Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Saturday - July 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRM-4   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(1/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(1/4/7/5)-(4/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-5   WIN (1/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/5)-(1/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/5)-(1/4/7/5)-(1/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/7/5)-(4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7/5)-(4/1/5)-(2/6/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-6   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(2/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(2/6/4/7)-(8/3/10/5/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRM-7   WIN (2/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/7)-(2/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/7)-(2/6/4/7)-(2/6/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/4/7)-(8/3/10/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/7)-(8/3/10/5/7)-(6/8/9/3/14) 100 $1.00 $100 
PRM-8   WIN (8/3/10/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/10/5/7)-(8/3/10/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/10/5/7)-(8/3/10/5/7)-(8/3/10/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/3/10/5/7)-(6/8/9/3/14) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/3/10/5/7)-(6/8/9/3/14)-(3/5/1) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
PRM-9   WIN (6/8/9/3/14) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/9/3/14)-(6/8/9/3/14) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/9/3/14)-(6/8/9/3/14)-(6/8/9/3/14) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/8/9/3/14)-(3/5/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/8/9/3/14)-(3/5/1)-(6/5/2/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRM-10   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(6/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-11   WIN (6/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/3)-(6/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/3)-(6/5/2/3)-(6/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-4   07/08/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.243K) 2 ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUPITER MISSION Jun23         (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 10.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of MY BRIA by JUMP START)
CAN'T BE CAUGHT         (mcshane d)TOHILL S 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of MICCOSUKEE MISS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
A JUST CAUSE         (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 119 5.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of JUST JILL by SEMORAN)
DAWSON'S STORM Jun23 Jun04       (fett brandi)CORBETT W 119 1.60 60% 0.70    
  (by MSHAWISH out of MY LOVE VENEZUELA by SCAT DADDY)
KISSED A CADET Jun23         (clark r)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 2.50 18% 4.50    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MISSMEKISSME by SIR CAT)
STROLLER BOY Jun23 Jun04       (guillory henry )ZIMMERMAN R 119 3.50    
  (by STROLL out of READY GOLDEN GIRL by MORE THAN READY)
 
PRM-5   07/08/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.243K) 2 F PT- 8:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORNINGNOONANDNITE Jun19         (mcshane d)TOHILL S 119 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of NOON AT NIGHT by TENPINS)
OLIVIA'S HOPE         (von kelly)CORBETT W 119 8.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of ESPERANZA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
THAT'S OUR VISION         (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 5.00    
  (by WILBURN out of VISION'S REWARD by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
CEL'S STAR Jun19 Jun04       (hicklin c)DE CRUZ 119 3.00 25% 3.10    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of CELERITAS by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
INCA STROLL         (mcshane d)ROMAN KEVIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STROLL out of INCA JEWEL by TIGER TALK)
CANADIAN JANE Jun19         (guillory henry )ZIMMERMAN R 119 15.00    
  (by STROLL out of MISS LADY JUNE by COOL COAL MAN)
QUIET I'M NOT         (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 4.00 6% 14.90    
  (by FLAT OUT out of ELEGANTLY QUIET by QUIET AMERICAN)
ESPRIT ROUGE         (gleason t)TRIANA JR 119 10.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of CRIMSON SPIRE by GONE WEST)
 
PRM-6   07/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Prairie Gold Juvenile Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 9:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
U CAN DO U Jun24         (eikleberr)TRIANA JR 118 3.00 30% 2.40    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SAINT'S CROWN by TIZNOW)
MC COUGAR Jun12         (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 6.00    
  (by KLIMT out of SHE'S EXTREME by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SURPRISE ROAD TRIP Jun23         (guillory henry )ZIMMERMAN R 118 5.00    
  (by KLIMT out of PRETTY SURPRISE by CONGRATS)
REAPER May13 Apr21       (alvarado )TORRES A 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by BRETHREN out of HORAH FOR BAILEY by DONERAILE COURT)
DIALED IN TO WIN Jun11         (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 118 2.50 13% 6.50    
  (by DIALED IN out of CHOSEN ROAD by QUALITY ROAD)
SINCERELY MINE Jun12         (arnett g)BIRZER E 116 8.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of INSINCERELY YOURS by FLATTER)
 
PRM-7   07/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Iowa Oaks Purse ($225K) 3 F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROKEN HEARTS BAY Jun24 Jun10 May13 Apr05 Mar11 (arnett g)BIRZER E 116 8.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of LOVE COVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
IMONRA May26 Apr27 Mar26 Dec18 Oct14 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 116 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by VIOLENCE out of LIGHT BRINGER by NORTHERN AFLEET)
CRYPTO MO Jun10 May28 May13 Apr08 Aug26 (murphy swan)NOLL S 116 5.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of FORTY WINDS by FORTY TALES)
FRIENDLYPERSUASION Jun11 Oct09 Sep17 Aug10 Jul04 (mccarthy mich)GARCIA MARTIN 116 3.00 10% 8.70    
  (by ARROGATE out of BRAZEN PERSUASION by INDIAN CHARLIE)
STELLAR LADY Jun06 May05 Mar25 Mar05 Feb04 (mcpeek ke)TORRES A 116 4.50    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of STELLAR BABY by BRAHMS)
LOVE TANK May20 Mar26 Feb28 Jan29 Jan15 (ashford ray)TOHILL S 116 4.00 31% 2.30    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of PERICHOLE by FAHIM)
PEACOCK LASS Jun02 May03 Apr07 Nov27 Oct30 (brisset )SANTANA JR 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of VIA VILLAGGIO by BERNARDINI)
 
PRM-8   07/08/2023 5940ft DIRT RC12 FAST Prairie Meadows Cornhusker Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT-10:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIANT GAME May11 Apr01 Feb25 Jan13 Mar12 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 114 15.00    
  (by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY out of GAME FOR MORE by MORE THAN READY)
PROMISE KEEPER Jun11 May06 Aug20 May13 Mar26 (stewart dalla)CABRERA DAVID 116 8.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MIRA ALTA by CURLIN)
CALL ME FAST Jun03 Apr22 Mar18 Feb18 Jan28 (puhich mi)LEPAROUX R 118 4.50 13% 6.60    
  (by DIALED IN out of CAGED MISTRESS by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
DOUBLE THUNDER Jun16 Apr15 Dec03 Nov04 Oct26 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 112 30.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of RATTATAPTAP by TAPIT)
SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING Apr22 Mar11 Jan28 Dec31 Sep24 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 120 3.00 6% 16.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of TWINKLING by EFFERVESCING)
FLEETRIDGE Jun12 Apr29 Oct13 Sep24 Aug07 (arnett g)BIRZER E 114 20.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of GLORIETTA BAY by A.P. INDY)
FROSTED GRACE May29 May05 Mar18 Feb25 Jan27 (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of CLASS by THUNDER GULCH)
WARRANT Jun10 May03 Apr02 Mar04 Jan26 (cox brad)SANTANA JR 119 4.00 42% 1.40    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of WHISPER NUMBER by FIRST SAMURAI)
PALUXY Jun10 Apr26 Apr05 Dec17 Nov21 (young e)ROMAN KEVIN 115 15.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of MISS PIPPA by MASTER COMMAND)
10  AIN'T LIFE GRAND Jun10 May05 Mar18 Oct01 Aug27 (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 3.50 12% 7.30    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CAT D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
PRM-9   07/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Iowa Derby Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT-10:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE IN VERMILLION Jun21 Jun03 May06 Apr08 Mar26 (martinez es)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 10.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of GIVEN STAR by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  BIG LUKE Jun03 May13 Oct01 Sep12 Jul29 (von kelly)CORBETT W 116 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of WARMHEARTED SANDY by SAY FLORIDA SANDY)
HEROIC MOVE Jun03 May04 Mar09 Feb18   (diodoro robertino)ELLIOTT S 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of FAMILY TREE by SMART STRIKE)
HOW DID HE DO THAT May29 Mar26 Jan29 Jan01 Dec09 (asmussen s)ERAMIA E 116 15.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of STORMIN MAGGY by STORM CAT)
DENINGTON Jun11 May20 Apr15 Mar25 Feb18 (mcpeek kennet)CABRERA DAVID 116 12.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of STRONGER THAN EVER by CONGRATS)
BO CRUZ Jun11 May06 Mar04 Feb05   (stall alb)TORRES A 120 4.50 37% 1.70    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of QUICK BREEZE by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  RAISE CAIN Jun11 May06 Apr08 Mar04 Jan21 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of LEMON BELLE by LEMON DROP KID)
EYEING CLOVER May29 Apr01 Mar04 Jan28 Dec31 (cox brad)SANTANA JR 120 3.00 36% 1.70    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of FLORAL PARK by FOREST WILDCAT)
BLACK POWDER May29 May04 Mar23     (asmussen )LEPAROUX R 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of OLDFASHIONED STYLE by OLD FASHIONED)
10  OCEAN OF STORMS Jun10 May20 Feb18 Jan21 Aug29 (arnett g)BIRZER E 116 30.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of WIND RACER by CURLIN)
SCR  GEORGIE W Jun15 May11       (walden william)ACHARD ALEX 116 20.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of AVIE'S TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
12  WEST COAST COWBOY Jun04 Apr01 Feb04 Nov27 Sep18 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 116 6.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of COCO'S SWEETIE by TENPINS)
SCR  MOR LANA SPIRIT Jun10 May12 Apr08 Feb18 Jan21 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 116 20.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of MORLANA by MORE THAN READY)
14  WARREN L Jun10 May26 May13 Mar23 Sep19 (anderson )DE CRUZ 116 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of OUR SWEET MARY B by OFFICER)
 
PRM-10   07/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT-11:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRESENT TIME Oct02         (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 118 3.00 18% 4.50    
GO GO GO Jun25 Jun03 May20 May05 Apr23 (flores oscar)EDWARDS JAVIS 118 6.00    
A J'S RIDE Jun10 Oct02 Sep04 Aug20 Jul30 (gleason t)TRIANA JR 123 2.00 33% 2.00    
DIXIE PENNY Jun10 May29 Apr14 Apr01 Mar11 (flores os)TORRES A 123 8.00    
ARRESTED Jun24         (jacquot ge)ERAMIA E 125 4.00 24% 3.10    
MINNIE'S READY Sep24 Aug28 Aug07     (von hemel)DE CRUZ 118 3.50    
 
PRM-11   07/08/2023 5490ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($27.8K) 3UP ALL PT-11:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARYL'S BOLT Jun17 Apr30 Apr16 Mar04 Jan22 (condon schuy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 4.00    
ITWASTHISBIG Jun17 May26 May05 Apr08 Mar04 (loy dewa)ERAMIA E 118 2.50 13% 6.70    
GO FOR IT Jun17 May26 Apr13 Mar10 Feb17 (reiste ti)TRIANA JR 118 10.00 7% 14.00    
CHISHOLM TRAIL Jun17 Aug19 Jul09 May27 Apr03 (anderson )DE CRUZ 123 6.00    
CYBERTOWN Jun17 Apr22 Apr02 Mar03 Feb03 (martin william )ZIMMERMAN R 123 3.00 21% 3.70    
HERZEN Jun02 Apr03 Feb10 Jan18 Dec15 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 3.50 38% 1.60    
LEAVEITONTHEFIELD Jun24 Aug06 Jul24 Jun04 May07 (rollins scott)EDWARDS JAVIS 118 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.