Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Friday - March 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (5/8/2/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/2/4/9)-(5/8/2/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/8/2/4/9)-(2/1/5/7)-(1/8/4/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-2   WIN (2/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/7)-(2/1/5/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    DD (2/1/5/7)-(1/8/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5/7)-(1/8/4/2)-(2/1/7/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-3   WIN (1/8/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/4/2)-(1/8/4/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/8/4/2)-(2/1/7/6)-(2/9/8/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-4   WIN (2/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/6)-(2/1/7/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/6)-(2/9/8/1)-(5/8/3/11) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-5   WIN (2/9/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/8/1)-(2/9/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/9/8/1)-(5/8/3/11)-(3/6) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
LRL-6   WIN (5/8/3/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/11)-(5/8/3/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/3/11)-(3/6)-(2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-7   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(2/1/5)-(8/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LRL-8   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LRL-9   WIN (8/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/7)-(8/7/6/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOTAL EFFORT Feb25 Jan20 Jun11 Apr02 Mar19 (de horac)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 10.00    
2  YOUNG TURK Feb24 Feb12 Jan13 Dec17 Dec11 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 5.00 12% 7.30    
3  DESPITE ODDS Mar03 Feb05 Jan20 Dec30 Apr03 (tapscot)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 8.00    
4  MR. EXTENSION Feb20 Jan31 Aug29 Aug08 Jul24 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 126 6.00 10% 9.50    
5  BRION Feb12 Oct20 Sep07 Jul20 Jun10 (gaudet l)BUTTERFLY L 126 3.50 37% 1.70    
6  GILLIGAN Jan08 Dec09 Nov12 Jun24 Jun12 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 122 15.00    
SCR  TAM CHAR Mar03 Feb03 Jan16 Dec29 Nov19 (frock charle)LEWIS M 114 6.00    
8  CENTER MID MADDIE Jan28 Jan13 Dec17 Dec06 Nov14 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 3.00 12% 7.10    
9  SUMO (ARG) Jan29 Jan15 Dec16 Nov27 Oct23 (howard dav)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 15.00 6% 16.40    
 
LRL-2   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALBERTANO Feb25 Feb11 Jan28 Jan06 Dec18 (magee kiero)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50 24% 3.20    
2  VELVET GHOST Feb25 Feb19 Jul24 Jul02 May03 (corrales jo)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 126 3.50 31% 2.20    
3  SHOOT THEMESSENGER Feb25 Feb18 Jan28 Jan15 Jan06 (mohan david)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 5.00    
4  ANTIPOISON Mar03 Feb18 Feb10 Jan18 Jan06 (sanchez-sal)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 4.00 ★    
5  CARTE BLANCHE Feb25 Jan28 Dec31 Dec18 Nov06 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 3.00 14% 6.00    
6  UNEQUIVOCAL Feb25 Feb18 Jan29 Jul14 May06 (aguirre anthon)PEREZ XAVIER 123 15.00    
7  EKATI'S VERVE Mar04 Feb10 Jan22 Jan06 Dec11 (mancilla carlos)MONTERREY R 126 12.00 9% 10.50    
 
LRL-3   03/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 3 F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET SHUGS Mar03 Feb05 Dec11 Sep03   (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 119 3.00    
1A  HIDEWRIGHT AWAY Mar11 Feb26 Feb05     (cash norman )LEWIS M 117 3.00 25% 3.10    
2  LIL SPINNER Feb24 Feb03 Jan16 Dec31 Dec02 (sanchez-salom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 4.50 7% 13.40    
3  LA GROTTE Feb19 Jan15 Dec04 Oct23 Aug07 (morley thomas)KARAMANOS A 124 3.50 ★    
4  SIX THE HARD WAY Mar03 Feb26 Feb05 Jan13   (sanchez-sal)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 6.00 23% 3.40    
5  DEARLY         (jenkins rod)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 124 10.00    
6  RIVER CITY ROCKER Aug15         (morgan car)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 124 15.00    
SCR  MISS ANTIETAM Mar03 Jan16       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 6.00    
8  STORMIN' AMANDA Feb24 Jan29 Jan18 Dec22   (salazar marco)CRUZ ANGEL 124 10.00 24% 3.10    
9  DIAMOND SUE Feb17 Jan22 Dec30 Nov24 Oct22 (mancilla ca)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 12.00    
 
LRL-4   03/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIKING QUEEN Feb19 Jan28 Jan08 Dec02 Oct26 (mcmahon tho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.00 18% 4.60    
2  BONITA LASSIE Feb22 Jan16 Dec14 Nov22 Nov01 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.50 34% 2.00    
3  FOLLY Feb19 Jan28 Sep17 Sep02 Jul30 (maldonado jonat)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 12.00 ★    
4  BIG CHEEKS Feb04 Jan07 Jan01 Nov30 Jul02 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.50    
5  BRAMBLE BUSH Feb10 Jan13 Dec14 Nov04 Aug29 (gorham michael)CEDENO CAROL 123 8.00    
6  LOVE IS STRONG Feb26 Feb10 Dec14 Nov22 Oct23 (mckenzie d)RIVERA R 112 20.00 6% 15.00    
7  ESPERANNNA Feb26 Feb10 Jan06 Dec31 Dec02 (farrior ant)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 3.00 17% 4.80    
 
LRL-5   03/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPRING THE BEAST Mar05 Feb12 Jan27 Jan16 Dec02 (pickett crystal )CRUZ ANGEL 123 12.00 5% 18.10    
2  PELOTA Mar05 Jan31 Jan17 Jan04 Dec19 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.80 31% 2.20    
3  KING NATE Jan28 Jan14 Dec24 Oct21 Sep17 (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 12.00    
4  RIDING CLOUD NINE Dec17 Dec04       (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 123 20.00    
SCR  MINECRAFTER Mar09 Feb19 Jan29 Jan06 Dec11 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 20.00    
6  BAHAMA CHANNEL Feb26 Feb18 Feb03 Jul29 Jun19 (eubanks anne)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 4.50    
SCR  MAD GENIUS Jan21 Jan01 Dec10 Nov24 Nov07 (farrior an)RIVERA R 119 8.00 6% 14.60    
8  EXCALIBUR Feb17 Jan28 Jan06 Dec17 Dec02 (dove jr)ARAUJO DENIS 123 10.00 11% 7.90    
9  ERAWAN Mar04 Feb18 Jan06 Nov27 Nov11 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 3.50 23% 3.30    
10  HAGLER Feb05 Jan22 Dec18 Dec01 Sep24 (rodriguez r)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 15.00    
 
LRL-6   03/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3 F PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T TELL DEREN Feb20 Jan08 Dec16 Nov25 Oct29 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 5.00    
2  OJITOS BELLOS Feb17 Feb05 Jan28 Jan07 Dec30 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 117 15.00    
3  PEACH BE WITH Q Feb15 Dec28 Dec14 Oct26   (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 15.00 6% 16.70    
4  WILLFUL DESIRE Feb17 Jan21 Dec10 Nov27 Nov03 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 8.00    
5  BAYLIS STREET Feb20 Jan28 Jan08 Dec11 Nov19 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 121 2.50 30% 2.30    
6  VEGAS WILD CAT Feb20 Jan10 Dec18 Nov14   (ness jamie)CONCEPCION AXEL 110 15.00    
7  SISTER'S DUTY Feb22 Jan29 Dec08 Nov27 Nov13 (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 124 15.00    
8  COCKTAIL DREAMING Jan20 Jan06 Dec16 Nov19 Oct22 (gerali)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 3.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  COWGIRL SHINE Feb20 Jan18 Dec03 Nov16 Oct26 (farrior an)RIVERA R 117 8.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  HEARDITALL Feb05 Jan28 Oct13 Sep30 Aug27 (dove j)LEWIS M 110 50.00    
11  O SHAUGHESEY Feb20 Jan29 Jan08 Dec11 Nov25 (mckenzie daniel)GOMEZ KEVIN 117 12.00 6% 17.20    
SCR  GALACTIC TIDE Feb20 Jan29 Jan06 Dec04 Nov12 (young c)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 30.00    
 
LRL-7   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROUCHELLI Dec16 Nov05 Oct22 Oct01 Sep05 (vukelic robert)BOYCE FOREST 123 12.00    
2  SEMPER FI Jan20 Dec17 Nov06 Oct09 Sep23 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00 ★    
3  EVERETT'S SONG         (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 3.50 23% 3.40    
4  ROMP (ARG) Feb17 Jan27 Sep05 Aug08 Jul18 (mancilla carlo)ROSADO JOHAN 123 12.00    
SCR  THORNY TALE Jan29 Jan08 Dec10 Nov23 Nov11 (ness jamie)CONCEPCION AXEL 112 1.80 34% 1.90    
6  BOBBY G Mar03 Feb17 Jan29 Jan08 Dec31 (mohan david)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 8.00 19% 4.30    
7  CAPTAIN QUINT Feb12 Jan28 Dec09 Nov04 Oct08 (gorham michael)CEDENO CAROL 123 6.00 ★    
 
LRL-8   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXIE DRAWL Feb24 Feb17 Jan20 Dec31 Dec03 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 3.50 18% 4.50    
2  BE BETTER Jan20 Nov27 Oct22 Jul29 Jul04 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50 31% 2.20    
3  PRAIRIE Feb24 Jan21 Dec31 Dec14 Nov05 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 123 15.00    
4  LOCAL MOTIVE Feb24 Jan16 Dec17 Nov26 Nov04 (salzman e)ACOSTA D 123 8.00    
5  SHAFT'S BULLET Feb24 Feb04 Jan06 Feb20   (capuano gar)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00 15% 5.80    
6  WORKIN ON A DREAM Feb24 Feb04 Jan15 Dec30 Jun04 (graham l)BOYCE FOREST 123 20.00    
7  MOMOS Feb18 Jan16 Dec21 Nov06 Oct09 (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 6.00 ★    
SCR  GUILLAUME Feb04 Jan15 Dec31 Nov30 Nov09 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 123 20.00 14% 6.00    
 
LRL-9   03/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAZARD Feb12 Nov16 Oct24 Oct05   (schoenthal)RIVERA R 117 30.00    
SCR  WINDS OF FORTUNE         (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 6.00 15% 5.80    
3  LET'S MAKE A ZEEN Feb25 Dec29 Nov04     (gorham mich)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 8.00    
4  GOLDEN BLOSSOM Feb25 Jan18 Dec29 Dec04 Sep18 (klesaris rober)BOYCE FOREST 120 10.00    
5  DESTINED TO DANCE Mar10         (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 124 20.00    
6  FIVE STAR FRAN Feb25 Feb12 Jan15 Dec29 Dec04 (allard t)CRUZ ANGEL 120 12.00 ★    
7  CAMI RACHELLE Feb04 Jan15 Dec29 Dec04 Oct23 (salzman ti)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 124 4.50 9% 10.50    
8  IRISH LACE Mar11 Feb04 Jan21     (sanchez-salomon)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 3.00 49% 1.00    
9  BEST WORST IDEA Feb10 Jan07 Jun15     (mcmahon hug)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 2.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.