Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Friday - September 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   09/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY SWEET SUMMER         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 39% 1.50    
2  MA MI JO DREAMS         (schosberg richa)CANCEL ERIC 119 10.00    
SCR  MY GORGEOUS         (reynolds pa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
4  DARKNSTORMY Jul20         (rodriguez )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 ★    
5  BOY IS SHE A LADY         (hamm tim)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 4.50 7% 13.10    
6  MIM         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00    
7  LAVON         (coffey m)DAVIS A 119 20.00    
8  MAGGIE T Aug04         (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 25% 2.90    
9  YOU'RE MY GIRL         (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 7% 13.10    
10  NICE 'N SPICY Aug12         (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00    
 
SAR-2   09/02/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LET'S BE CLEAR Jul31 Jun12 May19 Apr02 Mar05 (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00 ★    
2  HIT THE WOAH Aug04 Feb19 Jan23     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 123 2.50 7% 13.70    
3  MAIL ORDER Aug04 Jul02 Jun04     (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.40 44% 1.30    
4  MON PETIT CHOU Aug04 Jun10 May21 Mar03 Jan29 (abreu ferna)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 20.00    
5  MISCHIEVOUS DREAM Jul08 May27 Apr23     (clement ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00    
6  ELLANATION Jul30 Jul03 Jun04     (trombetta mich)ORTIZ L 121 5.00 ★    
SCR  BAY JEWEL Aug11 Jul21 Jun26 Jun12   (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 15.00    
SCR  HALO CITY Aug14 Jun23 May27 May06 Mar31 (lynch natalia)RIDER TBA 121 6.00    
SCR  PIECE OF MY HEART Aug07 Jul20 May20 Apr22 Feb24 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 0.80 23% 3.30    
 
SAR-3   09/02/2022 7260ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD MEDICINE Jul24 Jun18 May20 Apr23   (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50 17% 5.00    
2  MOST WANTED MAN Aug10 Jun24 Feb11     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 32% 2.20    
3  TIZ A GIANT Aug10 Jul14 Jun28 May17 Mar12 (trombetta mic)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.00 30% 2.40    
4  OUTPERFORM Aug19 Jul08       (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 120 3.50 ★    
5  GREG'S HONOR Aug13 Jul10 May20 Apr09 Mar04 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00 ★    
6  FUNDING GAP (IRE) Jul24         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
 
SAR-4   09/02/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAILIN JOSIE Jul15 Jun17 May20 Apr08 Feb27 (jerkens stev)HARKIE K 121 15.00 6% 15.20    
2  THINKING IT OVER Jul15 May28 Apr30 Mar18 Feb21 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
3  NO CHALK Aug15 Jul04 May27 May02 Mar25 (iorio jr)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
4  KHALI MAGIC Aug06 Jul15 Jun17 May20 Apr08 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
5  BUSTIN BAY Aug18 Jul15 Jun19 May13 Apr23 (arriaga antoni)ORTIZ L 123 3.00    
6  DIVA BANKER Jul03 May22 Apr03 Feb20 Jan02 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00 8% 11.50    
7  IMPAZIBLE DONNA Aug06 Apr23 Mar25 Feb27 Jan08 (levine bruce)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00    
8  MOSIENKO Aug06 Jul15 Jun17 Jun04 Apr29 (lalman dennis)SAEZ LUIS 125 3.50 ★    
 
SAR-5   09/02/2022 6270ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EYLARA (IRE) Jul10 Jun17 Apr09     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
2  EXCEPT TEMPTATION Aug05 Jun17 May12 Apr13 Feb26 (albertrani thom)CARMOUCHE K 124 30.00    
3  ENSEMBLE (IRE) Jul30 Apr23       (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00    
4  CONTROL FUNCTION Jan16         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 10% 9.20    
5  BALLYMORE STAR (IRE) Aug05 May30 May08 Apr23   (sweezey k)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 12.00    
6  CLASSIC COLORS Jul10 May22       (clement christ)ORTIZ L 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
7  TRANSIENT (GB)         (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00 ★    
8  SANTA GIULIA (FR) Jul14         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
9  BLUE TIMES Mar25 Jan16       (gargan dann)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 10.00 13% 6.70    
10  LISHEEN Jul15         (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 124 12.00    
11  HAIL TO Aug05 Jul10 May20 Apr02   (albertrani tho)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00    
 
SAR-6   09/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JSK BUCEPHALUS         (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
2  STONEWALL STAR         (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 ★    
3  SPINNING COLORS Aug10         (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 ★    
4  SWEET LIBERTY Jun25         (quick pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00    
5  BANTERRA Jul27         (asmussen steve)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  DREAMING OF CARLI         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
7  SUPER SLIDE         (baker charlton)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
8  CRIMSON PRINCESS         (englehart j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 ★    
9  PRETTY MISS KEENS         (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
10  SECURITY CODE Aug10         (serpe phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
SAR-7   09/02/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEIGHT'SPERCOMETE May04 Mar24 Feb28 Jan23   (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00    
SCR  JAY'STALKER Aug05         (levine bruce)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
2  HE'S GOT IT Aug17 Jul09 Jun18 Apr23 Mar18 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
3  FIELDSTONE Aug07 Jun09 Apr21     (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 15% 5.70    
4  SUPER WICKED CHARM Aug10 Jul30 Jul02 Jun18 May28 (jones eduard)SAMUEL L 122 20.00    
5  TOPIC CHANGER Jul23 Jun30 May20     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00 ★    
6  BLESS BLESS Aug07 Jun18 May20     (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00    
7  GINNSU WARRIOR Aug03 Jul28 Jun25 May27 Apr16 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00    
8  DREAM OF A DAY Aug07 Jul10 May20 Mar26 Feb05 (tagg barcla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 ★    
9  MOMENTOUS Aug05 Jul09 May29 Apr23 Feb19 (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
10  VIVE BIEN Jun17 Apr21 Mar19 Feb12   (joseph saff)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
SCR  FAST GORDON Aug25         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00    
SCR  STOP THE SPREAD Aug25 Jul21 Jun13 May28   (caramori)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 12.00    
SCR  MILANO Aug25 Jun12 May01     (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TONAL IMPACT Aug10 Jul15 May29 Apr15 Mar11 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00    
SCR  RIA'S ANGEL Jul22 Jun17 May01 Apr02 Mar19 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 3.50 57% 0.80    
 
SAR-8   09/02/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG PACKAGE Jul21 Jun23 Apr30     (donk david)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 ★    
2  THE CRITICAL WAY Jul23 Jun19 May22     (delgado h)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 13% 6.70    
3  PROVEN STRATEGIES Jul23 Jun19 Apr30 Mar13 Jan15 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 ★    
4  DANCING BUCK Jul29 Jun16 May05 Apr07   (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
5  THIN WHITE DUKE Aug05 Jul28 Jul02 Jun03 May06 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 5.00    
6  VOODOO ZIP Jul02 May29 Apr22     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50 26% 2.90    
7  FAUCI Jul29 Jul04 Jun09 May12   (antonacci p)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00    
SCR  MAXWELL ESQUIRE Aug04 Jul04 May29 May12   (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
SCR  WENDELL FONG Jul20 Jun04 Apr26 Mar29 Feb16 (lynch natalia)RIDER TBA 118 3.00    
SCR  WUDDA U THINK NOW Aug12 Jun21 Feb19 Jan16   (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 1.20 37% 1.70    
 
SAR-9   09/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED HALO Jul02 Jun12 May06 Mar26 Feb19 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 21% 3.80    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of JUST WICKED by TAPIT)
2  HOT PEPPERS Aug06 Jul09 Jun12 Mar27 Feb20 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
  (by KHOZAN out of FRIENDS PRO by FRIENDS LAKE)
3  LADY SCARLET Jul15 May20 Apr10 Mar19 Feb26 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 122 12.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of EXCLUDE (GB) by INCLUDE)
4  MISCHIEVOUS DIANE Jul20 Jun10       (handal raymon)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of LIONESS LAHR by LION HEART)
SCR  BANK ON ANNA Aug12 Jul23 May20 Apr24 Mar18 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of YOUNG ANNA LEE by POSSE)
6  ANGITUDE Jul14 Jun17 May06     (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 ★    
  (by VIOLENCE out of PATTITUDE by CITY ZIP)
7  STERLING SILVER Aug06 Jul09 May30 Apr08 Mar05 (albertrani )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00    
  (by CUPID out of SHEET HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
8  HALF IS ENOUGH Aug11 Jul09 Jun04 May01   (trombetta mich)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00    
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of MOREA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  SMASH TICKET Jul20 May30       (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 16% 5.30    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of HENNESEY SMASH by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
10  UNION LAKE Jul23 Jun05       (terranova joh)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 ★    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of DONNATALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
SAR-10   09/02/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NYSHARES         (rice linda)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00    
2  EXCURSIONNISTE Aug06 Jul09 May21 Apr24 Feb21 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  PARTY NEWS         (maver ed)DAVIS A 120 30.00    
4  MEDIA SENSATION Jul29 Jul10 Jun19 May30 Apr24 (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 ★    
5  BERNARDINO Jul15 May30       (serpe m)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.50    
6  CONQUIST Aug06 Jun30 Jun09     (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
7  VALENTINO'S HERE         (brown r)LUZZI J 120 20.00    
8  CURLIN'S WISDOM Aug06 Jul28 May29 May01 Apr07 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
9  DREAMPOINT Aug06 Jul09 Jun10 May21 Apr24 (sciacca gary)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 8% 11.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.