Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - July 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/2)-(7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/2)-(1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2)-(1/4/3)-(6/5/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-2   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/2/3)-(1/4/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(6/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(6/5/3)-(1/3/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-3   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(1/3/6)-(5/4/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-4   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(5/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(5/4/7)-(3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-5   WIN (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/7)-(5/4/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/7)-(5/4/3/7)-(5/4/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/7)-(3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7)-(3/6)-(5/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(5/1/6)-(2/8/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(2/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (2/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/4)-(2/8/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/8/4)-(2/8/1/4)-(2/8/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KANTBACKOFF Jul01 Jun03 May20 Apr22 Apr12 (bailey ric)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
2  GRACIE DANCE Jul01 Jun16 May26 Apr28 Apr01 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  TIZ INDEPENDENCE Jun24 Jun11 May03 Mar27 Mar13 (skerrett jeff)TOLEDO S 119 5.00    
4  BEAUTIFUL MANDATE Jun23 Jun03 May17 Apr28 Apr08 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 121 4.00    
5  MISS ATHLETIC Jun18 May26 Apr28 Apr01 Mar25 (higham)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  FIONA Jun18 May26 Sep05 Aug15 Jul10 (jackson jame)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 3.50    
7  BANK BUSTER Dec03 Nov05 Oct19 Sep19 Jun22 (morales saul )BRACHO A 119 2.00 74% 0.30    
 
TDN-2   07/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWAYBACK MOBIL Jun21 May28 May07 Mar18 Jan09 (juarez-men)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 37% 1.70    
2  RED CHIPS Jun21 Jun04 May14 Apr29 Mar26 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 121 4.50 ★    
3  HIS ROYAL HIGHNESS Jun21 May28 Apr30 Apr10 Mar12 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SOULLESS Jun25 May20 Apr30 Apr10 Mar13 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.00 20% 4.00    
5  MAMAS HOME COOKING Jun12 May20 Dec09 Nov21 Oct23 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.00    
6  SADIE'S SILVER KID Jun17 May29 May12 Jul15 Jun26 (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 8.00    
7  TEMPERED DREAM Jun21 May28 May07 Oct26 Oct11 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00    
 
TDN-3   07/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WELLOILEDCAT Jun07 May14 Apr24 Mar13 Feb27 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00    
2  VAMONOS PIACENTE Jun07 May14 Apr28 Jul24 Jun17 (casalinova)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.50    
3  FUNNYSTASTIC Jun18 May19 Apr30 Apr12 Mar24 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 115 12.00 12% 7.30    
4  WINDY VALLEY Jun18 May19 May06 Apr12 Apr03 (winters m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 3.50    
5  RAZZBERRY RIPPLE Jun24 May06 Mar18 Feb28 Feb04 (gorham m)RIVERA R 115 2.00 16% 5.20    
6  ROLLIN FREEDOM Jun24 Jun07 Oct08 Sep23 Aug28 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 1.80 42% 1.40    
 
TDN-4   07/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNAWAY POWER Jun24 May17 Apr30 Mar30 Mar13 (cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.80 55% 0.80    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of RUNAWAY'S VISION by POLLARD'S VISION)
2  MY VALENTINO Dec16 Nov14 Oct29     (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00    
  (by ENTICED out of PYRITE STORM by FORMAL DINNER)
3  WILLIE T         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 22% 3.50    
  (by ACCELERATE out of PRESELI'S PULPIT by PULPIT)
4  TAKE DICTATION Aug28 Aug10       (flores)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of FOLLOW BOURBON by NOT BOURBON)
5  AFFAIR TO REMEMBER Jun24 Jun10 May17 Jun12 May30 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 123 4.50    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PERIPHERIQUE by CROSS TRAFFIC)
6  BALKI BARTOKOMOUS Jun24 May17       (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MITOLE out of TOUCH OF EMMA by MIDAS TOUCH (GB))
 
TDN-5   07/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMARTASSET Apr23 Apr11 Mar24 Jan25 Dec05 (cline c)RIVERA R 119 6.00    
2  ELECTRIC MELODY Jun25 May19 Dec27 Oct26   (fadlovich m)NUNEZ Y 115 10.00    
3  SMALL TOWN GOSSIP Jun02 May12 Sep16 Jul22 Jul04 (jackson jame)MEJIAS RICARDO 115 4.50 ★    
4  SINGER May29         (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 117 2.50 31% 2.20    
5  ILLUMINATE (IRE) Jun21 Sep16 Aug28     (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 34% 1.90    
6  HOLIDAYS ARMY BRAT Jun25 Jun03 Apr30 Mar24 Mar03 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 5.00    
7  RAPIDA Jun25 Jun07 Mar05 Feb26 Feb10 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-6   07/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT WONDER Jun26 Jun06 Oct11 Oct03 Aug29 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 1.80 ★    
SCR  R THREE ANGELS Jun09 May23 May08 Apr07 Mar27 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00    
3  MIESHA Jun03 Apr28 Mar30 Mar21 Feb16 (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 3.00 23% 3.40    
4  TOASTMASTER Jun23 Jun03 May19 Apr30 Apr12 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50    
5  BELLE BOTTOMS Apr28 Mar20 Mar05 Dec30 Dec11 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.00    
6  NEECHI Jun26 Jun09 Apr07 Jun27 Jun07 (gorham r)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 7% 13.30    
 
TDN-7   07/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER Jun24 Jun02 May17 May03 Apr02 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 123 4.50 9% 10.20    
2  DREAMINGABOUTTIME Jun24 Jun12 May14 Dec09 Nov25 (me)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 8.00    
3  PROSECUTOR Jun26 Jun10 May28 Nov14 Sep17 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 119 4.00    
SCR  CRAFTED Jun27 Mar11 Feb03 Jan16 Dec02 (short thoma)FIGUEROA SERGIO 119 3.50    
5  GENERAL MATHIS Jul01 Jan04 Dec26 Nov21 Sep27 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 65% 0.50    
6  PRIVATE MOMENT Jun23 May26 Nov21 Nov06 Oct26 (hurley mar)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  BLUE NOMORE Jun23 Dec17 Oct23 Oct03 Aug19 (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 119 12.00    
 
TDN-8   07/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VERTISALUTE Jun24 Jun07 May12 Apr30 Aug07 (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 4.00 ★    
2  FORTHELOVEOFBONNIE Jul19 Jul01       (fadlovich m)NUNEZ Y 115 3.50 46% 1.20    
3  GABADOST Jun21 May27 May08 Dec09 Nov07 (fadlovich )WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 15.00    
4  PRIDE AND ATTITUDE Jun24 May29 Jun28 Jun12 May29 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPECIAL COLLETTE Apr09 Mar20       (pappada jul)SEVERINO VICTOR 115 6.00    
6  COME ON ARLENE Jun24 May29 May12 Oct10 Sep20 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 8.00    
7  QUEEN KITTY Jun24 Jun07 May22 May08 Apr21 (fl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 4.50    
8  QUICK RENDEZVOUS Jun02 May05 Apr09 Mar30 Mar18 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 30% 2.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.