Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - October 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   10/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MACHO HONCHO         (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 15% 5.80    
2  EASTON E Aug29         (cruz jesu)RODRIGUEZ R 120 15.00    
3  ROUND ROBIN         (hendriks j)ROSE J 120 6.00 15% 5.80    
4  SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) Oct07 Sep15 Jun11 May07   (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A null      
5  KEITHSENDSHELLOOOO Sep24 Aug22 Jul26 Jul09 Jun15 (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 120 0.80 45% 1.20    
6  SECRET ADDICTION Oct06 Sep03       (catalano l)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 4.50 ★    
 
PEN-2   10/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 2 ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROBRO CORMAN Sep15 Jul28       (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 120 1.80 64% 0.60    
2  MR. JEKYLL Oct07 Sep06 Aug22 Aug01   (geist w)BAKER J 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  DRAGON RUN Oct07 Aug23 Aug01 Jul06   (boniface ke)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00 ★    
4  MOTOR Sep04 Jul22       (cooney s)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
5  FOOLS FAREWELL Sep05 Aug29 Aug13 Jul02   (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 120 5.00 ★    
6  SMART AND FAST Oct07 Sep18 Sep04 Jul28 Jul01 (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 113 2.00 12% 7.50    
 
PEN-3   10/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNPUBLISHED Sep11 Jul03 Jun09 May14 Apr17 (barboza victor)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00    
2  DIAMOND SETTER Oct12 Sep15 Aug25 Aug11 Jul14 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 30.00 12% 7.50    
3  HERE WEGO Oct12 Sep15 Aug19 Jun29 Jun18 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
4  WHO YOU SAY I AM Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 Jun23   (smith r)CORA D 124 10.00    
5  KADENS COURAGE Oct03 Sep05 Aug11 Jun06 May02 (arce josue)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 3.00    
6  MEROCKETMAN Oct12 Aug25 Aug11 Jul14 Jun22 (shuchman all)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 10.00 ★    
7  TORAZO Oct05 Sep15 Sep01 Aug04 Jul07 (ecker danielle)LLOYD W 124 15.00 23% 3.30    
8  STRUM M B         (martinez jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-4   10/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIPPA Oct11 Aug26 Jun15 Jun01   (martin jr)AGUILAR M 121 10.00 ★    
2  JUANDERFUL JUANITA Sep23         (crook-demas)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 1.20 49% 1.00    
3  SHUTUP AND HANG ON         (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
4  FUELED UP Aug31 Jul27 Jul08 Jun16 May20 (moreno-ba)VARGAS L 123 3.50 ★    
5  MISS JUNEBUG Oct11 Mar29 Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 124 4.00 ★    
 
PEN-5   10/28/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LAUGH IT OFF Oct05 Sep14 Aug10 Jul15 Jun23 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 1.80 8% 11.10    
2  WHATRUWAITINGFOR Oct04 Sep23 Aug12 Jul19 Jul05 (johnston rob)LEAHEY HANNAH 116 2.00 ★    
3  SWITCHRATTLENROLL Sep08 Aug31 Jul28 Mar02 Feb16 (zalalas m)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
4  RIDGELYSREDHOT Oct05 Sep16 Aug11 Jul06 Jun03 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  RAISETONEW HEIGHTS Sep15 Aug24 Aug05 Jun15 May26 (fields kevin)CORA D 120 2.50 64% 0.60    
6  ARCTICA Oct05 Sep16 Aug26 Aug10 Jul20 (flores wa)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   10/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE SUCCESS Oct11 Sep14 Aug25 Jul13 Jul01 (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 119 6.00 19% 4.30    
2  FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY Oct21 Oct07 Sep16 Aug17 Jul28 (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 10.00    
3  GALLINIPPER Oct07 Sep02 Jul29 Jul01 Jun22 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 6.00 9% 10.30    
4  UNCLE YUDI Oct11 Sep22 Sep02 Jul22 Jul07 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 3.00 ★    
SCR  SIR REX Oct18 Sep16       (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 119 2.50 45% 1.20    
6  LOUIE'S LAW Sep21 Aug23 Jul20 Jun28 May23 (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 ★    
 
PEN-7   10/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADOW BOAT Sep01 Aug10 Jul07 Jun17 May25 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00    
2  MY DEVILS CHILD Oct12 Sep15 Aug24 Aug04 Jun10 (moreno-ba)VARGAS L 120 2.00 41% 1.40    
3  DEFIBRILLATOR Oct12 Sep27 Sep05 Aug01 Jul12 (arce josue)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 8.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  WEEKEND IN COURT Oct19 Oct11 Sep14 Sep06 Aug01 (bouchard lesl)OCASIO M 120 6.00 ★    
5  CRYPT Oct07 Sep07 Aug12 Jul28 Jun23 (beattie todd )LEAHEY HANNAH 113 4.00 15% 5.70    
6  COMPOUND IT Oct03 Sep20 Sep02 Aug19 Jul23 (ramirez silvi)RIVERA D 120 1.80 ★    
 
PEN-8   10/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WICKED IRISHMAN Oct14 Sep16 Aug31 Aug05 Jul01 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 5.00 ★    
SCR  MEAN JOE BRO Oct07 Sep22 Jul01 May22 Apr30 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50 34% 1.90    
3  UNDER FIRE Oct15 Jun17 May28 Apr08 Mar06 (eppler m)RODRIGUEZ A 115 3.50 13% 6.70    
4  HE CAME TRUE Oct07 Sep15 Aug25 Aug17 Jul20 (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 121 8.00    
5  MONEYONTHELINE Oct07 Sep08 Aug18 Aug04 Jul15 (cooper stacey)CORA D 121 3.00 17% 4.70    
SCR  HOFBURG PALACE Oct04 Sep12 Aug22 Jul25 Jul11 (johnston ro)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 4.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.