Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Saturday - May 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/1)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(6/1/4)-(7/3/6/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EVD-2   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(7/3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(7/3/6/8)-(5/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-3   WIN (7/3/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/8)-(7/3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/6/8)-(7/3/6/8)-(7/3/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/6/8)-(5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6/8)-(5/2/4)-(2/6/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-4   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(2/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(2/6/7/1)-(2/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-5   WIN (2/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/1)-(2/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/1)-(2/6/7/1)-(2/6/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/7/1)-(2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7/1)-(2/5/7)-(9/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-6   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/7)-(2/5/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/7)-(2/5/7/1)-(2/5/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/7)-(9/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7)-(9/7/5)-(7/5/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-7   WIN (9/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/7/5)-(9/7/5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/5)-(9/7/5/2/8)-(9/7/5/2/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/7/5)-(7/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/7/5)-(7/5/3/6)-(10/2/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-8   WIN (7/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/6)-(7/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/6)-(7/5/3/6)-(7/5/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/3/6)-(10/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EVD-9   WIN (10/2/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/2/9)-(10/2/9/11) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (10/2/9)-(10/2/9/11)-(10/2/9/11) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   05/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCREENPLAY Apr22 Apr13 Feb16 Jan27 Jan12 (gonzalez isa)BARRERA J 118 2.50 19% 4.10    
MATH MAN Apr26 Mar26 Mar10 Feb18 Jan11 (jackson darre)VARGAS P 123 4.00    
SCR  HIGH RIDGE Apr28 Feb28 Feb03 Jan05 Dec09 (alberto antonio)MCMAHON J 120 12.00    
PAYDAY TOO Apr14 Mar24 Feb21 Jan29 Jan15 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.50 52% 0.90    
DUKE OF BLUE RIDGE May03 Apr07 Mar15 Feb23 Jan28 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 6.00    
SMOKY TOPAZ Apr22 Feb10 Jan18 Dec27 Nov09 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 123 2.00    
 
EVD-2   05/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. WIMBLEDON BAY Apr22 Feb25 Jan20 Dec22 Oct14 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 123 2.00 14% 5.90    
BYATHREAD May04 Apr13 Feb28 Feb09 Jan25 (landry jaco)MELANCON JANSEN 115 6.00    
JANET'S DEVIL Feb16 Dec17 Nov17 Oct28 Jul27 (gelner j)POMPELL L 120 10.00    
TEXAS TURBINE Apr22 Feb15 Jan12 Dec02 Nov11 (brinkman bre)BARRERA J 118 2.50 10% 9.20    
SPECIAL OPERATOR Mar11 Feb26 Feb17 Jan27 Jan06 (gonzalez is)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.50    
FREEWHEELER         (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 123 3.50 55% 0.80    
 
EVD-3   05/20/2023 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIMPLY WOW Apr07 Mar09 Feb10 Jan06 Dec11 (richards corale )FUSILIER C 114 10.00    
TACTICAL VISION Apr27         (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 12.00    
STEP ON IT Apr20 Feb17 Dec20 Dec08 Oct06 (pike l)THORNTON G 118 2.00 21% 3.90    
RED OCTOBER Apr28 Mar25 Mar08 Feb17 Feb03 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 113 8.00    
NEPHI May11 Apr07 Feb20 Jan19 Nov26 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 5.00    
DEVIL'S HARVEST Apr28         (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 118 4.00 18% 4.70    
ASTERN BANKER May03 Apr20 Feb20 Feb03   (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 3.00 34% 2.00    
G'S LAW Apr16 Mar19 Feb24 Feb10 Jan20 (west g)STOKES J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-4   05/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGEEZ May05 Apr14 Mar26 Mar12 Mar02 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.00    
COACH KENNY Apr20 Mar25 Mar01 Feb04 Jan13 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00 6% 14.50    
NO PEDIGREE May06 Apr13 Jan13 Dec15 Dec02 (mojica edith)BARRERA J 115 5.00    
MUFFIN NUTS Apr26 Feb15 Jan25 Jan06 Dec15 (reeves jeffery )MCMAHON J 120 15.00 6% 15.60    
COOL INDIVIDUAL May03 Apr15 Feb16 Aug17 Jul20 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 123 2.00 41% 1.50    
FREEDOMFI Apr14 Feb25 Feb04 Jan07 Dec14 (delahoussaye g)THORNTON G 120 1.80    
 
EVD-5   05/20/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLANTS AND BIRDS Apr26 Mar03 Jan29 Jan06 Mar17 (cuccia j)ALBERT S 118 3.00 5% 19.00    
ABSOLUTELY Apr26 Apr07 Feb23 Jan14 Nov12 (landry ray)STOKES J 123 2.00 37% 1.70    
TOLATETOOWAIT Apr15 Feb28 Jan21 Jan07 Dec08 (chatters benard)STOKES A 116 15.00    
SHEZ OUR ARCH Apr24 Apr04 Mar19 Feb25 Dec17 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 123 4.00    
SCR  ANGEL AND ME Feb20 Feb01 Dec09 Nov25 Nov11 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 20.00    
RAISE THE PRAISE Apr19 Feb12 Jan16 Dec29 Dec08 (pomier )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 8.00 21% 3.90    
STAR FASHION Mar26 Mar03 Dec29 Nov26 Nov18 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 5.00 12% 7.00    
SARATOGA PASODOBLE Apr26 Apr07 Feb24 Feb01 May28 (fuselier j)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 20.00    
RIPTIDE ROSE Apr26 Apr15 Mar19 Feb23 Feb01 (silva walte)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 12.00    
 
EVD-6   05/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUNT JANA Apr28 Mar26 Mar05 Feb17 Feb04 (simon lester)STOKES A 120 4.00    
RYAN'S GRACE Apr28 Apr12 Mar26 Feb24 Feb01 (flint steve)MCMAHON J 123 2.00 43% 1.30    
OVERLY SWEET Apr28 Mar11 Feb22 Jan19 Jan06 (zeno benjamin)VARGAS P 120 15.00    
SARATOGA KAREN Apr12 Feb22 Jan26 Jan04 Dec19 (cox edward )MELANCON JANSEN 123 12.00    
THROUGH THE CRACKS May04 Apr19 Feb16 Jan27 Oct13 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 113 1.80 28% 2.50    
EASY ACT May11 Apr07 Feb28 Feb10 Jan19 (segura kearney)STOKES J 115 6.00    
ROSIE SPRIT Apr15 Mar03 Jan13 Dec29   (david b)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 10.00 6% 15.20    
 
EVD-7   05/20/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BATTLE OF WILL Apr21 Mar15 Feb02 Jan12 Dec19 (delahou)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 15.00    
TOUCHDOWN JOE Apr21 Mar03 Feb16 Dec17 Dec01 (noel dane)VARGAS P 123 6.00    
YOUR TIME'S COMING Dec17 Oct06 Sep08 Aug17 Jun29 (landry ray)STOKES J 119 15.00    
HOLIDAY DIAMOND Mar01 Feb11 Jan20 Jan05 Dec08 (zenon shelto)MAGNON H 123 12.00    
SARAH'S VISION Apr21 Feb23 Jan11 Dec17 Nov17 (klanfer al)MARQUEZ L 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCORING DRIVE Apr21 Apr12 Feb24 Jan26 Jan05 (richards corale )FUSILIER C 123 2.50    
CHEERFOR MSHAWISH Mar22 Feb28 Jan05 Dec16 Nov25 (roberts kenn)BARRERA J 118 4.00 8% 11.30    
HENNING Feb11 Jan21 Dec14 Sep11 Aug16 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 20.00    
MARTINIZED Apr21 Mar03 Feb02 Jan12 Dec19 (david b)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.00 65% 0.50    
 
EVD-8   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3 F PT- 9:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CINCY'S ANNA Apr15 Mar24       (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 8.00    
BYE BYE BIG BABY Feb22 Feb02       (cox edward )MELANCON JANSEN 112 15.00    
COPPER MOON Apr22 Mar12 Feb10 Jan14 Dec22 (richards coral)THORNTON G 112 3.50 6% 14.50    
DIXIE FARMER Apr26 Feb23 Feb04 Jan04   (landry ray)STOKES J 112 2.50    
LUMINOUS FLIGHT Apr13 Mar09 Feb22     (cox l)BARRERA J 112 5.00 13% 6.50    
FORGOTTEN FORTUNE Dec30         (segura kearney)MCMAHON J 115 12.00 5% 17.90    
LADY DREAMER Apr07 Feb09 Jan14 Dec19 Nov26 (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 115 1.80 49% 1.00    
 
EVD-9   05/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-10:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARMING KAT Mar23 Feb15 Jan25 Jan11 Nov11 (senegal da)ALBERT S 118 20.00    
TALENTS HOT DEAL Mar23 Feb24 Jan14 Dec20 Oct27 (blanchet chris)MCMAHON J 123 5.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  ZONG WAVE May11 Apr26 Feb23 Dec29 Dec19 (dison phill)MELANCON JANSEN 123 4.50    
SCR  FIELD OF LIGHTS May07 Nov18 Oct28 Aug27 Aug17 (broussard v)LEDET THEODRICK 123 15.00    
SCR  EULA'S GIRL Apr29 Apr15       (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 118 3.50    
SCR  SHOOTING STICK Nov03 Oct06 Aug27 Aug13 Jul20 (derozin jere)EDISON JOCELYN 118 20.00    
LA LOLA May03 Aug13 Jul23 Jul07 Jun17 (zenon charl)BALTHAZAR JARED 123 20.00    
SEEMYVALENTINE May11 Jan28 Dec19 Nov25 Nov11 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 15.00    
MALLORY UNBRIDLED May03 Apr15       (averett ronni)VARGAS P 118 8.00 14% 6.40    
10  MINT JULIUS May04 Apr19 Mar23 Feb15 Feb02 (landry ray)STOKES J 123 3.00 47% 1.10    
11  SHOTGUN ANNIE Apr26 Apr07 Feb24 Jan28 Jan07 (west henry)BARRERA J 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.