Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - February 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/4/1/6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (5)-(5/4/1/6)-(5/4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5)-(1/7/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5)-(1/7/5/4)-(3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/5/4)-(3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5/4)-(3/7/6)-(4/6/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6/1/2)-(3/7/6/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/7/6)-(4/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6)-(4/6/7/1)-(7/2/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/1)-(4/6/7/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/1)-(4/6/7/1/5)-(4/6/7/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/6/7/1)-(7/2/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/1)-(7/2/1/3)-(4/7/2/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/5/3)-(7/2/1/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/1/3)-(4/7/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/3)-(4/7/2/5)-(6/5/4/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/5)-(4/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/5)-(4/7/2/5)-(4/7/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/2/5)-(6/5/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2/5)-(6/5/4/9)-(5/6/2/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/5/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/9)-(6/5/4/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/9)-(6/5/4/9/2)-(6/5/4/9/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/4/9)-(5/6/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (5/6/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/8)-(5/6/2/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/8)-(5/6/2/8/1)-(5/6/2/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   02/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPARKLEINYOUREYE Jan18 Dec15 Nov24 Nov11   (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00 ★    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of LUCKY CANDY by LUFTIKUS)
2  JACKYSINTHECASTLE Jan18 Dec15 Sep17 Sep02 Aug12 (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 122 12.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of JACKY JUICE by FRIENDS LAKE)
SCR  LAUGHINTOTHEBANK Dec15 Nov04 Oct08 Sep23   (runco c)LEWIS M 115 1.80 27% 2.70    
  (by EMPIRE WAY out of LAUGH N YODEL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  CLOUD MOVER         (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00 ★    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SCARLETT D'HEREA by DEHERE)
5  FRENCHIES GOLD Dec02         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of SPOKEN IN FRENCH by ORATORY)
6  SNEAKY LYNK Jan26         (johnson jamey )MONTANO JOSE 122 15.00 ★    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  LOCKDOWN VANNA Jan21 Jan06       (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of FLUVANNA by GHOSTLY MINISTER)
 
CT-2   02/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAG HARBOR Dec14 Oct14 Sep23 Aug04 Jun04 (delong ben)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
2  DIVINING DANCER Jan04 Dec03 Nov24 Sep30 Sep09 (covello andre)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00    
3  SPRITZER Jan19 Dec29 Dec09 Nov24 Nov07 (kee willi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00    
4  PRINCE OF FENTON Jan26 Jan16 Dec19 Dec07 Sep30 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 9% 9.80    
5  BAAGY Dec13 Nov18 Oct27 Sep26 Sep06 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  NIGHT BOSS Dec14 Nov23 Nov02 Oct22 Sep09 (brown ronney)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 3.00 14% 5.90    
7  BOWIE TWO STEP Jan20 Dec29 Dec11 Dec04 Nov06 (garibay andres)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 17% 4.70    
 
CT-3   02/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLLECTORATE Dec30 Dec11 Nov19 Sep18 Aug27 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 3.00 ★    
  (by COLLECTED out of FORCE OF HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  ELFUEGOMASBRILANTE Dec09 Nov26 Oct29     (shuman mark)HO WESLEY 122 8.00 ★    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of MISSTREATED by DEHERE)
3  BUY HERE PAY HERE Jan14         (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 44% 1.30    
  (by LAOBAN out of BLOND WARRIOR by A. P. WARRIOR)
4  MALIBU ROCK STAR Jan13 Sep17       (viands stacey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 15.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of VILAO by GRAVE DIGGER)
5  MR MAJESTIC Dec11 Oct18 Sep11     (keller chri)RAMGEET R 122 6.00    
  (by MASTERY out of LA BELLE CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
6  URBAN BANDIT Jan13 Dec08 Nov06 Oct23 Oct07 (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 8% 11.20    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of ONEMINUTETOMIDNITE by STREET CRY (IRE))
7  ARROGANT RIDER Jan13 Dec09 Nov21     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of GO UNBRIDLED by UNBRIDLED JET)
 
CT-4   02/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEWITCHISGONE Jan06 Nov30 Oct26 Sep21 Aug12 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 9% 10.20    
2  SPECTACULO Jan07 Nov05 Oct19 Sep29 Sep15 (mangual m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
3  CHASE LIL ME Jan13 Nov30 Nov04 Oct22 Oct05 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 12.00    
4  WELL EQUIPPED Jan06 Dec08 Nov16 Nov05 Oct26 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
5  THUNDERINREADYRICK Jan07 Dec16 Nov16 Oct21 Sep30 (bass w)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.00 ★    
6  SPIRIT OF WINDSOR Feb02 Jan07 Dec14 Aug11 Jul23 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 122 5.00 25% 2.90    
7  LEG UP Jan26 Nov30 Nov16 Oct14 Sep22 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.00 13% 6.80    
 
CT-5   02/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL PAIN Jan19 Dec16 Jun25 May14 Apr27 (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.50 17% 4.90    
2  PERSONABLE Jan06 Dec08 Nov16 Oct26 Oct06 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 4.00 20% 3.90    
3  JUBA BOUND Jan06 Dec08 Oct27 Oct06 Sep16 (casey a)BOCACHICA O 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  MODERN DAY ROMANCE Jan06 Dec04 Oct19 Sep21 Sep09 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
5  NOCASHREFUNDS Nov23 Aug11 Jul14 Jun09 May13 (boggs joann)RAMGEET R 120 10.00 ★    
6  REATA'S CASTLE Jan19 Jan06 Dec16 Nov23   (collyer d)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
7  ICING Jan11 Dec08 Nov12 Sep23 Aug25 (cash norman )LEWIS M 117 1.40 33% 2.00    
8  JAXJAXXORJACKS Jan19 Jan06 Dec16 Dec08 Nov16 (caison l)BAEZ M 113 20.00    
 
CT-6   02/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLATTER ME PLEASE Dec22 Nov29 Aug02 Jul13 Jun22 (hayes lelan)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  KADRI Jan31 Jan22 Jan07 Dec03 Nov25 (cash norman )LEWIS M 113 4.50 7% 13.60    
3  SOUND OFF Jan31 Jan20 Dec06 Nov23 Nov17 (sandoval michael)LARROSA G 120 6.00    
4  SIR ALFRED JAMES Jan29 Oct07 Sep25 Aug26 Aug10 (cash l)ACOSTA D 124 1.00 39% 1.60    
5  NUCLEAR OPTION Jan19 Jan10 Sep20 Sep02 Jul03 (penaloza migu)SIMPSON JASON 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  KENNY HAD A NOTION Jan31 Dec30 Nov17 Oct19 Sep24 (jones e)HO WESLEY 120 5.00    
7  LIKEABLE Dec13 Nov29 Oct04 Sep13 Aug06 (albaroudy )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 23% 3.40    
 
CT-7   02/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EX RATED Feb01 Jan06 Nov02 Oct08 Sep15 (jackson angelo)LOPEZ DERECK 110 20.00    
2  TIMETOGETUP Jan14 Dec14 Oct22 Oct08 Sep15 (casey a)LARROSA G 120 3.50 ★    
3  SARAH'S WARRIOR Jan19 Jan06 Nov26 Nov10 Nov02 (viands st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 12.00    
4  TENNIS TAP Jan06 Nov24 May04 Apr15 Mar18 (runco c)LEWIS M 113 5.00 9% 10.10    
5  WINDSOR'S PLAY Jan14 Dec14 Nov30 Nov19 Oct22 (rideout ant)RAMGEET R 120 4.50 12% 7.30    
6  PEARLY GHOST Jan20 Oct07 Sep16 Aug26 Aug13 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 3.00 49% 1.00    
7  ELIANAGRACE Jan19 Nov30 Nov09 Oct22 Oct07 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00    
SCR  SLEWING Jan14 Dec14 Nov11 Oct26 Jun04 (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 120 12.00    
9  AIM'S JUBILEE Jan06 Dec14 Nov30 Nov02 Oct08 (reggetts s)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00 6% 15.10    
 
CT-8   02/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREEDOM IS RINGING Jan14 Nov19 Oct28 Oct08 Sep22 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 122 6.00 ★    
2  GRAND FIBER Jan06 Nov26 Nov09 Oct14 Sep14 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 5.00 6% 15.50    
3  SHACKLEFORDS STORM Jan14 Dec16 Nov30 Nov05 Oct21 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00    
4  SHACKLED Jan06 May05 Apr08 Mar10 Feb04 (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00    
5  ROSE'S GALAXY Dec07 Nov22 Nov15 Oct31 Sep20 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 124 2.00 56% 0.80    
6  FU MAN SUE Jan06 Sep28 Sep07 Aug19 Jul29 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 2.50 10% 9.50    
SCR  U ROCK IT Jan12 Jan04 Dec17 Dec01 Oct14 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
8  GRUMPELSTILTSKIN Jan06 Dec16 Oct28 Sep17 Jul16 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  DOESN'T MAKE CENTS Jan19 Dec16 Dec02 Nov09 Oct21 (rangel ricardo)BAEZ M 115 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.