Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - January 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/6)-(5/4/7/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/6)-(5/4/7/6/1)-(5/4/7/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/4/7/6)-(4/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7/6)-(4/7)-(5/2/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/7)-(4/7/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7)-(4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/7)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/7)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4/6/1)-(5/2/4/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(5/2/3)-(9/8/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-4   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/6/7)-(5/2/3/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(9/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(9/8/4)-(3/2/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-5   WIN (9/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/8/4)-(9/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/8/4)-(9/8/4)-(9/8/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/8/4)-(3/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/8/4)-(3/2/4/5)-(1/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-6   WIN (3/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/4/5)-(1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/5)-(1/4)-(5/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-7   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(5/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(5/6/7)-(3/8/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-8   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7/3/1)-(5/6/7/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/6/7)-(3/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TAM-9   WIN (3/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/5)-(3/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/8/5)-(3/8/5)-(3/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY UNION Dec14         (machado antoni)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50 ★    
2  RED DELICIOUS Dec30 Dec17 Jul15 May26 May05 (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 120 6.00    
3  FULL TIME STRUTIN Dec28 Nov30 Nov06     (lorito mario)REEVES F 120 30.00    
4  LUVISANAKI Nov04         (barboza victor)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 21% 3.70    
5  SORTARIA Jan01 Dec15       (minguet ra)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 4.00 23% 3.30    
6  SUNSHINE GIRL Dec28 Dec03 Oct06 Sep10   (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 2.00 16% 5.20    
7  WICKLOW GAL Dec14 Dec03 Nov11 Oct09 Oct01 (miller rory )BATISTA A 120 3.50 17% 4.90    
 
TAM-2   01/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCIN DEE Dec21 Dec09 Oct22 Oct01 Sep10 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 121 4.50 ★    
2  MAGICGIRL Dec31 Dec02 Nov26 Oct27 Oct12 (posadas pe)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 10.00    
SCR  LETS TAKE IT IZZY Dec24 Sep30 Sep04 Jan15   (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 121 6.00 ★    
4  ALIZEE Dec23 Dec07 Nov26 Aug19 Jul17 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 1.20 38% 1.60    
5  NINJA ABARRIO Dec26 Dec08 Nov19 Oct09 Aug20 (sweezey kent)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 6.00 ★    
6  TRUE ATKA Jan06 Dec23 Sep22 Sep05 Aug29 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 121 12.00    
7  PRETTY RACHEL Dec23 Nov25 Nov01 Oct06 Sep14 (davis scooter)FERRER C 121 5.00 33% 2.00    
 
TAM-3   01/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND SIR Dec14 Nov26 Sep23 Aug06 Jun26 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 121 8.00 ★    
2  SWIFT KID Dec28 Dec09 Aug24 Aug01 Jul12 (machado antoni)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.50 13% 6.80    
3  ROWDY JESS Dec23 Sep23 Sep10 Aug01 Jun12 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 121 20.00    
4  ARIES REIGNS Dec28 Dec14 Nov25 Nov06 Sep15 (rarick lynn)CENTENO E 121 4.50 7% 14.20    
5  GRAND PLAYER Dec23 Oct13 Sep03 Jun30 Apr09 (barboza vict)MENESES MARCOS 121 3.00 57% 0.80    
6  SMARTHUMOR Dec14 Nov30 Oct12 Sep23 Aug31 (machado anto)ARROYO S 121 2.00 ★    
7  BAM BAM WARRIOR Dec28 Dec14 Sep28 Aug30 Aug09 (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 121 10.00    
8  GIOVANE'S PROMISE Oct19 Oct05 Sep21 Sep08 Aug09 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 121 15.00    
 
TAM-4   01/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN TONE Dec22 Nov22 Jun17 May21 Mar18 (granitz anthony )FERRER C 118 8.00    
2  RIDGEPOINTE Dec16 Aug20 Aug03 Jul17 Jun17 (delgado jose )IORIO MELISSA 108 3.00 17% 4.80    
3  JUPITER BLUES Nov26 May28 May12 Apr13 Mar23 (mcgoe)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 15.00 14% 6.00    
4  CARMENOOTZ Dec24 Nov04 Oct02 Jul03 Jun12 (wright michae)HERNANDEZ K 118 20.00    
5  INTER MIAMI Dec17 Nov26 Oct30 Oct15 Sep18 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
6  TAPSOLUTION Dec22 Dec09 Oct25 Oct11 Sep19 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 5.00 ★    
7  LITIGANT Dec14 Jan21 Jan02     (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 118 3.50 ★    
8  SUNNY SAINT Dec07 Nov05 Oct19 Sep15 Aug20 (downing willia)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 15.00    
 
TAM-5   01/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SLOW YOUR ROLE         (seale christop)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 10.00 5% 18.50    
2  MIRO Dec22         (laurato v)SPIETH S 120 20.00    
3  HIGHLY UNLIKELY Oct07 Aug22 Jul15     (david carlos )MORALES PABLO 120 4.50    
4  THE SWAYZE EXPRESS Dec22 Dec07 Nov23 May31   (potts g)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 6.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  HE'S CONNECTED Dec28 Dec03 Sep25 Sep04   (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 10.00    
SCR  DAD'S ON A ROLL Dec03         (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 12.00    
SCR  FRENCHY DEPARTED         (delgado jose )FUENTES MARIO 120 12.00 6% 15.30    
8  NOBLE AND KIND Dec28 Dec03 Oct08 Sep03   (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
9  GODS GLORY Dec28 Dec03 Oct27 Aug14   (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  SICILIANO Dec03 Nov04       (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 20.00    
SCR  PRALINE'S CAT Dec28 Dec07 Nov23 Sep22 Sep09 (posadas pedr)MENESES MARCOS 120 30.00    
12  MAJOR DEAL Dec24 Dec14 Sep11 Aug26 Aug13 (santillana )QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 12.00    
13  FOREVER SAUCY Dec03 Aug31       (ochoa gerard)MENESES MARCOS 120 8.00    
 
TAM-6   01/13/2023 5400ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WEST COAST COWBOY Nov27 Sep18       (joseph saffi)MENESES MARCOS 118 8.00    
2  CLASSIC CATCH Nov20 Oct22       (pletcher todd)MORALES PABLO 120 1.80 26% 2.80    
3  POINT PROVEN Nov26 Sep18 Aug06     (pletc)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 1.50 34% 1.90    
4  PRAIRIE HAWK Dec02 Oct15       (joseph saffie )CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50 14% 6.00    
5  GROVELAND Dec24 Dec03 Oct08     (harty eoin)CENTENO E 122 6.00 5% 18.20    
SCR  COX CANYON Dec23 Nov30       (sacco gregory)SOSA LAUREANO 111 20.00 ★    
 
TAM-7   01/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST PAYDAY Dec09 Sep07 Aug23 Jul01 Jun11 (manning j)BRACHO A 121 4.00 50% 1.00    
2  LIVEFORTHESONG Dec02 Sep07 Jul09 Jun23 Jun09 (bowersock maria)FERRER C 121 10.00    
3  REINER Dec09 Dec02 Oct18 Sep28 Sep07 (ferraro a)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 15.00    
4  KING OF CHAOS Dec30 Dec02 Jun24 Apr29 Mar12 (carrascojr v)BATISTA A 123 3.50 5% 19.00    
5  CONSIDER ME Nov30 Nov17 Nov08 Oct12 Sep17 (lopez jacinto)CARDOSO DAVID 121 20.00    
6  SIMMS Dec31 Dec09 Dec02 Oct12 Sep23 (lopez rob)CENTENO E 121 5.00    
SCR  CANYOUHEARMENOW Dec09 Dec02 Nov04 Oct21 Aug24 (duffy sean)ARROYO S 121 15.00    
SCR  SHIMMERING LEROID Dec21 Dec02 Sep23 Aug29 Aug21 (mccarthy b)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 8.00    
SCR  ANGEL'S MAGIC Dec02 Oct14 Sep10 Aug25 Aug03 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 5.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  PIVOTAL RUN Nov05 Oct08 Sep10 Aug11 Jun19 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 6.00    
11  KINGSTOWN Dec04 Nov12 Oct16 Aug24 Jun10 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 121 15.00    
SCR  MOON MISCHIEF Nov30 Nov14 Aug10 Jul18 Jun08 (caramori)GALLARDO A 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  HOLY MEISTER         (marino gar)ALONSO LUIS 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LAST SECOND LOUIE Oct22 Sep09 Jul29 Mar18   (alvarado )CAMACHO JR 121 10.00    
 
TAM-8   01/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($28.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOPPER T Dec14 Sep29 Sep05 Jun25 Jun06 (arnett g)MENESES MARCOS 119 8.00 ★    
2  WHERE PARADISE LAY Dec14 Oct27 Sep29 Aug24 Jul21 (downing willia)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 8.00    
3  CHICKS DIG SCARS Dec14 Nov06 Oct15 Sep26 Sep09 (arnett j)GALLARDO A 119 6.00 ★    
4  NO QUE NO Dec31 Nov26 Sep04 Jul24 May28 (gutier)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 3.00    
5  DOCTOR OSCAR Dec14 Oct29 Oct08 Sep10 Aug13 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 4.50 35% 1.90    
6  FEAST Dec08 Oct29 Sep04 Jul31 Jul10 (bennett s)FERRER C 121 3.50 33% 2.10    
7  ABOUT TODAY (ARG) Dec14 Oct20 Sep29 Sep02 Aug10 (carrascojr vi)MORALES PABLO 123 3.50 6% 15.90    
 
TAM-9   01/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ENTWINE (IRE) Nov26 Oct13 Sep10 Jun17 Apr09 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 121 3.50 ★    
2  BIONDA SUPRISE Dec22 Nov23 Oct07 Aug31 Aug02 (yanez r)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 10.00    
3  A RING THING Dec21 Dec02 Oct12 Aug08 Jul11 (delgado jose )VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 5.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  TAKE TO THE SKIES Jan01 Oct13 Sep28 Sep06 Aug10 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 12.00    
5  BOCA Aug17 Jul19 Jul06 Jun20 May16 (falk jacqueli)SOSA LAUREANO 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TIMELESS GLORY Dec22 Nov15 Oct26 Oct06 Aug30 (granitz anthony )FERRER C 121 15.00    
7  MS BOOMBASTIC Jan01 Dec16 Dec09 Nov25 Oct27 (posadas pedr)MENESES MARCOS 123 10.00    
8  PACIFIC PRINCESS Dec11 Nov19 Jul01 May07   (laurin roger)BATISTA A 121 3.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  COOL FRONT Dec30 Dec22 Dec02 Sep04 Aug06 (dini mike)MORALES PABLO 121 8.00 7% 12.80    
10  ROSE'S CAUSE Dec22 Nov25 Aug19 Jul15 Jun18 (romero raf)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 10.00    
11  MONTANA JOYCE Dec23 Dec09 Nov12 Oct21 Oct01 (mcgoey)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 12.00    
SCR  BELLSWILLBERINGING Dec21 Dec10 Nov05 Oct22 Oct05 (lopez robe)FERRER C 121 20.00    
SCR  PLATINUMCENTS Dec30 Dec10 Nov23 Jul01 May06 (wasiluk peter )COA J 121 30.00    
14  LOVE'S MISERY Dec30 Nov23 Sep17 Sep03 Aug05 (delgado jose )MORALES PABLO 121 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.