Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Friday - January 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3/6/1/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/3/6/1/2)-(4/3/6/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(2/4/3)-(1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DED-2   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(1/4)-(9/1/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-3   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/2/5)-(1/4/2/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/4)-(9/1/4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(9/1/4/5)-(7/4/6/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
DED-4   WIN (9/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/4/5)-(9/1/4/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/1/4/5)-(9/1/4/5/8)-(9/1/4/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/1/4/5)-(7/4/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/1/4/5)-(7/4/6/1)-(8/7/1/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-5   WIN (7/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/1)-(7/4/6/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/1)-(7/4/6/1/2)-(7/4/6/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/4/6/1)-(8/7/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6/1)-(8/7/1/4)-(5/1/3/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-6   WIN (8/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/1/4)-(8/7/1/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/7/1/4)-(8/7/1/4/9)-(8/7/1/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/7/1/4)-(5/1/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/7/1/4)-(5/1/3/2)-(5/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-7   WIN (5/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/2)-(5/1/3/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/2)-(5/1/3/2/6)-(5/1/3/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/3/2)-(5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3/2)-(5/4/7)-(2/5/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-8   WIN (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/7)-(5/4/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7)-(5/4/7/2/6)-(5/4/7/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/4/7)-(2/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DED-9   WIN (2/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7/8)-(2/5/6/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   01/06/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOEY'S LIGHTENING Nov22 Nov02 Aug26 Aug17 Jul15 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 10.00    
CALLEN FEELS GOOD Dec16 Nov30 Nov09 Oct20 Sep13 (pedigo randy)BACA L 120 6.00    
MONITOR MILLS Dec19 Oct12 Aug25 Aug11 Jul22 (chatters benard)STOKES A 120 5.00 14% 6.10    
IDE LIKE HAWAII Dec22 Nov10 Oct27 Oct12 Aug25 (zenon shelton)MCMAHON J 120 3.00 53% 0.90    
MISCHEVIOUS ROBERT Dec19 Nov09 Oct20 Sep12 Aug26 (zeno b)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 120 8.00    
DOUBLE PRIORITY Dec19 Nov19 Nov02 Aug14 Jul31 (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50    
TOOCAN DANCE Sep10 Aug27 Jul18 Jul02 Jun13 (lara jorge)TORRES HUGO 115 4.00    
 
DED-2   01/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILITARY BEARING Nov11 Oct26 Oct08 Sep05 Aug07 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 117 5.00    
MEXICAN WONDER BOY Dec17 Oct07 Sep25 Aug18 Aug10 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 2.50 36% 1.80    
SEAU Nov26 Oct21 Sep10 Jun18 Jun10 (ramirez eduard)THORNTON G 117 3.50 7% 13.70    
DUST EM Nov24 Nov05 Oct13 Aug04 Jul17 (delany sarah)TORRES HUGO 115 1.80 26% 2.90    
SCR  QUARKY Nov07 Oct21 Oct14 Sep23 Sep03 (broberg karl)COLON H 117 6.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  PARTY OF FIFTEEN Dec17 Oct26 Aug25 Aug05 Jul06 (cox edward )RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 12.00    
 
DED-3   01/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALEXAPLAYBORNTORUN Dec01 Nov10 Aug13 Jul16   (thomas lee)POMPELL L 117 3.00 17% 4.80    
OLIVIAN Dec07 Sep14 Aug27 Aug14 Jun05 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 120 5.00    
SCR  REDEFINITION Oct28 Oct08 Aug26 Jun26 May30 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.00 39% 1.60    
HALF PAGE Dec09 Nov22 Oct28 Oct08 Sep12 (rubin donal)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.50 16% 5.20    
ATOMIC ROSE Dec14 Dec02 Oct22 Oct01 Sep10 (lorefi)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 8.00    
VALLEJO Dec07 Mar02 Feb11 Jan22 Jan01 (nelson r)STOKES J 120 8.00    
ADEN'S RANSOM Dec17 Nov04 Apr15 Mar02 Feb09 (milburn kati)BARRERA J 112 12.00    
 
DED-4   01/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BOSS MAN Dec14 Nov26 Nov10 Oct20 Aug25 (rubin donald)COTTO L 117 4.00 14% 6.40    
G'S STORM Dec14 Nov26 Nov11 Oct19 Aug28 (dixon tim)VARGAS P 117 8.00    
SCR  THIRTYEIGHTCALIBER Dec09 Nov19 Oct29 Jul14 Jan21 (sturrock bil)MAGNON H 117 12.00    
INDEFENSIBLE Nov25 Oct20 Jul21 Jul02 May13 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50 13% 6.90    
VEGAS GUY Dec09 Nov16 Oct08 Sep03 Aug11 (diodoro robert)THORNTON G 120 15.00 11% 8.10    
J C'S IN TOWN Dec17 Nov19 Oct28 Oct08 Jun11 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 6.00    
HEATHER'S REQUEST Dec14 Nov26 Aug20 Jun27 Jun14 (nelson r)HERNANDEZ V 117 15.00    
LOUIS LE GRANDE Dec21 Dec08 Nov10 Oct21   (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 123 4.50    
NASTY EXAGGERATOR Dec14 Nov16 Oct21 Oct02 Sep25 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 6.00 37% 1.70    
 
DED-5   01/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JULIO CHOICE Nov03 Oct07 Aug27 Aug10 Jul21 (mojica a)BIRZER E 120 4.00 12% 7.40    
1A  KATIE'S C Nov18 Oct27 Aug27 Aug13 Aug04 (mojica edit)MORALES ROBERTO 120 4.00    
MYLIES STAR Dec15 Dec02 Nov18 Nov03 Oct06 (dussette alvin)COLON H 120 6.00    
OVERLY SWEET Oct27 Oct12 Sep26 Jul21 Jul09 (zeno benjami)EDISON JOCELYN 115 10.00    
START WELL Dec20 Dec08 Nov26 Oct14 Aug01 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 6.00 20% 4.00    
SHE'S TAKIN OVER Dec08 Nov18 Nov03 Oct06 Sep25 (johnson henry )COTTO L 120 6.00    
ANN'S STORM Dec20 Nov26 Nov03 Oct19 Jul23 (landry ray)STOKES J 120 3.50 15% 5.80    
HERE COMES LOVIE Dec08 Nov26 Jul29 Jul07 Jun17 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
DED-6   01/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN FOR A PENNY Dec07 Nov03 Oct14 Aug24 Jun22 (larrosa a)FUSILIER C 123 3.00 10% 9.40    
FORT PIKE Dec14 Nov26 Nov03 Sep25 Sep12 (cangem)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 15.00    
YES I'M A LADY Dec27 Dec08 Nov18 Nov03 Oct06 (melancon don)BARRERA J 118 8.00    
GOLD CHAIN Dec09 Nov09 Oct20 Sep27 Sep05 (noel dane)VARGAS P 123 12.00 9% 9.60    
LIVVY LOU Sep25 Sep05 Aug07     (goins garland)TORRES HUGO 118 12.00    
BOSTON BELLE Dec14 Nov19 Oct29 Oct15 Jun15 (segura kearney)STOKES J 123 5.00    
MOODY RAFAELA Dec07 Nov16 Sep12 Aug27 Aug01 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 123 4.50 22% 3.50    
LA LA LATTE Sep13 Jul18 Jun19     (thomas lee)COTTO L 123 4.00 32% 2.10    
ROARING QUINN Dec07 Oct28 Oct06 Aug27 Jul28 (gustafson a)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 6.00    
 
DED-7   01/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARALISSFRMANALYSS Oct14 Sep11 Aug27 Jul29 Jun30 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 2.50 18% 4.40    
JOEBOY Dec17 Dec01 Nov09 Oct22 Sep11 (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 114 8.00 13% 6.80    
SPHEROID Dec14 Nov26 Nov09 Oct29 Oct08 (alberto ant)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 6.00 13% 6.70    
TRAELEE Dec09 Nov16 Oct19 Aug27 Aug03 (segura kearney)STOKES J 117 5.00    
MUFFIN NUTS Dec15 Nov22 Sep20 Jul08 Jun25 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 114 3.00 32% 2.10    
OPTIMISTIC Dec14 Nov26 Nov16 Jul01   (cezar jerry)TORRES HUGO 112 4.00    
LIAM SKYE Dec15 Nov03 Oct05 Aug20 Aug05 (gallaw)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 114 10.00    
 
DED-8   01/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SASSY BEAST Dec23 Dec10 Apr16 Feb26 Jan20 (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 118 10.00    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of I'MCLASSYANDSASSY by MASTER COMMAND)
BOSSY MAMA Nov24 Nov06 Oct22 Mar19   (amoss m)THORNTON G 118 3.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of CARMEN'S MYSTERY by WAR FRONT)
MY DESTINY Dec08 Sep24 Jul28 Jun26 Mar12 (wilensky her)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 6.00    
  (by MAJESTICPERFECTION out of NORTHERN DESTINY by CRAFTY PROSPECTOR)
KELA'S TURN Dec17 Nov26 Nov04 Oct01 Sep05 (guillory j)BIRZER E 118 4.50 20% 4.00    
  (by KELA out of LAUREN'S TURN by LION HEART)
SWEET TEMPERAMENT Dec17 Jul21 Jun16 May27 Apr30 (bourgeois keith)STOKES J 123 4.00 35% 1.90    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of SWEET BASIL by PULPIT)
TIPSY GAL Dec18 Oct19 Sep16 Jun29 May30 (broberg karl)COLON H 118 10.00    
  (by MAJESTICPERFECTION out of TIPSY AT MIDNIGHT by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
IMA DISCREET LADY Dec17 Nov26 Oct05 Jul17 Jun19 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 5.00 15% 5.50    
  (by DISCREET CAT out of IMA THREE BLINGER by TOO MUCH BLING)
MY FRIEND AMY Dec22 Nov02 Sep25 Aug26 Jul09 (gelner scot)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 8.00    
  (by ORB out of ORRERY by SMART STRIKE)
 
DED-9   01/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARROGANT GIRL Dec22 May22 Jan19     (gomez c)ROMAN KEVIN 120 15.00    
NON BINDING Jun25 May26 Apr30 Mar25 Feb23 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
DARING DARIAN         (charles jonatha)BOURQUE J 120 10.00    
SADIE'S RANSOM Dec21 Mar25 Feb26 Jan07   (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 6.00    
APRIORITY MAGIC Oct29 Oct15 Aug28 Aug13 Jul02 (segura kearney)COTTO L 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
AGGIE DOCTOR Mar25         (delany sarah)TORRES HUGO 115 5.00 16% 5.40    
MO DIXIE DIVA Nov17 Nov03 Oct06 Sep05   (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 10% 8.80    
JUST A WIN Dec15 Nov19 Oct14 Aug24 Aug12 (landry ray)STOKES J 120 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.