Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - January 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/3/2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/3/2/7)-(1/5/3/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5)-(1/2/3/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(1/2/3/6)-(1/4/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-2   WIN (1/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6/4)-(1/2/3/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/3/6)-(1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3/6)-(1/4/3)-(7/5/4/6/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-3   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(7/5/4/6/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(7/5/4/6/3)-(2/1/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-4   WIN (7/5/4/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/6/3)-(7/5/4/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/6/3)-(7/5/4/6/3)-(7/5/4/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/4/6/3)-(2/1/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4/6/3)-(2/1/6)-(8/2/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-5   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/4/6)-(2/1/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(8/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(8/2/3)-(10/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-6   WIN (8/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/3)-(8/2/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/3)-(8/2/3/4/6)-(8/2/3/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/2/3)-(10/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/2/3)-(10/1/5)-(5/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-7   WIN (10/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/1/5)-(10/1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (10/1/5)-(10/1/6/5)-(10/1/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (10/1/5)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (10/1/5)-(5/4)-(5/7/4/3/6) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
TAM-8   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/4/2/8)-(5/4/2/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/4)-(5/7/4/3/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
TAM-9   WIN (5/7/4/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/3/6)-(5/7/4/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/3/6)-(5/7/4/3/6)-(5/7/4/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT-12:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEIGHTFUL SIS Dec23 Nov19 Oct08 Aug14 May14 (alvara)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 1.20 38% 1.60    
2  DORSODURO Sep30 Feb12       (lerman s)CENTENO E 122 2.50 ★    
3  CALLE DE BOYD Jan08 Mar11 Jan30     (arnett g)FERRER C 122 4.00 ★    
4  PEINADITO Jan08 Dec11       (laurato m)CAMACHO JR 122 10.00    
5  GET EVEN Jan08 Dec24 Nov04     (smith r)MORALES PABLO 122 1.60 37% 1.70    
6  CLEVELAND ROCKS         (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 12.00    
7  AGENT MULGANNON Dec24 Nov02 Oct22 Oct15 Sep24 (del castillo)MENESES MARCOS 122 8.00 ★    
8  DOC CARSON Jan01         (cordero antoni)SUAREZ JESUS 122 8.00    
 
TAM-2   01/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIMMERING LIGHT Jan04 Dec09 Oct19 Sep17 Aug19 (rodriguez dari)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 2.00 35% 1.90    
2  MAPACHE G Jan04 Dec17 Nov30 Oct19 Sep30 (arnett jon )HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 1.80 25% 3.00    
3  WAR CROSS Dec31 Dec09 Nov30 Nov02 Aug06 (bray micha)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 4.00 9% 9.80    
4  FELIX THE FOX Dec17 Nov25 Oct01 Aug31 Jul20 (werneth rober)SOSA LAUREANO 114 6.00 ★    
5  NIP OF BOURBON Jan04 Oct18 Oct04 Sep21 Aug24 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 121 15.00    
6  MACHO REAL Jan07 Apr08 Mar30 Mar16 Mar05 (roque elis)SUAREZ JESUS 121 15.00 7% 12.70    
7  MISTA DONZELLA Jan04 Dec09 Apr30 Apr16 Mar19 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 121 10.00    
 
TAM-3   01/21/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO MIKA Jan04 Dec22 Dec01 Oct23   (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.00 35% 1.80    
2  UNCAPTURED PRINCES Oct21 Sep16       (rodriguez angel )BRACHO A 119 15.00    
3  COLLECTIVE GOLD Jan06 Dec14 Nov25 Oct21   (sacco gregory )SUAREZ ANGEL 119 2.50 8% 11.00    
4  CAYMAN QUEEN Dec16 Oct30 Oct09 Aug21 Jun24 (orseno jo)CAMACHO JR 119 4.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  CASTAWAY CAY Dec30 Dec17       (wasiluk )GALLARDO A 119 5.00 6% 16.20    
6  D'ORO BABY Nov17 Nov05       (ochoa gerard)LOZADA CARLOS 119 10.00 ★    
7  CAIRO WINNER Nov25 Oct30 Oct07     (barboza vict)BATISTA A 119 10.00    
8  LADY KITTY Dec30 Dec16 Nov25 Oct09 Aug30 (machado an)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 119 20.00    
 
TAM-4   01/21/2023 5400ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRE BARON Jan07 Dec24 Nov06 Oct16 Sep10 (paragallo jen)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 12.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of SAPHIRIA by TOUCH GOLD)
2  RUN CORY RUN Dec16         (joseph saffi)MENESES MARCOS 120 5.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of FRERE PILGRIM by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  ANTONOV Jan07 Oct28 Sep30 Sep17 Sep03 (ryan s)ALLEN D 120 20.00 6% 16.70    
  (by ACCELERATE out of LOVELY DAUGHTER by BIG BROWN)
4  RINGSIDE         (pletcher)GALLARDO A 120 3.50 6% 14.90    
  (by CURLIN out of DASHING DEBBY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  SUERTE Dec02 Oct08 Sep09     (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 113 4.50 29% 2.50    
  (by FROSTED out of STAGE LUCK by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  PROVE WORTHY         (pletcher todd)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50 6% 14.90    
  (by CURLIN out of ENDLESS CHATTER by FIRST SAMURAI)
7  SUMMER CAUSE Dec17 Nov06       (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 30% 2.40    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of OUR CAUSE by ARCH)
 
TAM-5   01/21/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GENERAL ROBINSON Dec16 Nov30 Nov06     (delgado jo)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 2.50 24% 3.20    
2  CALISUE Jan11 Dec22 Dec03 Oct22 Sep11 (sacco gregory )SUAREZ ANGEL 119 1.80 45% 1.20    
3  INSATIABLE EVA Aug21 Aug05       (laurato v)SPIETH S 119 20.00    
4  REBATE Dec30 Nov25 Oct30 Oct16 Oct01 (richar)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 6.00 ★    
5  EMPIRE GIRL Oct24 Sep24       (sanchez )GALLARDO A 119 6.00    
6  TWO BEER BUZZ Jan04 Dec15 Dec03 Oct30 Oct09 (fisher dav)ALONSO LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  I LOVE IRELAND Dec15 Nov27 Oct30 Sep11   (orseno joseph )CAMACHO SAMY 119 15.00    
SCR  KHARKIV Dec30 Nov25       (sweezey ken)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  WINE WITH A ROSE Dec16 Nov25 Oct13 Aug30 Jul26 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 12.00    
 
TAM-6   01/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRUCE BANNER Dec16 Nov13 Oct28 Aug30 Aug10 (campbell mi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 10.00    
2  UNFLAPPABLE MAX Jan06 Nov07 Oct03 Sep05 Aug10 (ferraro anth)COA J 120 4.00 16% 5.20    
3  CUZ Dec28 Dec07 Oct25 Sep29 Sep19 (guciardo kathy)FERRER C 120 6.00 11% 8.40    
4  FIERCE WARRIOR Dec31 Dec21 Dec09 Nov25 Oct26 (nunn douglas)ARROYO S 122 6.00 ★    
5  LUCA DREW THE ACE Jan06 Aug15 Jul11 May08 Apr16 (posadas pedro)BUSH V 120 20.00    
6  KING RAMOS Dec18 Nov27 Jul08 Jun24 Jun05 (rodriguez ange)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50 ★    
7  WILLOW WOOD Dec24 Nov18 Oct23     (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 4.00    
8  IRISH VALOR Dec30 Dec22 Dec10 Oct28 Oct08 (arnett jon )HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
 
TAM-7   01/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC8 FIRM Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLIME QUEEN Nov26 Sep07 Jul10 Jun11 Mar06 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00 13% 6.80    
2  KATIES A LADY Dec31 Nov05 Sep24 May06 Apr27 (o'connell kat)SANTOS ADEMAR 116 6.00    
3  LULLABY LAND Jan07 Dec14 Nov26 Oct21 Sep23 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 12.00    
4  IRAZU Dec30 Dec02 Sep24 Sep10 Sep02 (cascallares nest)CASTILLO A 116 20.00    
5  LIZZ A BEE Jan06 Dec14 Oct23 Oct08 Sep07 (arnett g)FERRER C 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  FALL MOON Nov26 Oct01 Sep07 Jul17 Jun26 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 8.00 ★    
SCR  DONTMESSWITHTESS Dec23 Dec04 Oct23 Oct02 Sep04 (david carlos)MENESES MARCOS 117 5.00 5% 17.30    
8  INANNA'S QUEST Dec14 Nov25 Oct01 Sep10 Jul15 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 118 8.00    
9  CHICK'S SHADOW Dec31 Oct26 Aug29 Aug02 Jul01 (rodriguez )ALONSO LUIS 120 8.00    
10  PUGILIST Nov26 Sep23 Aug21 Aug01 Jun24 (cruz jes)GALLARDO A 119 3.50 58% 0.70    
11  STARRY HOPE Nov26 Oct15 Sep21 Aug29 Aug02 (mcgoey)ROJAS EDUARDO 115 20.00    
SCR  MAMA LONGLEGS Jan15 Dec28 Oct26 Sep27 Sep14 (harris nancy)ALICEA JEREMY 110 30.00    
 
TAM-8   01/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DONTINVADEMYSPACE Sep20 Sep10 Aug26 Aug09 Jul19 (brooks gerald)WALKER M 118 20.00    
2  FREEDOM ROAD Oct29 Oct01 Aug27 Jul23   (sacco gregory)MORALES PABLO 118 3.50 ★    
SCR  BRIGHT FORECAST Dec21 Nov05 Oct20 Sep10 Aug27 (rigattieri jo)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 4.50 7% 12.70    
4  THIS RUN'S FOR YOU Sep03 Aug06 Jul23     (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 4.00 31% 2.20    
5  PUTTHEPASTBEHIND Jun09 May01       (brooks g)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
6  MIKEY BANANAS Dec21 Sep14 Jul17 Jun14 May31 (hamm timothy)BATISTA A 118 8.00    
7  GALAXY MUSIC Aug17         (ochoa gerard)CENTENO E 118 15.00    
8  OCEAN OF STORMS Aug29 Aug08       (arnett g)FERRER C 118 5.00 ★    
 
TAM-9   01/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC8 FIRM Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRAIRIE Dec31 Dec14 Nov05 Oct13 Sep16 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 120 8.00    
SCR  MAJOR SPARKS Jan06 Nov09 Oct24 Oct08 Sep29 (granitz anthon)MARIN SAMUEL 117 15.00    
3  DREAM LINER (BRZ) Dec14 Sep04 Aug07 Jul10 Jun12 (wilson)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 8.00 11% 8.10    
4  HARD ATTACK Dec31 Dec07 Oct08 Sep07 Aug25 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 118 4.00 14% 6.30    
5  SMITHWICK'S SPICE Dec31 Dec14 Oct27 Oct09 Sep18 (nunn dou)GALLARDO A 119 3.50 33% 2.10    
6  SANDY LANE KITTEN Dec14 Nov25 Sep16 Jul13 Jun18 (cruz jesus)BATISTA A 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  J BERESFORD TIPTON Dec14 Oct23 Sep01 Jul21 Feb26 (delacour arnau)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 4.50 19% 4.20    
8  INITFORTHELOVE Sep16 Aug17 Jul13 Jun18 Jun01 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 117 20.00    
9  JUSTINTIMEFORWINE Dec24 Nov25 Sep30 Sep16 Aug06 (delgado h)FERRER C 120 8.00    
10  FATIMA'S BLESSING Nov25 Oct29 Sep11 Aug21 Jul30 (dini mike)ALLEN D 118 10.00    
11  OHANA EMPIRE Dec14 Oct21 Aug28 Jul24 Jul10 (pimenta)GONZALEZ LUIS 116 30.00    
SCR  VAN DUSEN (GB) Jan06 Dec03 Nov05 Sep22 Aug22 (thoma)DIAZ RAFAEL 116 15.00    
SCR  VINTNER Jan11 Dec21 Nov30 Nov05 Aug30 (yanez r)ALLEN D 116 30.00    
SCR  SOCIALLONGDISTANCE Dec31 Dec09 Nov25 Oct01 Sep07 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 115 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.