Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Saturday - July 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (4/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/7)-(4/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/7)-(4/3/6/7)-(4/3/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/6/7)-(5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6/7)-(5/2/6)-(4/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-2   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(4/1/3)-(2/6/8/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-3   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(2/6/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(2/6/8/7)-(3/6/2/9/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-4   WIN (2/6/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/8/7)-(2/6/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/8/7)-(2/6/8/7)-(2/6/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/8/7)-(3/6/2/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/8/7)-(3/6/2/9/4)-(1/7/4/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-5   WIN (3/6/2/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/9/4)-(3/6/2/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/9/4)-(3/6/2/9/4)-(3/6/2/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/2/9/4)-(1/7/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2/9/4)-(1/7/4/3)-(10/6/7/8/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
CNL-6   WIN (1/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/4/3)-(10/6/7/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/3)-(10/6/7/8/5)-(5/4/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-7   WIN (10/6/7/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/6/7/8/5)-(10/6/7/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/6/7/8/5)-(10/6/7/8/5)-(10/6/7/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/6/7/8/5)-(5/4/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/6/7/8/5)-(5/4/3)-(4/3/2/8/1) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CNL-8   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(4/3/2/8/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CNL-9   WIN (4/3/2/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/8/1)-(4/3/2/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/8/1)-(4/3/2/8/1)-(4/3/2/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   07/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IMMORTAL LION         (casse mar)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 5.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of IMMORTAL LIFE by IFFRAAJ)
2  WINE COLLECTOR Jun16 May26       (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 119 4.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of CORINTHIAN'S LARK by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
3  RUM TUM TUGGER Jun22         (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 119 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of JELLICLE SONG by STREET CRY (IRE))
4  GOLDEN ERA         (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 2.00 31% 2.30    
  (by UNCLE MO out of GOLDEN VELVET by SEEKING THE GOLD)
5  ECHO LANE May19         (lightner mary)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
  (by TREASURE BEACH out of MISBEHAVIN MISS by MINESHAFT)
6  DESTINO Jun03         (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MASTERY out of PINCHBECK by MINESHAFT)
7  COPPER MISSILE         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of UNIQUE RIDE by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  AUTHORIATE         (munoz ca)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 30.00    
  (by CONNECT out of SILVER SHAKER by LONHRO (AUS))
9  PIRATE RADIO         (casse ma)GALLARDO A 119 6.00    
  (by ENTICED out of LE PLUME by SMART STRIKE)
 
CNL-2   07/15/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOYA DEL SUR Jun25 Sep06 Aug29 Aug08 Jul27 (munoz carlos)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 20.00    
2  CAROLINE KRYSTYNA Jun18 May19       (brion keri)CEDENO CAROL 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
3  Z FIRST Jun16 May13 Feb25 Jun26 Jun11 (klesaris s)SANCHEZ J 123 1.50    
4  DETERMINED CHARM Jun13 Dec03 Nov18 Oct20 Sep18 (schoenthal p)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 12.00    
5  AFTER EIGHT Jun18 May19 Apr23 Aug25   (delacour )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 1.40 35% 1.80    
6  MOANAS POWER Jun03 May07 Mar09 Feb10 Dec31 (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 15.00 10% 9.10    
 
CNL-3   07/15/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PETIT FILS (FR) May24 May12 Sep16 Aug29 Jul13 (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 125 1.00 16% 5.50    
2  ERIC THE SALESMAN Jun06 May30 Oct04 Sep18 Aug23 (zook w)AVILES YAN 125 4.00    
3  VOLTAMOUR Dec05 Nov13 Oct24 Sep18 Aug23 (mcgoey m)GALLARDO A 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  OFFICER COUNTRY Jun09 May12 Apr29 Feb02 Jan19 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 125 1.80 56% 0.80    
5  CANDY KINGDOM Jun24 Jun18 May27 May13 Jan05 (zook w)ROJAS MARTINA 118 6.00    
6  TEMPUS May23 Oct13 Oct04 Sep20 Sep06 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 125 15.00    
 
CNL-4   07/15/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Tyson Gilpin Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHICKAHOMINY         (godsey d)BOYCE FOREST 122 10.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of TOCCOA by PURPLE COMET)
2  AMERICAN HEIGHTS May22 Mar31 Mar11 Jan21 Dec08 (morey willia)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 1.60 36% 1.80    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SAXET HEIGHTS by OUTFLANKER)
3  MY BOSS LADY Jun17 Feb17 Feb04 Jan20 Jan06 (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 122 30.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of MOONLIGHT LADY by MALIBU MOON)
4  CAROLINA SUN Jun25 May27 Apr20 Nov20 Oct21 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 4.50    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of CAROLINA SHAG by BOP)
5  MYSTIC SEAPORT Jun16 Jun02 May14 Mar12 Feb26 (albert lind)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 118 20.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SKETCH BOOK by STORMY ATLANTIC)
6  AISHA R N May11 Apr01 Feb18 Jan15 Dec09 (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 4.00 25% 3.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GEMINI R N by MINESHAFT)
7  SPEAK YOUR MIND Apr30 Mar11 Feb10 Jan07 Dec10 (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of LEVA MAE by EMANCIPATOR)
8  CHAMBEAU Oct02 Sep17 Sep07 Aug16 Jul11 (aguirre antho)KARAMANOS A 122 2.50 17% 4.70    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of IF NOT FOR LUST by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
CNL-5   07/15/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Punch Line Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KENNY HAD A NOTION Jun30 May25 Apr15 Mar18 Feb25 (jones e)HO WESLEY 122 4.50    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of DARTING by DURING)
2  EMBOLDEN Jun07 Nov27 Oct23 Oct09 Aug29 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 122 10.00 19% 4.30    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SILVER HEART by LION HEARTED)
3  DETERMINED KINGDOM Jun16 May20 Sep07 Aug14 Jul11 (schoenthal)SANCHEZ J 122 2.00 35% 1.90    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of FILIA by FOREVER SPARKLE)
4  UNCLE ANDREW Jun05 May23 Dec14 Nov25 Oct25 (lawrence jam)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of BONNIE ROSE by SKY CLASSIC)
5  IMAGOODFELLA May06 Apr08 Jan20 Dec28 Nov25 (russo anth)ALONSO LUIS 118 30.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of SEATTLE GIRL by IKARI)
6  BOLDOR Jan21 Dec10 Oct28 Sep07 Aug16 (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 1.80 21% 3.70    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SENATE CAUCUS by SIPHON (BRZ))
7  TAPIO (IRE) Jun11 May20 Mar04 Jun24   (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 8.00    
  (by BLAME out of QUEENS PLAZA by FORESTRY)
8  CHEATIN SONG         (aguirre anthony)AVILES YAN 122 15.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of IF NOT FOR LUST by NOT FOR LOVE)
9  SHASTREE Jul07 Jan12 Jul17 Jan08   (pompay terri)MENESES MARCOS 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of TRISHAS EVEN by EVEN THE SCORE)
10  BOONDOGGLE Feb05 Jan16 Jan01 Dec18 Dec02 (hester l)GALLARDO A 122 30.00    
  (by GONE CLUBBING out of GOLDEN MARGARITA by STOP THE MUSIC)
 
CNL-6   07/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Brookmeade Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUFANI Jun24 May24 Apr15     (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 0.80 57% 0.80    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of WINDHOEK by MINESHAFT)
2  CONTINENTALCONGRES Jun24 May19 Aug16 Jul11 Jun11 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 123 4.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of PAST AS PRELUDE by BERNARDINI)
3  GALILEI Jun24 May27 Nov19 Oct30 Sep18 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  BODE'S HERITAGE Apr02 Feb24 Jan18 Nov21 Sep09 (delacour )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of EXCEPTIONALLY by EL PRADO (IRE))
5  MY MAGGIE MOO May13 Apr23 Mar29 Aug12 Jul23 (farro patricia)CASTANON L 123 20.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of TIZTALENTED by TIZNOW)
6  OSA May26 Aug02 Jul20 Jul11 Jun10 (morgan carla)AVILES YAN 123 30.00    
  (by COSA VERA out of SEEKING ALLIE by SEEKING DAYLIGHT)
7  SURYA (ARG) Jun03 May13 Oct20 Sep29 Sep07 (russell britta)BOYCE FOREST 123 2.50 18% 4.50    
  (by STREET SENSE out of SUN SALUTATION by INCLUDE)
 
CNL-7   07/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Edward Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  E. P. MILTON Jun06 May28 Apr20 Sep25 Aug21 (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 30.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of EVEN PRETTIER by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
2  SOUTHPAW MIKE Jul08 Jun25 May25 Apr01 Feb26 (cooney s)GALLARDO A 118 30.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of PATRIOT MISS by QUIET AMERICAN)
SCR  SPRITZER Feb08 Jan19 Dec29 Dec09 Nov24 (hester leanne)CASTANON L 122 30.00    
  (by GONE CLUBBING out of CHIANTI KAT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
4  HAY CHIEF Jul09 Jun17 May26 Apr30 Mar12 (sanchez-salomon )AVILES YAN 118 30.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ARUBAN TRUTH by YES IT'S TRUE)
5  RECONVENE Jun20 May27 Sep18 Sep03 Aug19 (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of LEMON CRUSTA by LEMON DROP KID)
6  PASSION PLAY Nov07 Sep23 Sep07 Aug19 Jul11 (eppler e)KARAMANOS A 124 4.00 31% 2.30    
  (by HOLD ME BACK out of STYLISH AFFAIR by NOT FOR LOVE)
7  KENDAMA Jun11 May18 Nov14 Nov07 Oct23 (meyers madis)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of BILBOQUET by SMART STRIKE)
8  BUDDY BUDDY May27 Apr27 Mar31 Feb24 Dec08 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of FRANCEY DANCEY by CONGAREE)
9  GIGANTE Jul01 May17 Nov26 Oct09 Sep06 (asmussen ste)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 1.80    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SUMMERTIME GREEN by EMPIRE MAKER)
10  ALEX JOON Apr23 Mar26 Nov18 Oct21 Sep08 (schultz lindsa)BOYCE FOREST 122 1.50 39% 1.50    
  (by FLATTER out of SUN SALUTATION by INCLUDE)
 
CNL-8   07/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIC TIC TIC BOOM Jul02 Jun18 Jun03 May19 Dec30 (bedard alan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 1.50    
2  CUPID'S STRIKE Jun18 Oct20 Sep18 Aug19 Aug06 (farrior antho)KARAMANOS A 123 1.20    
3  EIGHT DANZAS Jun23 Jun02 May13 Apr27 Apr11 (bedard alan)CEDENO CAROL 123 20.00 7% 13.60    
4  CHARMED WAY May24 Jan25 Dec26 Jun11 May07 (cibelli jane)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 12.00 22% 3.60    
5  JAN'S GIRL Jun25 May07 Nov18 Oct22 Sep02 (cazares )GALLARDO A 125 2.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  MOONBOOTS Jun10 May25 Apr10 Mar21 Feb21 (morgan carla)BOYCE FOREST 123 30.00    
 
CNL-9   07/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D'ORO BABY Jun22 Apr26 Mar31 Feb17 Jan21 (ochoa gerard)AVILES YAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  VOODOO MAMA JUJU Jul06 Apr07 Mar18 Feb18 Feb10 (sanchez-salo)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 16% 5.20    
3  KIT CAN RUN Jun17 May19 Apr28 Mar22 Feb05 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 124 2.50 16% 5.20    
4  ANDIE ONE Jun02 Apr21 Mar23 Mar02 Feb01 (cazares laura)KARAMANOS A 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
5  TIPHARAH Jul01 May05 Apr05 Mar19 Mar04 (lusk r)MARTIN MATTIE 115 30.00    
6  HEARTBURN Jun09 May26 May18 Apr28 Nov05 (sanchez-salomon r)HO WESLEY 122 3.50    
7  FEMINISTA Jun20 May26 Nov13 Nov05 Oct08 (brion keri)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 5.00    
8  AMORE MOON Apr26 Apr08 Mar15 Mar01 Jan26 (ochoa gerard)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  C C'S FREEDOM Jun04 May05 Mar22 Jan20 Jan07 (russo anth)ALONSO LUIS 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.