Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - June 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (4/9/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/1/3)-(4/9/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/1/3)-(4/9/1/3)-(4/9/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/1/3)-(6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/9/1/3)-(6/7/3)-(1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CD-2   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/3)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3)-(1/3)-(3/9/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CD-3   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(3/9/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(3/9/1)-(3/5/1/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CD-4   WIN (3/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/9/1)-(3/9/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/9/1)-(3/9/1)-(3/9/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/9/1)-(3/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/9/1)-(3/5/1/2)-(1/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-5   WIN (3/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/2)-(3/5/9/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/2)-(3/5/9/1/2)-(3/5/9/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/5/1/2)-(1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/2)-(1/6/3)-(7/2/8/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-6   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(7/2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(7/2/8/3)-(1/6/9/7/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-7   WIN (7/2/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/8/3)-(7/2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/8/3)-(7/2/8/3)-(7/2/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/8/3)-(1/6/9/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CD-8   WIN (1/6/9/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/9/7/10)-(1/6/9/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/9/7/10)-(1/6/9/7/10)-(1/6/9/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   06/19/2025 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MERINGUE         (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 7% 13.90    
  (by SMOKE GLACKEN out of CATBRIER by STREET SENSE)
2  MOTHER OF PEARL May22 Apr25       (wojczynski jus)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 4.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of LA PEREGRINA by HARD SPUN)
3  ROSENVOLD         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 20.00 7% 13.90    
  (by RAGING BULL out of ROSENGAARD by ISTAN)
4  DELIGHTFUL DARLING         (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 41% 1.40    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DARLING'S DARLING by BERNARDINI)
5  SECOND CITY SAINT         (danner ke)TORRES A 119 10.00    
  (by RAGING BULL out of MORE THAN GRACIOUS by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  MORE CARATS         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 8.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of GIGGLIN' GAL by CONSOLIDATOR)
7  HIGH DOLLAR DOLLY         (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of TRYON SUMMER by DISCREETLY MINE)
8  ENGAGEMENT May08         (mccutchen )HUSBANDS J 114 10.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of FIANCEE by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
9  VIBORA (URU) Apr18         (ward wesley )MONCADA IRVING 114 2.50 10% 8.70    
  (by HOOTENANNY out of TOUCH AND SMILE by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
CD-2   06/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($62K) 2 ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVOT DIGGER         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00    
SCR  ABDICATE (IRE) Apr24         (wojczynski jus)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 15.00    
3  DR FENN         (ennis john)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 6% 15.20    
4  KID TWIST         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00    
5  RED SPEEDO May23 Apr07       (hancock joh)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00    
6  BARSTOOL Apr24 Apr07       (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 2.50 46% 1.20    
7  COMPRESSED May23         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 2.00 10% 9.00    
 
CD-3   06/19/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RELEASE MCCRAKEN Feb06 Jan19 Nov23 Sep28 Sep04 (amoss m)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 64% 0.60    
SCR  W W CRAZY Jun05 May16 Apr24 Feb24 Jan24 (calhoun willia)CEDILLO ABEL 118 5.00    
3  SANT' ANTIMO Jun05 May16 Mar29 Mar12 Feb26 (esquivel jesus)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 4.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  SOUTHERN SUNSET Jun15 May16 Apr26 Apr11 Mar22 (moquett ronal)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
5  ETHEREAL ROAD May18 Apr13 Mar23 Mar08 Jan05 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00    
SCR  AMERICAN BLAZE Jun06 May09 Mar08 Jan16 Nov19 (garcia gena)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00    
7  DADDY JUSTIFY Apr30 Feb27 Jan25 Dec01 Oct31 (eurton peter)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
 
CD-4   06/19/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIGHT ADJUST         (forster t)LANERIE J 118 10.00 9% 9.80    
2  HAND IT OVER Apr29 Mar20 Feb28 Dec28 Sep27 (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00    
3  KISSIN RICHES May11 Mar20 Feb15 Jan17 Dec19 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 51% 1.00    
SCR  GOING STREAKIN Apr05 Mar15 Feb08 Jan11   (hamm timothy)TORRES A 118 5.00    
SCR  SUNSET LINES May24         (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
SCR  RISUKO Jan16 Dec04 Oct19 Sep01 Jul27 (david a)JUAREZ NIK 118 20.00    
7  PARKING LOT POURS May19 May03 Feb28 Jan24 Dec18 (garcia gena)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT MUSE May11 Apr09 Mar12 Feb13 Feb01 (foster er)TORRES A 118 8.00    
9  IBUKI Aug17 Jul13       (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 13% 6.90    
 
CD-5   06/19/2025 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S AN EARNER         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of SASINI by FASTNET ROCK)
2  MS DAREDEVIL         (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of CALINAS SONG by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  A P SWEETHEART Jun06         (corrigan jim)MURGIA A 119 4.00 43% 1.30    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SORORITYSWEETHEART by DISCREETLY MINE)
4  LEWINSKY         (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
  (by REGAL CLASSIC out of ENTANGLE by PIVOTAL)
5  CLOWNING AROUND May22 Apr06       (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by HOOTENANNY out of AVENTURE LOVE by ORPEN)
6  TOGETHER AGAIN         (casse mar)TORRES A 119 12.00    
  (by JOHANNESBURG out of FLY SO PRETTY by SKY MESA)
SCR  DUTCH GIRL         (lynch brian)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 8.00    
  (by HOLY BULL out of LISTED by HOUSEBUSTER)
8  BEACH BALLAD         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SOCIETY'S SONG by MISSION IMPAZIBLE)
9  UNDERCOVER AGENT         (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 ★    
  (by GIROLAMO out of UNBRIDLED STAR by UNBRIDLED)
10  RED DRAPES May30         (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of RED CURLS by CURLIN)
 
CD-6   06/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($76K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCASHED Jun05 May18 Apr25 Mar22 Feb13 (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 120 1.40 42% 1.40    
SCR  CHRYSO ALOGO May31 May10 Apr09 Jan17 Dec18 (mckeever andr)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
3  REGAL REY Jun06 May01 Apr12 Mar26 Aug25 (antonuik jerry)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  MIACOMET May29 May16 Mar08 Jan31 Oct16 (esquivel gu)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 12.00    
5  BILLY THE GREEK Apr25 Jan24 Nov23 Sep13 Aug16 (chavez manue)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 10.00    
6  TRUST DADDY May01 Mar09 Feb22 Jan11 Dec13 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.00 22% 3.50    
7  SITKA May01 Apr04 Mar22 Feb23 Jan25 (ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50    
 
CD-7   06/19/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ELIZA VANCE May15 Apr27 Aug25 Jun23   (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.00    
2  MANAGE XPECTATIONS May25 Mar20 Feb23 Jan20 Dec19 (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 11% 8.20    
3  ADRIAN May17 Apr12 Dec26 Nov20 Oct19 (sweezey ke)MONCADA IRVING 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  ROYALEWITHCHEESE May26 Sep15       (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
5  PURLOIN Jun05 Apr23 Jan23 Jun06 Apr12 (colebrook ben)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.50    
6  SPUN UP Apr12 Mar04 Jan31 Dec26 Nov13 (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
7  SONGMAKER Apr27 Apr11 Mar30 Feb17 Dec22 (casse nor)TORRES A 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
8  ANGEL OF FAITH Apr26 Feb28 Jan17 Dec22 Jan18 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 8% 11.00    
 
CD-8   06/19/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESTINO D'ORO Oct04 Aug31       (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 118 2.50 40% 1.50    
2  JUSTINQUESO Apr06 Mar06 Feb01 Dec19   (wilkes ia)TORRES A 118 10.00    
3  EUNOMIA May17 Apr12 Nov15 Oct10 Sep13 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
4  PROMISEMEANEMPIRE May30 May15 Jun29 May03 Mar29 (moger jr)BEJARANO R 124 20.00    
5  BIRKIN GIRL May08 Apr12 Mar01 Jan26 Nov30 (colebrook )HUSBANDS J 113 15.00    
6  EXPATRIATE Apr30 Jul18 May17 Feb14   (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 124 4.00 33% 2.00    
7  MINDY'S UNION May02 Mar22 Oct24     (wismer glenn )MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  SY B May17 Aug22 Jul06 May27 Apr05 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00    
9  CAT EYES (IRE) Feb22 Jan05 Nov30     (walsh brendan )ORTIZ L 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  NEW ROME Apr30 Apr06 Mar07 Apr26 Mar16 (antonucci je)TORRES A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  I'M A COOKIE LOVER May17 Mar13 Feb23 Jan26 Oct28 (kerrick l)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 20.00    
SCR  PRINCESS BUTTERCUP Apr18 Mar19 Jan09 Oct24 Aug31 (shaffer s)BEALMEAR C 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.