Handicappers' Racing Form

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Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - December 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TAM-1   12/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATCHING FISH Nov11 Oct29 Sep24 Sep11 Jul03 (garcia rodolfo)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00    
SCR  NEW YORK STYLE Nov20 Oct30 Oct15 Sep24 Sep03 (gonzalez javie)ARROYO S 122 10.00    
BAZOO Nov23 Oct15 Sep21 Aug20 Jul24 (rodriguez )GALLARDO A 122 2.00    
FIGHTING FORCE Jun25 May29 Apr22 Jan29   (delgado )ROJAS EDUARDO 122 1.40 64% 0.60    
ESPECIALLEA Dec09 Nov25 Nov12 Oct15 Oct01 (gatis chris)MENESES MARCOS 122 5.00    
JAG Dec10 Sep14 Sep05 Aug03 Jul14 (lopez rob)SOSA LAUREANO 115 6.00    
 
TAM-2   12/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KUKARO Nov25 Oct15 Sep24 Aug31 Aug05 (sano antonio)ARROYO S 122 8.00    
FIRST FAITH Dec09 Jun30       (smith robert )SPANABEL SKYLER 122 4.50    
A PERFECT SET Nov26 Nov19 Oct08     (davis m)SOSA LAUREANO 113 15.00    
WIND TRYST Nov16 Oct29 Oct15 Sep15 Aug27 (williams abd)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 6.00 14% 6.30    
JAMAICAN INVADER Dec02 Oct29 Oct08 Sep11   (mcgoey monic)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 20.00    
SCR  THATS ALL SHEWROTE Dec09 Aug13 Jun25 Apr16 Apr02 (bennett s)MARIN SAMUEL 124 1.80 30% 2.30    
MY GIRL MELLY Nov26 Oct19 Oct04 Sep14 Aug16 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
HOLLYWOOD HONEY Nov04 Sep23 Sep05 Aug24 Aug03 (barboza victor )IORIO MELISSA 112 8.00 6% 15.40    
 
TAM-3   12/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIPHARAH Nov26 Jun30 Apr24 Apr10 Apr02 (lusk r)ALICEA JEREMY 115 30.00    
SENA THE DUCHESS Nov30 Nov05 Apr23 Apr02 Mar16 (bordis w)MENDEZ KEVIN 124 12.00    
PATH TO VICTORY Dec02 Aug21 Jul24 Jul02 May29 (gonzalez javier)FLORES ADRIAN 122 8.00    
LOFTYSHIPSLOWSAILS Nov25 Oct09 Sep30 Aug07 Jun30 (arnett g)LOZADA CARLOS 122 1.80 51% 1.00    
DON DIVA Dec07 Nov25 Oct14 Sep03 Aug20 (arriagada juan)SOSA LAUREANO 115 5.00 21% 3.90    
WICKED SAUCY Dec02 Sep24 Sep17 Sep02 Aug13 (carvajal lui)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 3.00    
MS MAGGIE Dec02 Nov11 Oct07 Sep22 Sep08 (granitz anthony )GREEN AUBRIE 120 6.00    
CITY SPEAKER Nov30 Sep17 Aug28 Jul09   (mazza w)MARIN SAMUEL 122 10.00    
 
TAM-4   12/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M MONEY Oct10 Sep21 Sep07 Aug22 Aug11 (cahill f)CASTANON L 120 20.00    
HARD BELLE Nov27 Oct30 Sep23 Aug27 Jul29 (barboza )ROJAS EDUARDO 120 5.00    
BEAR CREEK Oct18 Oct03 Sep12 Aug02 Jul13 (ward denni)GALLARDO A 120 6.00    
IMPERIAL KING Nov26 Nov05 Oct15 Sep28 Sep06 (rigattieri john)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00    
HIDE THE DEMON Nov26 Nov06 Oct08 Aug08 Jul11 (campbell michael)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50    
DAVIDIC LINE Oct22 Sep08 Aug25 Jul13 Jun28 (arriagada juan)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 3.50 62% 0.60    
RIDGEPOINTE Aug20 Aug03 Jul17 Jun17 May22 (delgado h)BATISTA A 118 4.00    
 
TAM-5   12/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LEMON TAFFY Dec01 Nov06 Oct07 Sep05 Aug17 (wasiluk jr)FERRER C 121 10.00    
WASSER Nov23 Oct26 Oct07 Sep17 Sep05 (posadas pedro)ALICEA JEREMY 111 8.00    
WATER WITCH Oct27 Apr27 Apr02 Mar05   (sillaman richard )CENTENO E 118 8.00    
MS BOOMBASTIC Dec09 Nov25 Oct27 Sep28 Sep16 (posadas pedro)MENESES MARCOS 121 8.00    
SCR  KISSES FOR HANNAH Nov25 Oct14 Oct06 Sep15 Aug27 (lopez r)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 10.00    
MARACAS BAY Nov18 Oct14 Aug14 May04   (joseph a)CAMACHO SAMY 118 5.00    
SCR  CHALLENGE PRINCESS Oct27 Sep22 Aug21 Jun24 May06 (barboza victor)BATISTA A 118 10.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  COMMAND POINT Sep01 Aug05       (gulick m)MORALES PABLO 121 2.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  MAGIC SURPRISE Nov23 Oct07 Sep17 Sep04 Aug20 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00    
10  LILY'S LEAD Dec10 Oct28 May26 May06 Apr15 (barbazoniii les)MARTIN MATTIE 111 6.00 5% 19.00    
11  HELEONORTIZ Dec09 Nov23 Oct06 Aug27 Jun29 (machado antoni)ARROYO S 118 3.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  BROADWAY PEGGY Nov23 Sep17 Aug31 Aug10 Aug03 (parra hernan)ARROYO S 121 30.00    
SCR  CINDY'S SONG Oct23 Oct02 Aug20 Jul23 Jun12 (rondon-mora carlos)BRACHO A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FOR EVER OURS Oct23 Oct02 Aug20 Jul31 Jul16 (barboza j)CAMACHO SAMY 121 10.00    
 
TAM-6   12/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRUCE BANNER Nov13 Oct28 Aug30 Aug10 Jun24 (campbell m)GALLARDO A 120 8.00    
PETULANTE Aug21 Jul22       (barboza jr)PEREZ EDGAR 118 0.80 29% 2.50    
FLASH KISS Jul17 Jun24 Jun02     (terranova p)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50 18% 4.70    
ALEXIS S Nov27 Oct30 Sep18 Aug17 Jul14 (escobar alison)SUAREZ ANTHONY 118 12.00    
HAPPY CAJUN Jun09 Apr01       (ubide max)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 12.00 14% 6.30    
GREAT KING (FR) Nov06 Oct09       (delgado jorge)BATISTA A 120 6.00 19% 4.30    
DUKE SKYWALKER Dec02 Jun25 Jun11 May22 May07 (gonzalez javie)ARROYO S 120 15.00    
 
TAM-7   12/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 2 F PT- 3:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARA KALI Sep30 Sep11 May26 May05   (cascallares n)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 20.00    
LADY KITTY Nov25 Oct09 Aug30     (machado antoni)ARROYO S 119 12.00    
SCR  X Y LADY Oct06 Sep05 Aug16 Jun22   (lopez g)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00    
SUMMER NITRO Dec03 Sep30       (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 12.00    
CAYMAN QUEEN Oct30 Oct09 Aug21 Jun24   (orseno jose)CAMACHO JR 119 6.00 21% 3.80    
MOVE TO ORDER Nov30 Oct09 Sep18 Aug21 Jul08 (barbazoniii les)MARTIN MATTIE 112 15.00    
GINETTES ON FIRE Nov30 Oct23       (delgado jose )QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 2.00 48% 1.10    
WINE WITH A ROSE Nov25 Oct13 Aug30 Jul26 Jul11 (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 119 8.00    
SCR  MORNING MESA Aug25         (lopez r)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 10.00    
10  GENERAL ROBINSON Nov30 Nov06       (delgado )ROJAS EDUARDO 119 4.00    
11  HIGH DONNA Dec03 Oct27 Sep06     (escobar alison)BATISTA A 119 12.00    
SCR  DUDEFOOLINGDARLING         (deaton william)MENESES MARCOS 119 15.00 5% 18.50    
SCR  GRAND ARROW Nov25 Oct30 Sep18     (barboza jr)PEREZ EDGAR 119 12.00    
SCR  MY BATON ROUGE Dec07 Aug30 Aug16 Jul19 Jun29 (ramos o)CASTANON L 119 15.00    
 
TAM-8   12/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JLO CAN DANCE Sep19 Aug25 Aug16 Jul13 Jun25 (poole a)MARIN SAMUEL 120 8.00    
GIRLS IN CHARGE Nov25 Sep18 Aug28 Aug08 Jul17 (arnett g)LOZADA CARLOS 120 6.00 24% 3.20    
SNACKSTER Dec02 Nov08 Oct07 Sep07 Aug18 (ward dennis)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50    
NURSE JUDY Sep18 Aug19 Mar19 Feb17 Jan27 (hunt donald)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 4.00 22% 3.60    
LUCKY LIZZIE Nov26 Oct20 Sep09 Sep01 Aug04 (arriagada juan)BATISTA A 120 6.00    
PINO IN A PURSE Nov04 Oct24 Oct06 Sep20 Sep09 (wright michael )HERNANDEZ K 120 8.00    
PURE ELEGANCE Dec02 Oct24 Oct03 Aug30 Aug08 (sacco d)SOSA LAUREANO 111 5.00 9% 10.30    
CHECK THE GRADE Oct21 Aug22 Aug10 Jul19 Jun03 (munoz carlos)ARROYO S 118 5.00 13% 6.40    
 
TAM-9   12/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARMING COUNCIL Aug24 Aug15 Jul19     (lusk r)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 20.00    
SCR  WICKED MOMENT Nov30 May06 Apr01 Feb27 Feb06 (o'connell kat)SPANABEL SKYLER 124 2.00    
OUR LA DOLCE VITA         (fisher david)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
LONG STORY Nov30 Oct30 Sep05 Aug22 Aug10 (lanum crystal)MORENO ANGEL 121 10.00 6% 16.50    
KALINBA Nov30 Oct28 Oct16 Sep25 Sep04 (cascallares nestor)FERRER C 121 20.00    
CAJUN CRACKER Dec02 Oct01 Aug20     (king b)BUSH V 121 20.00    
SMART AS ME Nov04         (smith robe)ALLEN D 121 6.00 34% 1.90    
TIMMINS Oct10 Sep13 Aug19 Aug05 Jul15 (davis m)HERNANDEZ K 121 2.50    
SIDNEY'S BID Dec02 Oct07 Sep10 Aug20 Jul24 (mcgoey monica)BATISTA A 121 12.00    
10  URBAN BEACH Nov26 Sep10 Aug14 Jul17 Jun25 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BEN RUMSON Oct29 Oct16 Jul15 Jun10   (collins john)CAMACHO SAMY 121 15.00    
12  BOSSHOG THEM DUKES Dec03 Nov05 Oct22     (crooks jeff)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 121 6.00    
SCR  MAGIC WIZARD Oct19 Oct06 Sep27 Sep14 Aug31 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 15.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  MAGNA RULER Dec08 Oct05 Sep06 Aug16 Jul27 (ramos o)CASTANON L 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.