Handicappers' Racing Form
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Rillito
Saturday - February 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
RIL-1   Win (1/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
RIL-2   Win (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
RIL-3   Win (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
RIL-4   Win (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00
RIL-5   Win (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
RIL-1   02/11/2023 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($2.5K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA VINO Feb05 Sep03 Aug27 Jul31   (reyes norma)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 2.00 40% 1.50    
2  DYNAMIC WOMAN Aug06 Jul23 Jun27 May27 Apr13 (ybarra rudy)BEVERLY JR 121 12.00    
3  FACE OF GRACE Jan25 Jan09 Nov22 Sep17 Aug13 (scott jr)DEONAUTH P 121 5.00 ★    
4  CLASSIC CALIFORNIA Sep17 Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jul10 (ortega monica)OSUNA JESUS 121 4.50 15% 5.50    
5  MR BUG Z Feb04 Oct30 Sep24 Apr26 Apr07 (crotts e)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 3.00 15% 5.50    
6  WEST COAST ANDY Feb04 Jan17 Dec26 Dec14 Nov30 (torres-casas jesus)GAMEZ M 119 10.00    
7  IGO Jan31 Dec20 Nov30 Nov08 Oct10 (rennie k)LARSEN S 124 8.00    
8  WHENUDON'T KNOW         (ortega f)BAZAN ANTONIO 126 15.00 8% 12.10    
 
RIL-2   02/11/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SISU RULER Jan28 Dec04 Nov12 Oct23 Apr02 (crotts e)HARVEY B 126 2.00 ★    
2  SONGOFTHEDESERT Feb05 Jan19 Dec26 Nov14 Sep10 (reyes norma)REYES-FRISBY D 121 3.00 37% 1.70    
3  CANT DO THE DANSE Apr03 Mar19 Mar13     (alcoverde ernesto)OSUNA JESUS 126 10.00 14% 6.30    
4  BAPTISM (GB) Dec27 Dec13 Nov21 Nov09 Jun20 (torres-casas j)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.50    
5  EPIC DRAMA Jan14 Dec26 Nov09 Sep07 Aug11 (sanderson bruc)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 5.00 26% 2.80    
6  LIVE A GOOD LIFE Feb02 Jan24 Jan10 Dec13 Oct16 (nunnally je)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 6.00 ★    
 
RIL-3   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A GEM IS A GEM Feb02 Dec13 Sep02 Aug01 Jul09 (homer jason)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 3.00 ★    
2  ZENMAGIC Jan01 Sep21 Sep15 Aug28 Aug21 (salazar michel)SALAZAR TERESA 116 8.00    
3  BREXTON Feb05 Jan28 Jan03 Dec19 Nov23 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.00 36% 1.80    
4  ROLL OUT Aug13 Jul09 Apr23 Apr03 Mar20 (reyes norma)ELLIS DEVON 126 3.50 18% 4.70    
5  ROYAL TAP Jan24 Jan04 Dec22 Nov05 Sep19 (torres-casa)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 5.00 20% 3.90    
6  FIRST COUNT Jan28 Jan01 Nov08 Oct25 Sep17 (warren kayla)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 4.50 ★    
 
RIL-4   02/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATZUMOTO Feb04 Jan10 Dec22 Dec10 Nov19 (kern david)DEONAUTH P 126 5.00 ★    
2  TIGER BY HIS TAIL Feb04 Nov21 Nov07 Jul09 May29 (alcoverde ernesto)OSUNA JESUS 126 4.50 ★    
3  NORTHERN QUEST (FR) Feb04 Jan25 Jan05 Dec10 Nov21 (wheeler travis)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 6.00    
4  BIG CITY BANE Jan27 Jan07 Dec04 Nov12 Jul23 (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 126 2.00 ★    
5  AUTISM SAVANT Jan14 Jan03 Dec10 Nov19 Nov05 (torres-casas jesus)GAMEZ M 126 8.00    
6  ROCKED Jan23 Jan05 Dec14 Nov15 Sep09 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 3.00 73% 0.40    
7  LINEMANS CHECK Feb05 Jan05 Dec10 Nov29 Nov08 (ortega monica)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 10.00 ★    
 
RIL-5   02/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALEX'S GIRL Feb04 Jan21 Apr16     (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 1.80 ★    
2  PREDETERMINATION Jan24 Jan12 Dec22 May06 Apr13 (ybarra rudy)BEVERLY JR 126 4.50 ★    
3  KIND BUT SHE LIES Jan14 Dec26 Dec10 Nov18 Jun10 (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 126 2.50 33% 2.00    
4  MEXICAN DREAM Apr26 Apr08 Mar19 Mar08   (ortega monica)ELLIS DEVON 126 8.00 ★    
5  PRINCESS SUGEITH Feb05 Sep28 Aug27 Aug10 Apr29 (salazar michel)SALAZAR TERESA 121 6.00    
6  HUGHIE'S HOLIDAY Feb05 Jan17 Dec14 Nov09   (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 4.00 36% 1.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.