Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Friday - November 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   11/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOKER MATT Aug31 Aug14 Jul31 Jul13 Jul04 (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 119 4.50 42% 1.40    
2  GOOD BYE PUTIN Sep19 Jul01 May28 Apr03 Feb04 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 5.00    
3  WESTPHAL Oct07 Sep24 Aug27 Aug06 Jul09 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 119 3.00 30% 2.40    
4  CLUB MESQUITE Sep15 Aug31 Aug17 Jul31 Jul02 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 ★    
5  HPNOTIQ RHYTHM Sep08 Aug21 Aug03 Jul17 Jun23 (lund valori)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 ★    
6  GRAVES MILL ROAD Aug17 Jul01 Apr30 Apr10 Feb27 (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 122 4.00 ★    
7  CHROME KING Sep23 Aug13 Jul13 Jun22 May29 (he)MARTINEZ NAHERD 119 8.00    
 
TUP-2   11/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($22.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUGLER Sep03 Jul27 Jun29 Jun12 May21 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 ★    
2  HIJO GALANTE Aug25 Jul28 May06     (lucarelli frank)VERGARA P 119 2.00 ★    
3  COASTAL KID Jun19         (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 6.00 20% 4.00    
4  LESLIE'S GOLD Sep17 Sep03 Aug03 Jul17 Jun18 (lund valorie)WADE LYNDIE 122 5.00    
SCR  SILVER KID Oct10 Sep16 Aug31 Aug20 Aug03 (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00 6% 16.10    
6  GATES OF HEAVEN Sep19 Jul30 Jul18 Jun27 Jan15 (evans justi)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
 
TUP-3   11/04/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 2 F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAISLEY'S VISION Sep19 Sep05 Aug19 Jul18 May07 (rollins sco)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 8.00    
2  COUNTESS OF CAIRO Aug20 Jul30 Jul04     (vanwinkle david)WADE LYNDIE 121 3.00 32% 2.10    
3  DIAMONDS DANZING Sep18 May07 Apr13     (he)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 4.00 32% 2.10    
4  PEPPER MILL         (kereluk edward)LULL E 121 6.00 ★    
5  BOSS BRIDE Sep05         (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 5.00 14% 6.00    
6  DRAMA DIVA Aug12 Jul31 Apr29     (silva l)CORBETT W 121 10.00    
7  EDDIE'S ON PATROL Sep17         (silva l)ZUNINO L 121 5.00 ★    
8  CREME DE MENTHE (IRE) Oct14         (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 8.00    
9  DON'T GET PICKLED         (hernandez m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 12.00    
 
TUP-4   11/04/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STILLWATER BROWN Sep27 Sep14 Sep01 Jul17 Jun29 (rumsey cor)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 6.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  O G GULFSTREAM GUS Jun27 Apr24 Mar18 Feb22   (magrady rona)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 20.00    
3  RI' PIN SNAP Sep19 Sep05 Aug27 Apr28 Apr18 (barrio sergio)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 20.00    
4  JUST PICK IT UP         (chambers mi)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 3.50 ★    
5  STANWOOD WARRIOR Sep09 Aug28 Aug14     (rosales jorge)CARRENO J 121 5.00    
6  BRON AND THE BROW Oct09 Sep30 Jul04 May08 Mar02 (lavanway da)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 4.00 27% 2.60    
7  MR. WILLPOWER Sep25 Sep04 Jun19 May28 May06 (chambers mi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00    
8  IMISSBAYMEADOWS Sep09 Aug27 Jul02 Jun11   (simpson shanno)HENRY WESLEY 124 20.00 5% 18.60    
9  MINDSHARE         (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
 
TUP-5   11/04/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET HONOR Sep15 Aug31 Jul30 Jul17 Jul03 (he)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 5.00 34% 1.90    
2  BIG NEWS COMING Oct06 Sep14 Aug03 Jul13 Mar22 (eidschun greg)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00    
3  ALL NATIVE Sep07 Aug24 Aug14 Jun29 Jun12 (rarick wade)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 17% 4.90    
4  LADY PHYLLIS Sep29 Aug28 Jul30 Jul13 May28 (sanderson b)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 ★    
5  PIPER ROSE Oct24 Aug31 Jun18 Jun04 May21 (woolley bennie )WADE LYNDIE 124 6.00 5% 18.40    
6  TIZ TENACIOUS Sep19 Aug13 Aug01 Jul16 May03 (leon priscill)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00    
7  LILA'S LUCKY LADY Sep19 Sep12 Sep03 Aug01 Jul18 (villamar candela)MAWING A 124 8.00 11% 7.90    
8  SUPERSTAR BEA Sep14 Aug28 Aug11 Aug03 Jul09 (silva rodrigu)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00    
 
TUP-6   11/04/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELEMENTAL Sep07 Aug18 Aug04 Jun11 Apr10 (perkinson cc)ZUNINO L 122 8.00    
2  J T'S LA NENA Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 Jul16 Jun27 (torres-casas )LARA EZEQUIEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  PALACE STAR Sep19 Sep03 Aug22 Jul18 Jun25 (perkins france)HENRY WESLEY 122 20.00    
4  DAZZLING MIST Sep19 Sep03 Aug15 Jul23 Jul11 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 3.50 10% 8.70    
5  SALLY STANFORD Oct10 Sep11       (martinez es)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 4.50    
6  DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER Sep19 Sep03 Aug22 Aug08 Jun27 (kereluk edward)LULL E 122 5.00 ★    
7  SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI Oct23 Aug30 Aug07 Jul17 Jul03 (valerio raymond)CORBETT W 122 8.00    
8  DATQUICKCAT Sep23 Sep04 Aug26 Jun25 May14 (lavanway da)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 20.00    
SCR  MISS AGGIE BLING Sep08 Aug21 Jul03 May14 May01 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
10  COLLECTING STARS Sep17 Sep03 Aug13 Aug05 Jul10 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 6.00 29% 2.50    
 
TUP-7   11/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAMBLIN' MAN Sep19 Aug20 Jul23 Jun25 Apr21 (owens kory)VERGARA P 124 8.00    
2  PAPA'S GOLDEN BOY Sep18 Aug14 Jul24 Jun26 May28 (potts an)CRUZ M 124 3.50 26% 2.80    
3  PERFECT DUDE Aug13 Jul09 Jun15 May06 Apr06 (belvoir vann)LARA EZEQUIEL 120 20.00    
4  RES IPSA LOQUITUR Sep05 Aug20 Aug06 Apr21 Apr12 (campo stacy)BARBER R 117 30.00    
5  RONAMO Sep19 Sep05 Jul09 Jun27 May03 (barraza rafa)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 15.00    
6  COLLUSIONIST Oct04 Sep04 Aug21 Jul24 Jul04 (martinez a)CORBETT W 124 12.00    
7  MINISTER OF SOUL Sep17 Aug27 Aug20 Aug07 Jul08 (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 124 6.00 36% 1.80    
8  TRUTH SEEKER Jul08 Jun26 May20 Apr17 Mar19 (barraza s)MAWING A 122 12.00    
9  TIGER DAD Aug27 Jul10 Jun23 May25 May04 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 ★    
10  TONY'S TAPIT Sep17 Aug27 Jul27 Jun23 Jun04 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00 16% 5.40    
11  EXXEL Sep17 Aug17 Aug01 Jun22 Jun09 (lund valorie)WADE LYNDIE 121 10.00    
12  CANADIAN PRIDE Oct15 Apr29 Mar05 Feb04   (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-8   11/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALBANY FRONT Sep17 Aug22 Aug13 Aug06 Jul18 (gutierrez jua)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  J T'S A. T. M. Sep17 Aug26 Jul30 Jan09   (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GONE SOMEWHERE Oct14 Oct08 Aug29 Aug06 Jul04 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 10.00    
4  LIL LATIGO Oct10 Aug14 Jul31 Jul18 Jul09 (lavanway da)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 20.00    
5  PARLEY STREET Jul30 Jul18 Jul04 Jun25 May02 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 49% 1.10    
6  BENNYANDTHECHICKS Oct08 Sep18 Sep04 Aug06 Jul23 (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 124 20.00    
7  THE PUBLIC HALO Sep05 Aug22 Aug08 Jul09 May02 (kenney dan)VERGARA P 124 5.00 11% 8.20    
8  TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT Sep03 Aug13 Jul23 Jul02 Jun17 (lucarelli fran)DEONAUTH P 124 12.00    
9  PASSED BY PAUL Oct01 Sep14 Sep03 Aug14 Aug03 (hernandez m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 6% 15.20    
10  CAUSE AND EFFECT Sep17 Sep10 Aug29 Aug06 Jul18 (wheeler tra)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
11  BLUE SKYE JADE Sep28 Sep14 Aug13 Jul09 Jun26 (he)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 6.00    
12  UNCLE FLOYD Sep12 Aug29 Jul04 Mar27 Mar19 (williams dewey)LULL E 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.