Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - January 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1/4/3)-(2/5/1/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(6/1)-(3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-2   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/1/5/4)-(6/1/5/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/1)-(3/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(3/6)-(7/4/2/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-3   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/6)-(7/4/2/1/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(7/4/2/1/5)-(7/6/5/2) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
TAM-4   WIN (7/4/2/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/1/5)-(7/4/2/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/1/5)-(7/4/2/1/5)-(7/4/2/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/4/2/1/5)-(7/6/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2/1/5)-(7/6/5/2)-(4/2) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
TAM-5   WIN (7/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2/4)-(7/6/5/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/5/2)-(4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5/2)-(4/2)-(2/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-6   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/7/5/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/7/5/8)-(4/2/7/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(2/4/5)-(4/1/10/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-7   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5/1/6)-(2/4/5/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(4/1/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(4/1/10/8)-(4/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-8   WIN (4/1/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/10/8)-(4/1/10/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/10/8)-(4/1/10/8/7)-(4/1/10/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/10/8)-(4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-9   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3/1/9)-(4/2/3/1/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR. ANN Dec23 Oct09 Aug08 Jul13 Jun10 (campbell micha)CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00 7% 12.70    
2  GIRLS IN CHARGE Dec16 Nov25 Sep18 Aug28 Aug08 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 123 1.40 53% 0.90    
3  CHECK THE GRADE Dec16 Oct21 Aug22 Aug10 Jul19 (munoz carlos)ARROYO S 119 5.00 ★    
4  PINO IN A PURSE Dec16 Nov04 Oct24 Oct06 Sep20 (wright michae)HERNANDEZ K 119 4.50 ★    
5  JLO CAN DANCE Dec16 Sep19 Aug25 Aug16 Jul13 (poole jeffrey )MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.50 13% 7.00    
SCR  PRETTY PRINCESS Dec10 Nov26 Aug19 Jul22 Jun18 (philipp kar)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 6.00    
 
TAM-2   01/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 1:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORE DRAMA Sep11 Jul23 Jun25     (david carl)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 3.50 15% 5.80    
SCR  ZONAL Dec07 Nov23 Oct22 Sep17 Aug20 (raven kerri)CASTANON L 120 8.00 ★    
3  ICETECA Nov05 Oct28       (smith r)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 12.00    
4  CONRADO Dec23 Nov25 Oct23 Sep04 Jul23 (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 3.00 ★    
5  FISHERMAN OSCAR Nov25 Oct01 Sep10 Aug18 Jul28 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 4.00 ★    
6  MIND FLAYER Dec23         (machado anto)ARROYO S 120 2.50 57% 0.70    
7  DON CINCO         (gatis chris)SOSA LAUREANO 113 10.00    
 
TAM-3   01/08/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANNIE UP BUCK Dec24 Sep29 Sep13 Aug29 Aug03 (guciardo kath)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 12.00    
2  WORKING OVERTIME Dec24 Dec09 Oct12 Sep28 Sep14 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 123 6.00 ★    
3  MONIQUES DAREDEVIL Jan01 Dec24 Dec09 Oct05 Sep14 (machado anton)MORALES PABLO 123 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  CHARGE IT JENN Dec22 Nov25 Oct15 Sep16 Aug11 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 123 1.80 22% 3.60    
SCR  LOVIN LIVIN Dec26 Nov27 Oct28 Oct02 Sep02 (levy l)CAMACHO SAMY 123 4.00    
6  TOOLEGITTOQUIT Nov15 Oct26 Sep10 Aug22 Jul26 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 10.00 9% 10.00    
7  GRANDMARY Jul03 May30 Apr16 Apr01 Feb27 (tsirigotis jam)SUAREZ ANGEL 123 8.00 ★    
 
TAM-4   01/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD IRISHMAN Apr29 Apr03 Feb18     (ward dennis)SOSA LAUREANO 114 8.00 10% 9.10    
2  HAD RIGHT Dec02 Sep23 Aug23 Aug10 Jul13 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 121 5.00 11% 8.50    
3  LIL BULL Dec23 Nov23 Nov04 Oct14 Jul30 (wirth kenneth )MBATHA LUCKY 111 20.00    
4  AIDINGANDABETTING Dec31 Dec10 Nov23     (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.00 23% 3.40    
5  PRETTY DUDE Dec23 Dec02 May06 Mar26   (wasiluk peter)IORIO MELISSA 111 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  EL POLICIA Dec28 Dec14 Nov30 Oct05 Sep21 (sacco d)FERRER C 121 5.00    
7  RUNAWAY TOM Dec21 Nov23 Oct23 Aug20 Jul22 (philipp kary)MENESES MARCOS 121 1.60 34% 2.00    
 
TAM-5   01/08/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($27.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO STEPPIN KLUKI Nov26 Sep18 Aug20 Jul23 Jun26 (pimental john )MARIN SAMUEL 119 12.00    
2  OBIWAN Dec07 Nov19 Nov09 Oct13 Sep08 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 10.00 8% 12.00    
3  SEVEN CHANNELS Nov06 Sep06 Jul18 May21 Apr23 (lewis l)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00    
4  CANNON'S ROAR Nov07 Oct22 Sep24 Sep06 Aug13 (wright michae)HERNANDEZ K 119 4.50 ★    
5  CHESS MASTER Dec24 Oct20 Sep29 Sep14 Aug20 (raven kerri)CASTANON L 119 5.00 9% 10.00    
6  DRAMA CHORUS Dec17 Sep07 Jun22 May25 Mar27 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 2.50 15% 5.50    
7  HARROW Dec14 Oct04 Sep07 Jun30 Jun07 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 123 4.50 43% 1.30    
 
TAM-6   01/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKEOVER KASH Mar19 Feb26       (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 122 30.00    
2  EL BAILADOR Dec11 Nov12 Oct02 Aug31 Jun18 (munoz carlos)ARROYO S 122 5.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  DEACON ELI May31         (tsirigotis jr)DIAZ S 122 20.00    
4  GET EVEN Dec24 Nov04       (smith cr)GALLARDO A 122 1.20 63% 0.60    
5  WOOTDAREITIS Dec24 Dec10 Nov12 Aug02 Jul20 (werneth ro)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 5.00 ★    
6  WARP SPEED BEAST Dec29 Dec14       (dobber arnou)MENESES MARCOS 122 8.00    
7  CALLE DE BOYD Mar11 Jan30       (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 ★    
8  PEINADITO Dec11         (laurato m)CAMACHO JR 122 15.00 ★    
 
TAM-7   01/08/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($27K) 3 ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DECEITFUL Dec07 Sep12 Aug22     (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00 ★    
2  PROWLING TIGER Nov13 Oct23       (delac)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.50 35% 1.80    
3  SOUTHPAW MIKE Sep30 Sep03       (mccarthy b)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 12.00    
4  A WESTERN YARN Dec03 Oct29 Aug22 Jul21   (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
5  DATAMAN Dec07 Oct15 Oct02 Aug22 Jul22 (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 3.50 9% 10.40    
6  LOVE ME NOT Dec03 Nov04 Sep17 Sep03 Aug12 (sacco gregory )CASTANON L 118 6.00 ★    
7  SUMMER BEE Dec17 Dec03 Oct16 Sep30 Sep03 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 122 10.00    
8  FURIOUSLY Dec07 Sep27 Aug22     (motion h)GALLARDO A 118 6.00    
 
TAM-8   01/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDER BUGGY Dec23 Apr29 Apr03 Mar23 Feb19 (machado antoni)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00 23% 3.40    
2  LOOK UP TO HEAVEN Dec26 Dec04 Nov19 Nov06 Oct15 (rivera xavi)CLEMENTE ALFRED 121 12.00    
3  CSILLA Dec10 Dec02 Oct15 Sep15 Aug11 (rarick lynn)DELGADO DAVID 121 8.00    
4  HELEONORTIZ Dec16 Dec09 Nov23 Oct06 Aug27 (machado anto)ARROYO S 123 2.50 31% 2.30    
5  BON FIRE DIVA Nov03 Oct22 Sep30 Sep07 Aug26 (manchan be)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 5.00    
SCR  MAKIN IT LOOK EASY Nov27 Aug07 Jul16 Jul02 Jun11 (sweeze)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 10.00    
7  RAPIDAMENTE Aug31 Aug18 Jul16 Jul06 Jun10 (lopez r)IORIO MELISSA 111 12.00 ★    
8  FANCYSOUL Dec10 Mar26 Mar06 Feb11 Jan23 (davis richard)HERNANDEZ K 121 15.00 5% 18.00    
9  ASPROPODIA Apr24 Apr16 Apr03 Mar13 Feb27 (roque elis)ALICEA JEREMY 114 12.00    
10  TRULY A DREAM Dec14 Nov25 Sep16 Aug24 Aug03 (posadas ped)QUINONEZ ALONSO 123 4.50 17% 5.00    
 
TAM-9   01/08/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEGEND'S SONG Dec23 Nov30 Oct15 Sep03 Aug13 (wilson tony)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 10.00 ★    
2  GUIDANCE Nov25 Oct08       (ferraro m )ROWLAND MADELINE 117 5.00 18% 4.50    
3  LIBERTALIA Dec21 Oct06 Sep26 Sep07 Aug16 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 4.00 11% 8.20    
4  KAZACHAN Nov25 Oct22 Aug24 Jul28 Jul01 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
5  UNKOALAFIED Nov21 Nov12 Oct13 Aug26 Aug12 (carvajal lu)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 15.00    
6  FREEDOM EXPRESS Dec09         (hunt donald)ALICEA JEREMY 115 20.00    
7  SHES SKY HIGH Dec21 Dec07 Nov25 Aug27 Jul31 (puckett dw)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 12.00    
8  TEA'S DREAM Dec21 Nov25 Jun30 May07 Apr24 (wasiluk jr)FERRER C 122 15.00    
9  LIZQUEENFLUERDELIS Dec07 Oct15 Aug30 Jul26 Feb19 (yanez moises)MENESES MARCOS 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  LIFENHOWULIVIT Jun19 May15 Apr16 Feb19 Jan08 (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 115 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.