Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - July 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (9/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/3/4)-(9/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/3/4)-(9/8/3/4)-(9/8/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8/3/4)-(5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/8/3/4)-(5/3/2)-(8/7/6/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(8/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(8/7/6/2)-(5/7/4/8/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/6/2)-(8/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/6/2)-(8/7/6/2)-(8/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/6/2)-(5/7/4/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/7/6/2)-(5/7/4/8/3)-(7/1/6/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/7/4/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/8/3)-(5/7/4/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/8/3)-(5/7/4/8/3)-(5/7/4/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/4/8/3)-(7/1/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4/8/3)-(7/1/6/8)-(9/7/3/8/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-5   WIN (7/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/8)-(7/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/8)-(7/1/6/8)-(7/1/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/6/8)-(9/7/3/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6/8)-(9/7/3/8/1)-(5/6/2/1/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-6   WIN (9/7/3/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/3/8/1)-(9/7/3/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/3/8/1)-(9/7/3/8/1)-(9/7/3/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/7/3/8/1)-(5/6/2/1/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/7/3/8/1)-(5/6/2/1/4)-(4/2/6/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-7   WIN (5/6/2/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/1/4)-(5/6/2/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/1/4)-(5/6/2/1/4)-(5/6/2/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/2/1/4)-(4/2/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2/1/4)-(4/2/6/7)-(6/3/10/5/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-8   WIN (4/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/6/7)-(4/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6/7)-(4/2/6/7)-(4/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/6/7)-(6/3/10/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-9   WIN (6/3/10/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/10/5/2)-(6/3/10/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/10/5/2)-(6/3/10/5/2)-(6/3/10/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   07/06/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 2 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS INTENSITY         (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 110 12.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  SHEWONTTALKTOME         (sigler rona)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00    
  (by JUBA out of FERZETTI by MUNNINGS)
3  SOMESUGARNSPICE         (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of COTTON CANDY by BANDINI)
4  HERE'S A QUARTER         (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of BATHSHUA by TIZ WONDERFUL)
5  DIRECT THE CAT         (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of CAT THATS GREY by FIBER SONDE)
SCR  REMY'S HOTSHOT         (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of REMY DOODLES by GRAND SLAM)
7  ANOTHER FINE JUBA         (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 10.00    
  (by JUBA out of JACKY'S NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
8  FULL OF CHARM         (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of FULL OF INTENT by MASTER COMMAND)
9  RAN OUT OF TRAINER         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 32% 2.20    
  (by TONALIST out of MY GIRL TRICKSY by HAT TRICK)
 
CT-2   07/06/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AT THE HALF Jun15 May04 Apr13 Mar16 Jan21 (davis e)HO WESLEY 120 10.00    
2  MAKE IT A DOUBLE May25 May04 Oct12 Sep22 Sep01 (king yolond)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 4.00 18% 4.50    
3  DON'T EATTHE APPLE May25 May08 Apr24 Oct13 Sep23 (acquilano)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
4  MARY'S LISTED NEXT May04 Feb09 Jan13 Mar19   (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
5  THUNDER PUNCH Jun16 May13 May05 Mar01 Jan21 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.20 32% 2.10    
SCR  LADY LICIOUS Jun15 May25 Apr08 Mar16 Mar01 (adorno jean)ESQUILIN J 120 15.00    
7  HAD THE NOTION Jun15 May12 Apr13 Mar18 Feb25 (harting chris)SIMPSON JASON 124 4.50    
 
CT-3   07/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUTTONED UP Mar30 Feb22 Jan27 Nov11 Oct29 (cash norm)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00    
2  IMPROBABLE STORY May26 May04 Apr26 Apr12 Mar14 (king barry )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MUCHACHO MACHO Jun24 May20 Apr14 Apr06 Mar11 (perri g)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
4  ANTIPOISON Jun24 May29 Apr22 Apr14 Apr06 (sanche)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00    
5  DR. RUSTY RAYMOND Jun03 Mar31 Mar05 Feb20 Jan18 (pickett crystal )CRUZ ANGEL 120 12.00    
6  HAGLER Jun24 Jun14 Jun05 May17 Apr29 (cash no)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  RIDICULOUS Jun24 Apr22 Apr01 Mar10 Feb18 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50 22% 3.60    
8  JAYJAYDEE May20 May05 Apr08 Mar22 Mar01 (kreiser t)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 48% 1.10    
 
CT-4   07/06/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCARE DEM Jun10 May18 Jul29 Jul08 Jun30 (pyke joseph)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 15.00    
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of AFRICAN RAINBOW by KINSHASA)
2  HARLEY SIOUX Jun10 May20 Apr29 Apr06 Mar16 (straughn willia)PELTROCHE F 124 4.50    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of CARLY SIOUX by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  UNCLE PRESS Jun16 May18 Apr27 Apr13   (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of BACK DOOR CUT by CIVILISATION)
4  DOCTOR PARDO         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of GIN'S EMIGRANT by CIVILISATION)
5  GOLD FIBER Dec17 Nov26       (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of MRS. STROUD by GRAND SLAM)
6  IT'S ONLY MONEY Jun10 Jan28 Jan04 Dec17 Dec06 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 124 20.00    
  (by EVANGELISM out of JUST FOR MONEY by NOT FOR LOVE)
7  CUPID'S SONG Jan06         (mckee e)CECIL Y 118 3.00 20% 4.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of VINCE'S VALENTINA by GRAND SLAM)
8  GAMBLING FEVER Jun10         (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of LITTLEBITABLING by CARSON CITY)
9  ALDARIGHTTRICKS Apr22         (lewis r)LARROSA G 118 5.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of RETURN TRICK by PUT IT BACK)
 
CT-5   07/06/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEP ON SPURRIN Jun03 Apr29 Apr08 Mar18 Mar04 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 5.00 26% 2.90    
2  DIXIE YODELER May05 Apr21 Mar25 Feb25 Jan20 (davis e)HO WESLEY 120 20.00    
3  BLUE MOUNTAIN Jun17 May18 Apr15 Mar11 Jan18 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
4  CASTLE TOY Jun02 Apr21 Mar25 Mar11 Feb22 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 116 15.00    
5  CHARITABLE ANY Jun13 May28 Dec14 Oct18 Sep19 (pearson)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 30.00    
6  DREAMY SONDE May18 Apr01 Mar09     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.50 20% 3.90    
7  STRYDA Jun03 Apr29 Apr01 Mar04 Feb11 (johnson j)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 0.60 33% 2.00    
8  CHEROKEE CASTLE May19 Apr21 Apr15 Apr01 Mar11 (locklear james)CECIL Y 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-6   07/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH FLIGHT Jan28 Jan04 Aug19 Jun02   (espinosa vict)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of HOW IS MY GIRL by WINDSOR CASTLE)
2  DON'T GET CAUGHTUP Jun09 Apr08 Mar09 Jan27 Jan04 (boykins kevin)ACOSTA D 118 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PUTTYBADSHARK by ONEBADSHARK)
3  RAISE A RUCKUS Jun10 Nov26       (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 124 6.00 11% 8.50    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of HOT CREEK RISIN' by BRING THE HEAT)
4  SUMMONING DENIS Jun03 Nov26 Nov05 Oct12 Sep24 (petty kri)BOCACHICA J 108 12.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of SUMMON THE SPIRIT by SUMMER BIRD)
5  LAST OF BAD BOYS May11 Apr22 Mar31     (hamlin )NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 20.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of MISS BAD GIRL by FRIENDS LAKE)
6  MAKIN' GOLD Jun16 Jun03 May13 Mar31 Mar10 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 118 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of NEWS MAKIN by MAKIN)
7  JOOBY DOOBY DOO         (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 3.00 11% 7.90    
  (by JUBA out of UNUSUAL TREATY by REPARATIONS)
8  CHICKERLING Jun03         (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 118 12.00 10% 9.20    
  (by ALDRIN out of PAGAN JEWEL by PEAK DANCER)
9  MOON FALL Jun01 May18       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.40 47% 1.10    
  (by TAPWRIT out of MISS HENNY PENNY by HALF OURS)
10  DISCREET LOVE Jun09         (greaves v)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of CLARA VICTORIA by DISCREETLY MINE)
SCR  BIG BAD BRASS May20         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of SOUTHERN BRASS by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
 
CT-7   07/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYS CASTLE Jun10 May20 Apr06 Mar09 Feb25 (graci kimberly )BOCACHICA O 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  LADRO DI FICHI Jun10 May29 May13 Apr07 Feb11 (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 120 3.50 8% 11.20    
3  CEDAR'S WISH May27 Apr29 Mar23 Feb18 Feb04 (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 124 12.00    
4  MONOCACY May27 Jan05 Dec16 Nov25 Nov18 (king barry )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  KELSEY'S ANGEL Jun09 May25 May07 Apr08 Mar17 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 8.00 46% 1.20    
6  BEST VIRGINIA May05 Apr13 Mar04 Jan13 Dec15 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 4.50 22% 3.50    
7  WINDSOR'S PLAY Jun19 May19 Apr21 Mar25 Feb08 (rideout ant)RAMGEET R 122 8.00    
8  RIVER REWARDS RVF Jun01 May20 Mar09 Feb18 Sep22 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00    
SCR  ARROWWOOD May25 Apr28 Apr06 Feb24 Feb01 (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 112 5.00    
10  MISS LAUREN Jun01 May25 Apr13 Mar09 Jan05 (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00    
11  MY SISTER PAM Jun16 May05 Apr13 Feb24 Jan20 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 8.00    
 
CT-8   07/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSS E BOOGS May27 May13 Mar18 Feb24 Feb02 (stehr jo)BUTTERFLY L 120 10.00    
2  PAYMENGOLD Oct22 Oct08 Sep17 Aug13 Jul02 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 5.00 20% 4.00    
3  SPANGLISH May27 Apr22 Feb22 Jan20 Dec16 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 2.50    
4  ROAD PARTY May25 Dec08 Nov17 Oct27 Sep30 (grigsby ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  REMYS SHOWTIME Jun15 May27 May19 Apr27 Mar31 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
6  PENGUIN PARADE May27 Apr22 Mar18 Feb22 Jan20 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.50 8% 12.10    
7  CHANGE YOUR LUCK Jun16 Dec16 Dec04 Nov16 Oct05 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-9   07/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKING TO HOME Jun01 May20 Apr14 Mar10 Jan12 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00    
2  DEVIL'S CANYON Jun15 Apr20 Mar10 Feb17 Jan20 (malgarin)BUTTERFLY L 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SWISS LEGACY May06 Apr06 Apr27 Mar02 Feb04 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
4  HARPERSGONEFISHING May06 Apr13 Mar18 Jan04 Nov23 (carlisle jo)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 8.00    
5  FELICIAS CASTLE Jun30 Jun03 May26 May06 Apr28 (smith o)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50 6% 14.70    
6  DRUNK TEXT Jun16 May26 May06 Apr22   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 40% 1.50    
7  BOBBYS CASE LOAD Jun01 May13 Mar24 Mar10 Feb23 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 15.00    
8  MISTER DEEKS Jan27 Jan05 Nov30 Nov09 Oct19 (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00    
9  ALLEGHENY HERO May26 May06 Apr14 Mar24 Mar10 (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00    
10  OCEAN STORM Jun02 May06       (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 6.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  LASTWALKTOFREEDOM May12 Apr13 Feb17 Jan27   (mckee e)CECIL Y 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.