Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Wednesday - July 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(3/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(3/7/5)-(1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5)-(1/3)-(3/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-3   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(3/6/2)-(1/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-4   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(1/2/6)-(5/6/1/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-5   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(5/6/1/8)-(2/9/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-6   WIN (5/6/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/8)-(5/6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/8)-(5/6/1/8)-(5/6/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1/8)-(2/9/1/7)-(5/4/6/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
BTP-7   WIN (2/9/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/1/7)-(2/9/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/1/7)-(2/9/1/7)-(2/9/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/1/7)-(5/4/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BTP-8   WIN (5/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY CAT TOO May31 Apr28 Apr05 Mar24 Mar04 (manning j)HESS SARA 117 5.00 11% 8.30    
2  SOULSTONE Jun14 May18 Apr29 Apr05 Mar08 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 4.50    
3  LA CHAPEAU Jul08 Apr27 Feb05 Jan06 Dec15 (esquivel )CORREA L 124 3.50    
4  GRANADICA Jul06 May20 May04 Feb20 Jan13 (sandy s)MCKEE J 122 2.50    
5  ARKLAHOMA SOUL Jun26 Jun04 Jan14 Dec19 Sep26 (mcvickers la)MARCANO Y 112 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  COLUMN Jun22 May27       (butcher james)AYALA ISAIAS 117 3.00 62% 0.60    
 
BTP-2   07/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STAR SLUGGER Aug14         (jazdzewski jon)AYALA ISAIAS 125 6.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of STAR PRESENCE by FOREST WILDCAT)
2  ROCKY'S EXPRESS Jun17 Nov29 Oct27 Oct14   (hamm timo)CORREA L 125 10.00    
  (by IN SUMMATION out of MILTOS EXPRESS by NOTEBOOK)
3  OVERDUE HONOR May20         (roussel louis )MACHADO LUAN 125 3.00 40% 1.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of STARSHIP DUCHESS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  TENPAK Jul06 Jun22 May20 May06 Apr23 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 120 3.50    
  (by CHIEF WHITE FOX out of SILVERLITE J C by AIRDRIE APACHE)
5  COLLECT DIS MONEY Jul01 Dec17       (meah m)HEARD TYLER 120 4.50 6% 16.50    
  (by COLLECTED out of ASCENT by CAPOTE)
SCR  TOURIST CAT Jun17 May31 May20     (johnston rebe)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00    
  (by TOURIST out of FASHION FUR by MR. GREELEY)
7  MONCRIEF Jul01 Jun01 Sep23     (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 2.00 29% 2.40    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of HEYKITTYKITTYKITTY by TACTICAL CAT)
 
BTP-3   07/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($27.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M LEGIT Jun15 Jun07 Sep08 Jul28 Jul08 (melancon paul)BUSH V 120 3.00 51% 1.00    
SCR  WOLFIE'S PRINCESS Jun15 May25 Jan17 Dec30 Nov12 (cline robert )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 2.50    
3  LA ROSA Jul07 May25 Feb15 Jan17 Dec20 (hamm timo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 1.80 19% 4.30    
4  ABIGAIL LEE Jun15 May22 Apr12 Jun29 May26 (waltermire bruce)MCKEE J 120 6.00    
5  EARLY BLOOMER May12 Dec30 Dec15 Nov12 Sep23 (barker scott )CANUTO THIAGO 120 5.00    
 
BTP-4   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIKITRAKI May31 May16 Apr19 Mar24 Feb04 (davis joseph )LEBRON VICTOR 120 4.50    
2  ZIP IT SCOTTY Jul05 Jun14 May27 May13 Apr27 (jazdzewski jon)AYALA ISAIAS 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  WELL CONNECTED Jun14 Apr15 Mar10 Dec11 Nov29 (march william)BUSH V 120 2.00 41% 1.40    
4  BEACH FRONT Jul07 Jun14 Mar28 Mar09 Feb27 (zircher rob)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 10.00    
5  K W CAPTAIN HOOK Jun22 May19 Feb02 Jan04 Nov07 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 3.00    
6  EL BOHEMIO Jul05 May18 Apr27 Mar13 Feb03 (esquivel )CORREA L 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
 
BTP-5   07/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COME SEE ABOUT IT Jun24 May17 Mar14 Feb23 Jan30 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 1.80 56% 0.80    
2  MIDNIGHT NIGHTMARE Jul05 Jun08 May04 Apr14 Feb18 (mcvickers lamar)HESS SARA 115 5.00 10% 8.60    
3  BASTIEN LE BROWN Jul01 Jun22 Jun09 May20 Feb10 (donjuan s)CORREA L 120 4.00    
4  SCAT SHACK Jun22 Jun14 May25 May17 Apr23 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 6.00    
5  FERRYBOAT Jul01 Jun15 May20 Mar31 Jan06 (miller jero)PETERSON FERRIN 120 8.00    
6  OUT WORK'N Jul01 Jun16 May17 May05 Feb18 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 120 3.00 9% 10.10    
 
BTP-6   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMERALD EYES Jun30 Jun09 May24 May11 Apr24 (salcedo r)CORREA L 120 4.50 8% 11.00    
  (by TOUGH IT UP out of CAPE VERDE by CAPE BLANCO)
2  INCREDIBLE MARINI Jul05 Mar08 Feb20 Jan26 Jan11 (bogart robe)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 10.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of JUSTINCREDIBLE by MARINO MARINI)
3  SHAKA'S LYRIC Jul05 Jun09 Nov15 Oct31   (jac)GONZALEZ JESUS 120 5.00    
  (by LEA out of PRAY FOR GRACE by SONGANDAPRAYER)
4  SHEZ IN A TIZZY Jul05 Jun09       (adams l)HESS SARA 119 12.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of FLY INTO MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  COMPUTER WHIZ Jul05 Jun09 May04     (brafford mich)CANUTO THIAGO 120 2.50 49% 1.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of TIE by EVEN THE SCORE)
6  OHIO LADY Jun08 May17 May04 Apr12 Mar16 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.50 20% 4.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of IMPATIENT LADY by PLEASANT TAP)
7  OUTPOST GIRL Jul05 Apr25 Apr10     (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 120 6.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of GOOSE SKYWALKER by STRATEGIC MISSION)
8  TWILIGHT BEAUTY Jul05 May19 May04 Apr10 Mar21 (donjuan serg)MARCANO Y 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of MIDNIGHT BEAUTY by PROSPECTOR'S BID)
 
BTP-7   07/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE SIMBA Jun23 Jun07 Mar31 Mar10 Feb03 (howard d)MCKEE J 117 3.50 19% 4.20    
2  BIG HELLO Jun09 Dec07 Nov13 Sep28 Jun22 (meah m)CANUTO THIAGO 122 4.50 22% 3.60    
3  PAST IMPERATIVE Jul01 Jun08 May12 Mar31 Mar11 (sandy s)OUZTS W 122 5.00    
SCR  SAN MARCO CITY Jun07 May18 Apr13 Mar23 Mar11 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 117 2.50    
5  MONKEY ZONE Jul07 Jun24 May27 May18 Apr29 (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 122 12.00    
6  GIVE GOD PRAISE Jun23 Jun07 May18 Apr28 Mar17 (bush george)LAGUNES GABRIEL 117 8.00    
7  CALL ME GUSTO Jun17 May22 Jul05 Jun23 Mar12 (huffman pat)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 15.00 10% 9.10    
8  VAMOS ANTONIO Jun21 Jun07 May24 Oct06 Sep20 (march william)BUSH V 122 12.00    
9  GREENSFELDER Jul07 Jun23 Jun07 May20 May06 (ramos francisc)REYES R 122 6.00 19% 4.10    
 
BTP-8   07/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FATHER PATRICK Jul05 Jun17 Jun08 May18 Apr29 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 115 10.00    
2  BRONX Jun30 Jun16 May19 Apr29 Mar05 (adams l)REYES R 120 4.00    
3  EXCLAIM Jul05 Jun23 May15 Mar10 Feb17 (rodak geraldi)LEBRON VICTOR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  GONE ROGUE Jun22 Dec20 Dec07 Sep29 Sep01 (skeens jeremy)MCKEE J 120 2.50 25% 2.90    
5  DUDLEY Jun30 Jun14 May19 May06 Apr27 (salcedo r)CORREA L 120 3.50 44% 1.30    
6  JUST CHITU Jun30 Jun07 Jan02 Nov19 Nov03 (wilson davi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 5.00 7% 14.40    
7  BAKER'S MAN Jun30 May31 Apr23 Apr08 Mar19 (lauer michael)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 10.00    
8  ENGLISH CLASSIC Jul01 Jun09 May25 Apr29 Mar31 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.