Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Rillito
Saturday - March 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
RIL-7   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/1/5/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/1/5/6)-(4/2/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2)-(6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(6/1)-(6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
RIL-8   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/3/4/5) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/1/3/4/5)-(6/1/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1)-(6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
RIL-9   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/3/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/3/1/5/4)-(6/3/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
RIL-7   03/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRACK BOUND Feb14 Jan28 Dec13 Nov23 Nov05 (alvarez serg)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 2.00 ★    
2  TWO GUNS Feb25 Feb15 Jan19 Nov16 Oct03 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 126 5.00 35% 1.90    
3  SPEEDING STYLE Feb19 Feb13 Jan26 Jan11 Dec22 (metz jeff)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 3.50    
4  ROCKED Feb19 Feb11 Jan23 Jan05 Dec14 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.50 38% 1.60    
5  MORE HONOR Feb19 Feb04 Jan09 Dec13 Sep10 (tate mary)OSUNA MARTIN 126 8.00 ★    
6  DRAW THE FOUL Feb19 Feb05 Jan24 Dec26 Dec04 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 126 6.00 ★    
 
RIL-8   03/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Pete Selin Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMAAZA Feb09 Feb01 Jan23 Jan04 Nov24 (silva pab)FINN AISLINN 126 8.00 5% 18.40    
  (by STANFORD out of HAND TRICKS by BERTRANDO)
2  NORTH DAWN Feb18 Jan08 Dec03 Oct22 Sep04 (metz jeff)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 10.00    
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of DIVINE MISS INDY by FLATTER)
3  COASTAL RUN Feb19 Feb07 Jan30 Jan11 Dec15 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 126 2.50 ★    
  (by COAST GUARD out of TASYA by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
4  CHARMANT E Feb12 Feb07 Jan24 Feb11 Jan27 (mccartney jack)LEON A 126 5.00 ★    
  (by ROI CHARMANT out of DARING LITTLE E by STORMY JACK)
5  IMA TROUBLE MAKER Feb09 Jan02 Dec17 Nov14 Sep04 (eikleberry k)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 12.00 ★    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of R LA PATRONA by BENCHMARK)
6  RED NOON RISING Feb12 Jan25 Jan04 Dec15 Nov26 (rosales jorg)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 3.50 69% 0.50    
  (by YES IT'S TRUE out of NOON AT NIGHT by TENPINS)
7  CORUSCATION Oct30 Sep18 Aug20 Feb13 Jan14 (uranga jesus)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 2.00    
  (by UPSTART out of AH HONEY HONEY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
RIL-9   03/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IZANAMI Feb19 Jan19 Jan11 Dec21 Nov05 (ybarra rudy)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 8.00 ★    
2  NIGHTHAWK SPECIAL Feb18 Feb05 Apr02 Mar20 Mar06 (cruz omar)BAZAN ANTONIO 121 12.00    
3  FULL DRAW Feb19 Feb05 Jan03 Dec10 Nov29 (ortega monica)OSUNA JESUS 126 3.50 ★    
4  KATZUMOTO Feb11 Feb04 Jan10 Dec22 Dec10 (kern david)FINN AISLINN 126 10.00 ★    
5  EMPEROR'S CHOICE Feb26 Apr24 Mar26 Mar13 Feb26 (kern davi)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 5.00 ★    
6  A GEM IS A GEM Feb19 Feb11 Feb02 Dec13 Sep02 (wheeler trav)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 2.50 72% 0.40    
7  ROYAL JESTER Jan29 Jan14 Dec26 Dec11 Nov04 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 126 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.