Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Wednesday - June 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(4/2/3)-(3/1/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-3   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(3/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(3/1/6/2)-(2/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-4   WIN (3/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/2)-(3/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/2)-(3/1/6/2)-(3/1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/6/2)-(2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-5   WIN (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/7)-(2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/7)-(8/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-6   WIN (8/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/5/4)-(8/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/5/4)-(8/3/5/4)-(8/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/5/4)-(5/1/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/3/5/4)-(5/1/7/2)-(6/7/4/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
FL-7   WIN (5/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/2)-(5/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/2)-(5/1/7/2)-(5/1/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/7/2)-(6/7/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-8   WIN (6/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/3)-(6/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/3)-(6/7/4/3)-(6/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   06/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESPECIAL May30 Mar08 Jan24     (grusmark)DAVIS A 119 4.00    
2  ALARRA May17 Apr25 Sep20 Jul26 Jun29 (clarke dylan)FRET STEVEN 124 5.00    
SCR  SHRIMP N GRITS May17 Nov15 Oct11     (lecesse)NAVARRO J 124 10.00    
4  MIDNIGHT MINDSET Nov09 Oct26 Oct11 Sep14 Aug02 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 3.00 12% 7.70    
5  SWEET TOOTH SUE May31 Nov22 Nov15 Nov01 Oct17 (marino e)ROHENA JR 124 8.00 6% 16.70    
6  BAD CONNECTION May31 May02 Mar24 Feb17   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 2.50 55% 0.80    
7  JOHN'S SECRET May17 Apr25 Nov30 Nov07 Oct25 (englehart jef)IORIO MELISSA 109 8.00    
 
FL-2   06/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET SHALLOTS May31 May22 May09 Nov14 Nov02 (breed a)GOMEZ O 124 3.50 15% 5.90    
SCR  RED PEPPER GRILL May24 Nov16 Nov08 Oct31 Oct11 (miller-saul)CAMILO D 124 6.00    
3  STABILIZE Jun06 May24 May08 Apr24 Nov16 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  THE NEW MIAMI May17 May08 Nov16 Nov08 Oct26 (vasquez ramon)ROHENA M 124 4.00    
5  TIMED OUT May31 May22 Apr25 Apr14 Mar12 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 1.80 61% 0.60    
6  REMOANE May24 May08 Apr24 Nov08 Oct19 (lopez ar)DAVIS A 124 6.00    
SCR  SUBSIDIARY May31 May17 Jun13 May24 May10 (clarke dylan)DAVILA A 122 12.00    
 
FL-3   06/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHESASCOLDASICE May30 Nov15 Oct19 Oct04 Aug26 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 3.00    
2  NO CHALK May22 May09 Mar15 Sep02 Aug15 (iorio jr)GOMEZ O 121 2.50 22% 3.60    
3  GUNS BLAZING May30 May09 Aug14 Jul21 Jun26 (sells rachel)SONE Y 124 4.50 13% 6.50    
4  GONE AND FORGOTTEN Nov08 Oct30 Oct03 Aug15 Aug01 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 2.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  SNIFF May22 Aug01 Jun21 Jun01 May11 (huertas )DAVIS A 121 10.00    
6  TWICE SMITTEN May18 Apr13 Mar17 Jun15   (bak)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 10.00    
 
FL-4   06/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE DESTINY Jun05 Aug08 Jul18     (progno christopher)GOMEZ O 119 2.50 18% 4.50    
2  FOUR QUARTZ May16 Mar03 Feb18 Dec18   (thompson m)DE EMANUEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  PRINCESS RILEY May30 Mar11 Feb19     (clarke dylan)HARKIE K 124 2.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  SHUL Mar29 Nov21 Nov08     (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 119 15.00    
5  MY LITTLE ONE May31 May17 Nov15 Nov01 Oct03 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 124 15.00    
6  INDYAN PENNY May31 Mar19 Jan12 Dec11 Nov25 (clarke dylan)DAVILA A 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  WOWSPELLEDBACKWARD May30 May17 Apr25 Nov09 Oct03 (lopez rober)CAMILO D 124 10.00    
8  BARBARA'S SPIRIT May16         (ferraro antho)DIAZ J 112 4.00    
 
FL-5   06/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE May16 Apr22 Mar10 Feb12 Jan15 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 124 3.00    
2  MAJOR SPIN May07 Apr14 Mar03 Jan14 Jan01 (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 122 2.00 55% 0.80    
3  WAHEEL Jan12 Dec10 Nov22 Nov09 Oct03 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 8.00 13% 6.90    
4  QUAD PARTY May17 Apr24 Nov21 Nov02 Oct03 (murphy timothy )DIAZ J 111 15.00    
5  KNIGHT OFTHE CROWN May24 Oct25 Aug07 Jun25 May29 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 8.00    
SCR  CAPE COD GEM Nov22 Nov09 Oct18 Oct04 Aug15 (miller-saul be)COA J 122 4.00    
7  COUPLES THERAPY May24 May08 Nov02 Oct19 Oct03 (lecesse )DAVIS A 122 6.00 7% 13.20    
 
FL-6   06/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO STEP SLEW May09 Aug31 Aug16 Aug03 Jul26 (maver eduardo)VENTURA JOSE 118 15.00    
2  LETTERCARRIERHENRY Oct18 Oct04 Sep06 Aug08 Jul26 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 8.00    
3  COUNT DOWN May30 May16 Mar19 Feb09 Dec19 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 4.00 17% 4.80    
4  CONFORMIST May23 Nov16 Jun22 May31 Apr08 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.50 9% 9.50    
5  DEVIOUS MO May22 Apr24 Feb15 Jan19 Nov30 (shaffer ri)DE EMANUEL 120 3.00 12% 7.70    
6  INVALUABLE WILL Jun05 May22 May09 Nov23 Nov09 (breed a)ALVARADO R 122 12.00    
7  R BOY BODE May23 May09 Apr29 Apr15 Feb09 (thompson)DAVIS A 118 8.00    
8  YOUR AWESOME BOSS May23 May09 Apr25 Nov22 Nov09 (morales samu)HARKIE K 122 6.00 35% 1.80    
 
FL-7   06/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNO Mar25 Mar11 Feb25 Jan26 Jan08 (ferraro michae)COA J 122 2.50 11% 8.40    
2  MATTY'S EXPRESS May30 Nov14 Oct31 Oct18 Oct04 (oyola d)NAVARRO J 122 10.00 5% 18.70    
3  FIRE'S FINALE May29 May15 May02 Mar22 Feb22 (torelli stacy)DAVILA A 124 6.00    
4  ROYAL SUSPECT May30 May17 Jan26 Jan05 Dec29 (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 122 4.00    
5  EASY SHOT May29 Aug22 Aug03 Jul08 May06 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.00 50% 1.00    
6  COACH BAHE May30 May02 Nov14 Oct31 Oct19 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 12.00    
7  PARADE FIELD Nov07 Oct24 Oct12 Sep27 Aug22 (lecesse )DAVIS A 122 8.00 8% 11.80    
8  JACOBA May30 May17 Nov14 Oct25 Sep12 (pettine jam)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 15.00    
 
FL-8   06/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R BOY CHEEKUM Jun05 May17 May07 Apr28 Apr01 (thompson ma)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 12.00    
2  SOUTH AFRICA May29 Dec29 Dec04 Nov15 Oct24 (huertas )DAVIS A 122 2.50    
3  MASS APPEAL Nov15 Nov02 Oct19 Oct03 Sep05 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 122 6.00 9% 10.30    
4  PRODUCTION CREDIT May17 May08 Apr24 Nov21 Nov09 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 5.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  MACHO MIAH May17 Nov15 Nov02 Oct18 Oct03 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 122 5.00    
6  OUR MAN MIKE May29 Nov15 Nov07 Oct24 Oct05 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
7  STUCK UP May16 Oct25 Oct11 Sep22 Sep05 (miller-saul)CAMILO D 122 8.00 29% 2.50    
8  MIAMI CHROME Jan12 Jan05 Dec10 Nov28 Nov15 (loaiza )NAVARRO J 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.