3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/6)-(3/1/2)-(5/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-7   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(5/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
DEL-8   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/7)-(5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   07/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOON ME AGAIN Jul13 Jun30 Jun14 May25 Apr30 (nazario pedro)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
PROTOMAGIC Jul14 Jun28 Jun17 Apr27 Apr12 (sullivan ellio)HIRALDO JOHN 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  HAD THE NOTION Jul06 Jun15 May12 Apr13 Mar18 (harting chr)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 113 8.00    
VALUABLE BREIGH Jun06 May16 Mar20 Feb22 Feb06 (castillo sa)RAMOS C 120 10.00 12% 7.70    
NURSE RACHETT Jul05 Jun17 May25 Nov03 Oct21 (cronk samuel)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 6.00    
SHANIA SEA Jul12 Jun12 Apr26 Apr07 Mar16 (cole-davis )OCASIO JONATHAN 120 8.00    
SCR  ROSY APPLE Jun24 Jun14 May31 Nov12 Oct29 (arriagada ju)ARROYO S 120 4.00    
 
DEL-2   07/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMILIA'S LEGACY (PER) Feb25 Jan26       (correa maxine)CEDENO CAROL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
RAIN OF BLESSING Jun24 May28 Apr28 Apr12 Mar29 (mcgoey mo)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 4.00    
SCR  LITTLE MOOJI Jun22 May19 Apr27 Mar29 Mar08 (simone michae)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 8.00    
SK'S HEART Jul19 Jun24 May26 May13   (nazario pedro)ALICEA JEREMY 112 12.00    
SCR  IVY WAY Jul12 Jun09 Oct29 Oct07 Sep30 (saleem gordon)BROWN DALTON 122 15.00    
CHOOSELOV Jun10 May27 May06 Apr04   (lopez mario)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 112 15.00    
SCR  BIONIC KAT Jul05 Jun14 May10 May03 Apr19 (padilla o)RUIZ ELISEO 112 12.00    
SHEMADEMEBLUSH Jul07 May31 Mar02 Feb08 Dec17 (pecoraro ant)ARROYO S 119 2.00 49% 1.00    
DATS A SUPERSTAR Jul12 Jun22 May25 Feb24 Jan25 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
DEL-3   07/27/2023 5490ft TURF RC7 SOFT Claiming ($26K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING OF DREAMS Jul07 May29 Jan30 Jan15 Oct07 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
CREATIVE CLOUD Jul06 Jun14 May27 Apr26 Mar18 (posadas pedro)ALICEA JEREMY 111 15.00    
SCR  BURGEE Jul15 Jun23 May24 May07 Mar31 (gaudet lac)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 118 8.00    
MISSION KEY Jun30 Jun17 May31 Oct01 Sep01 (aguayo ramo)MARIN A 115 12.00    
THE SKIPSTER Jul06 Apr22 Apr02 Mar05 Feb19 (posadas pedr)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 8.00 7% 12.90    
DRAMATIZED Jul07 Jun20 May22 May13 Oct22 (bouchard le)OCASIO JONATHAN 115 20.00    
THE KING CHEEK Jun13 May22 May12 Apr02 Mar13 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 4.50 18% 4.70    
SCR  ALVY Jun30 Jun21 May31 May18 May05 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 8.00    
BOX OFFICE WARRIOR Jul15 Jul03 Jun02 May20 Apr18 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 124 2.50    
SCR  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) Jun16 May29 Mar03 Dec22 Nov12 (schultz li)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 8.00    
11  MR MATUSCHEK Jan14 Dec10 Nov18 Jul30 Jul03 (alvarado diane)MARIN SAMUEL 118 5.00 22% 3.50    
 
DEL-4   07/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SICILIA MIKE May18 Apr29 Mar07 Feb22 Jan27 (corrale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 8.00 34% 2.00    
VELVET GHOST Jun04 May20 Apr29 Apr06 Mar17 (corrales jo)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 8.00 10% 9.00    
MY REDEMPTION Jul12 May03 Feb08 Jan30 Dec11 (sullivan ellio)HIRALDO JOHN 120 3.00    
ALBERTANO Jun24 Jun04 Apr29 Apr06 Mar17 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 122 6.00    
PARADISE PRIDE Jul12 Jun26 Jun06 May10 Apr17 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 6.00    
KING CAIRO Jun23 Jun09 May06 Apr22 Mar05 (alvarado diane)MARIN SAMUEL 122 4.00    
MIRACLE SILVER Jul14 Jun23 May24 May08 Apr19 (nazario pe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
GREYZER Jul08 Jun23 Feb19 Jan25 Jan14 (klesaris st)MARIN A 120 5.00 29% 2.50    
BERMONDSEY Jun21 Nov01 Sep07 Jul07 Jun25 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
DEL-5   07/27/2023 4950ft TURF RC5 SOFT Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PAYNTER'S PRODIGY         (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 3.50    
  (by PAYNTER out of ENGLISH CHOCOLATE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
CANDY CORN         (stidham mic)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 2.50 47% 1.10    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MCCALL by VIOLENCE)
MORTAL SIN Jul07         (doran carl)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 8.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of GALADRIEL'S LIGHT by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
SCR  HONEST ROGUE Jul07         (schistl rafael)BLANCO ANDRY 118 10.00    
  (by ROGUEISH out of SANDBURG VILLAGE by CITY ZIP)
SHARP TONES         (ashby lynn)HIRALDO JOHN 118 6.00    
  (by TONALIST out of A DICEY DAME by COLONEL JOHN)
SCR  OLIGARCH         (pregman john)ARROYO S 118 8.00    
  (by LOST TREASURE (IRE) out of MISIA LUISA by STRONG CONTENDER)
WORK HARD         (capuano gar)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 4.50 15% 5.70    
  (by AUDIBLE out of PEARLS by BLACK TIE AFFAIR (IRE))
SCR  FINAL OPPORTUNITY         (lawrence james)CEDENO CAROL 118 10.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of DOUBLE DELTA by DOUBLE HONOR)
 
DEL-6   07/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAMESTONKS Jul08 Jun10 May06 Mar18 Mar10 (sanchez-salomon)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 8.00 6% 16.20    
PATTY CAKES Jul14 Mar30 Feb11 Jan01 Oct30 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 2.00 60% 0.70    
I LOVE YOU Jul05 Jul30 Jul01     (capuano gar)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 13% 6.90    
OUT OF SORTS Jun18 May13 Mar25 Jan28 Dec30 (mosco robert)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.00    
CHAMPAGNE TOAST Jun23 Dec30 Nov12 Sep30 Aug19 (gaudet lac)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 4.00    
MUSICAL CAT Jul01 Jun16 Jun02 May10 Apr30 (raven kerri)ARROYO S 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
DRY WELL Jun23 Jun03 May13 Apr12 Mar10 (walters henr)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 6.00    
 
DEL-7   07/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ST ANDREWS Jul07 Jun02 Apr28 Apr15 Feb17 (compton greg)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 2.50 26% 2.90    
NOBLE FISH Jun21 Jun01 May06 Apr14   (alvarado diane)HIRALDO JOHN 121 6.00 8% 12.10    
STRUGAR Jun15 May09 Apr17 Apr04 Feb13 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  PRACTICALITY Jun18 May28 Dec21 Nov23   (arriagada ju)ARROYO S 116 6.00    
STONECOLDWARRIOR Jul15 Jun30 Jun17 Mar17 Dec15 (siculietan)MENDOZA JHONATAN 121 10.00    
SCR  LORD BERRIER Jul06 Jun15 May06 Apr19 Apr02 (klesaris st)MARIN A 123 3.50    
SCR  GOLDEN SPOKE Jul12 Jun13 May15 May06 Apr12 (simone michael)CEDENO CAROL 121 12.00    
BIG LOUIE Jun09 May06 Apr26 Apr07   (marino gary)TROTMAN KEIMAR 116 10.00    
 
DEL-8   07/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINISTER QUINN Jul07 May27 Apr29 Apr02 Dec24 (machado ant)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  PRESSING CONCERN Jul07 Jun01 May18 May04 Apr06 (mohan david)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 116 8.00    
EDMUND FITZGERALD Jul15 Jun21 Jun01 Apr29 Apr01 (hayford jenn)ARROYO S 122 3.50    
WOOTDAREITIS Jul07 Mar26 Mar11 Feb15 Jan28 (werneth rober)ALICEA JEREMY 116 15.00    
BRICK TOWN Jun07 Mar31 Feb26 Dec16 Dec02 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 116 1.80 35% 1.90    
SCR  DUCK DUCKY GOOSE Jul17 Jun10 Apr04 Mar01 Feb13 (allen randy)NGUYEN JASON 122 6.00    
STELLWAGEN BANKER Jul13 Jul07 Jun23 Jun01 Mar30 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 10.00 14% 6.30    
I AM IT Jul07 Jun01 Oct26 Sep29 Sep15 (cronk samuel)TROTMAN KEIMAR 123 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.