Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - March 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(3/2)-(1/2/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-2   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/5/4)-(3/2/5/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/2)-(1/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(1/2/8)-(6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-3   WIN (1/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/8)-(1/2/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/8)-(1/2/8/7)-(1/2/8/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/8)-(6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2/8)-(6/3)-(1/8/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-4   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/8/5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/8/5/7)-(6/3/8/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3)-(1/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(1/8/7)-(5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-5   WIN (1/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/7)-(1/8/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/7)-(1/8/7/2/6)-(1/8/7/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/8/7)-(5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/8/7)-(5/2)-(7/3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-6   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/7/6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/2/7/6/1)-(5/2/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2)-(7/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(7/3/4)-(7/8/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-7   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4/1/6)-(7/3/4/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/3/4)-(7/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4)-(7/8/2)-(5/3/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-8   WIN (7/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/2)-(7/8/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/2)-(7/8/3/2)-(7/8/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/8/2)-(5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TAM-9   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6/7)-(5/3/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TIMELY PROSPECT         (granitz antho)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 4.00 15% 5.70    
2  BROADWAY RUCKUS Feb26 Feb12 Jan28 Oct14 Sep25 (dye steven)FUENTES MARIO 122 12.00    
3  MY BIG DRAMA Feb22 Feb12 Jan22 Jan11 Dec31 (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  MUNGER Sep28 Sep05 May01 Mar12   (cascallares n)LUGO D 122 6.00 9% 10.70    
5  DORSODURO Feb18 Jan21 Sep30 Feb12   (torres r)MARIN SAMUEL 122 10.00    
6  GENESIS ONE Feb22 Jan18 Dec09 Nov10 Oct22 (dutrow anthony)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 1.80 51% 1.00    
7  SIDNEY'S BID Feb22 Feb12 Jan06 Dec16 Dec02 (mcgoey monic)MENESES MARCOS 122 3.50 ★    
8  PEINADITO Feb08 Jan21 Jan08 Dec11   (tsirigotis jr)DIAZ S 122 12.00    
 
TAM-2   03/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRETTY RACHEL Mar01 Feb19 Feb05 Jan13 Dec23 (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 119 8.00 7% 13.30    
2  SNEAKY CHEEKY Jan27 Dec31 Dec02 Sep28 Aug18 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50 14% 6.10    
3  TIZ HERSELF Feb19 Jan27 Dec31 Dec07 Oct26 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 123 0.60 50% 1.00    
4  TOWERING GAZE Mar01 Dec02 Nov04 Oct26 Oct01 (carmichael)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 15.00 ★    
5  FOXGLOVE Feb08 Jan18 Oct22 Aug28 Jul31 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 6.00 ★    
6  WOODS HOLE Feb19 Feb10 Jan20 Dec10 Nov25 (wismer s)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 12.00    
 
TAM-3   03/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 1:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KANEM         (machado anto)ARROYO S 120 6.00 26% 2.80    
2  DR. BELLA Sep16         (granitz antho)SOSA LAUREANO 113 3.00 26% 2.80    
3  BANK BUSTER Feb17 Feb03 Jan29 Dec11 Nov27 (ryan derek)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 8.00    
4  AFTER NOON KISSES Mar01 Dec14       (spanabel kell)FUENTES MARIO 120 12.00    
SCR  GLORIOUS WAVE         (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 6.00 21% 3.90    
6  BELLA'S CUPID Sep15 Aug10 Jul26     (davis scooter)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 6.00    
7  THE MONEY MACHINE Feb22 Jan29 Dec28 Dec14 Oct14 (hunt donald)BUSH V 120 5.00 ★    
8  CHIEF AGAIN Feb10         (ramirez l)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-4   03/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANT BEAT THE KATZ Feb18 Jan27 Nov06 Oct24 Oct04 (robillard jul)FUENTES MARIO 118 12.00    
2  TRULY AMBITIOUS Feb18 Aug27 Jul16 Jul02 Feb05 (husted rachel)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 20.00    
3  THATS ALL SHEWROTE Feb25 Feb01 Jan11 Dec30 Dec09 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
4  DAHGO Jan15 Dec31 Dec07 Aug21 Jul24 (pimental john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 15.00    
5  DOROTHY'S THE BOSS Feb15 Jan01 Dec14 Nov23 Oct29 (werneth r)RODRIGUEZ A 118 2.00 ★    
6  I SAID HEY Feb18 Jan15 Dec28 Nov19 Sep25 (house gary)ALLEN M 118 6.00 55% 0.80    
7  HIGH ARABIAN Aug31 Aug10 Aug02 Jun30 Jun11 (escobar alison)MBATHA LUCKY 108 10.00 ★    
8  SASSY CHARLEE Feb18 Jan18 Dec24 Jul04 Jun18 (o'connell ka)BATISTA A 118 2.50 ★    
 
TAM-5   03/10/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  E M'S TREASUREGIRL Feb08         (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.50 61% 0.60    
2  BACK OFF ME         (russo anth)ALONSO LUIS 122 12.00 ★    
3  FROSTY SECRET Feb18 Jan22 Jan01 Dec10 May07 (manning denni)MARTIN MATTIE 113 6.00    
4  BABY LUCK Aug10 Jul27 Feb19 Jan08   (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 122 8.00    
5  NO MORE FIRE Mar01 Nov06 Sep17 Jul21 Jun29 (carmichael mik)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00    
6  LIVELY REMARK Jan29 Jan15 Dec28 Dec09 Sep07 (nunn doug)RODRIGUEZ A 122 4.50 ★    
7  IRISH KITTEN Feb24 Feb12 Jan04 Dec21 Dec09 (arriagada juan)CASTANON L 122 3.00 5% 19.00    
8  SILVER SPRINTER Feb19 Jan29 Jan04 Dec10 Nov25 (mazza joseph )JIMENEZ MANNY 122 4.00 12% 7.40    
 
TAM-6   03/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRULULU Dec10 Oct05 Sep03     (minguet ramon)BRACHO A 119 6.00 ★    
2  BRASSTOWN Dec08 Oct30 Oct16 Jul31 Jun25 (delgado jo)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 4.50 33% 2.10    
3  AZURE SKY Feb25 Jan18 Dec30 Dec02 Oct20 (posadas pedro)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 15.00    
4  RISK VS REWARD Feb15 Jan20 Dec23 Dec07 Oct30 (ward dennis)FERRER C 119 6.00    
5  DAVIDIC LINE Feb05 Jan11 Dec16 Oct22 Sep08 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 40% 1.50    
6  CONFESSOR Feb15 Jan29 Jan11 Dec10 Sep03 (poole a)CENTENO E 119 3.00 ★    
7  UNFLAPPABLE MAX Feb15 Jan21 Jan06 Nov07 Oct03 (ferraro anth)COA J 119 4.50 ★    
 
TAM-7   03/10/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($18.5K) 3 ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANTONOV Feb19 Feb03 Jan21 Jan07 Oct28 (ryan derek)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 6.00 ★    
2  BOLD MAJESTIC Feb18 Feb04 Dec03 Oct29 Oct15 (dye steven)FUENTES MARIO 120 5.00    
3  TEE AT ONE         (vinson john )BATISTA A 120 4.50 23% 3.40    
4  HELLO SUCKER Feb05 Nov27 Nov05 Oct15 Sep11 (mcgoey mon)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 12.00 18% 4.50    
5  MISTER MOORE         (lerma)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 10.00    
6  STREET COP OFFICER Feb22 Feb01 Dec24     (philipp kary)MENESES MARCOS 120 6.00 ★    
7  MOGUL CRACK Jan29 Nov23 Oct13 Sep23   (gutierrez faus)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
8  GUN RIGHT         (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 6.00    
 
TAM-8   03/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHANGHAI WARRIOR Feb12 Jan29 Jan20 Jan07 Dec14 (ryan derek)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 10.00    
2  CLASSIC FILM Oct02 Sep05 Apr23 Mar18 Feb24 (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  BOURBON OVER ICE Feb08 Jan28 Jan11 Dec10 Oct27 (kintz matthew)FELICIANO R 120 10.00 ★    
SCR  JACK LUVS NOVA Jan07 Dec14 Oct13 Sep19 Aug02 (alvarado dian)SOSA LAUREANO 113 5.00    
SCR  OLD TIME REVIVAL Feb24 Feb04 Sep11 Aug06 Jun30 (delgado jorg)ARROYO S 120 4.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  TIZ TRIUMPHANT Feb22 Feb04 Sep17 Apr30 Apr09 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 122 8.00    
7  ROOKIE SALSA Feb24 Jan25 Jan14 Dec31 Dec14 (gatis chr)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
8  WELL CONNECTED Dec11 Nov29 Jun30 Jun11   (march william)BUSH V 120 20.00 6% 16.00    
9  ROAD BIBLE Jan27 Dec14 Nov23 Nov06 Oct02 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50    
 
TAM-9   03/10/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG RED ROCKS Feb19 Jan29 Dec10 Oct21 Sep17 (wilson to)RODRIGUEZ A 123 8.00    
2  WHISKEY PLANK Feb11 Jan28 Dec31 Dec10 Nov04 (bowersock mari)CASTANON L 119 5.00    
3  SMILE BRYAN Dec02 Nov07 Oct16 Sep30 Sep14 (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50 25% 3.00    
4  LUCA DREW THE ACE Feb24 Feb03 Jan21 Jan06 Aug15 (hardesty leslielyn)BUSH V 119 20.00    
5  JUSTINTIMEFORWINE Feb26 Feb04 Jan21 Dec24 Nov25 (delgado jose )SOSA LAUREANO 112 2.50 43% 1.30    
6  BIRD'S EYE VIEW Feb11 Jan28 Jan04 Dec10 Sep30 (dini mike)MORALES PABLO 119 5.00 8% 11.10    
7  MR. SARCASTIC Feb24 Feb11 Jan15 Dec28 Dec10 (gatis chris)CENTENO E 119 6.00 ★    
8  ALBIE Feb25 Jan04 Jun02 Mar30 Mar04 (ferraro anth)COA J 119 15.00    
9  D'CRAZINESS Feb24 Feb11 Jan04 Oct17 Sep29 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 15.00    
10  MISTA DONZELLA Feb22 Feb01 Jan21 Jan04 Dec09 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 123 15.00    
SCR  PUTMAN Feb22 Jan29 Nov26 Oct07 Jul30 (vazquez m)DIAZ S 119 30.00    
SCR  TEMPLET Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 Aug28 Jul25 (connelly)GALLARDO A 119 15.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.