Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Sunday - March 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(4/2/6)-(9/8/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(9/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(9/8/3/1)-(4/6/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (9/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/3/1)-(9/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/3/1)-(9/8/3/1)-(9/8/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8/3/1)-(4/6/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/8/3/1)-(4/6/3/2)-(8/1/2/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/2)-(4/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/2)-(4/6/3/2)-(4/6/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/3/2)-(8/1/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3/2)-(8/1/2/4)-(7/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
MVR-5   WIN (8/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/2/4)-(8/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/2/4)-(8/1/2/4)-(8/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/2/4)-(7/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/1/2/4)-(7/2)-(1/2) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
MVR-6   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/2)-(1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/2)-(1/2)-(8/5/9/2) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
MVR-7   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/2)-(8/5/9/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
MVR-8   WIN (8/5/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/9/2)-(8/5/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/9/2)-(8/5/9/2)-(8/5/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE'S THE BANKER Mar20 Mar10 Feb06 Jan24 Nov20 (sweeting crai)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  ONE RED CENT Feb27 Jan28 Dec12 Nov21 Oct15 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.00 51% 0.90    
3  NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO Mar20 Mar10 Feb11 Jan07 Dec12 (urieta johan)TAVARES JAVIER 126 2.50    
SCR  ZIPPIN GIGI Mar20 Mar03 Feb07 Dec05 Nov11 (juarez-mendoza re)PEREZ A 126 6.00    
5  BAILAMOS Mar13 Jan23 Jan07 Nov27 Oct02 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 8.00 11% 8.10    
6  BIG BUCKSALOT Mar12 Feb27 Feb06 Jan28 Jun22 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.20    
 
MVR-2   03/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE SHANCE Feb09         (crumley je)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 0.80    
  (by SHANCELOT out of MOON DATE by MALIBU MOON)
2  JERICHO TRUMPET         (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 11% 8.40    
  (by ALTERNATION out of BIRD FOR THREE by ASTROLOGY)
3  HAPPYCASTLE         (faulkner c)STOKES J 118 15.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of REACHFORTHECASTLE by CASTLE GANDOLFO)
4  A VAN ON THE RUN Mar13 Feb27 Jan16 Dec11 Oct23 (huffman can)NUNEZ Y 126 4.00 63% 0.60    
  (by RACE DAY out of BRIGHT REPLY by YONAGUSKA)
5  MOR STORMY Mar13 Oct29 Oct10 Aug28 Aug10 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 118 15.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of STORMY JUSTICE by REGAL RANSOM)
6  RUNAWAY POWER Mar13 Aug10       (cline c)PEREZ E 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of RUNAWAY'S VISION by POLLARD'S VISION)
 
MVR-3   03/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAD LITTLE BEAST Mar03 Feb11 Jan28 Dec26 Dec12 (winters mich)HALDAR J 124 20.00 7% 14.40    
SCR  BROADWAY JONES Jan28 Nov19 Oct22 Sep09 Aug13 (hurley l)STOKES J 124 20.00    
3  FIRST CITIZEN Mar13 Mar03 Feb11 Jan27 Jan13 (c)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 12.00 15% 5.50    
4  CALL ME GUSTO Feb27 Jan28 Sep03 Aug12 Jul21 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00    
5  VERSATILE Mar17 Mar06 Oct14 Sep26 Sep10 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 4.50    
SCR  RICHIESGOTGAME Feb26 Feb13 Jan15 Dec05 Nov22 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 2.50    
7  STEALTHTHIRTYFOUR Mar17 Feb27 Aug12 Jul30 Jun23 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 124 8.00    
8  MONTAUK COVE Mar17 Feb27 Feb11 Jan29 Dec08 (schuster r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 15.00 19% 4.20    
9  THE COACHMAN Mar17 Feb11 Jan25 Jan09 Dec16 (robillard aly)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 34% 1.90    
 
MVR-4   03/30/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN HERO Mar05 Feb14 Dec27 Dec06 Nov04 (juarez-mendoz)CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.00    
2  TORREFACTOR Mar11 Mar01 Feb03 Jan07 Dec19 (musarro jo)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  CHAPS KNIGHT Mar11 Feb05 Jan24 Jan06 Dec19 (pappada julie )DIAZ I 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  PUFF'SMAGICDRAGON Mar11 Jan24 Jan01 Nov30 Nov13 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 57% 0.70    
5  ARREBATO Mar06 Feb09 Dec12 Nov23 Oct31 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 4.00    
6  RAMSEY Mar11 Jan17 Dec13 Nov22 Oct11 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 126 2.50 12% 7.20    
7  COLOR ME LEGENDARY Nov25 Nov17 Nov02 Oct07 Sep29 (sanders mel)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 124 20.00    
 
MVR-5   03/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELLIOT THE DRAGON Mar11 Jan09 Dec04 Nov18 Sep17 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.00 10% 9.10    
2  UPTOWN Mar03 Feb10 Jan23 Dec05 Nov04 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 6.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  MISTER MOBIL Aug20 Aug10 Jul29 Jul16 Jul02 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 4.50    
4  HITE Nov12 Oct28 Oct10 Sep26 Sep03 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  QUIET AMIGO Mar11 Feb10 Jan13 Nov18 Nov04 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
6  IT'SGOODTOBESEEN Mar11 Feb10 Jan13 Nov18 Nov04 (tumblin andrew)PEREZ A 124 15.00    
7  BISCUITS AND GRITS Mar12 Feb26 Feb10 Dec18 Nov26 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 124 10.00    
8  LIBERATE Mar03 Feb10 Jan13 Dec11 Oct06 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 3.00 58% 0.70    
9  RED HEAD KID Mar03 Feb10 Jan09 Dec23 Dec11 (ga)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   03/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVRA WARRIOR Mar19 Mar06 Feb04 Dec18 Nov27 (tumblin andrew)PEREZ A 124 10.00    
2  KAIYAS SONG Nov11 Oct14 Oct05 Sep08 Aug24 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  REDWHITEANDTACOS Mar19 Jan15 Dec12 Nov13 Oct29 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00    
SCR  BATTLE TESTED Mar10 Feb28 Jan24 Jan06 Dec04 (tumblin andr)HALDAR J 124 3.50    
SCR  TORREY STREET Mar10 Feb28 Jan27 Jan09 Dec16 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 124 5.00    
6  JUST STAY HOME Feb28 Feb19 Jan03 Dec13 Nov19 (kocijan mar)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 124 4.50    
7  SACRED CONNECTION Mar10 Mar01 Feb06 Jan24 Jan09 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
MVR-7   03/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOGIE BOOGEE Mar17 Feb08 Jan23 Dec28 Dec04 (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 126 3.00 39% 1.60    
2  QUICK RENDEZVOUS Mar18 Jan08 Dec02 Nov04 Sep30 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 6.00 27% 2.80    
3  MOBIL MEMORY Feb27 Feb06 Jan07 May07 Apr24 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 4.50    
SCR  LEXY ANNA Aug10 Jun25 Jun05 Oct11 Sep19 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 5.00    
5  LOFTY COWTOWN Mar10 Jan25 Oct11 Sep19 Aug10 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 126 3.50 ★    
6  KICHI KITSU Dec28 Dec11 Sep09 Jun22 Jun05 (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 126 2.50    
 
MVR-8   03/30/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MRS CHOFIS Feb27 Jan15 Dec27 Aug01 Jun24 (calleja gust)CALLEJA ANDRES 122 12.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ALGOWILD by ALGORITHMS)
2  SOLO SURPRISE Mar12 Jan29 Dec05     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of HALO'S SURPRISE by HALO'S IMAGE)
SCR  CREATOR OF MAGIC         (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 122 3.50    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of ULLAPOOL by LANGFUHR)
4  MISS LITTLE BIT Mar03 Feb13 Jan29 Jan16 Dec05 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 122 20.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of HIP NINETY THREE by HARLINGTON)
5  EXPLOSIVE LADY Mar07 Feb08 Dec24     (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 122 2.50 16% 5.20    
  (by VOLATILE out of MARVELOUS SPOT by ARCHARCHARCH)
6  ORGULLOSA PACIFICA Mar12 Jan29       (flores christian)AVILES YAN 122 20.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of PROUDLY PACIFIC by PROUD CITIZEN)
7  AURORA'S MUSIC Feb14 Jan23 Dec20 Jul13   (zook w)GONZALEZ KEVIN 122 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of AURORA POINT by MALIBU MOON)
8  LOVEBUG Mar12 Jan29 Dec05 Oct30 Oct11 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 122 3.00 50% 1.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of BEACON OF LIGHT by POINT OF ENTRY)
9  I LOVE PRESENTS Mar12         (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 8.00 11% 8.40    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PRAYER BELL by GENTLEMEN (ARG))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.