Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Thursday - February 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (7/1/2/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/6/9)-(7/1/2/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/6/9)-(7/1/2/6/9)-(7/1/2/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/2/6/9)-(8/4/1/6/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/6/9)-(8/4/1/6/5)-(4/3/1/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-2   WIN (8/4/1/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/1/6/5)-(8/4/1/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/1/6/5)-(8/4/1/6/5)-(8/4/1/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/4/1/6/5)-(4/3/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/4/1/6/5)-(4/3/1/2)-(4/5/9/1/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-3   WIN (4/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/2)-(4/3/1/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/2)-(4/3/1/2/8)-(4/3/1/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/1/2)-(4/5/9/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1/2)-(4/5/9/1/7)-(4/10) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
DED-4   WIN (4/5/9/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/9/1/7)-(4/5/9/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/9/1/7)-(4/5/9/1/7)-(4/5/9/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/9/1/7)-(4/10) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (4/5/9/1/7)-(4/10)-(1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-5   WIN (4/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/10)-(4/10/5/6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/10)-(4/10/5/6/7)-(4/10/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/10)-(1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/10)-(1/5)-(1/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
DED-6   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/2/6/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/2/6/9)-(1/5/2/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5)-(1/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(1/8)-(2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DED-7   WIN (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/8)-(1/8/10/6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/8)-(1/8/10/6/2)-(1/8/10/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/8)-(2/3/4)-(3/2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
DED-8   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4/1)-(2/3/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
DED-9   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5/9)-(3/2/5/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   02/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO DOWN         (richard chris)STOKES J 123 5.00 9% 10.40    
  (by MO FOR THE MONEY out of FIRMA by RELAUNCH)
BILLY BOB ROCKET         (pomier chase)BARRERA J 110 8.00 8% 11.10    
  (by SPANIARD out of DANCEINTHESTREETS by CITIDANCER (IRE))
ARKANSAS ZONG Jan18 Dec02 Nov11 Oct27 Jul03 (dison m)TORRES HUGO 118 6.00    
  (by ZONG out of DEGENERATE CODE by WOOSTERSHEAR)
HEY JACKSON Feb05 Jan21 Dec26     (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 115 3.00    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of HEY WHERESMYDINNER by WAR PASS)
CURIOUS IRISH Feb11 Jan18 Nov25     (dixon tim)BIRZER E 123 5.00    
  (by DOUBLE IRISH out of WEATHERFIELD by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
THA ILLEST DEAL         (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 115 15.00 8% 11.10    
  (by EL DEAL out of UNFORGIVABLE U by LANGFUHR)
WAR RASCAL         (pomier chas)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 4.00 45% 1.20    
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of OH LOVELY by VICTORY GALLOP)
TRIPLE RED ACES Jan20 Jan07       (landry r)THORNTON G 115 8.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of CLANDESTINE by GRAND SLAM)
FLASHY LOVER         (dison ma)STOKES A 123 15.00 8% 11.10    
  (by ZONG out of JUST MATTIE by PURGE)
 
DED-2   02/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIMME CANDY Jan14 Nov25 Oct19 May09 Apr02 (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.50 12% 7.70    
VALLEJO Jan06 Dec07 Mar02 Feb11 Jan22 (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 112 15.00    
FROSTED DIAMOND Feb02 Jan14 Nov23 Sep16 Jul03 (richard chris)THORNTON G 120 5.00    
CYBER SNEAKER Jan14 Dec19 Nov09 Oct19 Sep16 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 4.00 13% 6.90    
DIXIE PENNY Dec30 Dec17 Nov26 Nov12 Oct28 (gonzalez v)MCMAHON J 117 8.00 6% 15.30    
HAMAZING LACE Jan11 Dec19 Dec07 Nov19 Oct15 (richard chris)BIRZER E 117 6.00 11% 8.00    
ABSOLUTELY Jan14 Nov12 Oct15 Aug06 Jul06 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 12.00    
DIANNA'S JET Feb11 Jan28 Dec30 Dec14 Nov23 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 112 3.50 32% 2.10    
 
DED-3   02/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMILING ANGEL Feb11 Sep12 Aug27 Aug07 Apr08 (dodson cliff)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.00 18% 4.70    
ZONG WAVE Dec29 Dec19       (dison m)TORRES HUGO 118 8.00 14% 6.30    
LUCKY DEAL Dec29 Dec19 Nov11 Oct19 Aug30 (delany sara)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 4.00 20% 3.90    
PENNIE'S MAGIC Feb01 Jan21 Jan07 Dec19 Nov18 (melancon donald)MCMAHON J 123 6.00 24% 3.20    
BISTINEAU BELLE Jan28 Aug25 Jul23 Jul14 Jun29 (romero gerald )BACA L 123 8.00    
TECHE SOLUTION Feb09 Jan19 Oct21 Aug10   (meza marti)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 4.50    
SOUVENIR CHANNEL Jan28 Dec09 Nov25 Aug10 Jul27 (dison ma)STOKES A 123 12.00    
BAILEY'S CHARM Dec02 Nov18 Oct27     (lara jorge)BARRERA J 118 5.00    
 
DED-4   02/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULL POWER Jan14 Dec30 Dec07 Nov10 Jul14 (derousselle p)VARGAS P 114 6.00 7% 12.90    
CLERIC Jan27 Jan14 Dec29 Dec08 Nov26 (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 12.00    
GENERAL EISENHOWER Feb03 Dec17 Dec01 Nov16 Aug03 (fuselier jo)LEDET THEODRICK 114 20.00    
OGA BEAR Jan27 Jan13 Dec27 Dec16 Dec03 (gonzalez v)STOKES J 120 3.50 47% 1.10    
MAD GOLD Feb10 Jan27 Jan14 Dec08 Nov02 (gonzalez v)MCMAHON J 114 4.50 8% 11.00    
SILKY'S DANCE Feb10 Jan27 Jan14 Sep03 Aug20 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 6.00    
VEGAS GUY Jan27 Jan06 Dec09 Nov16 Oct08 (diodoro roberti)POMPELL L 117 15.00 7% 12.90    
JUSTA BUSTER Jan21 Dec27 Nov30 Nov17 Nov04 (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 112 8.00    
TENOR Feb09 Dec08 Oct15 Sep12 Aug02 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.50 8% 12.20    
 
DED-5   02/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOBLER Dec19 Oct27 Sep27 Aug20 Aug02 (turner patti)HERNANDEZ V 120 10.00    
CROQUE MONSIEUR (GB) Feb09         (gonzalez ja)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 4.50    
WITCH DOCTOR Dec27 Dec09 May21 Apr29 Apr08 (rogers andy)STOKES A 123 20.00    
RIFLE MAN Dec03 Nov05 Jul08 Apr28   (degeyter jr)STOKES J 120 3.00 60% 0.70    
CAJUN UP Dec07         (delahoussaye bre)FUSILIER C 120 6.00    
HOLDING FAST Jan26 Jan04 Nov23 Sep25 Jul31 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 123 4.50    
HELIOCHROME Dec27 Nov26 Oct29 Oct08 Sep03 (beavin judy)TORRES HUGO 118 15.00    
HONORARIAN Feb02 Jul27 Jul06 Jun15 Apr29 (magnon jaso)LEDET THEODRICK 123 15.00    
CUSTOMIZE MY QUEST Feb03 Jan13 Jan05 Dec14 Nov12 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 115 8.00    
10  SHANGHAI RONNIE Feb03 Jan05 Nov22 Jul13 Jun01 (delahoussaye g)THORNTON G 120 6.00 12% 7.30    
 
DED-6   02/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($43K) 3 F PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADDI BUG Jan07 Dec10 Nov18 Nov05 Sep17 (gomez c)TORRES HUGO 112 2.50 65% 0.50    
STARSHIP JAMBALAYA Dec10 Nov18 Oct08     (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 117 6.00    
SCR  COPPER MOON Feb10 Jan14 Dec22 Aug26 Aug10 (richards corale )FUSILIER C 117 15.00    
SARA'S SAPPHIRE Jan19 Jan04 Dec16     (dixon tim)BIRZER E 117 20.00    
BANDIT'S PRIDE Oct15         (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 5.00 7% 13.70    
DIXIE FARMER Feb04 Jan04       (landry r)THORNTON G 117 3.50    
WHERE'S AUNT J Feb04 Jan07 Nov16 Nov05 Oct08 (bruno donald )VARGAS P 117 10.00    
EVERLYN'S ANGEL Feb04 Jan13 Dec31     (landry ray)STOKES J 117 8.00    
LOUISIANA LIBERTY Feb04 Jan07 Dec10 Nov12 Oct15 (flint steve)MELANCON G 117 6.00    
 
DED-7   02/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKS RUN WILD         (woodley j)THORNTON G 123 4.50 67% 0.50    
CRYPTO BRAVE Jan11 Dec26 Dec01 Nov10 Jul27 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 118 8.00    
RIPTIDE ROSE Feb01 Jan11 Dec21 Nov18 Nov05 (silva walter)TORRES HUGO 118 10.00    
SCR  APRIORITY GIRL Nov10 Oct15 Aug19 Jul23 Jan29 (gallaway eddie)BOURQUE J 123 20.00    
SAVANNAH'S HERE Feb01 Jan19 Dec08 Nov11 Oct19 (nelson eric)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 15.00    
SUZY DOLL'S READY Dec09 Nov22 Nov02 Oct08 Sep20 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 115 6.00    
MO DIXIE DIVA Jan20 Jan06 Nov17 Nov03 Oct06 (melancon donald)HERNANDEZ V 123 15.00    
A P HUMOR Nov22 Nov11 Jul16 Jun18 May28 (latour nicho)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 10.00 10% 8.80    
SADIE'S RANSOM Jan06 Dec21 Mar25 Feb26 Jan07 (gustafson a)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 3.00    
10  DIATONIC Nov26 Nov03 Aug25 Aug06   (landry ray)STOKES J 123 3.50    
 
DED-8   02/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE FEATURE Jan19 Dec07 Nov10 Aug24 Jul14 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 6.00    
MOTATAABEQ Jan06 Dec28 Dec10 Nov25 Oct10 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 112 4.50 37% 1.70    
WILSON TO LOCKETT Jan18 Dec28 Nov23 Oct28 Oct14 (hibdon n)BIRZER E 117 8.00 23% 3.40    
BILOXI Nov10 Oct20 Aug01     (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 117 10.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  ROCKDALE Jan15 Dec15 Nov18 Oct14 Aug20 (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
CHICKEN TRUCK Jan21 Nov30 Nov12 Oct21 Sep24 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 15.00    
FIRST AVENUE Jan21 Jan07 Aug08 Jul25 Jul03 (hurley ren)TORRES HUGO 112 3.50    
STOMPING HOTROD Jan18 Feb26 Jan28 Jan15   (richard chris)THORNTON G 117 20.00    
LORD CAPTAIN Feb03 Jan13 Nov25 Oct27 Oct05 (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 1.80    
 
DED-9   02/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT-10:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT HUNTER Jan20 Dec10 Nov25 Jul10 May28 (hernandez le)EDISON JOCELYN 118 6.00    
CHAN Jan20 Dec20 Dec08 Nov17 Oct22 (hibdon n)BIRZER E 120 4.50 22% 3.50    
EUROBELIEVER Feb11 Jan18 Dec17 Dec02 Nov18 (garza joaqu)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  TOAST TO THE GIRLS         (mason sha)THORNTON G 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
G E H GIANTS WAY Feb09 Jan26 Jan12 Dec01 Nov18 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 4.00 6% 15.60    
MACER THE RACER Feb11 Jan26 Jan12 Dec28 Dec15 (dixon tim)VARGAS P 123 15.00    
CUSTOM DANCER Feb02 Dec14 Nov22 Nov12   (magnon jason)BACA L 120 20.00    
DIGNIFIED N KRAFTY Jan28 Jan16 Dec16 Nov27 Oct22 (morrell cyn)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 20.00    
BEAUDEAN Feb09 Oct29 Oct07     (granger randall)STOKES A 115 8.00    
10  WINNY'SSPECIALSTAR Feb09 Jan20 Nov07 Aug20 Jul23 (alberto antonio)STOKES J 118 8.00    
SCR  HINDOSTAIN FALLS Feb10 Nov09 Oct20 Sep22   (perez natasha)TORRES HUGO 113 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.