Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - July 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/1/3)-(5/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(5/8/7/6)-(5/3/1) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-2   WIN (5/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/6)-(5/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/7/6)-(5/8/7/6)-(5/8/7/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (5/8/7/6)-(5/3/1)-(7/6/2/5) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-3   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(7/6/2/5)-(6/3/7/8) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-4   WIN (7/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/5)-(7/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/5)-(7/6/2/5)-(7/6/2/5) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (7/6/2/5)-(6/3/7/8)-(1/4/3/7) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-5   WIN (6/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/8)-(6/3/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/8)-(6/3/7/8)-(6/3/7/8) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (6/3/7/8)-(1/4/3/7)-(1/4/2/8) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-6   WIN (1/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (1/4/3/7)-(1/4/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ASD-7   WIN (1/4/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/8)-(1/4/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/8)-(1/4/2/8)-(1/4/2/8) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   07/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET DESIGN Jul05 Jul18 Jun29 Jun07   (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 123 3.00 10% 8.70    
2  MEABEAR Jun05 Sep19 Aug31 Aug09 Jul25 (rawson fred)CUMBERBATCH R 123 1.00 60% 0.70    
3  LADY COP Jul11 Jun20 Sep19 Aug29 Jul25 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 117 6.00 9% 10.10    
4  VIOGNIER Jul12 Jun28 Jun14 Sep19 Aug24 (anderson carl)AEBLY FRASER 118 12.00    
5  ARAMON Jul11 Jun28 Jun14 Sep26 Sep12 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 123 4.00    
 
ASD-2   07/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAN'T KATZE ME Jul12 Jun27 Jun12 Sep28 Sep13 (maxwell curtis)BELLE SHAVON 123 25.00    
2  EVERYTHING TO GAIN Jul12 Jul04 Jun19 Jun07 May22 (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 112 5.00    
3  BOTTLES AN BIBLES Jul05 Jun28 May17 May08 Apr24 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 1.60    
4  MOVE TO ORDER Jul12 Jun27 Jun07 May22 Apr21 (morin sh)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 20.00    
5  BITS OF LEMON DROP Jul12 Jun27 Jun12     (morse vic)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 2.00 46% 1.20    
6  HELENS SPIRIT Jul12 Jun07 Sep27 Sep07 Aug28 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  FAST LANDING Jul12 Jun27 Nov04 Oct14 Sep03 (brown shelley)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  FREEDOM CONVOY         (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 117 10.00 25% 3.10    
 
ASD-3   07/25/2023 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Debutante Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YELLOW BIRDIE Jul04         (pruitt lise)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 4.00 21% 3.80    
  (by AUDIBLE out of FLEET BERTIE by AFLEET ALEX)
2  MY KIND OF NITE         (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 117 12.00    
  (by SATURDAYNITELITES out of DREAM PROOF by IDIOT PROOF)
3  MOBIL CREEK Jul10         (nault mic)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 2.00 24% 3.20    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of MOBIL APP by MOBIL)
4  DAISYSADOOZY Jul10         (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 8.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of GRACE OF HEARTS by GRAND SLAM)
5  COMMANDOSLASTDANCE Jul10         (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 117 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of SWEET TIZZY LIZZY by TIZNOW)
6  KONTIE Jul04         (pruitt lise)AEBLY FRASER 117 5.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of MILK RUN by RUNNING STAG)
 
ASD-4   07/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNDAY SUZANNE Jun14 May30 Oct21 Sep12 Aug24 (jordan jennife)BUDHU ARTHUR 121 8.00    
2  MOORE'S MIRACLE Jul11 Sep24 Sep17 Aug31 Jul26 (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SASSY'S STORMIN Jul10 May29 Sep05 Aug16 Jul25 (husbands )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 10.00    
4  FINGER TIP Jul11 Jun26 Jun13 May29 Sep19 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 25.00    
5  ASK THE KING Jul11 Jun14 May30 Apr10 Mar20 (mooney bill)BELLE SHAVON 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  JUST FOR CHARLOTTE Jul10 Jul03 Jun26 Jun13 Jun05 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 2.50 14% 6.30    
7  ALWAYS THE LIL ONE Jun12 May30 Sep26 Sep05   (pruitt lise)CARRENO J 123 2.00 60% 0.70    
8  TALE OF ATREIDES Jul11 Jun27 Jun12 Jun07 Apr07 (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 117 3.50    
 
ASD-5   07/25/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY SUNSET Jul04 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul11 (stanford maria)BELLE SHAVON 119 30.00    
2  MURDO Jul03 Jun20 May23 Apr22 Apr08 (brown shelley)CARRENO J 124 3.50    
3  ORCADIAN STORM Dec13 Nov26 Nov15 Sep17 Aug26 (sanderson)CHADEE JR 124 3.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  ALL SHACKED UP Oct01 Sep05 Aug22 Aug09 Jul12 (brown allen)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 5.00    
5  TOWARDS THE LIGHT Jul12 Jul03 Jun20 Jun07 Sep28 (ross courtney)ALI RONALD 124 20.00    
6  TIZ FUNNY May30 Jun21 Jun06     (brown al)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 1.60 63% 0.60    
7  FREUDIAN SIP Jul12 Jun21 Jun05 Sep24 Sep06 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 15.00 5% 18.60    
8  OHTANI Jul12 Jul03 Jun20 Jun07 Sep28 (gardipy jr)AEBLY FRASER 119 25.00 5% 19.00    
 
ASD-6   07/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARLONS COMMISION Jul11 Jun21 Jun07 May14 Apr30 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 123 5.00 43% 1.40    
2  THATSALOTOFBLING Jul11 Jun27 Jun14 May29 Apr29 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 1.60    
3  ENJAY'S BRASS Jul11 Jun20 Sep28 Sep12 Aug30 (senebald dona)TARASENCO P 121 20.00 5% 17.90    
4  ASTARTOBE Jul11 Jun27 Jun14 May22 Sep19 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 8.00 20% 4.00    
5  FLYING TO THE LINE Jul19 Jun27 Jun14 Feb21 Feb08 (brown jared)AEBLY FRASER 118 4.00    
6  VEILAZIG Jul04 Jun27 Jun10 May07 Apr14 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 121 6.00    
7  WHERETHEMONEYWENT Jul11 Jun27 Jun05 Apr19 Apr02 (keplin s)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  CORDILLERA Jul04 Jun20 Jun07 Oct14 Sep19 (buffalo marvin)BALROOP SVEN 123 10.00    
 
ASD-7   07/25/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAILSPLITTER Jul11 Jul03 May30 Sep19 Sep05 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
2  EXCHEQUER Jul03 Jun19 May30 Feb18 Feb01 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 3.00 20% 3.90    
3  ROAMING UNION Jul11 Jun26 Jun19 Jun05 Aug24 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 12.00    
4  BOTTLE OF SMOKE Jul04 Jun06 May22 Apr26 Apr10 (dickey elton)CARRENO J 124 5.00 21% 3.90    
SCR  GONE SOMEWHERE Jul11 Jul03 May23 May02 Apr01 (maxwell )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 4.50    
6  MAYBE SOMETIME Jul11 Jul04 Jun19 May23 Sep26 (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 117 20.00    
7  SIDE STREET DAVE Jul04 Mar27 Mar06 Feb26 Jan30 (sanderson)CHADEE JR 122 15.00    
8  RIDE EM Jul10 Jun28 Jun12 May23 Sep26 (maxwell curtis)CHOW CHAVION 124 8.00 9% 10.30    
9  ETU BABOU Jul04 May22 Apr26 Apr03 Mar01 (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.