Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Saturday - January 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/6/4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(4/2)-(4/2/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LRL-2   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(4/2/5)-(2/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-3   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(2/4/1)-(5/1/3/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-4   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(5/1/3/10)-(2/1/6/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-5   WIN (5/1/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/10)-(5/1/3/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3/10)-(2/1/6/9/3)-(1/6) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
LRL-6   WIN (2/1/6/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/9/3)-(2/1/6/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6/9/3)-(1/6)-(1/6/2) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
LRL-7   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/2/6/5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(1/6/2)-(2/3/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-8   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-9   WIN (2/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/9)-(2/3/9/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   01/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3 F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BOSSYNESS Dec02 Nov06 Oct16 Sep28 Sep11 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  GOLDIENESS Aug25         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.00    
SWEET FACTOR Dec03 Nov12 Sep01 Aug12   (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 124 15.00    
BREEZY LEIGH Dec02         (salzman joh)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 20.00    
BEST WORST IDEA Jun15         (nambo cesar)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 5.00    
LEVISA Nov19 Oct12 Sep06     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 0.80 55% 0.80    
LADY LANCER Dec10 Nov26 Nov12 Nov04 Oct20 (sepulveda carl)ROSADO JOHAN 124 10.00    
ICESTORMING Dec10 Nov25 Nov02 Oct12 Sep07 (smith jason )BATISTA A 124 12.00    
 
LRL-2   01/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEAK YOUR MIND Dec10 Oct29 Sep11 Aug17 Aug03 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 3.50    
BACKSTREET AFFAIR Dec30 Nov26 Oct19 Sep30 Sep05 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.00 16% 5.10    
GWYNEDD Aug27 Jun04 Apr22 Mar04 Jan27 (perkins jr)BOYCE FOREST 126 6.00    
MUSICAL CAT Nov25 Nov07 Sep28 Aug25 Jun11 (allen fer)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 3.50 47% 1.10    
QUEEN OF CLASS Dec10 Nov21 Sep17 Sep05 Aug22 (morgan car)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 6.00    
BESTLA Apr28 Apr07 Mar20 Mar04 Jan27 (bourne will)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 20.00    
SCR  LOOKIN SPUNKY Dec29 Dec04 Nov19 Oct29 Jul08 (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 126 15.00 7% 13.40    
PRAY FOR THE U S A Dec10 Nov24 Oct30 Sep25 Sep03 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00    
 
LRL-3   01/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 1:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ONLY GET'N BETTER Dec08 Nov17 Oct27     (viands grego)BATISTA A 124 30.00    
SUPERR RON Oct29 Sep30 Sep03 Jul31 Jul15 (capuano gar)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.50 20% 4.10    
INSPIRED IRISH Nov21 Nov04 Oct14     (meyers madison )GOMEZ KEVIN 124 12.00    
GENERAL J R Dec10 Nov20 Nov04 Oct13 Oct02 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
RECKLESS AFFAIR Nov18 Oct22 Aug26 Aug11   (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 2.50 12% 7.10    
UNKNOWN AGENDA Oct28 Sep16       (viands gregory)BOCACHICA O 124 5.00    
HOP AND SCOTCH Dec10 Nov27 Nov03 Oct27 Sep29 (allard t)CRUZ ANGEL 124 5.00    
JONES FALLS Nov13         (keefe timothy)ALVELO C 124 15.00    
 
LRL-4   01/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARVALOUS MIKE Nov08 Oct20 Sep09 Aug19 Jul07 (montoya mar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 10.00 18% 4.60    
THREES OVER DEUCES Dec10 Nov21 Sep30 Sep10 Aug27 (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 1.60 31% 2.30    
GAGETOWN Dec03 Oct16 Sep25 Aug17 Jul20 (cash norman)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 5.00    
KADRI Dec03 Nov25 Nov06 Oct26 Oct04 (cash norman )BATISTA A 123 4.50 20% 3.90    
EXCULPATORY Dec10 Oct08 Aug14 Jul10 Jun19 (merryman edwi)KARAMANOS A 123 3.50    
INDIAN LAKE Dec10 Nov06 Oct20 Sep30 Aug10 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 119 4.50    
 
LRL-5   01/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORT FORTITUDE Dec17 Nov26 Nov05 Sep07 Jun25 (pickett c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 6.00 22% 3.60    
ALL FOR LOVE Dec11 Apr15 Apr02 Mar20 Feb20 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 8.00    
TOP BOSS Jan01 Dec17 Nov03 Oct15 Oct05 (mohan da)BUTTERFLY L 123 5.00 18% 4.60    
LIFESPAN Dec18 Dec04 Nov14 Nov02 Oct19 (ramirez jose )TREJOS JOSEPH 123 30.00    
THIS ILL DEFEND Dec19 Dec12 Nov22 Nov02 Sep30 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 5.00 27% 2.70    
SHERIFF CHIP Nov03 Oct08 Apr20 Apr01 Mar05 (rawlings a)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 123 10.00    
CHROME FINISH Dec21 Dec02 Nov16 Nov05 Oct19 (rodriguez j)CORUJO LEONARDO 126 10.00    
TOM TERRIFIC Dec02 Nov05 Oct22 Oct02 Sep07 (albert lind)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 6.00    
SPOTTED BULL Jan01 Nov26 Apr21 Apr01 Mar19 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 4.50    
10  BAD GUY Nov11 Jul30 Jun18 May06 Mar31 (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00 12% 7.30    
11  STALKING Dec11 Oct06 Sep14 Aug27 Aug10 (garibay andres)ROSADO JOHAN 123 20.00    
 
LRL-6   01/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSSERATI Dec18 Nov14 Oct22 Sep30 Sep02 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 3.00 27% 2.70    
MUSICMANSANDY Dec16 Nov19 Oct16 Sep02 Jul14 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 117 4.00 27% 2.70    
ANGELOFCANTERBURY Dec18 Nov25 Oct28 Sep25 Sep07 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 6.00 5% 17.40    
OJITOS BELLOS Dec30 Dec10 Nov18     (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 117 20.00    
MO CO GOLD Dec17 Nov14 Oct16 Sep15 Sep02 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 6.00    
ROWSIE EXPRESS Dec03 Nov07 Oct26 Jul23   (mcmahon hugh)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 6.00 11% 8.20    
TOUISSET Dec03 Nov03 Oct12     (gorham michael)CEDENO CAROL 121 15.00    
LIQUIDATOR Dec03 Nov25 Nov07 Oct13 Sep11 (albert lind)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 124 6.00    
NEED A MARKER Sep18 Sep05       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 8.00 6% 17.20    
 
LRL-7   01/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS DILLINGHAM Nov28 Nov01 Oct01 Sep04 Aug11 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 10.00 58% 0.70    
CLICK TO CONFIRM Dec18 Nov26 Nov12 Oct20 Oct01 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 123 2.00    
FUNNYBET Dec16 Nov24 Sep24 May03 Feb12 (cash l)KARAMANOS A 123 15.00    
WITTY BANTER Dec17 Nov19 Oct30 Oct06 Aug29 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 6.00    
BIG CHEEKS Jan01 Nov30 Jul02 Jun01 May12 (mcmahon hugh)BATISTA A 123 6.00    
CLASSIC COLORS Nov05 Sep30 Sep02 Jul10 May22 (viands gregory)BOCACHICA O 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
GAMESTONKS Dec18 Oct22 Sep20 Feb26 Jan23 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.50    
MISTY TASTE Dec17 Nov16 Oct01 Aug01 Jun24 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 119 6.00    
SCR  SHAOLIN Nov25 Oct29 Oct07 Sep22 Jul29 (brion keri)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 12.00    
 
LRL-8   01/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($62K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRODIGY DOLL Dec18 Jun17 Apr23 Feb19 Jan29 (schoenthal ph)KARAMANOS A 123 1.80 40% 1.50    
MOODY WOMAN Nov26 Nov11 Sep24 Aug26 Aug06 (mcmull)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 3.00 17% 4.80    
PAISLEY SINGING Dec18 Nov25 Oct23 Oct02 Aug06 (frock charl)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 6.00    
SHEISTHEHERO Nov22 Nov01 Oct26 Oct12 Sep22 (loudin-smith )ALVELO C 126 15.00    
WHISKEY AND RYE Dec18 Oct23 Mar13 Feb20 Jan29 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 10.00    
RESPONSE TIME Dec04 Nov11 Oct23 Oct02 Sep02 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 2.00 18% 4.60    
 
LRL-9   01/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 45 ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND MANNER Dec09 Nov21 Oct13 Sep30 Aug21 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 3.00    
BOURBON ON THE BAY Nov25 Nov05 Jun10 May19 Apr30 (savoye jacqe)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 5.00 33% 2.00    
GOLDBAR Nov20 Oct13 Sep20     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 3.50 29% 2.50    
ESPRESSO LUNGO Dec09 Nov11 Oct15 Oct02 Aug14 (salazar marco)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00    
MARCHED Dec08 Nov18 Oct23     (kee wil)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 30.00    
COATANDTIEREQUIRED Nov04 Oct08 Aug27     (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 122 6.00    
NOTIMELIKEPRESENT Dec16 Dec09 Nov18 Oct15 Sep11 (magee kieron)BATISTA A 126 5.00    
CURTEIS Aug14 Jul17 Jul01 May26 Apr30 (dunham g)CULLUM W 122 6.00    
HAY DIDDLE DIDDLE Dec10 Nov03       (magee kieron)CRUZ ANGEL 122 15.00 7% 13.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.