Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - June 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (8/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/5/3)-(8/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/5/3)-(8/1/5/3)-(8/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/5/3)-(2/7/9/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/1/5/3)-(2/7/9/5/8)-(7/8/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/7/9/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/9/5/8)-(2/7/9/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/9/5/8)-(2/7/9/5/8)-(2/7/9/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/7/9/5/8)-(7/8/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/7/9/5/8)-(7/8/3)-(4/9/2/6/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/3)-(7/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/8/3)-(7/8/3)-(7/8/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/8/3)-(4/9/2/6/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/8/3)-(4/9/2/6/3)-(6/5/2/9/8) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/9/2/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/9/2/6/3)-(4/9/2/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/9/2/6/3)-(4/9/2/6/3)-(4/9/2/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/9/2/6/3)-(6/5/2/9/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/9/2/6/3)-(6/5/2/9/8)-(3/1/2/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-5   WIN (6/5/2/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/9/8)-(6/5/2/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/9/8)-(6/5/2/9/8)-(6/5/2/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/2/9/8)-(3/1/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2/9/8)-(3/1/2/8)-(4/1/7/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/8)-(3/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/8)-(3/1/2/8)-(3/1/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/2/8)-(4/1/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2/8)-(4/1/7/8)-(2/6/7/8/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/8)-(4/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/8)-(4/1/7/8)-(4/1/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/7/8)-(2/6/7/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (2/6/7/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/8/4)-(2/6/7/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/8/4)-(2/6/7/8/4)-(2/6/7/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   06/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STOWE PATROL May04 Mar23 Feb16     (butts e)ADAMS L 111 6.00 32% 2.10    
2  JACKYSINTHECASTLE May18 Apr07 Mar23 Mar02 Feb24 (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 5.00    
3  LET'S DO THIS May18 Apr07 Mar11 Feb04 Jan26 (collyer d)BOCACHICA O 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CAT WITH A NOTION May18 Apr15 Oct08 Sep17 Sep02 (mckee e)CECIL Y 118 1.20    
5  I SHALLBE RELEASED May18 Apr21 Apr07 Mar18 Mar04 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  AWESOME MOON May26 May11 May02 Apr15 Mar18 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 15.00    
7  MICHEAUX May18 Apr01 Jan18 Dec16 Dec01 (clement r)BOCACHICA J 112 15.00    
8  BLUE MOUNTAIN May18 Apr15 Mar11 Jan18 Dec15 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.50 41% 1.50    
 
CT-2   06/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D TACHYON May05 Apr14 Feb10 Jan21 Nov10 (davis bil)BOCACHICA J 112 15.00    
2  LION OF THE SEA Jun03 Apr15 Mar25 Mar16 Feb10 (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 122 2.00 41% 1.40    
3  DINNER BELL Feb22 Jan25 Jan04 Dec02 Nov09 (king yolond)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 20.00    
4  HE IS BONAFIDE Jun03 May05 Apr21 Nov23 Nov09 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 2.50    
5  POLITICAL DECISION Jun02 May13 Apr15 Mar25 Mar11 (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  LITTLE BAY May27 May13 May06 Apr16 Apr15 (vick t)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 15.00    
7  BILLINGSGATE Feb22 Feb04 Jan01 Dec16 Dec02 (brown r)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 3.00 25% 3.10    
8  VICTORIOUS BEAR Apr15         (davis billy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  CHIPPEWA'S CASTLE Jun01 May11 Apr07 Mar30 Mar18 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 10% 9.50    
 
CT-3   06/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOMEDAY IS TODAY Jun10 Apr13 Mar02 Feb09 Jan19 (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 120 4.50    
2  AZZURRA May05 Apr15 Jan18 Nov05 Oct08 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00    
3  UNRULY JULIE Nov18 Oct23 Sep30 Sep07 Aug09 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MISS LAUREN Jun01 May25 Apr13 Mar09 Jan05 (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  JAMESTOWN ROAD May28 Apr13 Feb24 Jan07 Dec09 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00    
6  SECRET CASTLE May25 Apr13 Mar30 Feb24 Feb01 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 6.00    
7  MOONLIT SHADOW May13 Apr15 Feb25 Oct08 Aug26 (grams c)PELTROCHE F 120 3.00 53% 0.90    
8  SENECA ROCKS Apr15 Mar23 Dec08 Nov05 Oct08 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
CT-4   06/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CICI UNIFIED May02 Apr07 Mar20 Feb08 Jan18 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00    
2  THUNDERTURTLE Feb10 Jan13 Dec03 Nov24 Nov10 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SAX May27 May06 Apr15 Mar18 Mar04 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  TIZ MICHELLE'S WAY May06 Apr21 Mar30 Feb11 Jan21 (brown keith)RAMGEET R 122 3.50 38% 1.60    
5  SHEMADEMELUCKY May06 Mar24 Feb26 Feb10 Jan12 (pennella rh)ESQUILIN J 124 30.00    
6  MAE SAI PRINCESS May20 Mar18 Jan21 Dec02 Nov10 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  RAVENEL May11 Apr20 Mar24 Feb26 Feb11 (hartin)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 12.00    
8  CONGRESS HALL May26 May11 Apr20 Mar26 Feb26 (mcfarlane)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00    
9  CLEARLY VISIBLE May27 May06 Apr15 Mar02 Feb11 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
10  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Apr13 Mar24 Feb22 Feb01 Jan07 (brown w)MONTANO JOSE 122 4.50    
 
CT-5   06/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITSUPTOME May19 Apr28       (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 124 15.00    
2  S S CASINO GIRL May25 May04 Apr07 Mar23 Feb16 (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 120 5.00 6% 14.90    
3  LOCKDOWN VANNA May25 Apr29 Mar31 Feb24 Feb08 (locklear james)CECIL Y 120 6.00    
4  SUNSET QUEEN May20 Apr29 Apr20 Mar04 Feb11 (lucas a)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 12.00    
5  LADY GANGSTER Jun01 May20 Apr29 Apr07 Mar16 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.50 29% 2.40    
6  JUJU ON DA BEAT Jun01 May20 Mar23 Mar04 Feb22 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
7  IMINCHARGENOW May04 Apr13 Mar02 Feb02 Jan11 (schottrof)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.00    
8  BOWMANS LAZY GIRL May25 Apr13 Mar23 Mar02 Feb22 (bowman d)ADAMS L 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  JUST ASK ME Sep28 Sep07 Jun02 May12   (william)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 10.00 6% 17.00    
 
CT-6   06/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACADIAN GIRL May27 May06 Apr01 Mar11 Jan27 (geralis emanuel )ACOSTA D 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
2  VOLNAY Mar12 Mar04 Feb11 Jan01 Nov10 (perri gina)ALVELO C 120 5.00 13% 6.70    
3  DIVINE FASHION May27 May06 Apr15 Mar12 Feb23 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 36% 1.70    
SCR  FLAT DISCOUNT Jun09 May26 May10 Apr20 Mar16 (ginter r)BUTTERFLY L 120 15.00    
SCR  FLOATING BY May27 May20 Apr29 Mar24 Mar04 (stahlin john)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
6  HIDDEN IDENTITY Feb23 Jan21 Jul01 Jun22 May18 (cash norm)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00    
7  RED QUEEN May27 May06 Apr20 Mar26 Feb03 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
8  TEQUILA FOG May27 May06 Apr15 Mar30 Mar18 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120 15.00 8% 11.90    
9  MI CLEOPATRA AND I May31 May12 Aug17 Jul23 Jun10 (kreiser tim)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 8.00    
SCR  REDWHITEANDTACOS May11 Mar22 Feb26 Jan16 Dec09 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00    
 
CT-7   06/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC11 FAST It's Only Money Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICO May19 Apr22 Mar18 Feb09 Jan12 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 123 3.50 8% 12.20    
  (by TRAPPE SHOT out of CLEFT IN THE ROCK by ARCH)
2  LITTLE ROO ROO May13 Mar31 Feb16 Feb01 Jan04 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 5.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of PEPPER BAY by BOP)
3  GOLDEN KEY May11 Feb02 Jan12 Nov24 Oct08 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 4.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of GOLDEN DEBUTANTE by MALIBU MOON)
4  PENGUIN POWER May11 Apr15 Oct08 Sep17 Aug26 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 3.00 64% 0.60    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of AYE ROBBIN by ROBB)
5  ICING Jun10 May13 Apr22 Mar18 Feb24 (cash norm)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 123 4.50    
  (by NYQUIST out of HONEY CHILE by INVISIBLE INK)
SCR  AMIDSHIPS May19 Apr07 Mar17 Feb23 Feb02 (runco c)ACOSTA D 123 10.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of JUGNI by COLONEL JOHN)
7  MATH MAN MARCO May19 Apr28 Feb22 Dec14 Nov17 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALLIANCE out of EURO INDIAN GIRL by EUROSILVER)
8  DERBY DAY DREAMS May19 Feb23 Jan12 Oct08 Aug13 (barber donald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of LAND OF DREAMS by MARLIN)
 
CT-8   06/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIGHT TO ASSEMBLE May27 May06 Apr20 Apr06 Mar09 (dillon jacob )SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00    
2  RATIONALMILLENNIAL May20 May07 Apr20 Mar25 Feb12 (corrales)BUTTERFLY L 122 2.00 45% 1.20    
3  PRETTY SPECTACULAR May27 May06 Apr20 Mar31 Mar10 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 30.00    
4  CONDUCTANCE Apr15 Mar26 Mar05 Feb23 Jan13 (smith valrie)HO WESLEY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  HEARDITALL May07 Apr20 Apr01 Feb05 Jan28 (dove k)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 20.00    
6  SPUNKY ZOEY May27 May06 Apr20 Mar30 Feb24 (shanley t)BOCACHICA J 110 4.00 15% 5.60    
7  JACCACI May27 May06 Feb23 Feb04 Dec14 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50 14% 6.40    
8  CURLIN'S DOVE May27 May06 Apr06 Nov17 Nov04 (sterling michae)BOCACHICA O 122 4.50 6% 17.00    
9  SISTER SPIRIT May27 May06 Feb25 Feb12 Feb04 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
10  LADY WHISTLEDOWN May06 Mar30 Mar04 Feb11 Jan22 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
SCR  BESTLA Jun01 May11 Mar17 Mar04 Jan07 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
SCR  HOWSAFEAREMYCOLORS Jun01 May11 Nov30 Oct28 Oct12 (walters dav)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 10.00    
SCR  TWIN CAUSE Jun01 May11 Apr15 Mar17 Feb25 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 15.00    
SCR  BALI BALIFLY Jun09 May12 Sep07 Aug23 Aug17 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.