Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - July 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(8/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(8/1/6)-(7/2/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-2   WIN (8/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/6)-(8/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/6)-(8/1/6)-(8/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/1/6)-(7/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/1/6)-(7/2/3)-(8/4/6/1/9) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LAD-3   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/3)-(8/4/6/1/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3)-(8/4/6/1/9)-(7/4/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-4   WIN (8/4/6/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/6/1/9)-(8/4/6/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/6/1/9)-(8/4/6/1/9)-(8/4/6/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/4/6/1/9)-(7/4/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/4/6/1/9)-(7/4/3/2)-(8/2/4/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-5   WIN (7/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/3/2)-(8/2/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3/2)-(8/2/4/7)-(10/2/11/9) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LAD-6   WIN (8/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/4/7)-(8/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/4/7)-(8/2/4/7)-(8/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/4/7)-(10/2/11/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LAD-7   WIN (10/2/11/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/11/9)-(10/2/11/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/2/11/9)-(10/2/11/9)-(10/2/11/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   07/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BISTINEAU BELLE Jun17 May20 May07 Apr07 Feb23 (romero dale)STOKES J 124 8.00    
2  SAVANNAH BANANA         (gomez davi)ALBERT S 115 12.00 11% 8.00    
3  OCEAN FLEET Jun02 May03 Apr12 Mar18   (avant kelly)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 15.00 7% 13.00    
4  CHATAIN'S EAGLE Jun05 May07 Feb18 Jan20 Jan05 (lara jorge)TORRES HUGO 119 2.00 47% 1.10    
5  THAT IS AWESOME Jun11 Jan21       (brinkm)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50    
6  BLESS D'SOUTH Jun11 Mar10 Feb17 Feb04 Jan14 (schmidt deni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.50    
 
LAD-2   07/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANALYZER Jun18 Feb03 Jan15 Jan06 Dec09 (villafranco mar)TORRES HUGO 119 6.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  FIREINTHESTORM Jun22 May26 Sep25 Sep13 Aug30 (thomas lee)STOKES J 121 5.00    
3  MORRICONE May30 May08 Mar12 Feb19 Feb04 (morris rowdy)BARRERA J 116 2.50    
SCR  RAP ARTIST May29 May06 Mar23 Jul23   (lorefice mat)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 12.00    
5  BAYOU BEAUX Jun16 Jun05 Feb09 Jan14 Dec30 (ward r)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 10.00    
6  BISPING May30 May15 Dec14 Nov19 Oct15 (courville ri)MAGNON H 117 4.50 18% 4.70    
7  BIBLEMAN Jun18 Apr15 Feb04 Jan19 Dec27 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 8.00    
8  ATTA PARTY Jun03 May05 Apr23 Mar19 Feb11 (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 3.50 26% 2.80    
 
LAD-3   07/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRACK SMART May28 Feb24 Dec27 Nov16 Oct04 (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 116 3.00    
2  HULEN Jun05 May13 Apr30 Apr15 Apr02 (gonzalez ad)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 6.00 24% 3.10    
3  HIS GIANT Jun05 Mar04 Feb18 Jan18 Jan04 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 8.00 17% 4.90    
4  HOMEVIEW May30 Apr29 Apr01 Mar18 Feb19 (duhon paul)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 10.00    
SCR  RITHMICALLEA Nov04 Oct08 Aug20 Aug05 Jun30 (melancon don)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 12.00    
6  TWO DOT Jun18 May27 Mar16 Mar03 Feb10 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50    
7  KING OF THE COURT May14 Mar19 Feb11 Jan05 Dec10 (hornsby tamm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
LAD-4   07/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 2 ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GONE ELVIS         (escobar alison)TORRES HUGO 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SUNNYSIDE GAL by SUNGOLD)
2  MAX IS G MONEY         (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 118 6.00    
  (by FROSTED out of CHEETAH by FRANKEL)
3  DUMBSTRUCK         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 8.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of COMMUNIQUE by SMART STRIKE)
4  LOUDTHUNDRHEVYRAIN Jun05         (martin kevin)MELANCON G 115 3.50 31% 2.30    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of PATCHOFBADWEATHER by STORM AND A HALF)
5  MR. SHORTY         (johnson henry)VARGAS P 118 10.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of HELL ON HEELS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  LOUDERMILK May21 May03 Apr20     (mojica edith)BARRERA J 113 4.50 13% 7.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ASCOT DAY by STREET SENSE)
7  WINONESOON         (washington )SANTIAGO EDWARD 110 12.00    
  (by ATTEMPTED HUMOR out of GOOD STYLE by GIROLAMO)
8  SECRET TAVERN Jun08 May21       (pish danny)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by SECRET HOUSE out of DOUBLE P'S TAVERN by PAYNTER)
9  HERCULES N LOVE         (tillis e)GALVAN JHAIR 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of SINGLE N LOVIN IT by SINGLETARY)
10  STRONG DIAMOND Jun15         (escobar al)ALBERT S 113 15.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of SORENSTAM by SLEWDLEDO)
 
LAD-5   07/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HUSHED COURT ROOM May29 May21 Apr01 Mar18 Feb20 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 122 3.00    
2  DREWSILLA Jun04 May13 Mar12 Feb12 Jan01 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00 5% 18.90    
3  STRAWBERRY SUNDAE Jun03 Apr26 Mar24 Mar12 Dec23 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 8.00 6% 15.80    
4  ANITA'S VISION Jun19 Mar18 Feb11 Dec08 Sep06 (savoie sherman)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00 13% 7.00    
SCR  WHERE'S AUNT J Jun12 Feb23 Feb04 Jan07 Nov16 (cates al)TORRES HUGO 113 20.00    
6  BE A BANDIT Jun16 Jun01 May18 Apr27 Apr07 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 15.00    
7  SIXTH ANNIVERSARY Jun03 May18 Apr19 Dec10 Dec01 (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 118 4.00 52% 0.90    
8  DEROUTANTE May21 Feb20 Sep25 Jul24   (meaux h)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 12.00    
9  MS. CAJUN QUEEN May25 Apr26 Feb20 Dec17 Oct26 (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.50    
SCR  MEG AND CLAIR Jun10 Feb09 Jan19 Dec29 Dec04 (gomez jorge)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 30.00    
 
LAD-6   07/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYFRIENDSAWINNER May05 Mar04 Jan25 Nov22 Nov04 (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 119 4.00    
2  MAESTRIA Apr27 Mar26 Feb26 Feb05 Dec26 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 10.00 25% 3.00    
3  SAY WHAT May20 Feb24 Jan26 Dec27 Nov02 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 119 3.00    
4  LOTS OF GOLD Apr28 Apr22 Mar31 Feb25 Feb17 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  ITSNOTMYJOB Feb04 Jan14 Dec27 Dec03 Oct20 (gonzalez ad)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 5.00    
SCR  ALEXAPLAYBORNTORUN May08 Mar11 Feb04 Jan06 Dec01 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 119 8.00    
7  FUNTIMEGIRL Jun04 May05 Apr14 Feb26 Feb05 (prather john )LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  ATOMIC ROSE Jun18 Jan21 Jan06 Dec14 Dec02 (lorefice matt)SINGH R 122 3.50 44% 1.30    
 
LAD-7   07/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERIPATETIC Jun19 May30 Apr29 Mar26 Mar12 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 5.00    
2  MR LEO AND JOSE May27         (del erick)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 4.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  SWEET PRESENT Jun19 Jun04 May19 Apr20 Mar19 (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 8.00    
SCR  THINKINGNDRINKING Jun19 May27 Apr23 Mar23 Mar03 (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 115 12.00    
5  WINDTAPPER WIN Jun26 Jun05 Apr23 Mar09 Jan21 (dixon tim)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 12.00    
SCR  G'S LAW May20 Apr16 Mar19 Feb24 Feb10 (west patric)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 20.00    
SCR  BOLIVER May05 Apr23 Mar10 Feb04   (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 15.00    
8  CAMALEON Jun10 Nov17 Oct17     (villafranco ma)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 20.00    
9  MR. WULLY BULLY May05 Apr08 Mar23 Feb24 Feb03 (pish danny)GREEN AUBRIE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  RONALDS GATSBY Jun19 May22 May06 Mar26 Mar01 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
11  FLYING CAROLINA Jun23 May19 Mar19     (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.50 5% 17.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.