Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - November 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (8/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/5/1)-(8/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/2/5/1)-(8/2/5/1)-(8/2/5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (8/2/5/1)-(4/3/7/10/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
MNR-2   WIN (4/3/7/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/10/5)-(4/3/7/10/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/10/5)-(4/3/7/10/5)-(4/3/7/10/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (4/3/7/10/5)-(1/5/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/10/5)-(1/5/7/3)-(1/2/10/8) 80 $2.00 $160 
MNR-3   WIN (1/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/3)-(1/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/3)-(1/5/7/3)-(1/5/7/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/5/7/3)-(1/2/10/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-4   WIN (1/2/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/10/8)-(1/2/5/10/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (1/2/10/8)-(1/2/5/10/8)-(1/2/5/10/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (1/2/10/8)-(7/1/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MNR-5   WIN (7/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/3)-(7/1/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/3)-(7/1/2/3)-(7/1/2/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MNR-6   WIN (2/6/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/9)-(2/6/7/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/9)-(2/6/7/9)-(2/6/7/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7/9)-(4/8/6/7)-(10/5/7/8/4) 80 $2.00 $160 
MNR-7   WIN (4/8/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/6/7)-(4/8/6/7) 12 $1.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/8/6/7)-(4/8/6/7)-(4/8/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/8/6/7)-(10/5/7/8/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
MNR-8   WIN (10/5/7/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/7/8/4)-(10/5/7/8/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (10/5/7/8/4)-(10/5/7/8/4)-(10/5/7/8/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   11/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABUNDANT LIFE Sep09 Aug26 Jul27 Jul08 Jun12 (stansbury julie)NEGRON LUIS 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
GRACE IN EXCESS Nov03 Oct16 Aug25 Aug20 Aug12 (musarro jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 4.50 25% 3.10    
ABIGAIL G Oct28 Oct15 Sep15 Aug28 Aug09 (rodak gerald)BELISARIO JUAN 115 30.00    
VERACIOUS VERA Oct28 Sep30 Sep17 Aug25 Aug13 (snatchko a)TAPARA LUIS 118 20.00    
QUICKSTYLE Oct28 Oct02 Sep11 Aug12 Jul29 (brown t)TOLEDO S 123 6.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  QUEEN AIKO Oct28 Oct15 Oct06 Sep22 Sep15 (cordero-lope)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 113 30.00    
SCR  JAYCE AND LIAM Nov06 Oct09 Sep24 Sep09 Jul09 (englehart c)OLIVEROS CHARLE 121 2.50    
HIGH FLYING GRACIE Nov06 Oct16 Sep22 Sep15 Aug23 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 113 1.60 26% 2.80    
GIO'S MY DAD Oct28 Oct02 Sep17 Sep02 Aug06 (ccamaque marc)BARBARAN ERIK 120 30.00    
10  INSPECTOR PENNY Nov03 Oct20 Sep26 Jul04 Jun11 (barker r)WHITACRE B 120 8.00    
SCR  SHE SHE'S SHADOW Nov05 Oct16 Oct01 Jul10 Jun25 (engleh)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 6.00    
 
MNR-2   11/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL ROADS TO DENIS Sep24 Sep10 Aug25 Jul31 Jul09 (ewell devan )TAPARA BRANDON 123 10.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of ROAD TO ZANZIBAR by QUALITY ROAD)
TORREFACTOR Oct22 Sep25 Sep11 Sep03 Mar14 (musarro jos)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 20.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of DANESSA DELUXE by SUMMER BIRD)
DERBY BARBIE         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.50 24% 3.20    
  (by JUSTIFY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
PAYNTER CITY Oct30 Oct07 Sep11 Aug21   (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 123 1.60 35% 1.80    
  (by PAYNTER out of JAZZ IN THE CITY by TEMPLE CITY)
GIMME GOLD Oct30 Nov05 Nov01 Oct19 Oct09 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of THAT'S HOT by SEEKING THE GOLD)
BRAHMS HALO Oct30 Oct03 Sep18     (smith mik)HERNANDEZ H 118 30.00    
  (by BRAHMS out of DEVIL PASTDUE by DEVIL HIS DUE)
SAMMICH ME         (echenique santi)TAPARA LUIS 123 6.00 17% 5.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of TATOO ME by TRUE DIRECTION)
GOLD DILEMMA Oct28 Oct14 Sep18 Jul17 Jul07 (meeks karl)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 20.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MY KINDA DEVIL by LEMON DROP KID)
JUSTCUZIFEELLIKEIT Nov05 Oct21 Oct07 Sep24 Sep11 (cook devin)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 6.00    
  (by FLASHBACK out of NANETTE'S SPIRIT by WAR PASS)
10  SQUEEZETHESHARMAN Oct30 Oct21 Oct04 Sep12 Jul26 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FRAC DADDY out of FIRST MEMORY by FIRST DEFENCE)
SCR  SHOT AT PURE PEACE         (smith r)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 113 8.00    
  (by PEACE WINS out of LEMONDROPSMYSHOT by REDDING COLLIERY)
 
MNR-3   11/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL BUT DELICIOUS Oct07 Sep22 Sep03 May14 Apr22 (gerich frank)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 3.00 49% 1.00    
MY ANGELICA Nov05 Oct05 Sep27 Aug28 Aug14 (pinzon maria)SERPA ANGEL 120 3.50    
WATERLOO SUNSET Oct27 Oct14 Sep10 Aug21 Aug05 (schneider)HERNANDEZ H 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
PALACE MAGIC Oct21 Sep21 Sep05 Aug15 Jul21 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 120 20.00    
GORMLEYESQUE Oct15 Sep25 Sep03 Aug19 Feb03 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
MATTY BO Oct30 Oct09 Sep24 Sep14 Aug20 (viands gregory)NEGRON LUIS 120 6.00    
KAY BEE GEE Jul25 Jun06 May23 May04 Apr03 (cline robert)BERRIOS HECTOR 120 4.00 9% 9.60    
 
MNR-4   11/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIPPODROME Oct22 Oct01 Sep03 Aug19 Feb24 (barker r)WHITACRE B 120 2.50 71% 0.40    
DR SCHUSTER Oct30 Oct20 Oct07 Sep24 Sep10 (cordero-lopez ale)YARANGA Y 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
I'M YOUR CAPTAIN Oct26 Oct15 Oct03 Sep15 Aug25 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 120 5.00    
KALINBA Oct30 Oct13 Oct06 Apr03 Mar26 (cordero)BRAVO MISAEL 120 50.00    
RESVALON Oct20 Oct03 Jul29 Jul08 Jun26 (ccamaque )HERNANDEZ H 120 5.00    
EL DUQUE Oct27 Oct13 Sep29 Sep04 Jul29 (ccamaque marc)BARBARAN ERIK 120 30.00    
OUTGUNNED Oct30 Oct06 Sep23 Aug17 Jul21 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 118 3.00    
FIRST CROWNED Oct28 Oct15 Sep19 Aug20 Aug07 (donjuan serg)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
NEW JERSEY HEIST Oct30 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 Sep08 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 123 6.00    
10  ROLL ME OVER Oct28 Oct15 Sep24 Aug27 Aug07 (meeks karl)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BILLY'S BET Oct24 Sep14 Aug31 Aug11 Mar08 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 123 2.00    
 
MNR-5   11/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENZA FINE Oct06 Sep10 Aug07 Jun21 May24 (runco c)HO WESLEY 118 2.50 27% 2.80    
  (by UNION RAGS out of ENDLESS SEA by MT. LIVERMORE)
KINGDOM'S SPIRIT Sep23 Sep10 Aug12 Oct01 Aug27 (cook devin)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 4.50 12% 7.40    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of NANETTE'S SPIRIT by WAR PASS)
PALMILLA'S BET Sep21 Aug23 Jul20 Jun28 Jun19 (cambray andr)HEBERT LINDSEY 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GENTLEMEN'S BET out of PALMILLA by CROWD PLEASER)
DON'T B CRITICAL Dec11         (pease harry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 30.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CRITIC'S CHOICE by SMART STRIKE)
NO DOUGH NO GO Oct06         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 6.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CAT ON A TIN ROOF by CATIENUS)
LIGHTNING MELODY Oct21 Sep27 Sep13 Aug02 Jun30 (quezada in)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 20.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MUSIC THUNDER by CISCO ROAD)
CANT FAKE THE HATE Oct21 Sep06       (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 118 1.80 41% 1.40    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of STORM RISING by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
COURT COSTS Oct27 Oct05 Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 (smith r)YARANGA Y 123 8.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of COSTA PRETTY PENNY by ZARBYEV)
 
MNR-6   11/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAYSVILLE MISS Oct28 Oct09 Sep22 Sep15 Sep03 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 120 30.00    
MAGNA CAT Oct22 Oct06 Sep09 Aug19 Aug04 (godsey)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 5.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  GETS ON BASE Oct30 Oct14 Sep15 Aug26 Jul31 (clouston edw)TAPARA BRANDON 121 5.00    
TEAM FEISTY Oct29 Oct22 Oct06 Sep15 Aug26 (mcdonald wil)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 10.00    
MISS LINDYSUE Sep29 Sep03 Aug18 Aug06 Jul24 (fletcher jeff)TAPARA LUIS 120 10.00    
SCREAM MACHINE Sep28 Sep19 Jul27 Jul14 Jun27 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 118 3.00 22% 3.50    
GREEN CHILE Oct24 Oct17 Sep23 Sep04 Aug27 (cain crysta)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 3.50 17% 5.00    
DULCE VICTORIA Sep22 Aug26 Jul28 Jan30 Jan11 (gotera car)NEGRON LUIS 120 50.00    
SKYLAR'S SISTER Oct19 Sep22 Sep10 Aug18 Aug05 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LOST BIKINI Jun16 Apr13 Jan11 Dec19 Nov23 (jenkins wa)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 6.00    
 
MNR-7   11/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE MORE RING Oct15 Aug20 Jun11 May03 Apr06 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 120 10.00    
SCR  FOLLOW THE SIGNS Oct14 Sep16 Aug20 Jul17 Jun26 (englehart c)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00    
SCR  SCRATCHOFF Oct23 Sep25 Sep15 Aug19 Jul30 (poole c)AVILES YAN 120 8.00    
SOUTHERN SENSE Oct22 Oct13 Sep29 Aug26 Aug12 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 1.60 52% 0.90    
JUST U AND ME KID Nov05 Oct23 Sep23 Aug19 Jul31 (cain crystal)GILBERT KYLE 120 30.00    
MAGIC MOUNTAIN Oct20 Oct06 Sep03 Aug05 Jul22 (welsh gary)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 12.00 11% 8.20    
PERFECT WAGER Oct20 Oct03 Sep01 Aug22 Aug04 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
GOTTAGETITBACK Nov03 Oct22 Oct06 Sep29 Sep16 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 123 5.00 11% 7.80    
EL BOHEMIO Oct28 Oct03 Sep06 Aug01 Jul12 (esquiv)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 12.00    
10  THE RED MAN Oct28 Sep30 Sep12 Aug22 Aug07 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 120 6.00    
SCR  JULIE'S FERRARI Oct28 Oct07 Sep10 Aug11 Jul14 (welsh r)TAPARA BRANDON 120 15.00    
 
MNR-8   11/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO TOWN BLUES Nov03 Oct23 Oct08 Oct02 Sep23 (cordero-lope)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 120 50.00    
MONJE SOLAIA Nov03 Oct21 Sep25 Sep05 Aug22 (aguirre r)TAPARA LUIS 118 30.00    
SCR  NECCO Oct16 Sep10 Aug18 Aug07 Jul03 (murtough stephe)REYES FRANK 120 50.00    
TRADER PRICE Oct29 Oct06 Sep10 Aug18 Jul23 (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
RAY'S GONE ASTRAY Oct16 Oct02 Sep23 Aug29 Aug15 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 3.00 18% 4.50    
SKY KEY Oct02 Sep14 Aug31 Aug07 Jul13 (vaughn terry)BELISARIO JUAN 113 12.00    
DRUM AND DRUMMER Oct16 Sep11 Sep05 Aug02 Jul19 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 115 5.00 9% 10.20    
FAVORABLE RETURN Aug24 Aug16 Aug01 Sep25 Sep11 (carrillo ram)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 5.00 9% 10.40    
SWIFT DANCER Oct30 Oct21 Oct07 Sep24 Aug29 (tumblin andre)TOLEDO S 123 4.50    
10  ALIBI IKE Oct10 Sep19 Jun22 Jun09 May11 (meraz )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
11  MORALES LITTLE KID Oct23 Oct02 Sep13 Aug29 Aug05 (nazario pedro)CEDILLO MAURO 120 6.00    
SCR  B THEATRICAL Oct02 Nov01 Sep21 Aug03   (clark lee)WHITACRE B 120 20.00    
SCR  ARTETA Oct18 Sep18 Sep02 Aug18 Jul07 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 118 5.00    
SCR  WILD TIME Oct29 Oct10 Sep28 Sep12 Jul25 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 120 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.