Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Monday - July 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (5/2/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/1/9)-(5/2/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/1/9)-(5/2/1/9)-(5/2/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/1/9)-(6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LS-2   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(7/6/3)-(4/2/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-3   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3)-(4/2/6/7)-(7/1/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-4   WIN (4/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/6/7)-(4/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6/7)-(4/2/6/7)-(4/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6/7)-(7/1/2/3)-(7/5/1/9/12) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LS-5   WIN (7/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/3)-(7/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/3)-(7/1/2/3)-(7/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-6   WIN (7/5/1/9/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/9/12)-(7/5/1/9/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/9/12)-(7/5/1/9/12)-(7/5/1/9/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-7   WIN (6/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/3)-(6/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/3)-(6/5/7/3)-(6/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7/3)-(9/4/6/10/11)-(12/6/4/1/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LS-8   WIN (9/4/6/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/6/10/11)-(9/4/6/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/6/10/11)-(9/4/6/10/11)-(9/4/6/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/4/6/10/11)-(12/6/4/1/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
LS-9   WIN (12/6/4/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/6/4/1/7)-(12/6/4/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/6/4/1/7)-(12/6/4/1/7)-(12/6/4/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   07/03/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COURAGEOUS CAPPEN Jun10 Jun02 May05 Apr14 Mar18 (d)DE CRUZ 124 8.00 15% 5.90    
2  MIZ JAMESON Jun17 May20       (ritter shannon)DIEGO V 124 12.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  CHARLEE MAE Jun24 Jun01 May11 Apr22 Apr07 (crumley jevo)FUENTES A 119 3.50    
4  SENORITA BROOKE Jun24 May14 Jan06 Dec14 Nov19 (chacaltan)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 15.00    
5  CONFLICTING TALES Jun08 Apr29 Mar19     (ashford)GONCALVES R 119 2.50 33% 2.10    
6  ELMO'S SECRET Jun17 May29 Apr28 Mar30 Mar09 (pish danny)ALVAREZ L 119 12.00    
7  BLUEGRASS DIXIE May20 May05 Apr23 Mar26 Feb17 (ascencio jua)VIVANCO L 124 30.00    
SCR  SPELL FREEDOM Jun24 May16 May10 Apr25 Apr11 (caldwell r)VALDEZ S 124 3.00    
9  BOSSADUSU Jun02 May14 Apr30 Apr08 Sep23 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-2   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3 F PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APPROPRIATED FUNDS Apr23 Mar18 Feb18 Jan27 Dec17 (clary rena)DIEGO V 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
2  BLAME DAY Jun08 May05 Apr07 Mar11 Feb16 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 4.50    
3  FEE Jun08 May05 Apr08 Jan29 Jan04 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 5.00    
4  TAYLORS TAP Apr07 Mar18 Feb25 Jan28 Dec02 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 119 6.00    
5  BONNIEVIEW May12 Mar18 Jan27 Dec17 Oct28 (asmussen ste)FUENTES A 122 3.00 17% 5.10    
6  FAITH ALONE Jun17 Dec17 Oct28 Oct12 Sep14 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 119 4.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  HOW BOUT ME Jun17 May11 Feb18 Jan27 Jan08 (gelner j)DIAZ RENE 119 15.00    
 
LS-3   07/03/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUST HANGIN RIDGE Jun09 May13 Apr30 Apr21 Apr08 (kotara ronald)SANCHEZ M 121 30.00    
SCR  NOISE COMPLAINT May07 Apr15 Mar26 Feb26 Jan07 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 116 12.00    
3  MORO MAFIA May13 Feb03 Dec16 Nov25 Nov16 (ramirez r)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 116 12.00 7% 13.70    
4  PICKINGUPSTRANGERS Jun10 May28 May07 Apr16 Apr07 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 121 8.00    
5  CINCO RICHIE Jun10 May28 Apr22 Feb26 Jan27 (b)DE CRUZ 121 1.80    
6  COWBOY RIDGE Jun10 May13 Apr22 Apr02 Mar11 (kota)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 5.00 22% 3.50    
7  MOR VICTORY Jun10 May28 Apr08 Mar25 Feb18 (gelner jayde)FUENTES A 116 2.00 41% 1.40    
8  GET WITT GONE Apr14 Mar31 Mar11 Feb25 Feb03 (gustafson austin)DIEGO V 121 6.00    
 
LS-4   07/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOSTLY TIME         (johnson henry)VARGAS P 119 4.50    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of SKIP THRU TIME by TIME BANDIT)
2  DARYLS TRUMP CARD Jun04         (castellanos jaime)DIAZ RENE 119 3.50 14% 6.10    
  (by TEXAS RED out of BEL AIR KID by LEMON DROP KID)
3  HEZAKOOLKAT Jun03         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 5.00    
  (by EARLY FLYER out of KAT'S INFATUATION by SILVER CITY)
4  GOING TO SANANTONE Jun04         (cappellucci )FUENTES A 119 1.60 52% 0.90    
  (by ARCHWARRIOR out of CRUDE by WILDCAT HEIR)
5  SILVER ASSASSIN Jun03         (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 6.00    
  (by EARLY FLYER out of ARCHER CITY by SILVER CITY)
6  MYTURNTODEAL         (mallery v)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 20.00 6% 14.90    
  (by LUNARPAL out of I'M DEALING by DEVILS PULPIT)
7  SONNY BOB Jun23 Jun04       (pish danny)ERAMIA E 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MR. BESILU out of AWESOMELY PERFECT by AWESOME OF COURSE)
 
LS-5   07/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 7:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILENT BLING Jun03         (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 119 2.00 26% 2.90    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of SHOW ME THE BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
2  BANDERA BLING         (jacks e)DIEGO V 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of PRECIOUS PLAY by INTIMIDATOR)
3  TURN NORTH         (johnson henry)VARGAS P 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of AL'S ROSIE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  TORO SANTO         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 5.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of DIVA DEL TORO by ALDEBARAN)
5  CASINO MO Jun17         (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 20.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of CLEVER THIRTEEN by VICTORY GALLOP)
6  TIME BEAN Jun17         (whitton mark)JUDE JOHN 119 20.00    
  (by CROSSTIME out of SHE'S A RIVERHAWK by KITALPHA)
7  OZZIES WINGS Y G Jun17 Jun03 May07     (mendoza e)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 2.50 51% 1.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of BRIGHTLY by KITTEN'S JOY)
8  SPECIAL MEMORY Jun04 May20 May07     (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 4.50    
  (by SPECIAL RATE out of JULIE'S MEMORY by ETESAAL)
 
LS-6   07/03/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANNA MARIE         (dodso)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 113 30.00 10% 9.40    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of LEROIANA by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
SCR  LA VALEDORA Jun11 May21 Apr30 Mar24 Feb25 (coats jam)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 8.00    
  (by ADVANCEEXPECTATION out of DUBAIDORA by E DUBAI)
3  HIGINIA Jun18 Jan27 Jan06     (bravenec )RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 118 5.00    
  (by FALL OF TROY out of TROUBLEINABAG by FIVE DEMON BAG)
4  S S TURBINIA Jun08 May21 Apr30 Apr07 Feb26 (saavedra mary)BENAVIDES D 118 30.00    
  (by FINAL ROW (GB) out of SADDLED BUT FREE by WALTER WILLY (IRE))
5  RIVER'S END Jun11 Jun03 May12 Apr27   (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 118 3.00 17% 4.90    
  (by CONGAREE out of PACK YOUR P J'S by GOLD LEGEND)
6  MORO NALA Apr08 Mar24 Mar10 Feb25 Feb10 (gustafson austin)DIEGO V 123 4.00    
  (by MORO TAP out of ZENDERELLA by ZENSATIONAL)
7  GOLD MEMORIES Jun11 May21 Apr30 Apr21 Mar24 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of FLIGHT QUEEN by EARLY FLYER)
8  RON'S LAVENDER Jun11 Jun03 May12 Apr27   (kotara rona)BARANDELA SOFIA 118 12.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of LAVENDER RIDGE by NAVARRO)
9  RABBIT HOLE Jun15 Feb17 Jul03 Jun09   (g)DE CRUZ 118 30.00 10% 9.40    
  (by PALACE out of PIER VILLAGE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
10  OLGA'S GOLD DANCER May29 May13 Jun11 Apr30 Mar25 (pish danny)ALVAREZ L 123 20.00    
  (by CORD'S KOKO NIGHT out of PAPA'S DANCING by PAPA CLEM)
11  MADAME RUE May29 Apr21 Apr08 Mar24 Feb25 (butle)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 15.00    
  (by GRASSHOPPER out of RUFF CAUSE by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY)
12  GIRL WITH ATTITUDE Nov19 Oct28       (young scot)ERAMIA E 118 15.00 10% 9.40    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of BOSTONIAN CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
LS-7   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CREATIVE MIRACLE Dec16 Nov16 Oct26 Oct06 Sep11 (caldwell r)VALDEZ S 123 4.00    
2  SAMSPLAYERSLOUNGE Jun02 May07 Apr16 Mar19 Mar11 (mejia jacobo)PIVARAL GERBER 119 20.00    
3  SONGWRITER Jun11 May27 May07 Mar30 Feb22 (brya)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  UPTOWN BIGBADJON May28 May06 Apr15 Mar24 Mar04 (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 15.00    
5  PITALE Jun11 May28 May12 Apr16 Jul10 (b)DE CRUZ 119 4.50 14% 5.90    
6  TEO May12 Mar12 Jun02 May03 Mar04 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 1.80 59% 0.70    
7  PLAIN TAP WATER Jun10 Apr30 Apr15 Nov21 Oct25 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  ZAP MOTION Dec17 Oct19 Oct08 Aug22 Jul24 (durha)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 5.00    
9  CALARI BLUECAT Jun10 May27 Apr30 Apr02 Mar04 (keen dallas)BARANDELA SOFIA 123 6.00    
 
LS-8   07/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STAR SAILOR May28 Apr30 Mar06 Feb25 Feb15 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 1.80    
2  CLASSIC RUNNER Jun10 May20 May07 Mar24 Mar15 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 15.00    
3  PERFECT TOM Jun23 Jun08 May20 May07 Mar18 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 12.00    
4  TREASURE COAST Jun10 May28 Apr30 Apr11 Mar21 (ashford)GONCALVES R 119 6.00 21% 3.70    
5  DENS DEVILLE Jun16 May28 May02 Mar14 Nov14 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 119 8.00    
6  BIG STORY Jun16 May29 Apr30 Apr16 Mar18 (roubion s)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 10.00 17% 4.80    
7  GIST Jun16 Jun10 May29 May14 Apr16 (davidson sarah )SANCHEZ M 123 20.00    
8  VICTOR VALENTINO Jun22 Jun16 Jun10 May29 May13 (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 123 10.00    
9  KISS PRINCIPAL Jun16 Mar25 Feb26 Jan08 Nov06 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00 39% 1.60    
10  SOMEBODY IN TEXAS Jun16 May07 Apr07     (walker kevin)PIVARAL GERBER 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  CALIPARI Jun10 May29 Apr30 Feb26 Jan01 (winslow j)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-9   07/03/2023 4950ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKY ROCKER May21 May12 Mar10     (willis mind)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 15.00 6% 15.70    
2  HEAD OVER BOOTS Jun04 May14 Apr22 Apr13 Mar10 (echeverria hecto)VALDEZ S 123 12.00    
3  LUMBERJACK LESLIE Jun11 May20 May05 Apr23 Apr15 (marti)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 30.00    
4  BLING ON THE LIGHT Jun16 Apr29 Mar19 Mar10 Sep14 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 4.50 7% 13.80    
5  HAILEY'S JEWEL Jun09 May29 May13 Apr29 Apr15 (g)DE CRUZ 119 10.00    
6  OLIVIA'S RACE DAY Jun02 May12 Apr14 Mar26 Mar04 (pish danny)ELLIOTT S 119 5.00 27% 2.70    
7  SI QUERE Jun03 May20 May05 Apr21 Mar24 (castellan)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  COUNTRY JEWEL Jun09 May18 Apr21 Mar22 Jan21 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 6.00    
9  WICKED SONG Jun09 May18 Apr23 Mar10 Feb10 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 6.00    
10  TRANQUILITY Jun03 May18 Apr21 Mar26 Feb25 (hurley re)MORA GERARDO 123 30.00    
11  KAUSE I'M DEVINE Jun17 Jun09 May18 Apr21 Mar26 (saavedra mary)BENAVIDES D 123 20.00    
12  MISSINGYOUCRAZY Jun09 May18 Apr30 Apr16 Apr01 (calhoun wil)WETHEY JR 119 2.50 36% 1.70    
SCR  REASON OVER RICHES Jun03 Apr21 Mar25 Feb26 Jan27 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 119 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.