Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - February 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/6/2)-(1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/2)-(1/2/6)-(8/2/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-2   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(8/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(8/2/6/3)-(4/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (8/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/6/3)-(8/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/6/3)-(8/2/6/3)-(8/2/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/6/3)-(4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/6/3)-(4/2/1)-(4/8/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(4/8/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(4/8/1/2)-(5/7/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (4/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/1/2)-(4/8/3/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/8/1/2)-(4/8/3/1/2)-(4/8/3/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/8/1/2)-(5/7/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/8/1/2)-(5/7/3/2)-(1/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (5/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/2)-(1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/2)-(1/6/3)-(3/6/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(3/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (3/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/7)-(3/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/7)-(3/6/1/7)-(3/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOSEFINA Dec27         (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.00 33% 2.10    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of CALABRISELLA by CURLIN)
2  DOLLAR DANCE Aug07 Jul04       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of TANGUERAY MISS by COWBOY CAL)
3  RED CAT SPIRIT         (faulkner c)STOKES J 122 10.00 23% 3.30    
  (by WILDCAT RED out of TOMICA'S SPIRIT by OFFICER)
4  RAZZBERRY RIPPLE Dec27 Dec10 Nov26     (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 8.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of RAZZLEDAZZLE ME by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
5  A THOUSAND PRAYERS Jan24 Dec27 Dec10 Nov26 Nov13 (rivera ne)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 3.50    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of PRAY BABY PRAY by VIOLENCE)
6  SUNNY LION         (cline c)PEREZ E 122 6.00 21% 3.70    
  (by DOLPHUS out of ROCKY PARADE by PARADING)
7  SHANGHAI DELIGHT Dec27 Dec10 Oct26     (rone penny)AVILES YAN 122 2.50    
  (by SHANCELOT out of TURNER'S HALL by FOREST WILDCAT)
 
MVR-2   02/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DATTTSAFANCYFOX Jan08 Dec27 Dec12 Dec04 Nov12 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
2  REMEMBER ME Jan09 Dec18 Dec03 Nov07 Oct04 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 124 3.50 17% 4.80    
3  FULL TIME STRUTIN Jan13 Dec12 Nov21 Nov12 Oct28 (gonzal)RODRIGUEZ A 119 15.00    
SCR  REDWHITEANDTACOS Jan15 Dec12 Nov13 Oct29 Oct14 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 126 4.00    
5  THINK BLUE Jan13 Dec11 Nov19 Oct22 Oct13 (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 126 2.00    
6  DEVRA WARRIOR Dec18 Nov27 Nov15 Oct11 Sep29 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-3   02/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAKURA SKY Jan07 Dec16 Nov02 Sep25 Dec15 (hamm timothy)BRACHO A 124 6.00    
2  MOONSHINING Jan25 Dec19 Nov24 Nov02 Oct13 (vecchio caryn)STOKES J 124 5.00 24% 3.10    
3  YOUR TROPHY GIRL Jan07 Dec23 Dec04 Nov10 Oct16 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LA VILLAGE LUMIERE Dec16 Oct09 Sep17 Sep04 Aug27 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 4.50    
SCR  SHE HAD A SECRET Oct30 Oct23 Oct01 Sep16 Sep04 (roberson don)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00    
6  TOVIA Jan07 Dec23 Dec03 Nov20 Nov10 (ccamaque marc)BARBARAN ERIK 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  GET BY Jan25 Jan02 Nov24 Oct15 Oct01 (inirio o)LEON A 124 20.00    
8  MALI BALI Jan25 Jan07 Dec23 Nov27 Oct02 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 2.50 47% 1.10    
9  MO TWILIGHT Jan07 Dec12 Jul21 Jul11 Jun13 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-4   02/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S LAST CALL Jan06 Dec23 Dec02 Oct31 Oct24 (juarez-mendo)HALDAR J 126 6.00 6% 16.00    
2  THISISRIDICULOUS Jan16 Dec23 Dec11 Nov20 Jun07 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 126 3.00 32% 2.10    
3  EAST BY WEST Jan06 Dec09 Nov18 Nov02 Sep18 (winters michelle)DIAZ R 126 20.00    
4  JEDI'S WAY Jan16 Dec23 Nov29 Nov20 Sep28 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.40 39% 1.60    
SCR  KING BUKELE Dec04 Jul07 Jun15 Jun07 May25 (inirio o)LEON A 126 20.00    
SCR  INTO THE BLACK Jan06 Dec23 Dec09 Sep10 Aug15 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 126 20.00    
7  CONVERT Jan06 Nov18 Oct28 Oct03   (galloway k)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 3.50    
8  C S EXPRESS Jan06 Dec09 Nov18 Nov02 Oct21 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 126 10.00    
 
MVR-5   02/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN MONEY Jan08 Dec05 Nov13 Oct26 Oct11 (pappada a)STOKES J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  STUNT MAN Jan16 Dec18 Dec05 Nov18 Oct10 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  CONDEMNATION Jan23 Jan13 Dec17 Nov14 Oct29 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 ★    
4  WILDCAT BILL Jan08 Dec05 Nov18 Oct29 Sep26 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 45% 1.20    
5  SPIRIT OF AKRON Jan16 Jan08 Dec05 Nov13 Oct26 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 12.00    
6  PRIVATE DRIVE Jan16 Jan08 Dec05 Nov02 Sep25 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
7  DERBY INCLUDED Jan08 Dec05 Nov18 Nov04 Oct10 (cline c)PEREZ E 124 20.00    
8  SHANGHAI PRINCE Dec30 Dec05 Nov11 Oct26 Oct02 (cline c)AVILES YAN 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
9  RAISE THE PURSES Jan08 Dec16 Nov26 Oct07 Sep17 (farrio)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50    
 
MVR-6   02/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OPEN OUT Jan25 Dec12 Oct29 Oct11 Oct01 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00    
2  LAUTREC Jan27 Nov27 Nov11 Oct14 Oct01 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  KRUG Jan27 Dec02 Nov11 Oct27 Oct01 (lopez e)VEGA L 124 8.00 10% 9.40    
4  VISKI JONES Dec26 Dec10 Nov11 Jun05 May24 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
5  LEO AND ROYAL Jan17 Dec07 Nov25 Oct28 Oct02 (knudsen kent)STOKES J 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
6  MR CLINE Jan25 Nov27 Nov05 Sep12 Aug22 (cline c)PEREZ E 124 4.00    
7  JARLIAN Jan27 Dec26 Dec16 Dec05 Nov05 (vlaun manuel)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 6.00 23% 3.30    
8  SLIPPERY WHEN WET Jan27 Dec16 Nov20 Oct02 Sep25 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.80    
 
MVR-7   02/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAY ROYALITY Dec03 Nov05 Apr23 Mar27 Feb06 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 58% 0.70    
2  LIBERTY BELLE Dec10 Nov25 Oct10 Sep11 Aug15 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 3.00    
3  MAGIC PALACE Dec23 Aug15 Jul16 Jun22 Jun03 (castro r)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  SOMEDAY IS TODAY Dec23 Nov09 Oct12 Jun22 Nov11 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50    
5  MALICED Dec23 Nov19 Oct23 Sep26 Aug15 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 124 3.50 ★    
6  PRINCESS HALIME Dec27 Dec03 Nov05 Oct20 Aug06 (yoder susan)NUNEZ Y 124 8.00 15% 5.80    
7  R THREE ANGELS Dec23 Oct26 Sep23 Aug10 Jul23 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00    
 
MVR-8   02/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR JACK FLYER Jan24 Jan06 Dec19 Nov08 Sep27 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 124 3.50 12% 7.40    
SCR  TIZ SPEEDY Dec28 Dec08 Nov16 Oct24 Sep18 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00    
3  CAVENDISH Jan23 Jan09 Dec19 Nov29 Nov22 (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 124 8.00 39% 1.60    
4  CASUAL ATTIRE Jan09 Nov25 Oct08 Sep17 Aug22 (hamm timothy)BRACHO A 124 2.00    
5  COUNTEVERYBLESSING Jan24 Jan09 Dec17 Nov14 Oct11 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 4.00    
6  CONTROLLER Jan09 Dec17 Dec05 Sep17 Aug22 (hamm t)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 19% 4.10    
7  MAGICAL MONARCH Jan24 Jan09 Dec18 Dec02 Nov13 (rivera ne)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  AWARD NOMINATED Jan15 Jun22 Jun01 May25 May05 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.