Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Thursday - October 06, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   10/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLAG TO FLAG Aug10 Jul16       (haran john)ACHARD ALEX 117 15.00    
PACHANGA LOCA Sep07 Jun02 Apr22     (gutierrez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 117 2.00 30% 2.30    
CARLOTUK Sep07 Aug23       (gutierrez f)PETERSON FERRIN 117 4.00 11% 8.10    
SASSY AND BOLD Jul29         (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 117 4.50 26% 2.80    
FLAMAND Aug30 Aug06       (lopez elias)MOJICA O 117 5.00 12% 7.40    
BLUSHING BELLE Sep21 Aug30       (love alan)RAMOS D 119 8.00    
WORLD UNITE Sep07         (elliott michelle)PARKER L 119 12.00    
WHAT CAN I SAY Aug06 Jul04       (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 117 10.00    
 
IND-2   10/06/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVEN MONEY Sep20 Sep12 Aug30 Aug08 Jul19 (egbert james)HISBY RONALD 122 30.00    
COWBOYS CAN'T CRY Sep20 Aug15 Aug03 Jul04 Jun11 (holden j)HOLMES GAGE 112 20.00    
BULLBRIAR Sep22 Sep01 Aug15 Jul21 Jun30 (guida antho)STERRITT KENDAL 122 5.00    
AMAZING JUSTICE Aug29 Aug03 Jul14 Jun07   (short ricky )RAMOS D 122 8.00    
BOLD BIZNESS Sep20 Aug29 Aug15 Jun29 May16 (duran antoni)MORALES JOSHUA 118 12.00    
SHOTGUN JOE Sep27 Aug30 Aug18 Jul21 May11 (matthews randy)PRESCOTT R 119 2.00 26% 2.90    
ROOKWOOD Aug15 Aug03 Jul07 Jun21 Jun01 (langemeier jo)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
GUARD Sep22 Jun07 May26 Mar20 Mar12 (lauer mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 11% 8.20    
 
IND-3   10/06/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AZAMANA EMPIRE Sep08 Aug18 Jul03     (meah m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 15.00    
VIEWERS DISCRETION Sep08 Aug09 Jun25 May28   (gorder kellyn)PARKER L 121 12.00    
QUICK ROMANCE Aug20 Jul30 Jun17     (hartman chris)ACHARD ALEX 121 8.00    
MACADAMIA (FR) Sep03 Jun22 May15 Apr15   (lobo h)RAMOS D 121 4.00 18% 4.50    
FORGOTTEN REALM Sep06 Aug04 Jun22 Apr27 Mar26 (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 4.50 39% 1.60    
JACKIE'S LOVE Aug29 Jul14 Jun30     (olivo k)GILLIGAN JACK 121 20.00    
STRIKINGLY Sep03 Aug01 Jun04     (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 121 3.50 19% 4.20    
GUN MOLL Sep17 Aug14 Jul17     (hamilton sa)PETERSON FERRIN 121 5.00    
APPLE EVER AFTER         (leitch dan)CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00    
10  CAUSE CELEBRE Sep14 Aug27 Jul16     (mar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 6.00    
 
IND-4   10/06/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANDIDO DE AMORES Sep26 Sep14 Aug25 Aug17 Aug02 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 122 3.00 12% 7.50    
AZZARO STEEL Sep14 Aug25 Jul18 Jun23 May30 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.00 34% 2.00    
TUFFER THAN TUFF Jun23 May12 Apr27     (garcia )DE CRUZ 119 8.00    
HE'S A WARRIOR Sep14 Aug25 Aug02 May07 Jan19 (phillips )BERMUDEZ E 119 12.00    
GOOD SUGAR Sep08 Aug25 Aug02 Jul18 Jun23 (haran john)RAMOS D 119 20.00    
MANUELITO Sep14 Aug25 Aug18 Aug02 Jun27 (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 119 15.00 5% 17.60    
CLASSIC MAX Sep14 Aug22 Aug03 Jul19 Jun29 (richardville tia)PRESCOTT R 118 20.00    
ORO AZTECA Aug18 Aug04 Jul18 Jun22 Jun16 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 13% 6.80    
CIELO AZUL Sep26 Sep09 Jun06 May06 Mar19 (duran antonio)PARKER L 122 5.00 12% 7.40    
 
IND-5   10/06/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ TACT TOE Aug19 Jun20 May13 Mar18   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 3.50 6% 14.60    
THOUGHT Aug27 Jul24 Jul01 Jun09 May21 (asmussen steven )PARKER L 118 5.00    
SOLID COUNTRY GOLD Sep14 Aug17 Jul11 Jun08   (claire alexi)RAMOS D 118 6.00 39% 1.50    
CREATIVE MIRACLE Sep11 Aug17 Jul15 May21   (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 4.00 15% 5.80    
SMARTY ALEX Sep28 Aug24 Jul11 Jun20 May30 (patrick gary)PEREZ E 124 6.00 7% 13.80    
ASSIDUOUSLY (GB) Aug25 Aug10 Jul15 Jun09 May12 (caramori eduard)ACHARD ALEX 122 3.00    
SCR  KILLER BEE Sep14 Aug31 Jul21 Jun21 May31 (wisner j)MOJICA O 122 8.00    
UNIFIED DREAMS Sep06 Aug02 Jun26 May28 Apr29 (blair j)DE CRUZ 118 12.00    
STOP THE SPREAD Aug25 Jul21 Jun13 May28   (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 4.50    
10  BIG PAPER Sep15 Sep06 Aug24 Aug09 Jul20 (richardvi)BERMUDEZ E 124 12.00 5% 18.80    
SCR  TITLE SHOT Sep14 Aug20 Jul16     (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 8.00    
 
IND-6   10/06/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE DRUNK Aug24 Aug10 Jul13 Jun22 May18 (matthews randy)PRESCOTT R 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
MISS LUV SHACK Sep08 Sep01 Aug03 Jul14 Jun28 (glyshaw tim)PARKER L 120 4.00    
TALKTOMEJUSTICE Sep20 Sep01 Aug04 Jul13 Jun27 (davis d)HOLMES GAGE 115 6.00 7% 14.10    
GIVEUSTHISDAY Sep20 Aug10 Aug03 Jul07 Jun09 (griffin roge)RAMOS D 119 30.00    
FLIRTY DANCER Aug24 Aug10 Jul20 Jul09 Jun20 (davis d)PEREZ E 115 10.00    
TIMELESS GLORY Aug30 Aug16 Jun27 May26   (granitz)DE CRUZ 122 6.00    
DASH OF SIMPLICITY Sep20 Aug24 Aug08 Jul19 Jun30 (richardville tiann)MOJICA O 122 5.00    
D D SEVEN THIRTY Sep20 May03       (paquette raymo)RIVERA BRYAN 115 20.00 6% 16.30    
IMAGE RUN Sep01 Aug04 Jul13 Jun28   (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 4.50 29% 2.40    
 
IND-7   10/06/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOX OFFICE WARRIOR Sep12         (dyer john)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
C F V BULLET Sep20 Aug30 Aug08 Apr19 Feb11 (gonzalez lil)RAMOS D 122 10.00    
DOUBLE DEALER Sep22 Aug05 Jul03     (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00    
GO BALI GO Sep13 Aug16 Aug04     (nance jonathan)PARKER L 122 5.00 7% 12.90    
DOM GERVASIO Aug17 Jul19 Apr23     (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 4.50    
SELF RULE Sep21 Sep12 May16     (preston randy)LEZCANO ABEL 122 30.00    
STROKE OF MIDNIGHT Aug21         (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 122 3.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  LAWMAKER Aug24 Jul23 Jun02 Apr23   (manley steve)PRESCOTT R 122 8.00    
BUEHLER'S DAY OFF Sep28 Aug28 Jul10 Jun20   (fosdick)DE CRUZ 122 8.00 18% 4.50    
10  HE'S A ANGEL Sep10 Aug21 Jul24 Jul09   (macias ado)VILLASANA CARLOS 122 3.00    
 
IND-8   10/06/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 2 ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CABOOSE         (cluley dennis)RIVERA BRYAN 113 12.00    
KAYS HEAVENLY STAR         (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 117 12.00    
JENNY'S BEIGNET Aug23 Aug04 Jul06 Jun22   (leonard i)PARKER L 120 5.00 30% 2.30    
ADDIE'S PEACHES Aug23         (cook brian)REYES ANGEL 120 30.00    
SAN RONIN Sep26 Sep13       (duran)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 15.00    
CORONA GRANDE         (garcia )DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
C. J'S STORM Sep13         (haran joh)BERMUDEZ E 120 8.00 19% 4.10    
HE B READY         (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 120 10.00    
OUTSTANDINGJUSTICE Sep13 Aug23 Jul21 Jul06   (davis d)PEREZ E 120 3.00 24% 3.30    
10  ROCK THE RED         (gorham rober)MORALES JOSHUA 120 10.00    
11  MYSTERY IMPACT Sep26 Sep13 Aug23     (duran antonio)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00    
12  BUTCH'S BEST         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 7% 14.40    
SCR  BENITO Aug23 Aug04       (elliott michelle)PRESCOTT R 120 20.00    
SCR  ALL READY Aug23 Aug04       (lau)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.