Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Sunday - June 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(6/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(6/7/2)-(6/5/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-2   WIN (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/2)-(6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/2)-(6/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2)-(6/5/4)-(3/4/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-3   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(3/4/1)-(2/1/8/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-4   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(2/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(2/1/8/6)-(1/4/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-5   WIN (2/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/6)-(2/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/6)-(2/1/8/6)-(2/1/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/8/6)-(1/4/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8/6)-(1/4/2/6)-(3/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-6   WIN (1/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/6)-(1/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/6)-(1/4/2/6)-(1/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/2/6)-(3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2/6)-(3/5/6)-(9/8/1/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-7   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(9/8/1/2/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
LAD-8   WIN (9/8/1/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/1/2/6)-(9/8/1/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/1/2/6)-(9/8/1/2/6)-(9/8/1/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   06/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE MORE BABY May28 May14 Apr16 Jan29 Jan07 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
2  SHADY GRADY May20 Nov11 Sep11 Jul23 Jul03 (romero g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 8.00 9% 10.60    
3  BOSSHOG THEM DUKES May22 Mar26 Mar05 Feb17 Jan15 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 2.00    
4  JUJU NINETEEN Mar16 Feb21 Jan22 Jan01 Dec16 (savoie sherma)LOZADA CARLOS 121 3.50    
5  PAYNTED LOVER May29 May07 Feb11 Jan18 Dec22 (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 6.00    
6  SOUTH AL SPARKY May29 May21 May07 Feb09 Jan27 (beavin judy)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 121 12.00 18% 4.60    
 
LAD-2   06/11/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WISE ANCHOR May20 Mar25 Mar16 Mar05 Feb21 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 4.50    
2  INTO WISHING May07 Feb25 Jan18 Jan08 Nov16 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ADIOS CARLOS May15 Feb04 Oct20 Aug21 Aug02 (johnson henry )SUAREZ ANGEL 122 10.00    
4  PLAY MO May19 May03 Feb20 Jan26 Jan07 (delhomme jeff)THORNTON G 122 2.50    
5  MONARCH'S MISCHIEF May07 Mar15 Feb10 Dec29 Nov17 (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00    
6  SILVER GALAXY May27 Mar05 Feb10 Jan20 Nov19 (duhon paul)MELANCON G 122 3.50 52% 0.90    
7  RELENTLESS DANCER May06 Mar25 Feb16 Feb03 Jan07 (bourgeois ke)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  DOUBLE STAR May06 Dec20 Nov11 Aug21 Jul12 (schultz robe)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 15.00    
SCR  BALLINONABUDJET May19 Apr13 Mar26 Mar05 Feb04 (reeves)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 12.00    
 
LAD-3   06/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 2 F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE HER AWAY         (ward ronnie)SUAREZ ANGEL 114 6.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of WALK AWAY RULER by ROMAN RULER)
SCR  COLLECTED DREAMS May30         (tillis e)GREEN AUBRIE 117 2.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of JOYFUL DREAMS by KITTEN'S JOY)
3  BETONYA May30         (venzor jailinne)TORRES HUGO 112 12.00    
  (by OCEAN KNIGHT out of SLEW CITY LOU by SLEW CITY SLEW)
4  GOOD BY FAITH         (escobar alis)BARRERA J 112 12.00 8% 11.00    
  (by KLIMT out of CIRCUMSTANCE by PROCIDA)
5  CABO COWGIRL         (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 117 6.00 9% 10.60    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DON'TGETSUSPICIOUS by E DUBAI)
6  SISTER HONEY         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 2.50 46% 1.20    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of HONEY BUNNY by TAPIZAR)
7  FOREIGN TOURIST May30         (tillis jerry)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 3.50    
  (by TOURIST out of PILIPHA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
LAD-4   06/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THAT IS AWESOME Jan21         (brinkm)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  QUEENS RIOT         (foster joseph)LOZADA CARLOS 119 3.50 31% 2.30    
3  SMUGLERS BLUES         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 3.00 46% 1.20    
4  NOWNOWDANCER May30 Feb16 Dec19 Nov26   (nelson r)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  BLESS D'SOUTH Mar10 Feb17 Feb04 Jan14 Dec15 (schmidt deni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 8.00    
6  DON'T BLINK TWICE May07 Feb22 Jan20 Dec08 Nov09 (lara jorge)TORRES HUGO 119 2.50    
7  JIVIN ASTRO May13 Jan14 Nov03 Oct06 Jul30 (lara jorge)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 12.00    
 
LAD-5   06/11/2023 4950ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLARESTOWN May06 Apr14 Feb26 Jan28 Dec22 (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
2  DECCAN PRINCE (IRE) Apr22 Mar26 Feb25 Feb03 Jan06 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 2.50 34% 2.00    
3  FATHER RED May27 Apr29 Apr08 Mar15 Feb17 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
4  VETERAN'S HOLIDAY May05 Oct19 Sep24 Sep06 Aug25 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 4.50    
5  BUTLER CABIN May25 Apr28 Apr08 Mar09 Feb17 (wilson shane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 5.00    
6  BIG SUCCESS May06 Apr15 Mar04 Feb19 Feb05 (prather john )LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  RUSSIAN TANK May20 Mar22 Feb21 Feb11 Feb03 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 12.00    
8  FORTY THREE May08 Mar03 Feb02 Jan12 Dec22 (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 4.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  DINNER AT CRUMPIES May27 May06 Apr15 Feb19 Feb10 (hornsby tamm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00    
 
LAD-6   06/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUICK TO BLAME May08 Apr29 Mar31 Feb17 Jan15 (borel renay)BOREL H 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
2  CHIEF CHEETAH Jul06 Jun04 May25 Apr23 Feb11 (del erick)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 10.00 6% 15.60    
3  PESO IN MY POCKET May08 Jan27 Jan07 Sep10 Aug27 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.00    
4  OBVIOUSLY TOO May20 May05 Apr23 Mar23 Mar02 (hornsby tamm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50 16% 5.10    
5  OXXON May08 Feb25 Feb09 Jun13 May24 (nelson r)BURNINGHAM J 122 6.00    
6  CRIMSON STORM Apr26 Mar24 Feb22 Jan26 Jan11 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 15.00 5% 17.60    
7  BOLD N WILD May12 Mar11 Feb17 Jan22 Jun16 (eoff terry)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 8.00    
 
LAD-7   06/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE NEXT BIG BLING May13 Apr22 Apr02 Mar19 Feb26 (jacks e)GREEN AUBRIE 119 3.50    
SCR  SUZY DOLL'S READY May21 Feb23 Dec09 Nov22 Nov02 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 114 8.00    
3  SUMMER LIGHTNING May21 Apr29 Apr02 Feb24 Feb04 (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.00 55% 0.80    
4  NAVAGATIONALBEACON May06 Apr21 Mar17 Feb26 Feb12 (wilson melton)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.00    
5  BLUEBIRD SING May21 Feb03 Dec07 Aug08 Jun13 (duhon joseph)BARRERA J 115 4.00 18% 4.40    
6  MISS JAMIE Feb03 Dec29 Dec03 Oct28 Oct13 (beavin judy)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-8   06/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO HANDS FULL May27 Mar19 Feb26 Feb05 Dec23 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 3.50 16% 5.20    
2  KISS UPON A STAR Mar30 Mar02 Jan04     (husak j)VARGAS P 124 12.00 12% 7.50    
3  SWEET N SALTY May27 Apr21 Mar16     (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 8.00    
4  SWEET SASSICAIA Jun02 May11       (thomas lee)ALBERT S 116 20.00    
5  SHESTHEBIGGAME May30 Apr21 Mar30 Sep01 Aug19 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 119 8.00    
6  DAZZLING THE MOON Mar05 Feb11       (ward ronnie)STOKES J 119 20.00 11% 8.20    
7  LADY KRISTEN May30 May06       (romero alvin )LOZADA CARLOS 121 15.00    
8  IRISH WRIT May30 Apr22 Apr01 Mar10 Feb05 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 4.50 17% 4.80    
9  BOSTON MILLIE May28 Mar23 Feb20 Feb05 May15 (schmidt denise)MELANCON G 121 5.00 21% 3.70    
10  MISCHIEVOUS ME Apr29 Mar18       (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 12.00    
SCR  LUNCH LADY May27 May04 Apr21 Mar30 Mar02 (deatherage core)TORRES HUGO 119 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.