Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - July 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2/4)-(6/5/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(5/3/1)-(1/2/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-2   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/8/1)-(5/3/8/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(1/2/5)-(4/3/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-3   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(4/3/2)-(1/3/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(1/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(1/3/6/5)-(1/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (1/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/6/5)-(1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/5)-(1/4/6)-(1/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/2/6)-(1/4/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(1/6/3)-(2/5/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-7   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/8/4)-(2/5/8/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARSH TRUTH Jun16 May14 Oct08 Sep18 Aug28 (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 15.00    
2  BUCKEYE TAKEOVER Jun02 May17 May06 Apr04 Mar13 (musarro jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 8.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  DRILIN' FOR GEMS Jun16 May14 Apr24 Oct03 Sep16 (johnson l)AVILES YAN 119 15.00    
4  A PRAYER FOR KIDS May27 Apr29 Nov07 Oct08 Sep18 (re)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 ★    
5  IRONCLAD ALIBI May27 Apr29 Apr02 Mar18 Mar03 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 3.00 24% 3.20    
6  ROLLIN MY WAY Jun16 May14 Apr29 Apr08 Mar24 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00 25% 3.00    
7  PRESSLEY RIDGE May27 Apr23 Dec27 May30 Apr24 (pappada a)PEREZ A 119 4.50    
8  OHIO STRONG Jul01 Jun16 May14 Nov19 Nov07 (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 8.00    
 
TDN-2   07/09/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSS BEAR Jun18 May17 Mar27 Mar01 Feb06 (skerrett jeff)TOLEDO S 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  AULD LANGE SYNE Jun18 Jun09 May27 Nov26 Nov13 (sondej amy)VIGIL NOEL 119 3.00    
3  SWELTER Jun12 Oct10 Sep05 Aug13 Jul24 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 19% 4.20    
4  HAD RIGHT May29 May17 May06 Mar27 Mar01 (huffman can)NUNEZ Y 119 5.00    
5  STAR WEAVER Jun30 Jun11 May21 Apr26 Feb27 (sondej amy)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50 43% 1.30    
6  FIRST CITIZEN May26 May05 Apr21 Mar30 Mar13 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
SCR  IT'S FATE Jun29 Nov27 Nov06 Oct29 Oct10 (sweazey scott)BRACHO A 119 12.00    
8  LUCKY ANDY Jun18 May29 May05 Nov11 Oct14 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 ★    
 
TDN-3   07/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXIE'S MEMORY Jun21         (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 119 2.50 58% 0.70    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of DADDY SAID by FIVE STAR DAY)
2  PAULDING FLASH Jun22 Jun08       (pease harry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 6.00 10% 9.30    
  (by MADDY BIRD out of HOW MUCH DOWN by GHOSTZAPPER)
3  EL MEXICANO Jun12 Jun04 May14 Apr29 Mar26 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
  (by DA BIG HOSS out of FLASHY PEARL by FLASHY BULL)
SCR  COUPLE BEERS DEEP Jun03 May14 Apr29 Nov13   (morales s)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 12.00    
  (by QUICK CHANGE out of LATE LOVER by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
5  CASH COUNTIN         (er)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00 8% 12.20    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of FAB AUTUMN GIRL by COUNTRY BE GOLD)
SCR  BUMPER STICKER Jun03 May14 Apr29 Apr10 Mar12 (gorham r)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00    
  (by BIONDETTI out of OPIE by KOKAND)
7  LUCY'S FIRST SONG Jun21 May13       (langley joshu)TOLEDO S 123 15.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of EVERYBODYLUVSLUCY by DOMINUS)
8  I'M LUCKY BUCKY Jun24         (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of MANDALAY BEACH by LONHRO (AUS))
 
TDN-4   07/09/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL TIME STRUTIN Jun30 Jun03 Feb04 Jan13 Dec12 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 15.00    
2  GORMLEY GIRL Jun23 May13 Apr22 Mar24 Feb28 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  DIOSA CATRINA Jun18 May28 May13 Apr06 Mar14 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
4  ARMY KITTEN Jun18 May28 May13 Apr29 Apr08 (crumley jevon)BRACHO A 121 2.00 43% 1.30    
5  HEART LIGHT Jun18 May29 May19 Apr02 Mar11 (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 4.50    
6  CALENDULA Jun18 May19 Apr29 Apr06 Mar12 (lopez enrique )GONZALEZ A 123 3.00    
 
TDN-5   07/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUTH N SOUL Jun12 Apr29 Aug31 Jul27 Jul19 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 1.80 56% 0.80    
  (by INDY WIND out of SAYITRIGHT KAT by SURF CAT)
2  WANDALOU'S PRIDE Jun03 May14 Feb11 Jan28 Dec26 (vlaun )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of DEPUTY WANDA by WANDO)
3  RUN PANCITA Oct22 Oct07 Aug28     (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 13% 6.90    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of DAYLIGHT KATY by UNUSUAL HEAT)
4  LUCKY'S PRIZE Jun21 May20 Apr29 Dec08   (baird michael)AVILES YAN 123 6.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SARAH'S PRIZE by PURE PRIZE)
5  MUSIC MO Jun21 May08       (mendieta aleja)DIAZ I 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of MO MARGARITA by UNCLE MO)
6  AROUNDTHERIVERBEND Jun21 Apr29       (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 119 4.00 5% 17.80    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of SURELY DIMPLE by COLONEL JOHN)
7  SKUNK APE Apr29 Apr10 Mar26 Mar12 Jan28 (loudin-sm)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 15.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of QUEEN YELLENA by TOCCET)
8  MY FOR O ONE KAY Jun21 May14       (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of RED DREAD by FIVE STAR DAY)
 
TDN-6   07/09/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VECCHI Jun21 May28 May07 Oct23 Oct09 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 2.00 52% 0.90    
2  JOHN FITZGERALD Jun17 May07 Mar13 Mar03 Feb11 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 4.00 ★    
3  MARQUITOS M Jun21 May28 May20 Nov26 Nov11 (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 3.00    
4  REDDEN Jun17 May28 May06 Jul11 Jun11 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.50 12% 7.40    
5  MY HOMBRE Jun17 May19 Apr30 Apr05 Mar19 (juarez-mendoz)CEDILLO MAURO 121 8.00    
6  TAHLEQUAH JOE Jun17 May27 Oct03 Sep12 Aug22 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  JAC'S EMPIRE Jun17 May28 May07 Apr02 Mar18 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 115 12.00    
 
TDN-7   07/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUGIE D ORO Feb11 Jan13 Nov25 Oct26 Oct08 (ibarra marco)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 59% 0.70    
2  TURNING PAGES Jul10 Jun18 May23 Oct12 Sep11 (brown john)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 3.50    
3  MR LOOOCH Jun07 Nov25 Oct26 Oct10 Sep10 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  SPECIALIZED Jun16 May17 Mar31 Aug10 Jul16 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
5  RECKLESS L J Jun25 Jan29 Jan09 Dec18 Nov26 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 5.00    
6  STARTDFROMDABOTTOM Nov25 Oct26 Sep19 Aug17 Jul27 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.00 11% 8.40    
 
TDN-8   07/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FABULOUS CLOWN Jun23 Jun02 May12 Apr22 Oct29 (jackson jame)MEJIAS RICARDO 123 3.50    
2  CARMEN OHIO Jun07 May21 Dec18 Nov18 Oct29 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 119 2.50 29% 2.50    
3  OH EYE SEE Jun24 Mar12 Feb22 Dec07 Nov07 (tumblin andre)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00    
4  STATE OF GRACE Jun10 May21 Apr23 Apr07 Mar24 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  TWERK Jun18 Jun02 May12 Apr28 Apr09 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 4.50 20% 4.00    
6  ANGEL WINGS Jun18 May21 Apr28 Mar24 Feb05 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00    
SCR  BOSSY LADY Jul01 Jun18 May21 Apr22 Apr03 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 119 15.00    
8  GOODNESS SAKES Jun23 May27 May08 Apr23 Mar27 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 4.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.