Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - March 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/2)-(6/4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/2)-(6/4/1/2)-(6/4/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/1/2)-(1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1/2)-(1/5/3)-(1/7/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3/8/4)-(1/5/3/8/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(1/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(1/7/8)-(5/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-3   WIN (1/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/8)-(1/7/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/8)-(1/7/8/6)-(1/7/8/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/8)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/7/8)-(5/4)-(2/3/9/1/6) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/4/3/8)-(5/4/3/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/4)-(2/3/9/1/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(2/3/9/1/6)-(10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/3/9/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/9/1/6)-(2/3/9/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/9/1/6)-(2/3/9/1/6)-(2/3/9/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/9/1/6)-(10/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/3/9/1/6)-(10/4)-(1/9/7/6/10) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
CT-6   WIN (10/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/4)-(10/4/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/4)-(10/4/7/5)-(10/4/7/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (10/4)-(1/9/7/6/10) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (10/4)-(1/9/7/6/10)-(6/7/10/8/9) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/9/7/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/7/6/10)-(1/9/7/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/7/6/10)-(1/9/7/6/10)-(1/9/7/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/9/7/6/10)-(6/7/10/8/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/9/7/6/10)-(6/7/10/8/9)-(3/9) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
CT-8   WIN (6/7/10/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/10/8/9)-(6/7/10/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/10/8/9)-(6/7/10/8/9)-(6/7/10/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/10/8/9)-(3/9) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
CT-9   WIN (3/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/9)-(3/9/4/6/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/9)-(3/9/4/6/8)-(3/9/4/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   03/31/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST OF BAD BOYS         (hamlin kathl)LEWIS M 117 12.00 14% 6.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of MISS BAD GIRL by FRIENDS LAKE)
2  ROAD PUNCH         (armstrong l)RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00 14% 6.00    
  (by THREE CHOPT ROAD out of LOLIBOP by BOP)
3  J. WICK Mar10         (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 124 10.00    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of CHIPPEWA DREAMER by GEROSA)
4  I'LLTAKECAREOFIT         (petty kris)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 4.50 15% 5.80    
  (by JUBA out of WINDSOR'S PUNCH by WINDSOR CASTLE)
5  MAKIN' GOLD Mar10         (campbel)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 3.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of NEWS MAKIN by MAKIN)
6  CHARITABLE WINDSOR         (petty kristy)LARROSA G 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of CHARITABLE BOUND by CHARITABLE MAN)
7  DR RENDEZVOUS Mar10 Jan27       (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50    
  (by ALDRIN out of FRENCH OAK by ARCH)
 
CT-2   03/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH SAMURAI Mar17 Mar04 Feb11 Jan25 Jan04 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 1.80 38% 1.60    
2  BOCA BIRDIE Mar18 Mar10 Feb16 Jan05 Dec10 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 126 15.00    
3  KOBE'S GIRL Mar04 Feb16 Dec31 Dec17 Nov30 (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 122 4.50 11% 7.80    
4  PRETTY SPECTACULAR Mar10 Mar04 Feb11 Jan25 Jan04 (montilla car)LEWIS M 115 5.00 ★    
5  LOVE TO ZOOM Mar10 Feb16 Feb01 Nov18 Oct28 (farrior an)RIVERA R 119 4.00 26% 2.80    
6  OJITOS BELLOS Mar17 Feb17 Feb05 Jan28 Jan07 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 118 12.00    
7  MODELO RUBIA Mar04 Feb05 Jan29 Nov25 Nov07 (maldon)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 12.00    
8  SHESAHUMBLEHUSTLER Mar10 Mar04 Jan25 Jan04 Dec17 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 124 15.00 ★    
9  MERGER OF EQUALS Mar05 Feb12 Jan22 Dec31 Dec01 (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 124 10.00    
 
CT-3   03/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEVERLY PARK Mar24 Mar15 Feb22 Jan19 Dec31 (cash no)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 0.60 55% 0.80    
2  COWBOY AT HEART Mar10 Feb09 Feb02 Nov24 Oct19 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
3  SARGENT KOBE Feb17 Jan26 Jan06 Dec14 Nov26 (lane j)CULLUM W 122 20.00    
4  E J'S REVENGE Feb11 Feb02 Jan22 Jan13 Jan01 (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 122 15.00    
5  NOON TIME GEM Nov30 Nov19 Oct10 Sep10 Sep02 (juarez)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 20.00    
6  PIT STOP MAN Mar26 Mar11 Mar05 Feb11 Jan27 (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 121 4.00 ★    
7  AARON'S TAP Feb24 Jan19 Dec14 Nov17 Oct27 (sanderson w)RAMGEET R 122 6.00 15% 5.80    
8  QUALIFLY Mar10 Nov15 Oct24 Sep27 Sep12 (sanderson )ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 10.00 7% 13.10    
 
CT-4   03/31/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REMYS SHOWTIME Mar18 Feb24 Feb02 Dec16 Nov19 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00    
2  MYSTIC O'SHAUNESIE Dec01 Nov12 Oct06 Sep16 Aug29 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00    
3  RIVER WARRIOR RVF Jan19 Jun09 May13 Mar24 Feb26 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 ★    
4  DRINKWITHTHESTARS Mar17 Feb02 Jan12 Dec16 Nov23 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
5  HONEYQUIST Dec03 Nov12 Oct08 Sep24   (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 116 1.60 50% 1.00    
6  JACKS SISTER JILL Feb18 Jan14 Dec15     (clement rolan)THORPE DARIUS 119 15.00    
7  SETTLEMENT DATE Mar10 Feb23 Feb02 Dec16 Nov25 (larrosa r)LARROSA G 122 12.00    
8  HOPPING HENRY Feb02 Jan19 Dec16 Nov23 Oct29 (sterling michae)PELTROCHE F 122 4.50 ★    
 
CT-5   03/31/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOKOYA ROAD Aug23 Aug09 Mar25 Feb26 Jan08 (jones e)BAEZ M 115 4.50 5% 19.00    
2  LADDIE LIAM Jan27 Nov29 Oct22 Sep16 Aug26 (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 1.40 41% 1.50    
3  BEYOND THE VICTORY Mar26 May15 Apr22 Apr02   (libertini ja)LEWIS M 117 15.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  AUTS REVOLUTION Mar17 Feb23 Feb01 Jan11 Nov12 (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 124 15.00    
5  EXCALIBUR Mar17 Feb17 Jan28 Jan06 Dec17 (dove jr)ARAUJO DENIS 122 5.00    
6  MY CANDY BIZ Feb23 Feb01 Jan12 Nov17 Nov03 (joy kevin)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  TRIPLE JEOPARDY Mar09 Feb17 Jan28 Jan06 Dec06 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 8.00    
8  DUNLUCE CAISSLE Mar09 Feb01 Oct26 Sep30 Sep14 (davis r)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 30.00    
9  LOST IN MANHATTAN Mar09 Feb17 Jan12 Nov16 Oct27 (farrior an)RIVERA R 117 8.00 6% 16.50    
 
CT-6   03/31/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER Feb22 Feb18 Jan15 Dec21 Nov25 (smith l)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 30.00    
2  NOBALLSTWOSTRIKES Feb22 Nov11 Oct08 Aug26 Aug06 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00    
3  SPUNMAN Jan27 Jan06 Nov19 Sep08 Aug06 (runco c)LEWIS M 115 15.00    
4  MYSTIFIED Feb23 Jan25 Jan04 Dec20 Nov24 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 15.00 15% 5.70    
5  ALLEN CAN DO IT Mar11 Feb24 Feb09 Jan27 Jan06 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 5.00 ★    
6  UNCAPTURED KING Mar11 Jan27 Dec09 Oct29 Oct08 (murdock stephen)CRUZ ANGEL 122 15.00    
7  WITH SECRET ENERGY Mar11 Feb18 Jan27 Jan06 Dec08 (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 122 4.50 ★    
8  DR. FERBER Mar09 Feb01 Nov19 Oct22 Oct09 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
9  ICE BAR Mar04 Feb19 Jan27 Jan18 Jan05 (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 122 20.00    
10  ROYAL PAIN Feb22 Feb08 Jan19 Dec16 Jun25 (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.40 61% 0.60    
SCR  TARAASHOQ Mar16 Mar06 Feb09 Jan28 Jan07 (ramos m)ARAUJO DENIS 122 20.00    
SCR  JAMMIN STILL Mar17 Feb24 Feb11 Jan28 Jan14 (caison )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00 ★    
SCR  BOOK OF DELANCEY Mar25 Mar11 Mar04 Feb10 Jan25 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 122 20.00    
SCR  ONE TWO KID Feb25 Jan18 Jan14 Dec09 Nov14 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 122 15.00    
 
CT-7   03/31/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GALLANT CREED         (grams timot)RAMGEET R 124 4.00 32% 2.20    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of GALLANT CALLING by OVERDRIVEN)
2  JUGSY         (ceciliano misael)LARROSA G 124 15.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of JAMIE'S SILENT BID by BANKER'S GOLD)
3  LUZIA         (greaves verno)THORPE DARIUS 124 6.00    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of GLORY GIRL by EDDINGTON)
4  GHOST OF ALCINA         (greaves ver)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 10.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of RAYO LASER by GHOSTZAPPER)
5  LOCKDOWN VANNA Feb24 Feb08 Jan21 Jan06   (locklear james)BAEZ M 117 50.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of FLUVANNA by GHOSTLY MINISTER)
6  MEGEEZER         (contreras )ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 4.50 10% 9.30    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of MY SISTER MARGARET by BOP)
7  PATTI BLUE EYES Mar09 Nov11 Oct21 Sep23 Sep17 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 5.00 12% 7.30    
  (by RACE DAY out of BLUSHING DAMSEL by ORIENTATE (GB))
8  POLISH THE DIAMOND Mar09 Jan26 Jan06     (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 10.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of STONECUTTER by GRINDSTONE)
9  OUR GREAT NOTION Mar09 Feb16       (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of RISTRETTA by WAR FRONT)
10  CANDY LOVES HONEY Jan26         (dillow h)RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EVANGELISM out of UNVEXED by ALBERTUS MAXIMUS)
 
CT-8   03/31/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REATA'S CASTLE Feb08 Jan19 Jan06 Dec16 Nov23 (collyer d)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
2  JAXJAXXORJACKS Feb24 Feb08 Jan19 Jan06 Dec16 (caison )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
3  LITTLE ROO ROO Feb16 Feb01 Jan04 Dec14 Nov23 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 12.00    
4  BUDDY BUDDY Feb24 Dec08 Oct27 Oct14 Sep24 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00    
5  ACASHA'S INTUITION Feb23 Jan26 Jan04 Nov24 Oct26 (bass curtis )LEWIS M 117 8.00    
6  MR CHANCE ROMANCE Feb24 Feb09 Jan11 Nov30 Nov17 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
7  TOBI WAN KENOBI Feb16 Jan25 Dec14 Oct15   (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 4.00 19% 4.30    
8  ENTRY TIME Feb15 Jan11 Dec01 Nov17 Oct27 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00 9% 10.20    
9  NO LOVE FOR JUBA Feb16 Jan07 Dec03 Nov19 Nov02 (sigler g)BOCACHICA O 116 5.00 6% 15.60    
10  PERSONABLE Feb24 Feb08 Jan06 Dec08 Nov16 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 4.50 17% 5.00    
 
CT-9   03/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARDIN Feb17 Jan19 Jan05 Dec17 Nov05 (harrison n)CECIL Y 124 30.00    
2  COOL DUDE Feb17 Jan25 Dec17 Nov18 Oct29 (cecilia)NUNEZ ANAHI 126 30.00    
3  BROAD IMAGINATION Mar09 Feb15 Jan27     (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 0.60 61% 0.60    
4  JUBAY Mar24 Mar11 Feb15 Jan06 Dec17 (petty kris)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 4.00 ★    
5  IRISH FIRE Mar10 Jun24 Jun16 May26 Apr23 (atkins )NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 30.00    
6  CURB THAT TIGER Mar24 Mar09 Feb15 Jan06 Dec17 (sigler g)BOCACHICA O 118 6.00 ★    
7  SHADE TREE CORNER Mar11 Feb18 Jan06     (larrosa r)LARROSA G 118 20.00    
8  CHARTERED COURSE Mar10 Jan26 Jan11 Jan05 Dec17 (arias alfonso)CHILO JACINTO 126 12.00 ★    
9  FRANK THE BULL Mar10         (sterling michae)PELTROCHE F 118 8.00 16% 5.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.