Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - June 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (1/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/7/3)-(5/1/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7/3)-(5/1/7/6)-(2/5/1/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/6)-(5/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/6)-(5/1/7/6)-(5/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/7/6)-(2/5/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7/6)-(2/5/1/4)-(4/6/7/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/4)-(2/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/4)-(2/5/1/4)-(2/5/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/1/4)-(4/6/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/4)-(4/6/7/1)-(7/4/3/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/1)-(4/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/1)-(4/6/7/1)-(4/6/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/7/1)-(7/4/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/1)-(7/4/3/2)-(3/1/6/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/3/2)-(3/1/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3/2)-(3/1/6/8)-(1/5/7/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/8)-(3/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/8)-(3/1/6/8)-(3/1/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/6/8)-(1/5/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6/8)-(1/5/7/2)-(8/4/6/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/2)-(1/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/2)-(1/5/7/2)-(1/5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/2)-(8/4/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/6/5)-(8/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/6/5)-(8/4/6/5)-(8/4/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   06/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESSENTIAL MAGIC May19         (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 1.80 39% 1.50    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of MAGIC FILLSTHE AIR by MORE THAN READY)
OPPO TACO May11         (walters dav)CONCEPCION AXEL 111 2.00 32% 2.10    
  (by BANDBOX out of RIDDEN OUT by MAKIN)
GHOST OF ALCINA May11 Mar31       (greaves ver)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of RAYO LASER by GHOSTZAPPER)
XTENDED STREAK May19         (lucas anthony)BOCACHICA O 116 15.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of SNOW FROLIC by ARTAX)
LUZIA May12 Mar31       (greaves)NUNEZ ANAHI 116 12.00    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of GLORY GIRL by EDDINGTON)
KNOBIESMAGICSONDE May12 Apr28 Apr07 Mar01 Jan11 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of KNOBIE by RACE ON GREEN)
WORM         (williams gary )MONTANO JOSE 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of REAL SASSY by REAL QUIET)
 
CT-2   06/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY BOP May25 Apr29 Apr01 Mar11 Jan26 (craig e)HO WESLEY 116 3.50 25% 3.10    
FRENCHIES GOLD May25 Apr29 Apr08 Mar18 Feb08 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 111 12.00    
SNEAKY LYNK May25 May12 Apr07 Mar17 Feb24 (johnson jamey)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50    
LAUGHINTOTHEBANK Apr29 Apr08 Mar16 Dec15 Nov04 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 5.00    
LOVE OF GRACE May25 Apr29 Apr07 Mar17 Feb16 (collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 2.50 38% 1.60    
LIVANA May18 Apr28 Sep17 Sep02 Aug09 (figgins l)ACOSTA D 118 12.00 5% 18.90    
MARINA GRANDE May18 Apr20 Aug12     (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 118 3.00 12% 7.50    
 
CT-3   06/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY SLICK NICK May25 May05 Apr21 Apr14 Mar11 (stahlin john)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
NET WORTH May25 Apr22 Apr10 Feb24 Jan21 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 1.60 38% 1.60    
SHAKIN IT BIG TIME Apr22 Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 Dec08 (oxendine adam)SIMPSON JASON 124 15.00    
MORE TAJ Apr20 Mar17 Feb25     (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 117 50.00 5% 19.00    
ONLY GET'N BETTER May19 May04 Apr22 Apr08 Mar11 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 118 8.00 27% 2.70    
GAMING SOUL May24 May11 Mar31 Feb26 Jan21 (salazar)BRICENO GREGOR 118 10.00    
ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS May26 May06 Apr29 Apr01 Feb19 (parram derrick )MONTERREY R 124 3.50    
MUD BUG May25 Feb09 Jan08 Oct22 Oct07 (walters dav)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 2.50    
 
CT-4   06/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY INVASION May18 Apr22 Apr08 Nov12 Oct08 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MAILMAN'S A FLYER Mar31 Mar12 Feb26 Feb18 Feb04 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 8.00    
STEAL THE CASH May18 Apr08 Mar01 Dec09 Nov18 (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00    
ICING May13 Apr22 Mar18 Feb24 Feb08 (cash norm)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 1.20 56% 0.80    
LATE IN THE GAME May18 Apr22 Apr08 Mar11 Feb18 (sigler g)LARROSA G 124 5.00    
NICHIREN May19 Oct15 Sep22 Sep03 Jul22 (russell brittany)ACOSTA D 120 4.50 13% 6.70    
FREEDOM RIDER May18 Apr29 Apr08 Mar11 Feb09 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
ROCKET APPEAL May19 Apr27 Apr07 Mar17 Feb17 (campbell ma)RAMGEET R 124 12.00    
 
CT-5   06/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEORGE May13         (walters dav)CONCEPCION AXEL 111 4.50    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of TURN CAPP by STREET MAGICIAN)
SMALL PAW May26 May06 Apr13 Nov09 Oct15 (jackson ang)ESQUILIN J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of SALS WONDERFULGIRL by TIZ WONDERFUL)
ALL ROADS TO DENIS May20         (jackson ange)MORALES KELVIN 116 6.00 18% 4.50    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of ROAD TO ZANZIBAR by QUALITY ROAD)
GAMBLING FEVER         (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 3.50 23% 3.40    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of LITTLEBITABLING by CARSON CITY)
SCARE DEM May18 Jul29 Jul08 Jun30 Jun16 (pyke joseph)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 15.00    
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of AFRICAN RAINBOW by KINSHASA)
IT'S ONLY MONEY Jan28 Jan04 Dec17 Dec06 Oct15 (collyer d)BOCACHICA O 124 20.00    
  (by EVANGELISM out of JUST FOR MONEY by NOT FOR LOVE)
HARLEY SIOUX May20 Apr29 Apr06 Mar16 Jan28 (straugh)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 1.60 34% 1.90    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of CARLY SIOUX by INDIAN CHARLIE)
RAISE A RUCKUS Nov26         (grams c)PELTROCHE F 124 5.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of HOT CREEK RISIN' by BRING THE HEAT)
 
CT-6   06/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HESSICA May20 May04 Oct08 Sep15 Aug18 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
LADY CINCO DE MAYO May27 May18 Apr14 Mar17 Feb23 (johnson)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 12.00    
CHANGE THE WORLD May20 Apr15 Dec08 Nov16 Oct08 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
COUSIN WINNIE May20 May04 Feb25 Jan25 Dec15 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.50    
LADRO DI FICHI May29 May13 Apr07 Feb11 Feb03 (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 120 4.50    
BAYS CASTLE May20 Apr06 Mar09 Feb25 Feb01 (graci kimbe)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
HAPPY RIDE May12 Apr21 Mar24 Mar11 Feb22 (kreiser timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 6.00    
BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD Jun01 May20 Mar09 Feb01 Nov30 (jackson ang)ESQUILIN J 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   06/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABY MAN May05 Feb24 Jan12 Dec30 Nov12 (russel)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.80 57% 0.80    
MYGIDGETMARIE May26 May04 Apr15 Mar30 Feb15 (huet terry)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
LACE REVOLUTION May05 Mar02 Feb09 Jan19 Nov25 (shanley m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
DULCIMER DAME May09 Mar30 Mar23 Mar04 Feb23 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40    
COMPLETE SURPRISE May05 Aug06 Jun09 May20 Apr28 (boggs joann)RAMGEET R 120 12.00 7% 13.10    
SOMEDAY IS TODAY Apr13 Mar02 Feb09 Jan19 Dec03 (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 120 5.00    
BABA May28 Apr06 Feb25 Feb10 Jan29 (jones micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 8.00 5% 17.80    
SCR  STAR RULES May20 Apr27 Nov12 Sep23 Aug30 (huffman)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 30.00    
 
CT-8   06/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHERIFF'S KID May27 Apr15 Mar30 Mar04 Feb11 (price r)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.50    
SOCIAL EXCLUSION May25 Feb11 Jan14 Dec17 Dec03 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
SCR  LIFE IN FLASH May20 Apr07 Mar17 Feb24 Feb04 (harting )BUTTERFLY L 122 15.00    
CENTERFOLD ANGEL May06 Apr15 Jan25 Dec02 Oct15 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 16% 5.20    
EMMA AND I May20 Nov23 Oct12 Sep22 Sep03 (collyer j)BOCACHICA J 110 10.00 5% 19.00    
MISS WILD May20 Apr29 Mar24 Jan25 Dec02 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 8.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  ONEPRETTYTHING Jun06 May21 Apr29 Apr08 Mar23 (smith osborne)SIMPSON JASON 124 12.00    
SOMMER VELVET Nov14 Oct22 Oct01 Sep03 Jul16 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.40 43% 1.30    
SO RED THE ROSE May20 Apr29 Apr08 Mar18 Feb24 (obed-letts ketu)PELTROCHE F 122 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.