Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Wednesday - January 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5/3/2)-(4/1/5/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(3/8/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(3/8/2/4)-(5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DED-2   WIN (3/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/2/4)-(3/8/2/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/8/2/4)-(3/8/2/4/1)-(3/8/2/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/8/2/4)-(5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/8/2/4)-(5)-(2/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
DED-3   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/1/4/2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (5)-(5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (5)-(2/5)-(8/2/3/5/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
DED-4   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/1/3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/1/3/4)-(2/5/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5)-(8/2/3/5/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(8/2/3/5/4)-(2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-5   WIN (8/2/3/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/5/4)-(8/2/3/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/5/4)-(8/2/3/5/4)-(8/2/3/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/2/3/5/4)-(2/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (8/2/3/5/4)-(2/1)-(7/8/3/2/9) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
DED-6   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/5/4)-(2/1/5/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/1)-(7/8/3/2/9) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(7/8/3/2/9)-(8/6/9/1) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
DED-7   WIN (7/8/3/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/2/9)-(7/8/3/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/2/9)-(7/8/3/2/9)-(7/8/3/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/8/3/2/9)-(8/6/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/8/3/2/9)-(8/6/9/1)-(7/6/2/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-8   WIN (8/6/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/9/1)-(8/6/9/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/6/9/1)-(8/6/9/1/2)-(8/6/9/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/6/9/1)-(7/6/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
DED-9   WIN (7/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/1)-(7/6/2/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/1)-(7/6/2/1/3)-(7/6/2/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   01/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCK OF THE DRAW Dec22 May08 Feb05 Jan01   (richard chri)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 3.00 20% 4.10    
2  EASY TO MISS Dec27 Oct21 Aug19 Jul13 May28 (ramirez eduardo)TORRES HUGO 112 6.00 ★    
3  SUPER DESIGN Dec17 Nov18 Oct27 Sep08 Jun02 (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 1.80 ★    
4  UNCLE FRANK Dec15 Nov17 Oct12 Aug19 May28 (sturrock bil)MAGNON H 123 3.00 43% 1.30    
5  CASEYS MEMORY Dec21 Sep24 Sep04 Aug14 Jul22 (gustafson austin)BIRZER E 117 5.00 6% 14.60    
6  EYE DEE KAY Oct19 Sep10 Jul01 Jun03 May21 (modica osca)MORALES ROBERTO 117 8.00    
 
DED-2   01/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRODUCTION TIME Dec15 Nov12 Oct21 Oct05 Jul01 (celest)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 6.00 ★    
2  SMART ANALYSIS Nov19 Oct19 Feb26 Feb11 Jan21 (latour nich)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.50 7% 13.60    
3  MIZSPELT Dec27 Nov02 Oct15     (alberto an)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 4.00 35% 1.90    
4  PERFECT STRIKE Dec08 Oct22 Aug26 Jul21 Jun11 (mojica a)BACA L 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  LUCKY BIG DADDY Dec20 Dec01 Nov10 Oct27 Jun30 (west henry)BOURQUE J 120 15.00    
6  YOU YOUR DADDY SON Dec14 Dec01 Oct28 Sep26 Aug28 (vincent jar)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 5.00    
7  GILDERSLEEVE Dec09 Nov18 May23 May07 Feb03 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 120 8.00    
8  SEEHOSS Nov19 Nov02 Apr14 Mar04 Feb10 (landry ray)STOKES J 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
DED-3   01/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASY EDDIE A Dec20 Dec01 Nov16 Oct22   (fuselier j)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 4.50 ★    
2  COUNTRY CAT JAKE Dec29 Dec01 Nov19 Oct22 Oct07 (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 115 6.00 ★    
3  PAYOFF CYCLE Dec15 Jul20 Jul02     (demouchet ricky)MCMAHON J 120 8.00    
4  TRUE CAPTAIN         (briley lonni)TAYLOR BETHANY 120 10.00 ★    
5  HOLY BAYOU Dec15 Nov09 Oct22     (klanfer alan)FUSILIER C 120 1.80 45% 1.20    
6  DONOVANS WARRIOR Dec07         (reeves)RUIZ GARCIA 120 12.00    
SCR  SERRANO'S WARRIOR Oct22 May24       (johnson henry )COTTO L 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
DED-4   01/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEFFROW Dec17 Nov30 Nov04 Aug20 Apr29 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 4.50 ★    
2  HOME VISIT Dec22 Dec01 Nov16 Mar01 Feb05 (delhomme jeff)THORNTON G 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  OCEOLA Dec21 Oct19 Sep18 Aug30 Aug06 (schult)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 ★    
4  SADIE'S LIGHT Nov04 Aug20 Jun08 May14 Apr06 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 5.00 ★    
5  SARAH'S VISION Dec17 Nov17       (klanfer alan)STOKES J 120 6.00 29% 2.40    
6  CPRIORITY Dec17 Nov30 Nov17 Oct15 Sep10 (thomas lee)COTTO L 120 1.60    
 
DED-5   01/11/2023 4950ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CLEAR HUMOR Dec21 Dec03 Nov10 Aug17 Jul03 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 4.50    
SCR  TURN ON THE MAGIC Dec22 Dec03 Nov08 Oct26 Aug12 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 4.50    
2  DRIED PEPPER Dec15 Dec03 Nov19 Oct12 Aug03 (mojica edit)MORALES ROBERTO 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
2B  CRIMSON STORM Dec21 Nov30 Nov04 Oct08 Aug13 (mojica a)BIRZER E 117 3.50    
3  SPEEDY FELLAR Dec21 Nov16 Aug06 Jul24 May20 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00 14% 6.30    
4  GOLD NOTE Nov16 Oct14 Oct04 Sep25 Sep06 (hibdon n)COTTO L 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  JAZZY JUSTIN Dec21 Dec03 Nov05 Sep18 Aug27 (toups brent)POMPELL L 117 6.00 7% 13.20    
6  DEBONNAIRE DUDE Dec28 Dec09 Sep10 Aug25 Jul29 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 12.00    
7  HELLUVA LIFE Dec28 Dec15 Dec03 Oct19 Oct05 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 10.00    
8  MOMENT Dec17 Nov12 Oct28 Sep26 Sep13 (lopez elias)THORNTON G 123 2.50 27% 2.80    
 
DED-6   01/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTY'S FOOL Dec30 Dec17 Dec07 Oct26 Oct01 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 123 2.50 18% 4.70    
SCR  MY BOBBY MCGEE Dec27 Dec01 Nov22 Oct30 Oct22 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 2.50    
2  DEALMEINBUD Dec27 Dec14 Nov12 Oct29 Oct06 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 117 3.50 57% 0.80    
SCR  MR B QUIET Nov23 Oct08 Sep20 Sep11 Aug14 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 112 6.00    
4  COACH HUDSON Dec09 Nov16 Aug27 Jul30 Jul13 (rochau keit)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 15.00 ★    
5  MEDITATE (IRE) Dec14 Nov16 Nov04 Oct27 May21 (lara j)GUERRERO ANDRES 114 1.60 ★    
SCR  DUSTY BOY Dec14 Jul06 Jun08 May06 Apr22 (perron gerard)STOKES A 114 6.00 ★    
 
DED-7   01/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUT MAKING TREBLE Nov25 Nov02 Oct12 Aug18 Aug04 (bernard john)STOKES A 120 8.00    
1A  FIFTYFIVE STRONG Dec16 Nov25 Oct05 Aug19 Jul31 (bernard john)BARRERA J 115 8.00    
2  PLENTY OF CENTS Dec16 Oct20 Sep19 Sep03 Aug08 (thompson kevin)BACA L 120 5.00 10% 8.70    
3  MATH MAN Dec28 Nov30 Nov05 Aug25 Aug11 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.00 16% 5.40    
4  MO VODKA Dec16 Nov26 Nov10 Sep12 Jul26 (delany sarah)TORRES HUGO 115 15.00    
SCR  COUNTRY CUT Dec28 Dec16 Nov30 Nov19 Nov02 (melancon do)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 15.00    
6  CORRENTE DE OURO Nov22 Oct07 Aug26 Jul18 Jun25 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 6.00    
7  NUGGET OF GRACE Dec28 Dec16 Nov30 Nov19 Oct20 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.00 19% 4.30    
8  HESACALENDARBOY Dec28 Nov30 Oct26 Oct12 Aug17 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.50 17% 4.80    
9  CHIEF CHARLIE Nov23 Sep16 Jul14 Jun23 Jun15 (del er)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 10.00 8% 11.50    
 
DED-8   01/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOM'S PRAYER Dec07 Aug13 Jul16 Mar12 Feb23 (ramirez b)TORRES HUGO 115 15.00 13% 6.80    
2  FABS Dec07 Oct26 Sep16 Aug18 Jul23 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 6.00 ★    
3  CHICKIETOWN STAR Dec08 Oct06 Sep19 Aug10 Jan22 (cormier wins)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 6.00    
4  CRYPTO BRAVE Dec26 Dec01 Nov10 Jul27 Jul06 (zenon )RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 117 15.00    
5  DEAL ME A PENNY Dec22 Dec08 Nov10 Oct15 Sep12 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 117 4.00    
6  ACELA EXPRESS Jun20 May20 Apr26 Apr05 Mar22 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  MISSHEARTBREAKER Dec07 Aug28 Jun29     (delahoussaye bre)FUSILIER C 120 20.00    
8  HAMAZING LACE Dec19 Dec07 Nov19 Oct15 Sep08 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.50 24% 3.10    
9  BRAVE CITY GIRL Dec22 Mar02 Jan22 Jan01   (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 112 10.00 14% 6.10    
 
DED-9   01/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD GIRL SHORTY Dec29 Jul02 Jun10 May25   (ladner chad)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 10.00 13% 6.70    
2  ROADSIDE GIRL Dec08 Nov22 Nov03 May29 May21 (fontenot curle)BACA L 120 6.00 19% 4.30    
3  WITH GRACE Oct28 Oct06       (chatters benard)STOKES A 123 5.00 ★    
4  CHARMING KAT Nov11 Oct13 Aug19 Apr16 Jan19 (senegal dalton )BOURQUE J 120 8.00    
5  CIRCLEOFSOUL Dec21         (zeno benjamin)VARGAS P 123 15.00    
6  RIPTIDE ROSE Dec21 Nov18 Nov05     (silva walter)TORRES HUGO 115 3.00 21% 3.90    
7  DON'T LOOK ETHEL Nov17 Nov03 Oct06 Sep11 Jul30 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 120 4.50 24% 3.10    
8  SENSING GOLD Sep19 Apr15 Mar27     (vincent jar)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 12.00    
9  SLOOPY HANG ON Dec21 Nov25 Nov09 Oct20 Sep24 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 123 6.00    
10  AMELIES DREAMER Dec19 Nov22 Nov03 Oct13   (segura)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.