Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Saturday - May 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/5)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5)-(4/2/6)-(6/3/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-2   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/1)-(4/2/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(6/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(6/3/1)-(3/1/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-3   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(3/1/6)-(2/4/1/9/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LAD-4   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(2/4/1/9/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(2/4/1/9/3)-(2/8/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LAD-5   WIN (2/4/1/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/9/3)-(2/4/1/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/9/3)-(2/4/1/9/3)-(2/4/1/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/4/1/9/3)-(2/8/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1/9/3)-(2/8/6)-(2/3) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
LAD-6   WIN (2/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/6)-(2/8/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/8/6)-(2/8/5/6)-(2/8/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/8/6)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/8/6)-(2/3)-(7/10/5/9/6) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
LAD-7   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/3)-(7/10/5/9/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
LAD-8   WIN (7/10/5/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/10/5/9/6)-(7/10/5/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/10/5/9/6)-(7/10/5/9/6)-(7/10/5/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   05/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROMISING SHOES May06 Apr15 Mar02 Feb19 Jan27 (broberg karl)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.50    
SCR  KEYS INCLUDED Apr20 Mar22 Mar08 Feb12 Jan27 (zeringue j)GREEN AUBRIE 119 6.00    
D TOWN BABY Mar11 Feb26 Feb10 Jan14 Dec02 (duhon paul)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 8.00 17% 4.80    
JOEBOY May15 Feb18 Jan25 Jan06 Dec17 (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 12.00    
TWITTY CITY Apr30 Apr08 Mar11 Feb19 Feb11 (altamirano elue)TORRES HUGO 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
BIG POWER RED Apr29 Apr14 Mar24 Dec02 Nov14 (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.50    
MEDITATE (IRE) May08 Feb17 Jan26 Jan11 Dec14 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
LAD-2   05/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR. WOODS MIRACLE Apr22 Mar30 Mar16 Mar03 Jan29 (hornsby )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 5.00    
BAILEY'S CHARM May07 Feb23 Dec02 Nov18 Oct27 (lara jorge)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 4.00 29% 2.50    
PENNIE'S MAGIC May14 Mar23 Feb23 Feb01 Jan21 (melancon donald)TORRES HUGO 116 8.00    
PRISSY JADEN Apr29 Mar23 Mar23 Feb26 Jan13 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.00 36% 1.80    
EMMYLOU SQUALL May12 Apr30 Apr07 Mar11 Mar03 (jacks e)GREEN AUBRIE 119 6.00    
DAISY DE ORO Apr20 Mar18       (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 116 12.00 10% 8.70    
MISS ARKANSAS May14 Apr28 Apr12 Mar21 Mar07 (dixon tim)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 3.50    
CAT B CAUSE May07 Apr12 Feb28 Feb17 Jan27 (modica oscar)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 10.00    
 
LAD-3   05/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE Apr29 Apr14 Mar23 Mar10 Feb21 (thompson kevin)GREEN AUBRIE 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
LIFEASWEKNOWIT Mar23 Mar08 Feb17 Dec17 Nov10 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 2.50    
MR. CROMWELL Apr28 Mar26 Mar11 Feb05 Jan16 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 2.00 30% 2.30    
FLOWER CAT Mar09 Jan28 Dec27 Nov25   (ingram steve)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
BARNEY'S PASSION Apr27 Feb01 Jan18 Jan05 Dec20 (charles jon)BALTHAZAR JARED 120 12.00    
MUNNINGS CATSLE Feb21         (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.50 41% 1.50    
STORMIN SUNDAY Apr19 Mar26 Feb25 Jan28 Jan04 (roberts kenne)LOZADA CARLOS 122 6.00    
 
LAD-4   05/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAPEL BARN May04 Apr21 Apr08 Mar26 Mar09 (altami)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.50 25% 2.90    
PINKY RING BLING May13 Apr01 Feb18 Feb03 Jan14 (cravens ronnie)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.00    
HIGH CRUISE May04 Mar24 Jan27 Dec26 Dec03 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.00 32% 2.10    
YOUNG TUSCAN Mar16 Feb09 Jan15 Nov26 Sep13 (munoz yovani)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 10.00    
BOYFRIEND MATERIAL Apr29 Mar16 Mar03 Feb11 Jan26 (fuselier j)ALBERT S 119 8.00    
TWO DOT Mar16 Mar03 Feb10 Jan20 Dec02 (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.50 12% 7.50    
 
LAD-5   05/27/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ SWEET CANDY Apr28 Apr15 Mar19 Mar10 Feb12 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 4.50 11% 8.00    
SWEET N SALTY Apr21 Mar16       (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 3.50 45% 1.20    
LUNCH LADY May04 Apr21 Mar30 Mar02 Jan21 (deatherage core)TORRES HUGO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
TWO HANDS FULL Mar19 Feb26 Feb05 Dec23   (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 3.00 14% 5.90    
CORONA DEL MAR May07 Apr07 Mar18 Feb26 Feb05 (broussar)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 6.00    
BEAUCLAIRE Feb24         (ward ronnie)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 116 15.00    
SCR  TRIPLE THE GOLD Apr15         (pedigo randy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 10.00    
PHARME'S PHINALE Apr30 Apr15 Mar19 Feb11 Sep19 (jacks e)LOZADA CARLOS 124 8.00    
CALYPSO STREET Jan28 Jan07 Jul06 Apr29   (cates al)GREEN AUBRIE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  BONJOOR MADEMOISEL May28 May07 Apr16     (tillis e)BURNINGHAM J 121 20.00    
 
LAD-6   05/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKIPPA Apr08 Feb25 Feb01 Dec10   (charle)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 10.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of BREACH OF DUTY by BROKEN VOW)
AZTEC GEM Mar25 Mar03 Dec26     (dandridge )ALBERT S 114 2.50 55% 0.80    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of MT. QUINCY by ERLTON)
SWIFT CUSTOM May14 Mar25 Mar04     (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 119 3.50    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of PRONTO PRONTO by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
POPPY T         (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of KYLIE'S CUTIE by PRIVATE VOW)
ROCKET DOCTOR Sep13 Aug13 Jul23     (pish danny)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 6.00    
  (by GUILT TRIP out of HOMETOWN GOSSIP by MILWAUKEE BREW)
SPARKIN May14 Apr23 Mar19 Feb04 Jan06 (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 4.50 5% 18.30    
  (by EL DEAL out of WANNA CUDDLE by LEESTOWN)
PATIO'S PORCH         (gelner scott)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 12.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of CUP RACER by VALUE PLUS)
ROCK SOLID WORDS Feb26 Feb09 Jan15 Dec11 Nov27 (fogarty desmon)GREEN AUBRIE 124 5.00 14% 6.30    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of FLAME RUN by HARD SPUN)
 
LAD-7   05/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILITARY BEARING Mar31 Feb25 Jan25 Jan06 Nov11 (johnson henry )SUAREZ ANGEL 124 6.00    
SILVER GALAXY Mar05 Feb10 Jan20 Nov19 Jun17 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 2.50 51% 1.00    
RIGHTANDJUST Apr08 Mar02 Jan26 Dec26 Nov05 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.00 16% 5.10    
DINNER AT CRUMPIES May06 Apr15 Feb19 Feb10 Jan22 (hornsby tammy)GREEN AUBRIE 124 6.00    
SCR  MONARCH'S MISCHIEF May07 Mar15 Feb10 Dec29 Nov17 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 12.00    
RUM 'N TONIC May06 Apr30 Apr22 Apr02 Mar25 (altamirano elue)TORRES HUGO 119 12.00    
U S NAVY CROSS Apr30 Apr22 Jan28 Jan08 Dec17 (broberg karl)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50    
 
LAD-8   05/27/2023 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL DE BE Jan21 Dec18 Nov22 Oct21 Oct12 (vincent jar)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 15.00    
  (by DECIBEL out of ROYAL ACCEL by CHAPEL ROYAL)
HUMOR ME PLEASE May07 Apr15 Mar31 Mar22 Mar09 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 119 3.50    
  (by LEA out of UNDISTORTED by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  RAUL'S ENCANTO Apr26 Mar09 Oct15     (del eric)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 12.00    
  (by GRAYDAR out of SAILING FREE by MIZZEN MAST)
CHROME RUN Apr30 Apr16 Apr02 Mar12 Jan13 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 4.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of CORONATION STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
MONEYSTRIKE May05 Apr23 Mar25     (wilson mel)ALBERT S 119 20.00 13% 6.40    
  (by MO FOR THE MONEY out of SKY STRIKE by PORTOBELLO ROAD)
THINKINGNDRINKING Apr23 Mar23 Mar03 Feb10 Jan20 (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of MENDING WALL by BROKEN VOW)
ROCKALL Feb17         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 4.50 34% 1.90    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of INVARIABLE by INVASOR (ARG))
EMPYREAL SHADOW May06 Apr02 Mar11 Feb17 Dec31 (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 8.00    
  (by SHUPANGA out of SHE'LLKISSTHEBOYS by PLENTYOFIT)
MR LEO AND JOSE         (del erick)LOZADA CARLOS 124 12.00 13% 6.40    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of MISS HUNNY by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
10  TAPIT TWICE Apr23         (dixon tim)BOREL H 119 5.00 15% 5.50    
  (by DOUBLE IRISH out of ORANGE STREET by STORM BOOT)
SCR  KID SHELLEEN Apr16 Apr02 Feb19 Dec09 Nov30 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 20.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GOLDEN MARLIN by MARLIN)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.